据了解，本次调查覆盖宏观环境、市场判断、配置计划和收益预期四个方面，共有122家保险机构参与，包括36家保险资产管理机构和86家保险公司。 在宏观政策层面，多数保险机构预期下半年货币政策将适度宽松，重点关注适时降准降息，保持流动性充裕，以及与财政政策的协调配合，充实完善政策工 具箱；财政政策预期将更加积极，整体偏向扩张，希望能够扩大内需、提振消费，或增加发行超长期特别国债。 A股市场方面，多数保险机构对下半年A股市场持较乐观态度，预计上证综指大概率维持在3200点至3800点之间。下半年，保险机构更为看好沪深300相关股 票，看好医药生物、电子、银行、计算机、通信和国防军工等行业，关注人工智能、红利资产、新质生产力、高分红高股息和创新医药等投资领域，认为企 业盈利增速是影响下半年A股市场的主要因素。 对于下半年债券市场，多数保险机构持中性偏乐观态度。预计10年期国债收益率将在1.4%到1.6%区间，中高等级信用债收益率在1.5%到2.0%区间。下半年 看好超长期特别国债、银行永续债、可转债以及10年期以上信用债，认为经济基本面、货币政策宽松力度和市场流动性将是影响下半年债券市场的主要因 素。（闻辉） 【环球网 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 本报记者 杨笑寒 近日，中国保险资产管理业协会（以下简称"保险资管协会"）公布了2025年下半年保险资产管理业投资 者信心调查结果（以下简称"调查结果"）。 调查结果显示，保险机构（保险公司和保险资管机构）对下半年债券市场和A股市场的信心均有明显回 升。从投资领域来看，保险机构下半年主要关注人工智能、红利资产、新质生产力、高分红高股息和创 新医药等领域投资机会。 市场判断方面，上述调查结果显示，55.56%的保险资管机构和47.67%的保险公司对2025年下半年债券 市场持较乐观看法；52.78%的保险资管机构和55.81%的保险公司对下半年A股市场持较乐观看法。同 时，从走势预期来看，52.78%的保险资管机构和59.30%的保险公司预期下半年A股市场走势将震荡上 行。 与去年的调查结果相比，保险机构对今年下半年投资市场的信心有明显回升。对今年下半年债券市场持 较乐观看法的保险资管机构和保险公司比例分别增加13.89个百分点和2.1个百分点，对下半年A股市场 持较乐观看法的保险资管机构和保险公司比例分别增加30.56个百分点和31.7 ...

与去年的调查结果相比，保险机构对今年下半年投资市场的信心有明显回升。对今年下半年债券市场持 较乐观看法的保险资管机构和保险公司比例分别增加13.89个百分点和2.1个百分点，对下半年A股市场 持较乐观看法的保险资管机构和保险公司比例分别增加30.56个百分点和31.76个百分点。 国家金融监督管理总局的相关数据和上述调查结果形成呼应。数据显示，截至今年二季度末，人身险公 司股票投资余额为2.87万亿元，占其资金运用余额的8.81%，同比上升1.8个百分点；财产险公司股票投 资余额为1955亿元，占其资金运用余额的8.33%，同比上升1.84个百分点。 近日，中国保险资产管理业协会(以下简称"保险资管协会")公布了2025年下半年保险资产管理业投资者 信心调查结果(以下简称"调查结果")。 调查结果显示，保险机构(保险公司和保险资管机构)对下半年债券市场和A股市场的信心均有明显回 升。从投资领域来看，保险机构下半年主要关注人工智能、红利资产、新质生产力、高分红高股息和创 新医药等领域投资机会。 市场判断方面，上述调查结果显示，55.56%的保险资管机构和47.67%的保险公司对2025年下半年债券 市场持较乐观 ...

本报记者 杨笑寒 近日，中国保险资产管理业协会（以下简称"保险资管协会"）公布了2025年下半年保险资产管理业投资者信心调查结果 （以下简称"调查结果"）。 调查结果显示，保险机构（保险公司和保险资管机构）对下半年债券市场和A股市场的信心均有明显回升。从投资领域来 看，保险机构下半年主要关注人工智能、红利资产、新质生产力、高分红高股息和创新医药等领域投资机会。 市场判断方面，上述调查结果显示，55.56%的保险资管机构和47.67%的保险公司对2025年下半年债券市场持较乐观看法； 52.78%的保险资管机构和55.81%的保险公司对下半年A股市场持较乐观看法。同时，从走势预期来看，52.78%的保险资管机构 和59.30%的保险公司预期下半年A股市场走势将震荡上行。 与去年的调查结果相比，保险机构对今年下半年投资市场的信心有明显回升。对今年下半年债券市场持较乐观看法的保险 资管机构和保险公司比例分别增加13.89个百分点和2.1个百分点，对下半年A股市场持较乐观看法的保险资管机构和保险公司比 例分别增加30.56个百分点和31.76个百分点。 国家金融监督管理总局的相关数据和上述调查结果形成呼应。数据显示， ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance asset management industry in China is optimistic about the macroeconomic outlook for the second half of 2025, with a focus on key areas such as exports, consumption, fiscal policy, and real estate investment [2]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Expectations - Most insurance institutions expect stable economic growth in the second half of 2025, with an emphasis on monitoring exports, consumption, fiscal policy, and real estate investment [2]. - The monetary policy is anticipated to be moderately accommodative, with expectations for timely reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts to maintain ample liquidity [2]. - Fiscal policy is expected to be more proactive and expansionary, aiming to boost domestic demand and consumption, potentially through the issuance of ultra-long special bonds [2]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Preferences - In terms of asset allocation, insurance institutions prefer stocks as their primary investment asset, followed by bonds and securities investment funds [5]. - Most institutions expect their asset allocation ratios to remain consistent with early 2025, with some considering slight increases in stock and bond investments [5]. - The bond market outlook is moderately optimistic, with a focus on ultra-long special bonds, perpetual bonds, convertible bonds, and credit bonds with maturities over 10 years [5]. Group 3: A-Share Market Outlook - A majority of insurance institutions hold a positive outlook for the A-share market in the second half of 2025, with 52.78% of asset management institutions and 55.81% of insurance companies expressing optimism [5]. - Expectations for A-share market trends indicate a belief in a fluctuating upward trajectory, with 52.78% of asset management institutions and 59.30% of insurance companies anticipating this movement [5]. - Regarding A-share valuations, 69.44% of asset management institutions and 66.28% of insurance companies consider current valuations to be reasonable, while 25% and 25.58% respectively view them as low [6]. Group 4: Investment Focus Areas - Insurance institutions are particularly interested in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, electronics, banking, computing, telecommunications, and national defense [6]. - There is a focus on investment themes including artificial intelligence, dividend assets, new productivity, high dividend yields, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with corporate earnings growth seen as a key factor influencing the A-share market [6]. Group 5: Risk Considerations - The primary risks identified by insurance asset management institutions and insurance companies for the second half of 2025 include asset scarcity, yield pressure, interest rate declines, and asset-liability mismatches [10]. Group 6: Offshore Investment Preferences - Hong Kong stocks are favored for investment in the second half of 2025, with 40% of insurance institutions also showing interest in bond and gold investments [11].

宏观政策方面， 多数保险机构预期下半年货币政策将适度宽松，重点关注适时降准降息，保持流动性充裕，以及与财政政策的协调配合，充实完善政策工具箱；财 政政策预期将更加积极，整体偏向扩张，希望能够扩大内需、提振消费，或增加发行超长期特别国债。 上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 近日，中国保险资产管理业协会公布了2025年下半年保险资产管理业投资者信心调查结果。本次调查共有122家保险机构参与，包括36家保险资产管理机构和86 家保险公司。 多数保险机构预期下半年宏观经济保持平稳增长，需重点关注出口、消费、财政政策和房地产投资等领域。 资 产配 置 偏好方面， 下半年保险机构首选的投资资产是股票，其次是债券和证券投资基金。多数保险机构预期下半年各类资产配置比例与2025年初基本保持一 致，部分保险机构有可能适度或微幅增加股票和债券投资。 债券市场方面， 多数保险机构对下半年债券市场持中性偏乐观态度。下半年看好超长期特别国债、银行永续债、可转债以及10年期以上信用债，认为经济基本面、 货币政策宽松力度和市场流动性将是影响下半年债券市场的主要因素。 A股市场方面， ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance asset management industry in China is optimistic about the macroeconomic outlook for the second half of 2025, with a focus on key areas such as exports, consumption, fiscal policy, and real estate investment [2][5]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Expectations - Most insurance institutions expect stable economic growth in the second half of 2025, with an emphasis on monitoring exports, consumption, fiscal policy, and real estate investment [2]. - The monetary policy is anticipated to be moderately accommodative, with expectations for timely reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts to maintain liquidity [2]. - Fiscal policy is expected to be more proactive, leaning towards expansion to boost domestic demand and consumption, potentially through the issuance of long-term special government bonds [2]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Preferences - In terms of asset allocation, insurance institutions prefer stocks as their primary investment asset, followed by bonds and securities investment funds [5]. - Most institutions expect their asset allocation ratios to remain consistent with early 2025, with some considering slight increases in stock and bond investments [5]. - The bond market outlook is moderately optimistic, with a focus on long-term special government bonds, perpetual bonds, convertible bonds, and credit bonds with maturities over 10 years [5]. Group 3: A-Share Market Outlook - A majority of insurance institutions hold a positive outlook for the A-share market in the second half of 2025, with 52.78% of asset management institutions and 55.81% of insurance companies expressing optimism [5]. - Expectations for the A-share market include a trend of oscillating upward, with 52.78% of asset management institutions and 59.30% of insurance companies predicting this movement [5]. - Regarding A-share valuations, 69.44% of asset management institutions and 66.28% of insurance companies believe current valuations are reasonable, while 25% of asset management institutions and 25.58% of insurance companies view them as low [5]. Group 4: Sector Preferences - Insurance institutions favor stocks related to the CSI 300 and STAR Market 50, with a positive outlook on sectors such as pharmaceuticals, electronics, banking, computing, telecommunications, and national defense [6]. - Investment areas of interest include artificial intelligence, dividend assets, new productivity, high dividend yields, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with corporate earnings growth seen as a key factor influencing the A-share market [6]. Group 5: Investment Risks and Preferences - Key risks identified by insurance institutions for the second half of 2025 include asset scarcity, yield pressure, interest rate declines, and asset-liability mismatches [10]. - Offshore investment preferences indicate a favorable view towards Hong Kong stocks, with 40% of insurance institutions also optimistic about bond and gold investments [10].

Group 1 - The insurance asset management industry is increasingly focusing on high dividend stocks and technology growth sectors for investment opportunities in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets [1][3] - A survey by the China Insurance Asset Management Association indicates that most insurance institutions hold an optimistic view of the A-share market for the second half of 2025, with expectations of increased stock and bond investments [2][4] - The total stock investment balance of life insurance companies reached 2.87 trillion yuan, an increase of 605.2 billion yuan from the end of 2024, while property insurance companies' stock investment balance rose to 195.5 billion yuan, an increase of 35.4 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The insurance sector is adopting a "barbell" investment strategy, increasing allocations to both stocks and bonds, with life insurance companies holding 16.92 trillion yuan in bonds, accounting for 51.90% of their total investments [3][2] - The insurance industry is expected to continue increasing allocations to undervalued high dividend stocks as interest rates decline [3][4] - The focus for the second half of 2025 includes sectors such as pharmaceuticals, electronics, banking, computing, telecommunications, and defense, with a particular interest in artificial intelligence and high dividend assets [4]

Group 1 - The proportion and influence of insurance funds in the asset management industry are increasing, with total asset management net value in China expected to reach approximately 161.1 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, a year-on-year growth of 11.8%, while insurance funds are projected to be around 33.3 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.1%, significantly higher than the industry average [1] - As of May 31, there are 1,388 combination-type insurance asset management products that disclosed nearly one year of annualized returns, with 1,222 products achieving positive returns, the highest annualized return being 62.9398% and the lowest at -45.833%. Over 75% of fixed income, equity, and mixed products have shown positive returns, indicating the strong asset allocation capabilities and stable operational levels of insurance asset management institutions [1] Group 2 - In the fixed income product category, out of 960 products that disclosed data, 900 achieved positive returns, with an average annualized return of 2.76% and a median of 2.34%. In the equity product category, among 240 disclosed products, 180 achieved positive returns, with an average return of 7.42% and a median of 5.57%. The performance of equity products is closely related to market trends, with the A-share market showing active rotation in technology and consumer sectors this year, providing structural opportunities for insurance fund investments [2] - Mixed products demonstrated a balanced advantage, with 143 out of 188 products achieving positive returns, an average return of 5.21% and a median of 3.38% [2] Group 3 - According to a recent survey by the China Insurance Asset Management Association, 50% of insurance asset management institutions and 53.57% of insurance companies hold an optimistic view of the A-share market for 2025, an increase from the second half of last year. Additionally, 52.78% of institutions and 51.19% of companies believe the A-share market will show a fluctuating upward trend this year [3] - The survey indicates that insurance institutions are optimistic about sectors such as electronics, banking, computers, public utilities, home appliances, food and beverages, communications, and national defense, focusing on new technologies, dividend assets, and high-dividend investments. Ongoing favorable policies to facilitate the entry of insurance funds and other long-term capital into the market have strengthened insurance institutions' interest and confidence in stock allocation [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shaanxi Coal Industry [6] Core Views - The company's performance slightly exceeded market expectations, with 2024 revenue reaching 184.145 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 22.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.2% [6][7] - The company continues to maintain high dividends, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.136 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 6.74% based on the closing price on April 25 [6][7] - Adjustments to profit forecasts have been made due to a decline in coal prices, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 set at 19.056 billion, 19.525 billion, and 20.005 billion yuan respectively [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (million yuan): 2024: 184,145; 2025E: 175,288; 2026E: 178,833; 2027E: 186,893 [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (million yuan): 2024: 22,360; 2025E: 19,056; 2026E: 19,525; 2027E: 20,005 [2] - Earnings per share (yuan/share): 2024: 2.31; 2025E: 1.97; 2026E: 2.01; 2027E: 2.06 [2] - Gross margin (%): 2024: 32.7; 2025E: 29.9; 2026E: 30.0; 2027E: 29.4 [2] Market Data - Closing price on April 25: 20.00 yuan; 52-week high/low: 29.87/18.59 yuan [3] - Market capitalization (million yuan): 193,900 [3] - Dividend yield: 7.64% [3]