【12月5日法国预测2026年美元回归，多币种汇率将有变动】12月5日，法国方面表示，因美国中期增长 前景未受影响，2026年美元将回归。策略师报告称，预计2025年四季度美国增长放缓，未来几周及2026 年初令美元承压，但美国中期增长前景未恶化。 该行预测，2026年一季度，欧元兑美元汇率将达1.20， 年底将跌至1.14。受美国关税政策影响，加元明年或成G10货币中表现最差币种。 2026年全年，在美元 走强背景下，许多新兴市场货币即期汇率表现将恶化。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

每经AI快讯，周五（12月5日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元涨0.17%，报155.36日元，本周累计下跌0.53%。 欧元兑日元涨0.14%，报180.87日元，本周累跌0.16%；英镑兑日元涨0.22%，报207.144日元，本周累涨 0.25%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar experienced a decline against several currencies, particularly the Japanese yen, while the euro and British pound strengthened against the dollar [1] Currency Movements - The US dollar fell by 0.48% against the Japanese yen, closing at 155.13 yen, with a trading range of 155.91 to 155.01 yen throughout the day [1] - The euro appreciated by 0.42% against the US dollar, reaching 1.1673, showing a consistent upward trend [1] - The British pound increased by 1.06% against the US dollar, closing at 1.3352, also reflecting a continuous rise [1] - The US dollar declined by 0.47% against the Swiss franc, ending at 0.7994 [1] Commodity Currencies - The Australian dollar rose by 0.57% against the US dollar [1] - The New Zealand dollar increased by 0.74% against the US dollar [1] - The US dollar decreased by 0.16% against the Canadian dollar [1] Scandinavian and Eastern European Currencies - The Swedish krona appreciated by 0.64% against the US dollar [1] - The Norwegian krone rose by 0.75% against the US dollar [1] - The Danish krone increased by 0.42% against the US dollar [1] - The Polish zloty strengthened by 0.53% against the US dollar [1] - The Hungarian forint rose by 0.37% against the US dollar [1]

每经AI快讯，周二（12月2日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元涨0.24%，报155.83日元。欧元兑美元涨0.12%， 英镑兑美元持平，美元兑瑞郎跌0.22%。商品货币对中，澳元兑美元涨0.33%，纽元兑美元涨0.13%，美 元兑加元跌0.16%。瑞典克朗兑美元涨0.25%，挪威克朗兑美元持平，丹麦克朗兑美元涨0.11%。 每日经济新闻 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，周一（12月1日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元跌0.44%，报155.49日元。欧元兑日元跌0.35%， 英镑兑日元跌0.59%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market showed mixed movements with the euro slightly appreciating against the dollar while the British pound experienced a decline [1] Currency Movements - Euro appreciated by 0.08% against the US dollar, trading at 1.1608 [1] - British pound declined by 0.16% against the US dollar, trading at 1.3213 [1] - Swiss franc appreciated by 0.08% against the US dollar, trading at 0.8045 [1] - Australian dollar declined by 0.12% against the US dollar [1] - New Zealand dollar declined by 0.14% against the US dollar [1] - Canadian dollar appreciated by 0.17% against the US dollar [1] - Swedish krona declined by 0.06% against the US dollar [1] - Norwegian krone appreciated by 0.08% against the US dollar [1] - Danish krone appreciated by 0.08% against the US dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The depreciation of the Korean won is significantly increasing cost pressures for South Korean food companies that heavily rely on imported raw materials [2] Group 1: Currency Impact on Costs - As of November 17, the exchange rate reached 1458.0 KRW per USD, an increase of over 4% compared to the same period last year [2] - The domestic food manufacturing industry's raw material localization rate is only 31.8%, with nearly 70% of key ingredients like palm oil, wheat, soybeans, and raw sugar being imported [2] Group 2: Financial Impact on Major Companies - CJ CheilJedang reported that in the third quarter, the procurement costs for sugar and cooking oil reached 591.8 billion KRW and 587.2 billion KRW, respectively [2] - A 10% increase in the exchange rate would lead to a reduction of 13.0818 billion KRW in after-tax profits for CJ CheilJedang, with a year-on-year decline in operating profit of 25.6% [2] - Lotte Wellfood indicated that a 10% rise in the exchange rate would decrease profits by 35.3 billion KRW [2] Group 3: Industry Concerns - There are concerns that if the high exchange rate persists, there may be a concentrated increase in food prices from the end of this year to early next year [2] - Most raw materials are settled in USD, leading companies to inevitably pass on cost pressures to end prices, which could further burden consumers and affect overall price levels [2]

Core Viewpoint - The monetary policy of Canada is significantly influenced by external financial conditions and trade cycles, particularly those of the United States, leading to a historical pattern of synchronization and occasional divergence in policy rates between the two countries [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Cycle Divergence Drivers - The divergence in monetary policy between Canada and the U.S. can be categorized into two main drivers: changes in global demand for Canadian goods, particularly influenced by commodity prices, and fluctuations in global demand for the U.S. dollar, which can lead to capital flight and affect exchange rates [4][5][6]. 2. Current Policy Cycle Analysis and Future Outlook - Currently, both Canada and the U.S. are in a new round of interest rate cuts, with macroeconomic challenges being highly similar. However, Canada has shown a tendency towards more aggressive easing due to weaker economic performance and housing market pressures [24][25]. - The Bank of Canada (BoC) initiated its rate cuts in June 2024, ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve, reflecting its assessment of domestic economic conditions and inflation trends [25][26]. - The BoC's policy adjustments are expected to remain closely aligned with the Federal Reserve's actions, particularly in response to external pressures such as exchange rate fluctuations and commodity price movements [29][30]. 3. Historical Context of Policy Coordination - Historical analysis shows that Canada and the U.S. have experienced periods of both high coordination and significant divergence in monetary policy, influenced by various economic conditions and external shocks [16][18][19]. - The coordination phases have typically seen Canada adjusting its policy rates in a manner that is consistent with U.S. movements, albeit often with smaller adjustments [18][19]. 4. Future Projections - Looking ahead to 2026, the BoC's capacity for further rate cuts may be limited, as current rates are near the lower bound of the neutral range. The bank's decisions will likely be heavily influenced by the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory [29][30][31].

每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯，周一（11月17日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元涨0.43%，报155.21日元，日内交投区间为 154.42-155.30日元。欧元兑日元涨0.14%，报179.86日元，北京时间00:45曾涨至180.02日元创历史新 高；英镑兑日元涨0.27%，报204.123日元。欧元兑美元跌0.29%，英镑兑美元跌0.16%，美元兑瑞郎涨 0.30%。 ...

Core Points - The US dollar against the Japanese yen decreased by 0.03%, closing at 154.10 yen, with a trading range of 154.49 to 153.67 yen during the day [1] - The euro against the Japanese yen increased by 0.23%, while the British pound against the Japanese yen fell by 0.09% [1]