Group 1: Israel-Iran Conflict - The U.S. successfully conducted airstrikes on three major Iranian nuclear facilities, including Fordow, which no longer exists according to Trump [1] - Iranian nuclear facilities have been evacuated following the attacks, with reports indicating at least 430 deaths and 3,500 injuries since the conflict began [1] - Israel's military claims to have destroyed about half of Iran's ballistic missile launchers and coordinated fully with the U.S. in the attacks [1] Group 2: Diplomatic Negotiations - Macron announced that France and European allies will accelerate negotiations with Iran regarding its nuclear program [2] - Iranian officials expressed distrust towards the U.S. following the Israeli attacks and stated that they will not negotiate on their defense capabilities, including missile programs [2] Group 3: Regional Developments - Syrian security forces detained a relative of President Assad [3] - Russia is prepared to support Iran in developing peaceful nuclear energy [3] - The U.S. State Department reported that over 6,400 Americans have filled out forms to prepare for evacuation from Israel [3]

Domestic News - The Financial Supervision Administration has allowed currency brokerage firms to provide matching services for financial institutions in markets such as currency, bonds, foreign exchange, and gold [5] - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to May, the national general public budget revenue was 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%; stamp duty revenue was 1,787 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% [6] - The National Medical Products Administration has approved measures to optimize the full lifecycle supervision to support the innovation and development of high-end medical devices [6] International News - Preliminary reports indicate that Iranian missiles have struck Tel Aviv, Negev, and Haifa, with approximately 25 ballistic missiles launched from Iran to Israel during the latest round of attacks [3] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced that the cross-border payment system will be operational starting June 22 [4] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that from January to May, the actual use of foreign capital in the country was 358.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.2% [4] - The Financial Supervision Administration released the "Market Risk Management Measures for Commercial Banks," detailing market risk management requirements [4]

随着中东时局变化，原油市场高位大震荡。 周五晚间，美、布两油突然短线大跳水。 截至发稿，布伦特原油期货跌幅迅速扩大跌超3%，报76.34美元/桶。WTI原油也紧跟下跌，现跌0.91%报73.21美元/桶。 6月以来，虽然国际油价经历了几番大涨大落。不过整体表现仍十分强劲。 当前，欧洲大国的作用更为突出。伊朗官员称，伊朗需要听取欧洲三国在核问题上的"倡议"。 整体来看，伊朗官员的最新言论似乎为核谈判重启又提供了一线希望。 月初至今，布伦特原油价格已上涨超 20%。而随着以伊局势升级，或有望创下2020年以来最大单月涨幅。 核谈判希望重燃？ 据说，伊朗准备讨论核问题。 在以色列袭击的背景下，伊朗不愿与美国接触。 路透最新报道称，有伊朗高级官员透露，伊朗已准备好就其铀浓缩的限制问题进行讨论。 不过其随后又迅速表示，伊朗"毫无疑问将拒绝零铀浓缩的提议"，"特别是现在，在以色列的打击下"。 稍早前，伊朗外长曾表示，只要以色列继续袭击，伊朗就不会与任何一方进行对话。 不过就在今天（当地时间6月20日），伊朗外长和欧洲三国（英法德）正在日内瓦举行会谈。 但据说，欧洲各国外长已向伊朗发出美国愿意直接谈判的信息。 他们表示，美 ...

Core Points - The recent Israeli attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities have escalated tensions in the Middle East, potentially destabilizing the region and undermining ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations [1][2] - Gulf countries, historically adversarial to Iran, are now reconsidering their positions and the implications of a prolonged conflict, particularly regarding their oil infrastructure and economic development plans [1][2][8] Group 1: Regional Dynamics - Gulf nations have been attempting to ease tensions with Iran, including offering billions in investments to facilitate nuclear agreements, but are now facing the reality of a potential long-term conflict [1][2] - The surprise Israeli military action has left Arab states shocked, as they misjudged the U.S. administration's ability to restrain Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu [2][3] - The fear of a broader conflict has led Gulf states to evaluate the potential fallout from the collapse of Iran's regime, recalling the chaos following the Arab Spring and the 2003 Iraq invasion [2][8] Group 2: Economic Implications - Oil prices have surged approximately 10% to over $76 per barrel since the escalation, which could impact Gulf countries' budgets positively, but the overall economic outlook remains uncertain due to potential disruptions [2][6] - The Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit route, could see significant disruptions if Iran decides to close it, with predictions that oil prices could spike to $130 per barrel [6][8] Group 3: Nuclear Concerns - Gulf states are particularly worried about potential Israeli strikes on Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant, which could lead to radioactive contamination affecting water supplies [7] - The Gulf Cooperation Council has activated its emergency management center to monitor radiation levels and coordinate responses to the escalating situation [7] Group 4: Diplomatic Efforts - Gulf nations, including the UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, are actively trying to leverage their influence and relationships with the U.S. to restore diplomatic negotiations with Iran [3][10] - Despite Iran's willingness to return to nuclear talks if Israeli attacks cease, it has not committed to halting uranium enrichment, complicating the diplomatic landscape [3][4]

以色列突然预告重大行动。 据最新消息，以色列驻美国大使莱特在接受采访时表示："本周晚些时候将有一场对伊朗的重大军事行动。当 尘埃落定后，你会在周四晚上和周五看到一些意外惊喜，这场行动会让寻呼机行动看起来几乎是小儿科。" 美国总统特朗普否认美方与伊朗方面进行和谈接触。美东时间17日早间，特朗普在社交媒体上写道："我尚未 以任何方式、形式或途径与伊朗就'和平谈判'进行接触。" 另据美媒爆料，德黑兰已经要求卡塔尔、沙特和阿曼向特朗普施压，让他利用自己的影响力要求以色列同意立 即与伊朗停火，换取伊朗在核谈判中的灵活立场。 以驻美大使预告重大行动 6月17日，据《环球时报》，美国有线电视新闻网报道，以色列驻美国大使莱特6月16日在接受采访时表示，本 周晚些时候将有一场对伊朗的重大军事行动。 莱特表示："当一切尘埃落定，你会在周四晚上及周五看到一些意外惊喜，这场行动会让寻呼机行动看起来几 乎是小儿科。" 莱特表示，以色列正在准备针对伊朗的一项新的、高度先进的军事行动，该行动可能超越以前的地区行动。 莱特指出，即将进行的这次任务将展示前所未有的战略精确度和军事能力。 "我们的进展比计划提前了。"莱特表示，最终目标是"摧毁伊 ...

智通财经APP获悉，特朗普突然中断加拿大七国集团峰会行程紧急返美，中东火药味持续蔓延。这位美 国总统虽强调返程与推动停火无关，但其行程变动仍牵动全球神经，就在他启程回国之际，伊朗首都德 黑兰东部突发数次爆炸，而以色列与伊朗的互相攻伐已进入白热化阶段。 尽管白宫重申美军仅限协助防御姿态，但"尼米兹"号航母战斗群提前部署中东的动向，令市场神经紧 绷。布伦特原油价格在伦敦早盘维持73.54美元/桶震荡，较冲突爆发前上涨6%，这组数据背后是投资者 对战火蔓延至产油区的深度忧虑。毕竟过去72小时内，以色列空军已对伊朗全境展开多轮轰炸，目标涵 盖德黑兰在内的军事设施与核设施，联合国核监督机构证实纳坦兹铀浓缩基地遭破坏，而深埋地下的福 尔多核设施能否幸免仍是未知数。 地缘政治博弈棋局中，各方的算盘精打细算。特朗普在社交平台连发数帖，既指责马克龙误解其战略意 图，又重申"伊朗绝不能拥核"的底线，却对具体军事行动讳莫如深。值得玩味的是，其中东事务特使维 特科夫或将于本周密会伊朗外长，这距离其上轮核谈判搁浅尚不足百日。以色列方面则延续强硬路线， 在德黑兰发出"撤离令"后迅速取得制空权优势，总理内塔尼亚胡直言"摧毁核威胁是唯一选项 ...

Core Viewpoint - Turkish President Erdogan and Russian President Putin agree on the necessity of ending the conflict between Iran and Israel through diplomatic means [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - Diplomatic Resolution - Both leaders emphasized the importance of creating space for a diplomatic solution to the ongoing conflict [1] - Nuclear Negotiations - Erdogan reiterated that the only way to resolve the crisis is to return to nuclear negotiations [1]

土耳其总统埃尔多安：土耳其可以在核谈判中发挥协调者的作用。 ...

2025.06. 15 本文字数：2836，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 钱小岩 封图 | 6月15日凌晨，在伊朗首都德黑兰附近，一名男子望向遭以色列袭击起火的储油设施。新华社 以色列和伊朗的直接冲突上升到了前所未有的阶段。 自当地时间6月13日凌晨开始，以色列突袭伊朗，当天对伊朗军事领导层进行了"斩首"行动，并破坏 了伊朗的部分核设施。但以色列并没有见好就收，连日来继续军事行动，并将打击范围扩展到了伊朗 的能源基础设施。 伊朗虽然遭受重创，但是并非没有回击之力。在军事领导层近乎"团灭"的背景下，依然在13日当天就 开始组织通过无人机和弹道导弹回击以色列，并且突破美国和以色列的层层拦截，对以色列沿海城市 造成了不小的破坏。 这是6月13日在伊朗首都德黑兰拍摄的在以军袭击中受损的建筑。新华社 以色列和伊朗虽交恶多年，但多年来多采取代理人战争的方式对抗，此次以色列突袭是否将改变未来 双方冲突的范式？对此，上海外国语大学中东研究所研究员钮松向第一财经记者表示，以伊之间的冲 突确实进入了一个新的阶段。 除了军事目标外，以色列还首次袭击伊朗能源基础设施。14日早些时候，伊朗南部布什尔省两家炼 油厂遭到以色列空 ...

特朗普再次警告伊朗，别打击美国目标 消息面上，据新华社报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间15日凌晨说，美国未参与以色列刚刚对 伊朗的袭击， 再次警告伊朗不要袭击美国目标，否则美军将以"全部力量和威力"打击伊朗。 特朗普在社交媒体上对伊朗喊话："美国与（刚刚发生的）伊朗遇袭事件毫无关系。如果伊朗 以任何方式、形态或形式攻击我们，美国武装力量的全部力量和威力将倾泻于你方，其程度 将前所未见。" 特朗普还声称，美方可"轻松"促成伊朗和以色列达成协议，结束两国的"血腥冲突"。 据央视新闻报道，受到以色列与伊朗冲突影响，以色列特拉维夫证券交易所的股价当地时间 15日开盘后重挫，基准TA-125指数下跌2%，蓝筹股TA-35指数下跌2.1%，跟踪TA-35指数成 分股之外最高市值股票的TA-90指数下跌1.4%。 沙特全指早盘一度下跌超3.8%。 13日凌晨以来，以色列持续大规模空袭伊朗，轰炸核设施和军事目标，造成大量人员伤亡。 当天，以色列货币谢克尔骤跌，对美元汇率一度下跌逾3%，达到今年4月以来的最低水平。 另据央视新闻报道，从当地时间15日上午，伊朗南部城市设拉子传出巨大爆炸声。有消息称 该市多处地点遭遇新一轮袭击。 据 ...