（责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构 成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产 品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 相关机构表示，消息面上，浙江特高压交流环网工程获得发改委批复，计划2029年建成投运，总投 资约293亿元。国内特高压线路建设不断推进，今年以来已有2条特高压直流线路与3条特高压交流线路 获批。特高压线路是指电压等级在交流1000千伏及以上、直流±800千伏及以上的输电工程，具有输送 容量大、输送距离远，损耗低的特点，能有效提升电网输送效率以及对清洁能源的消纳能力，当前建设 需 ...

金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 该机构提到，全国统一电力市场建设加速推进，该机构预计"十五五"期间电网投资有望达到4万亿元以 上，相比于"十四五"期间电网投资2.8万亿元显着提升。其中，主网建设助力全国电网网架实现互联互 通，是全国统一电力大市场搭建的重要支撑，该机构认为仍将是重点建设方向。 来源：金吾财讯 华泰证券表示，根据浙江日报，浙江特高压交流环网工程正式获国家发展和改革委核准批复，预计在 2029建成投运，总投资约293亿元，是迄今为止国内投资最高、单体工程量最大的特高压交流工程。该 机构看好全国统一电力市场建设加速推进下，十五五期间电网投资保持稳步增长态势，跨省输电通道建 设与西部薄弱电网补强需求明确，特高压建设需求处于高位，主网投资有望进一步提速。 ...

该机构提到，全国统一电力市场建设加速推进，该机构预计"十五五"期间电网投资有望达到4万亿元以 上，相比于"十四五"期间电网投资2.8万亿元显着提升。其中，主网建设助力全国电网网架实现互联互 通，是全国统一电力大市场搭建的重要支撑，该机构认为仍将是重点建设方向。 金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 金吾财讯 | 电力设备股震荡走强，截至发稿，哈尔滨电气(01133)涨7.16%，东方电气(01072)涨6.02%， 超威动力(00951)涨2.94%，上海电气(02727)涨2.48%，亿华通(02402)涨2.05%。 华泰证券表示，根据浙江日报，浙江特高压交流环网工程正式获国家发展和改革委核准批复，预计在 2029建成投运，总投资约293亿元，是迄今为止国内投资最高、单体工程量最大的特高压交流工程。该 机构看好全国统一电力市场建设加速推进下，十五五期间电网投资保持稳步增长态势，跨省输电通道建 设与西部薄弱电网补强需求明 ...

人民财讯12月12日电，华泰证券指出，全国统一电力市场建设加速推进，预计"十五五"期间电网投资有 望达到4万亿元以上，相比于"十四五"期间电网投资2.8万亿元显著提升。其中，主网建设助力全国电网 网架实现互联互通，是全国统一电力大市场搭建的重要支撑，华泰证券认为仍将是重点建设方向。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that copper is an undervalued investment opportunity, poised for significant growth due to its essential role in the electrification and AI revolution, contrasting it with gold, which is driven more by emotional and speculative factors [1][4][40]. Group 1: Demand Drivers - The demand for copper is expected to surge due to the increasing energy needs of AI data centers, electric vehicles, and renewable energy sources, with projections indicating global copper consumption will rise from 33 million tons in 2024 to 41 million tons by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.4% [23][24]. - AI models require substantial energy, with a single training session consuming about 12,000 MWh, equivalent to the daily electricity consumption of a medium-sized city, leading to a projected increase in global data center electricity consumption from 415 TWh in 2024 to 945 TWh by 2030 [7][9]. - Electric vehicles consume four times more copper than traditional vehicles, with an estimated additional demand of 200,000 to 300,000 tons of copper by 2030 due to the anticipated 55.7% penetration rate of electric vehicles [17][19]. Group 2: Supply Constraints - The average grade of copper ore has declined from 0.95% in the early 2000s to 0.60% in 2024, meaning more ore must be mined to extract the same amount of copper, effectively doubling the workload and costs [25][28]. - The development of new copper mines is increasingly challenging, with an average exploration to production timeline of 20-30 years, and many potential projects remain in the planning stages [27][28]. - The global copper concentrate supply is expected to face a shortfall, with a projected deficit of 1.2 million tons by 2040, which is 30% of total demand, indicating a significant supply-demand imbalance [37][38]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investing in copper is seen as a more stable and necessary choice compared to gold, as copper's price is driven by fundamental demand rather than speculative trends, making it suitable for long-term investment [40][42]. - The current copper price of approximately $11,000 per ton is still below historical highs, suggesting significant upside potential as supply constraints become more pronounced [43][44]. - Various investment avenues are available for copper, including mining stocks, ETFs, and futures, allowing investors of different risk tolerances to participate in the copper market [46][47]. Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on upstream copper mining companies with integrated operations, as they are likely to benefit directly from rising copper prices [49][50]. - Attention should also be given to downstream sectors that utilize copper, such as data centers and electric vehicle manufacturers, which are expected to experience high growth due to increased copper demand [52]. - For risk-averse investors, copper ETFs provide a diversified investment option, while more experienced investors may consider futures and options to enhance capital efficiency [53][54].

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.65% to 3914.01 points and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.25% to 13146.72 points, indicating improved market activity and a potential phase of stabilization after recent adjustments [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector showed strong performance, with silver and copper reaching historical highs, supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle and increased global liquidity, alongside investments in new energy and power grids [1] - The gaming ETF saw a recovery, rising by 1.64%, following the National Press and Publication Administration's approval of 184 domestic online game licenses in November, marking a record high for the year [1] Group 2 - The gold sector continued its upward trend, supported by heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which have risen to over 80%, alongside geopolitical uncertainties that enhance gold's safe-haven appeal [2] - The combination of the Fed's rate cut cycle, increasing global uncertainties, and trends towards de-dollarization is expected to provide ongoing support for gold prices, prompting interest in gold ETFs and stocks [2]

铜产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·季先飞·首席分析师/有色及贵金属 组联席行政负责人 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 日期：2025年11月30日 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 1 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 铜：多重利好驱动，价格上涨 强弱分析：强，价格区间：87000-93000元/吨 LME铜0-3现货升水快速扩大 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2024-01 2024-02 2024-03 2024-04 2024-05 2024-06 2024-07 2024-08 2024-09 2024-10 2024-11 2024-12 2025-01 2025-02 2025-03 2025-04 2025-05 2025-06 2025-07 2025-08 2025-09 2025-10 2025-11 美元/吨 COMEX铜价-LME铜价 资料来源 SMM ，iFinD同花顺 国泰君安期货研究 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, indicating a high level of industry prosperity [1]. Core Views - The anticipated interest rate cuts are expected to drive metal prices upward, with a sustained high prosperity trend in the sector [1]. - The report highlights significant price increases in various metals, with precious metals showing a notable rise due to changing monetary policies and increased demand [2][9]. - The report suggests that the valuation of precious metals is at the lower end of historical averages, indicating potential for recovery [2]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.40%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 3.56%, and the non-ferrous metals index outperformed the CSI 300 by 1.73 percentage points [3]. - Precious metals saw a weekly increase of 4.86%, with aluminum up by 2.46%, and energy metals rising by 0.91% [9]. Price Changes - Industrial metals and precious metals experienced price fluctuations, with LME copper prices increasing by 3.82% and COMEX gold prices rising by 4.77% [2][14]. - Lithium prices also saw an increase, with battery-grade lithium carbonate up by 0.54% [2][18]. Supply and Demand Analysis - For copper, the report notes a decrease in domestic social inventory by 2.1 million tons, indicating a tightening supply [2][32]. - The aluminum sector is experiencing increased demand, with downstream processing enterprises' operating rates rising to 62.30% [2][52]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides valuations for key companies in the industry, with Zijin Mining at 28.58 CNY per share and a PE ratio of 36 [19]. - Other notable companies include Shandong Gold at 36.46 CNY per share with a PE of 72, and Huayou Cobalt at 61.83 CNY per share with a PE of 35 [19].

Wind Power Sector - Wind power equipment industry achieved operating revenue of 171 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.27% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.7 billion yuan, up 9.73% year-on-year [1][2] - Gross margin for the wind power equipment sector was 13.52%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2] - Net margin improved to 3.56%, up 0.5 percentage points from 2024 [1][2] - Return on equity (ROE) was 3.02%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from 2024 [1][2] - Significant profit growth observed in tower, pile, and bearing segments, with net profit increases of 394.75%, 207.99%, and 167.58% respectively, driven by demand growth, price increases, and product structure optimization [2][3] Wind Turbine and Submarine Cable Segments - Wind turbine segment reported a net profit of 819 million yuan in Q3 2025, a decline of 1.73% year-on-year [3] - Submarine cable segment net profit was 1.722 billion yuan, down 1.45% year-on-year [3] - Tower, pile, and bearing segments showed net profit growth, with tower and pile segment net profit at 421 million yuan, up 12.95% year-on-year [3] Power Grid Equipment Sector - Power grid equipment industry achieved operating revenue of 594.2 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.50% [3][4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 37 billion yuan, up 16.38% year-on-year [3][4] - Gross margin for the power grid equipment sector was 18.82%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to 2024 [3][4] - Net margin improved to 6.81%, up 1.8 percentage points from 2024 [3][4] - Return on equity (ROE) was 7.40%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from 2024 [3][4] Performance by Segment in Power Grid Equipment - Transformer and smart equipment segments showed high growth, with transformer segment net profit at 1.27 billion yuan, up 9.86% year-on-year [4] - Combination electrical equipment benefited from ultra-high voltage construction, achieving a net profit of 1.313 billion yuan, up 33.04% year-on-year [4] - Smart segment maintained a growth rate of 18.68% in Q3 2025 [4] - Companies in the overseas segment are optimizing capacity through global layouts, which is expected to benefit from the upward trend in global grid investments [4] Investment Outlook - The new energy sector is expected to continue its positive trend into 2026, with increased offshore wind power development and high-value overseas orders opening up export opportunities for China's wind power [5] - The power grid equipment sector is anticipated to maintain high prosperity due to rising domestic grid investments [5] - Recommended stocks in the wind power sector include Dongfang Cable, Dajin Heavy Industry, and Goldwind Technology, while in the power grid equipment sector, notable mentions include Zhong Neng Electric and Pinggao Electric [5]

Group 1: AIDC and North America Power Shortage Opportunities - The company maintains a positive outlook on AIDC and the opportunities arising from power shortages in North America, emphasizing the need for systematic upgrades across generation, transmission, and consumption sides of electricity [2] - On the generation side, the company sees commercial potential in SOFC as it scales up in the future [2] - The company recommends Magpower for its strong positioning in the market [2] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - In October, domestic new energy vehicle wholesale sales reached 1.62 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 18% and a month-on-month increase of 8%, while retail sales were 1.28 million units, showing a slight month-on-month decline of 1% [3] - Export sales for new energy vehicles exceeded 250,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of over 100% and a month-on-month increase of 19% [3] - The company anticipates continued demand for vehicle purchases in November, potentially leading to further sales growth [3] - Recommended companies include Yiwei Lithium Energy and Enjie [3] Group 3: Energy Storage - Global energy storage project capacity increased by approximately 9,201 MW/27,428 MWh, with a rise in awarded capacity [4] - The company is optimistic about the diversified development of new energy storage technologies and sees investment opportunities in the domestic industrial and commercial storage market [4] - The company recommends Haibo Sichuang, Shenghong Co., and Kehua Data [4] Group 4: Power Equipment - Five back-to-back interconnection projects have been approved, with a total investment of 24.4 billion yuan [5] - The company notes that prices for transformers and complete sets of equipment have stabilized and rebounded [5] - The company continues to view power grid investment as maintaining high prosperity, with accelerated construction of ultra-high voltage projects expected [5] - Recommended companies include Siyuan Electric, Pinggao Electric, and Guodian Nari [5]