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2024年全球外国直接投资下降11%!亚洲仍是全球外资流入主要目的地
第一财经· 2025-06-19 12:18
Core Viewpoint - The UNCTAD report indicates a slight increase in global foreign direct investment (FDI) by 4% in 2024, reaching $1.5 trillion, but a significant actual decline of 11% when excluding large financial transactions from certain European economies, marking two consecutive years of double-digit declines [1] Group 1: Global Investment Trends - The report highlights that the global economy is facing complex challenges, including rising debt, sluggish GDP growth, geopolitical tensions, and structural changes in trade and investment flows [1] - Early data for Q1 2025 shows that transaction and project activities have hit historical lows, indicating a pessimistic outlook for international investment [1] Group 2: Regional FDI Insights - Developed economies saw a 22% drop in FDI inflows in 2024, with European FDI plummeting by 58% when excluding financial transaction fluctuations, while North America experienced a 23% increase [5] - Developing economies in Asia remain the primary destination for global FDI, accounting for 40% of total FDI, although the region's FDI inflows decreased by 3% to $605 billion in 2024 [5] - ASEAN countries saw a significant FDI increase of 10%, reaching a record high of $225 billion, while Africa's FDI surged by 75% to $97 billion, driven by a major project in Egypt [5] Group 3: Sectoral Investment Dynamics - Greenfield investment projects in the industrial sector rose by 3% but saw a 5% decline in total value, maintaining a high level of $1.3 trillion [3] - International project financing (IPF) continued to decline, dropping by 26%, influenced by uncertainties in exchange rates and interest rates [3] - Cross-border M&A transactions increased by 14% to $443 billion, yet remained below the average levels of the past decade, indicating a shift towards domestic and nearshore investments due to rising policy risks and regulatory scrutiny [3] Group 4: Digital Economy and Investment - The digital economy is identified as a growth and transformation engine, with investments in this sector growing at an annual rate of 10% to 12%, outpacing global GDP growth [10] - Developing countries attracted $531 billion in greenfield projects in the digital economy from 2020 to 2024, with a concentration of investments in ten economies that accounted for nearly 80% of total investments [8] - Data centers emerged as the primary investment target in developing countries, followed by digital services and ICT infrastructure [8] Group 5: Policy and Regulatory Environment - The global investment policy landscape remains heavily influenced by geopolitical tensions and industrial policy objectives, with 174 new investment policy measures introduced in 2024, 78% of which favor investors [10] - As of the end of 2024, the total number of investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) cases exceeded 1,400, with a significant portion occurring in the extractive and energy sectors [10]
2024年全球FDI下降11%,联合国机构报告:亚洲仍是全球外资流入主要目的地
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 11:46
Group 1 - In 2024, global Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is projected to reach $1.5 trillion, reflecting an 11% decline when adjusted for significant financial transaction fluctuations in major European economies [1] - The report indicates that the international investment outlook for 2025 is pessimistic, with trade tensions leading to downward adjustments in most FDI outlook indicators [1][2] - Developed economies saw a 22% drop in FDI inflows in 2024, while North America experienced a 23% increase [4] Group 2 - Asia remains the primary destination for global foreign investment, accounting for 40% of total FDI, although it saw a 3% decline to $605 billion in 2024 [4] - ASEAN countries experienced a significant FDI increase of 10%, reaching a record high of $225 billion [4] - Africa's FDI grew by 75% to $97 billion, driven by a large project in Egypt [4] Group 3 - Greenfield investment projects in the industrial sector increased by 3%, but their total value decreased by 5%, maintaining a high level of $1.3 trillion [2] - International project financing (IPF) declined by 26%, influenced by uncertainties in exchange rates and interest rates [2] - The number of infrastructure projects decreased by 9%, while digital infrastructure projects increased by 4% [4] Group 4 - Renewable energy and critical minerals sectors saw a decline in greenfield project announcements by 12% and nearly 50%, respectively [5] - The semiconductor sector experienced a resurgence with four of the ten largest announced projects, totaling $70 billion in capital expenditure [5] - Investment in health and education sectors grew by approximately 25%, although total investment remained low at under $15 billion [5] Group 5 - Digital economy investments are identified as a key growth and transformation engine, growing at an annual rate of 10% to 12%, outpacing global GDP growth [8] - Over the past decade, major tech companies have increased their share of sales and assets among the largest multinational corporations [6] - From 2020 to 2024, developing countries attracted $531 billion in greenfield projects, with a concentration in ten economies that accounted for nearly 80% of total investments [6]
印尼国家经济委员会主席卢胡特答一财:中印尼合作正加速推动印尼下游产业发展
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 08:14
Core Insights - Indonesia is increasingly relying on foreign direct investment (FDI) to transform its economy, with China being the second-largest source of foreign investment after Singapore [1][5] - The successful collaboration between China and Indonesia, exemplified by the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, is enhancing bilateral relations and contributing to regional development [3][4] Investment and Economic Cooperation - China has become the second-largest source of foreign investment in Indonesia, rising from 12th place in 2013, with an average annual growth rate of 59% over the past decade [5] - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, a flagship project, has significantly reduced travel time and is seen as a model for future infrastructure projects [3][4] - Indonesia is exploring further extensions of the high-speed railway to enhance connectivity, with plans to reduce travel time to Surabaya from 10 hours to 3.5 hours [4] Impact on Human Resources and Technology - Chinese investments are not only focused on infrastructure but also on developing Indonesia's downstream industries and enhancing local human resources through technology transfer [4] - A joint research laboratory for new energy materials and metallurgy has been established to cultivate local technical talent, addressing the skills gap in Indonesia's mining sector [4] Sovereign Fund and Investment Climate - Indonesia's newly established sovereign fund, Danantara, aims to improve the management of state-owned enterprises and enhance transparency, with an initial capital of $20 billion [5] - Despite positive FDI growth, concerns remain about Indonesia's investment environment, prompting discussions on introducing internationally certified professionals for arbitration to boost investor confidence [6]
尼新规推动FDI承诺额大幅上涨33%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-05-20 15:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) commitments in Nepal, with a growth of 33% in the first ten months of the fiscal year, attributed to the simplification of FDI registration processes and legal reforms [1][2] - A total of 565 investment projects were committed during this period, valued at 56.78 billion Nepalese Rupees, which is expected to create approximately 17,700 jobs [2] - The introduction of an online self-submission system for foreign investment applications has greatly improved the efficiency of FDI approvals, with 274 projects registered online amounting to 3.2 billion Rupees, compared to only 22 projects worth 1.5 billion Rupees in the same period last year [2] Group 2 - The Nepalese government has simplified the approval process for foreign investment or technology transfer at the provincial level, reducing the requirements for registration materials [2] - A new regulation allows foreign investors to engage in equity financing of local enterprises, primarily through purchasing venture capital fund shares or investing in professionally registered investment funds, although some agricultural sectors still face restrictions [2] - Despite the surge in FDI commitments, actual foreign capital inflow remains limited, with equity-based FDI totaling 8.96 billion Rupees in the first nine months of the fiscal year, only slightly higher than the previous year's 6.49 billion Rupees, indicating challenges in the effective realization of FDI due to governance and corruption issues [3]
美国对欧FDI创近10年新低,欧洲缘何在特朗普重返白宫前就被美国投资者冷落?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 04:08
Core Insights - The report indicates that foreign direct investment (FDI) in Europe is unlikely to recover immediately, with a significant decline in investment projects from the US [1][6] - In 2024, European FDI is projected to drop to a nine-year low, with a 5% decrease in projects and a 16% reduction in jobs created [1][3] FDI Trends in Major European Countries - France remains the top destination for foreign investment in Europe, despite a 14% decrease in project numbers; the country is becoming a key hub for AI investment [1][3] - The UK experienced a 13% decline in FDI projects in 2024, shifting focus towards high-quality projects and significant growth in R&D investment by 32% [5][6] - Germany's FDI is primarily driven by expansion projects, with a 17% decrease in project numbers; Asian investors continue to play a crucial role [5][6] Regional Performance - Spain saw a notable increase in FDI projects, with a 15% rise, making it the fourth-largest destination for foreign investment in Europe [5][6] - Other countries with significant FDI growth include Denmark (86%), Austria (31%), and Switzerland (25%), driven by increased business services and marketing projects [5][6] Manufacturing and Sectoral Insights - FDI in the manufacturing sector in Europe declined by 9%, reaching the lowest level of new projects since 2020, with a 25% reduction in jobs created [6][7] - The software and IT services sector, traditionally the largest for foreign FDI, saw a 17% decline, attributed to tightened outsourcing budgets [6][7] Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - 37% of surveyed companies have reduced their investment plans in Europe, with a drop in the percentage of companies intending to invest in Europe over the next 12 months from 72% to 59% [6][7] - Despite current challenges, 61% of respondents still expect improvements in European FDI over the next three years, with potential growth areas identified in renewable energy, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, AI, and electric vehicles [8][9]
2024年巴林接受外国投资达到173亿第纳尔
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-05-08 16:31
(原标题:2024年巴林接受外国投资达到173亿第纳尔) 在非石油行业表现方面,信息和通信业在非石油行业中增长率最高,2024年(按不变价格计算)年 增长率达到12.3%。其次是科学技术行业增长9.5%;酒店和餐饮服务业增长5.9%;运输和仓储业增长 4.9%。制造业增长4.5%。对GDP贡献最大的金融和保险业也实现了4.4%的增长。 报告还强调,截至 2024年底,流入巴林的外国直接投资 (FDI) 同比增长5.7%,总额达到173亿巴林 第纳尔。 编译巴林国家报5月5日报道:巴林财经部今天发布了巴林2024年经济报告。根据电子政务局发布的 数据显示,2024年巴林国内生产总值(GDP)按不变价格计算,增长率为2.6%,其中非石油行业增长 3.8%,而石油行业则下降4.0%。按现行价格计算,GDP增长2.0%,其中石油行业下降5.8%,非石油活 动同比增长3.3%。到2024年非石油活动对GDP的贡献率将达到86.0%。 此外,报告还强调了巴林在全球竞争力报告和指标中的表现。根据米尔肯研究所发布的《2025年全 球机遇指数》,巴林在《2025年营商环境指数》中位居阿拉伯世界榜首。在伊斯兰私营部门发展公司和 ...
Bruno Casella:如何在全球FDI的低迷期找到机遇
母基金研究中心· 2025-05-02 09:15
Core Insights - The first China-Arab Investment Summit was successfully held in Abu Dhabi, UAE, focusing on facilitating Chinese General Partners (GPs) in going global and attracting foreign investment [1][2] - Over 80 influential figures from the fund industry in China and the Middle East gathered to discuss global investment and cooperation [1][2] Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Trends - FDI has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade, particularly in the services sector, while manufacturing faces challenges [3][5] - The global investment environment remains uncertain, influenced by trade protectionism, necessitating future investment strategies to focus on regionalization and flexibility [4][5] Recent FDI Data - In 2023, global FDI decreased by 3%, with a further decline of 8% expected this year, indicating a continuous downward trend [10][12] - Two major structural forces driving this decline are technological changes reducing the weight of labor costs in production and a policy shift towards rising trade protectionism [10][11] Investment Scenarios - The current FDI environment can be categorized into three scenarios: 1. "Fair Wind" areas: Green investments and service-oriented FDI are growing against the trend, with the service industry accounting for 85% of global FDI, significantly surpassing manufacturing's 15% [13][14] 2. "Breeze" opportunities: Regional investment has not yet met expectations, requiring proactive collaboration among countries to unlock potential [14] 3. "Storm" risks: Geopolitical conflicts and challenges faced by efficiency-seeking manufacturing investments exacerbate uncertainty [15][16] Strategic Recommendations - Countries need to implement precise policies in a complex environment, seizing opportunities in green economy and digital services while promoting regional cooperation [16][17] - The decade-long adjustment of FDI reveals that reliance on cost advantages is increasingly unsustainable, emphasizing the need for quality investments aligned with technological trends and sustainable goals [18][19]