Overall Market Situation - Institutions appeared on the leaderboard for 32 stocks, with a net sell of over 62 million, indicating a cautious overall sentiment despite buying 18 stocks and selling 14 [3] - The stock with the highest net buying by institutions was Xizang Tianlu, which rose nearly 4% with a turnover rate of almost 40%, but overall funds saw a net outflow of 440 million, suggesting caution for retail investors [3][4] Key Stocks Analysis - Yingweike saw a limit-up with a turnover rate of just over 9%, where institutions net bought over 84 million, and deep stock connections bought 209 million, indicating strong support from multiple funding sources [3] - Dongxin Co. rose 17% with institutions net buying over 56 million, but overall funds had a net outflow of 478 million, suggesting profit-taking despite initial interest [4] - Beifang Changlong had a turnover rate of 50% with institutions net selling 114 million, indicating a potential over-speculation and a warning for retail investors [4] - Hengbao Co. had a turnover rate of 30% with institutions net selling 114 million, suggesting a withdrawal of large funds while retail investors were still buying [4] Fund Flow Insights - Weichai Heavy Industry experienced a volatility of nearly 20% with institutions net selling over 81 million, indicating a lack of confidence from large funds [5] - The deep stock connection bought over 200 million in Yingweike, aligning with institutional actions, while selling in Weichai Heavy Industry and Hengbao Co. indicated a consistent bearish sentiment [5] Institutional Buying Patterns - Historical data shows that stocks with institutional net buying have less than a 50% chance of rising the next day, and only a 39% chance of rising three days later, suggesting that retail investors should not rely solely on single-day buying signals [5][6] - Among the stocks bought by institutions, five released half-year forecasts, with Xiamen Xinda showing a net profit of -56 million, reflecting a low base for growth and caution against interpreting it as a positive signal [5] Conclusion - Retail investors should not only focus on "how much institutions bought" or "how much northbound sold," but also consider turnover rates, fund flows, and the consistency of actions between institutions and northbound funds [6] - The real opportunities lie in stocks with sustained funding interest and solid fundamentals, rather than reacting to short-term fluctuations [6]

记者丨易妍君 编辑丨包芳鸣 沪指3600点拉锯战正酣，杠杆资金加速进场。 Wind数据显示，截至7月29日，A股融资余额达到1.97万亿元，续创2015年7月3日以来新高。同时，自7 月21日以来，A股单日融资买入额占A股成交额的比例连续7个交易日突破10%。 事实上，不只是杠杆资金，机构资金也释放出积极信号。 受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出，近期A股资金面呈现多元积极变化。 一方面，6—7月以来市场成 交量持续走高、被动产品新发不断发力、主动权益类基金发行量也在增长；同时，产业资本层面，减持 规模较上月大幅下降约四成，市场面临的减持压力明显减轻。另一方面，财政部针对保险资金推出一系 列长周期考核举措，有望强化险资权益资产配置的稳定性，并进一步加速险资入市的进度。 展望后市，有机构人士指出，核心指数有望挑战年内高点，但过程可能并非一帆风顺，短期需密切关注 政策细节的落地速度、经济数据的实际验证情况以及外部环境变化。 多路资金入市 今年7月，A股市场持续活跃，融资余额水涨船高。 据Wind统计，7月21日，融资余额自今年4月3日以来首次重返1.9万亿元之上。同时，截至7月29日，融 资余额连续7个交易日增长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a surge in leveraged funds, with financing balances reaching a new high, indicating increased investor optimism and risk appetite [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Activity and Fund Flows - As of July 29, the financing balance of A-shares reached 1.97 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase and reflecting a bullish sentiment among investors [1][4]. - The proportion of daily financing purchases to total A-share trading volume has exceeded 10% for seven consecutive trading days, signaling heightened market risk appetite [6][8]. - Institutional funds are also showing positive signals, with a notable increase in the issuance of equity public funds since June, indicating a recovery in the equity market [2][7]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - The continuous growth in financing balances suggests that investors are willing to leverage their positions, which may lead to increased market volatility if adjustments occur [5][11]. - The reduction in the scale of share reductions by industrial capital by approximately 40% compared to the previous month indicates a decrease in selling pressure on the market [2][8]. - The overall market is characterized by active trading, with daily trading volumes remaining high and turnover rates exceeding 3%, reflecting a phase of active speculation [8][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts expect core indices to challenge their yearly highs, although the path may not be smooth, necessitating close attention to policy implementation and economic data [2][11]. - The ongoing policies aimed at stabilizing growth and expanding domestic demand are likely to support the market, with expectations of improved macroeconomic data in the second half of the year [12]. - The market's long-term upward trend is supported by factors such as declining risk-free rates and improved investor risk appetite, although external risks remain a concern [11][12].

21世纪经济报道记者易妍君 报道 沪指3600点拉锯战正酣，杠杆资金加速进场。 Wind数据显示，截至7月29日，A股融资余额达到1.97万亿元，续创2015年7月3日以来新高。同时，自7 月21日以来，A股单日融资买入额占A股成交额的比例连续7个交易日突破10%。 "自去年9月24日以来，A股市场融资余额、成交量等指标迅速提升并保持在高位。杠杆资金及交投活跃 度的情况反映出，当前市场环境下投资者风险偏好的明显提升。种种迹象表明，现阶段A股市场面临的 情绪环境相对过去几年已经出现了较大转变。"民生加银专精特新智选混合发起式基金经理周帅向21世 纪经济报道记者指出。 排排网财富研究部副总监刘有华谈道，融资余额增加意味着杠杆资金的市场情绪高涨。同时，这也在一 定程度上说明，市场的上涨趋势得到了杠杆资金的认可，可能预示着资金正在加速进场。不过，融资余 额过高也可能是市场过热的信号，一旦市场出现调整，高杠杆投资者可能面临较大亏损压力，加剧市场 波动。 值得一提的是，截至7月29日，单日融资买入额占A股成交额的比例连续7个交易日突破10%。 事实上，不只是杠杆资金，机构资金也释放出积极信号。 受访人士向21世纪经济报道 ...

Group 1: Current Price Trends - Bitcoin has reached a historical high of approximately $109,685.05, marking a 2.76% increase from the previous day, with a trading range of $106,109.5 to $109,450.5 [6] - Bitcoin's market capitalization has surpassed $2.15 trillion, solidifying its status as a major asset class [6] - Ethereum is currently priced around $2,524.10, with a 24-hour increase of 0.9%, indicating a relatively stable performance compared to Bitcoin's surge [13] Group 2: Market Catalysts and On-Chain Data - The regulatory environment in the U.S. is improving, with expectations of clearer regulations during Trump's presidency and progress in stablecoin legislation, providing positive support for the cryptocurrency market [6] - Institutional investors, such as Strategy, continue to accumulate Bitcoin, purchasing 7,390 BTC at an average price of $103,498, totaling approximately $764.9 million [6] - On-chain activity remains robust, with over 790,000 active Bitcoin addresses, reflecting sustained trading activity [6] Group 3: 24-Hour Market Dynamics - The total liquidation amount in the past 4 hours reached $118 million, with short positions suffering significantly more than long positions [6] - The funding rate for BTC/USDT perpetual contracts is at 0.0054%, indicating a dominant bullish sentiment in the market [4] - Ethereum's perpetual contract funding rate is near zero, suggesting that the current trend is primarily driven by spot buying rather than leveraged trading [14] Group 4: Operational Strategies - For Bitcoin, entry conditions are set above $109,000, with primary targets at $112,000 and $115,000, and strict stop-loss at $106,000 [7] - For Ethereum, entry conditions require a breakout above $2,600, with targets set at $2,700 and $2,800, and a stop-loss below $2,500 [14] - Investors are advised to gradually reduce positions in the $110,000-$111,000 range to lock in profits while maintaining some exposure for potential further gains [13] Group 5: Key Events and Macro Environment - Upcoming events include a potential discussion on cryptocurrency policy at the "Trump Dinner" on May 22 and the Federal Reserve's announcement regarding monetary policy framework changes [19] - The market is closely monitoring inflation trends, with predictions of a rise in U.S. inflation starting in May, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [19] - The overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with a recommendation to maintain a portfolio allocation of 50-70% in cryptocurrencies while being prepared for potential adjustments [19]

Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a strong performance, but there is confusion regarding the sustainability of this trend, especially in light of the lack of substantial domestic policies to boost demand [2][4] - The depreciation of the RMB is seen as a strategic move in the context of US-China relations, with expectations that a resolution could lead to a rapid appreciation of the RMB and subsequent domestic policy implementations [4][5] - The focus on short-term gains is prevalent among investors, but the real concern should be on the expectations surrounding monetary policy changes, particularly potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5][6] Group 2 - A broad market rally does not guarantee that all stocks will continue to rise; historical patterns show that not all stocks sustain their gains after a general uptrend [7][8] - The difference in stock performance during market rallies can often be attributed to the level of institutional participation, which is crucial for sustained price increases [12][16] - Current data indicates that over 3,000 stocks are seeing institutional participation, with a notable increase in inventory data over the past 6-10 days, reaching a one-month high [19]

看着市场天天横盘，又有GJD护盘，不少股民直接躺平不动了。 可别大意！懂王那边又要搞大动作，市场里藏着的风险和机会，多数人压根没察觉！ 今天就带大家深挖这些关键信号，文末还有超实用的股市数据，不看真的亏！ 一，懂王的压力 懂王又要搞大事情！从现在起，老美ZJH、存款保险公司、期货交易委员会这些部门想出台新规，都得他拍板。 连一向和他不对付的美联储也被卡脖子，虽然还能管货币正策，但银行监管规则得交白宫审查。 他为啥这么着急？全是经济压力给逼的！CNBC调查显示，55%的人都不满意他的经济政策。科技行业项目停摆、钱也不敢投，供应链乱成一 锅粥。 美联储更是直接下调GDP增速，从2.1%跌到1.7%，经济衰退警报已经拉响。 纽约联储预测，到8月美国经济衰退的可能性超过六成！这边衰退警报拉响，那边财政状况也一团糟。 老美75个大城市里，53个都深陷财正赤字泥潭，联邦正府债务更是在2025财年突破20万亿美元大关，经济压力大到爆表！ 老美的专家们急得跳脚！直接发文开炮，痛批关税正策根本没有经济道理，完全是在把经济往衰退的火坑里推。 二，散户要怎么办？ 老美经济内忧外患，资金正疯狂往外跑！高盛数据显示，非老美投资者一口气 ...