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业内预计8月份CPI同比或转负 PPI同比降幅收窄
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-05 16:10
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% [1] - Food prices are under dual constraints from weak downstream Producer Price Index (PPI) and overall market demand, leading to a projected year-on-year decline in CPI of 0.4% [1] - Wholesale agricultural product prices increased by 1.9% month-on-month in August, with vegetable prices rising by 8.0% due to adverse weather conditions [1] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to remain flat month-on-month in August, with a year-on-year decline narrowing to approximately -2.9% [2] - The recovery in commodity prices, along with a low base effect, may support a slight rebound in PPI, with significant increases in the prices of steel and coal observed [3] - However, the decline in international oil prices and low capacity utilization in midstream and downstream sectors may limit the extent of PPI recovery [3]
全国财政收入增速由负转正
第一财经· 2025-08-19 13:12
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that the national narrow fiscal revenue growth has turned positive, reflecting a stable improvement in the economy [3][4]. Fiscal Revenue Overview - In the first seven months of this year, the national general public budget revenue reached 135,839 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [3]. - The revenue growth rate has shown a decline this year, but the rate of decline is gradually narrowing, with July's revenue growth reaching a new high of 2.6% [3][4]. Tax Revenue Analysis - National tax revenue for the first seven months was 110,933 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, but the decline is narrowing [4]. - In July, tax revenue was 18,018 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 5%, marking a continuous recovery since April [4]. - The overall tax revenue growth rate remains lower than the economic growth rate, which was 5.3% in the first half of the year [4]. Specific Tax Types Performance - Major tax types showed improvement: domestic value-added tax increased by 3%, domestic consumption tax by 2.1%, and personal income tax by 8.8% [5]. - Corporate income tax decreased by 0.4%, but the decline was significantly less than in the first half of the year [5]. - Land value-added tax and deed tax saw double-digit declines due to a sluggish real estate market [5]. Non-Tax Revenue Trends - Non-tax revenue for the first seven months was 24,906 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2%, significantly lower than the previous year's 12% [6]. - Government fund revenue, primarily from land sales, decreased by 0.7% to 23,124 billion yuan [7]. Fiscal Expenditure Insights - General public budget expenditure reached 160,737 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, supporting economic stability [8]. - Social security, education, and health expenditures grew by 9.8%, 5.7%, and 5.3% respectively, exceeding the average growth rate [8]. Government Fund Expenditure - Government fund budget expenditure expanded significantly to 54,287 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.7%, directed towards major project construction and new sectors [9].
2024年全年我国CPI同比上涨0.2%
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that in 2024, the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% compared to the previous year, while the national Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.2% [1] Group 2 - The CPI reflects the overall change in consumer prices, suggesting a slight inflationary trend in consumer goods [1] - The PPI indicates a decline in the prices that producers receive for their goods, which may signal challenges in the manufacturing sector [1]
鲜菜、鲜果价格环比下降 飞机票、住宿等环比上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 01:19
Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Sichuan - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Sichuan decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - Month-on-month, the CPI shifted from flat in the previous month to an increase of 0.4% [1] - Fresh vegetable prices fell by 3.9% month-on-month, while fresh fruit prices decreased by 1.7%. Conversely, pork prices saw a slight increase of 0.5% month-on-month [1] - The decline in fresh produce prices was attributed to high temperatures and low rainfall affecting production, but the summer harvest season and sufficient market supply led to lower prices [1] - The slight increase in pork prices was supported by industry measures to reduce production capacity and improve supply-demand balance [1] - Due to the peak travel season, prices for air tickets, travel agency services, hotel accommodations, and vehicle rentals increased significantly, with air ticket prices rising by 20.1% month-on-month [1] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) - In July, the Producer Price Index (PPI) continued its downward trend, decreasing by 3.5% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - Month-on-month, the PPI fell by 1.2%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [2]
发布会预告!周五上午10时
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-11 14:00
此前发布的数据显示,7月份,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比由上月下降0.1%转为上涨0.4%,同比持平,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上 涨0.8%,涨幅连续3个月扩大。工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比下降0.2%,环比降幅比上月收窄0.2个百分点,为3月份以来首次收窄,同比 下降3.6%,降幅与上月相同。 前述数据表明,随着扩内需政策效应持续显现,消费领域价格继续呈现积极变化,虽然受季节性因素叠加国际贸易环境不确定性影响,工业生产 者出厂价格仍为下降,但国内市场竞争秩序持续优化带动部分行业价格改善。 发布会预告。 据中国网消息,国务院新闻办公室将于2025年8月15日(星期五)上午10时举行新闻发布会,请国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综 合统计司司长付凌晖介绍2025年7月份国民经济运行情况,并答记者问。 (文章来源:证券时报) ...
发布会预告!周五上午10时
证券时报· 2025-08-11 11:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming press conference by the State Council Information Office, where the National Bureau of Statistics will present the economic performance for July 2025, highlighting key economic indicators such as CPI and PPI [2]. Economic Indicators Summary - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline of 0.1%, while year-on-year it remained unchanged. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, marking an expansion in growth for three consecutive months [5]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the first contraction since March. Year-on-year, the PPI fell by 3.6%, with the decline rate consistent with the previous month [5]. - The data indicates that the effects of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand are becoming evident, leading to positive changes in consumer prices. However, industrial producer prices continue to decline due to seasonal factors and uncertainties in the international trade environment, although competition in the domestic market is improving prices in certain industries [5].
7月份广东CPI环比由负转正 PPI环比降幅收窄
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-10 13:37
Group 1 - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Guangdong turned positive month-on-month, influenced by domestic demand expansion policies and the peak summer travel season, with a 0.5% increase [1] - Food prices decreased by 0.3%, while non-food prices increased by 0.6%, driven by significant travel demand during the summer, leading to a 29.8% rise in airfare prices and increases in tourism and accommodation costs [1] - The rental prices for private housing also increased due to heightened demand during the graduation season [1] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Guangdong saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, with the rate of decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - Prices for production materials decreased by 0.3%, while prices for living materials fell by 0.1%, with the decline in living materials remaining stable [1] - Among the 38 major industries surveyed for PPI, 11 industries saw price increases, 25 experienced declines, and 2 remained unchanged, resulting in an industry increase rate of 28.9%, which is an expansion of 10.5 percentage points from the previous month [1]
7月份居民消费价格指数环比上涨0.4% 同比持平
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-09 22:21
Group 1 - The core CPI in July 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, marking the third consecutive month of growth [3] - The overall CPI in July shifted from a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% to an increase of 0.4%, while the year-on-year figure remained stable [3] - Service prices rose by 0.6% month-on-month in July, contributing over 60% to the total CPI increase, driven by high demand during the summer travel season [3] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, but the decline was narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the first month of reduced decline since March [3] - The domestic market's competitive order has improved, leading to a reduction in price declines for industries such as coal, steel, photovoltaic, and lithium batteries [3]
7月CPI环比上涨0.4%
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-09 22:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the effects of domestic demand expansion policies are becoming evident, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a month-on-month increase of 0.4% in July, reversing a previous decline of 0.1% in June, while year-on-year CPI remains flat [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, has increased by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the highest growth since March 2024, and the growth rate has expanded for three consecutive months [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, with a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, indicating a narrowing of the month-on-month decline by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Group 2 - The year-on-year CPI remained unchanged primarily due to lower food prices, which fell by 1.6% compared to the same month last year, with the decline rate widening by 1.3 percentage points from the previous month [2] - Non-food prices have increased by 0.3% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]
7月CPI环比上涨0.4% PPI环比降幅收窄
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-09 21:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the effects of domestic demand expansion policies are becoming evident, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a month-on-month increase of 0.4% in July, reversing a previous decline of 0.1% [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, has increased by 0.8% year-on-year, marking the highest growth since March 2024, and the growth rate has expanded for three consecutive months [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, with a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, indicating a narrowing of the month-on-month decline by 0.2 percentage points [1] Group 2 - The CPI year-on-year remained flat, primarily due to lower food prices, which decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, influenced by a high price base from the previous year [2] - Non-food prices have increased by 0.3% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]