Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that U.S. immigration policies and budget deficits are contributing to inflationary pressures [1] Group 2 - The CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, highlights the impact of immigration policies on the economy [1] - The discussion includes how budget deficits are influencing inflation rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Russian Ministry of Finance reported a budget deficit of 3.694 trillion rubles for the first half of the year [1] Group 1 - The budget deficit figure indicates significant fiscal challenges faced by the Russian government in the first six months of the year [1] - The reported deficit reflects a broader trend of economic strain, potentially impacting government spending and investment [1] - The figure of 3.694 trillion rubles translates to approximately 43.5 billion USD, based on current exchange rates [1]

智通财经7月7日电，俄罗斯财政部称，俄罗斯1月至6月预算赤字为3.694万亿卢布。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The French Ministry of Finance aims for a budget deficit of 5.4% of GDP by 2025, with the possibility of achieving this target this year, contingent upon an additional €5 billion in spending cuts [1] Group 1 - The target budget deficit for 2025 is set at 5.4% of GDP [1] - There is a potential to meet this year's budget deficit target, but it requires further expenditure reductions [1] - An additional €5 billion in spending cuts is necessary to achieve the budget goals [1]

美国财政部长贝森特表示，关于共和党标志性的减税法案对预算赤字的影响，存在许多不同的评估，他 自己的预期是该法案将在生效后的十年内令联邦借款减少。贝森特在参议院财政委员会听证会上回答提 问时表示，对税收法案有"各不相同的评估"，"我的看法是，在10年期间，它将会下降。" ...

美国财政部官员：美国五月预算赤字为3160亿美元（市场预期赤字为3180亿美元），较2024年五月的赤 字3470亿美元有所缩减。 ...

俄罗斯1月至5月预算赤字为3.4万亿卢布。 ...

以色列财政部：以色列5月份预算赤字占GDP的5%。 ...

Core Points - The article discusses the internal divisions within the Republican Party regarding the proposed "Big Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which is over 1,000 pages long and has passed the House with a narrow margin [1] - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the bill will increase the national debt by $2.4 trillion over the next decade, with total costs potentially reaching $5 trillion if certain tax cuts are made permanent [1][2] - The bill could push federal debt to $46.9 trillion by 2029, more than double the $20.2 trillion debt level when Trump took office in 2017 [1][2] Internal Divisions - Republican senators are divided on key issues such as debt, healthcare cuts, and state interests, with 53 senators expressing differing opinions [1][2] - Some fiscal hawks within the party believe the bill does not adequately address the budget deficit, with Senator Ron Johnson expressing his concerns directly to Trump [2] - Medicaid cuts have become a major point of contention, with proposed stricter eligibility requirements affecting over 70 million low-income and disabled individuals [2][3] State Interests - Local interests complicate negotiations, with concerns raised by senators from various states regarding the impact of proposed changes on state projects and tax structures [5] - The proposed increase in the state and local tax deduction cap has sparked intense debate among senators from high-tax states versus those from lower-tax states [5] Legislative Timeline - The approaching July 4 deadline adds urgency to the negotiations, with the Republican Party needing to find a balance among its internal divisions to advance the legislation [6] - The slim majority in the Senate (53-47) and the House (220-212) means that any small opposition could derail the bill [6]

【资讯导读】 ·特朗普税改与支出法案或使美国预算赤字增加逾2.4万亿美元 ·美联储褐皮书揭示美国经济活动放缓 ·加拿大央行维持利率不变暗示未来可能降息 ·美国私营部门就业增长显著放缓非制造业PMI跌至萎缩区间 ·欧洲央行正式批准保加利亚最早于2026年1月1日使用欧元的申请，使其成为欧元区第21个成员国。 ·加拿大央行连续第二次决定保持利率在2.75%不变，符合市场预期。然而，央行也指出，若经济疲软状 况持续、通胀水平保持温和，则不排除未来采取降息措施的可能性。 ·美国私营部门5月份的就业增长速度大幅减缓，仅新增3.7万个就业岗位，这是自2023年3月以来的最低 水平。劳动力市场的这种疲软迹象表明，经济复苏可能正在失去动力。 ·美国非制造业采购经理人指数PMI降至49.9，是自2024年6月以来首次跌破50点大关，标志着服务业活 动进入萎缩状态。随着需求突然下降以及价格压力上升，新一轮关税的影响正在全美经济范围内扩散。 【市场资讯】 ·美联储褐皮书显示，自上一份报告以来，美国经济活动在最近几周内略有下滑。这主要归因于关税措 施及高度不确定性对经济造成的连锁反应。报告显示，受访者普遍预期未来成本和价格将加速上 ...