黄金避险需求
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张尧浠:金价如期触及支撑反弹 后市偏震荡调整待再攀升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 05:42
2月3日:上交易日周一(2月2日):国际黄金触底回升收线,虽仍进一步走低和收跌,但其形态上,以 及触及的支撑位置来看,跳水行情已然出尽,后市将迎接筑底震荡或反弹修复。上周五也给出了跳水走 低有望触及4500美元附近后再度反弹,目前来看,观点生效,关注反弹力度。如能重回5日均线上方持 稳,则有所再度刷新高点。 具体走势上,金价自亚市低开至约35美金至4825.84美元,短暂收复缺口录得日内高点4883.66美元后, 再度回落走低,于亚盘尾时段录得日内低点4402.27美元,之后反弹回升,延续到美盘时段,动力有所 受阻,并盘整于4620美元上方,最终持稳收于4658.96美元,日振幅481.39美元,相对于上周五收盘价 4860.31美元,收跌201.35美元,跌幅4.14%。 影响上,受上周五的暴跌压力,以及芝加哥商品交易所集团(CME)提高保证金要求,加剧了上周沃 什被提名为美联储下任主席后引发的急剧抛售。再加上周末特朗普又表现希望与古巴及伊朗等达成协 议,又与印度达成贸易协议,对等关税将从25%降至18%,而进一步减弱黄金避险需求,打压金价再度 跳水近500美金,但最终受到利空出尽,已经支撑买盘的推动而触底 ...
张尧浠:金价如期触及支撑反弹、后市偏震荡调整待再攀升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 00:16
Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has rebounded after hitting a support level, indicating a potential for stabilization and further upward movement in the future [1]. Price Movement - On February 2, gold opened at approximately $4825.84, reached a daily high of $4883.66, and then fell to a low of $4402.27 before closing at $4658.96, marking a daily fluctuation of $481.39 and a decline of $201.35 or 4.14% from the previous close of $4860.31 [3]. - The recent drop in gold prices was influenced by increased margin requirements from the CME and geopolitical developments, including trade agreements that reduced the demand for gold as a safe haven [3][5]. Market Outlook - The outlook for February 3 indicates that gold prices are expected to continue their recovery, supported by a weakening dollar index, although resistance remains at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and short-term moving averages [3][5]. - The fundamental factors that led to the recent drop in gold prices appear to have been exhausted, suggesting a potential for a rebound as geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns remain uncertain [5]. Technical Analysis - On a monthly basis, despite the recent drop, gold prices have found support at the previous upward trend line, indicating the potential for a new bull market [7]. - Weekly analysis shows that gold prices have corrected after a previous rise, but the recent rebound suggests a return to strength if prices can maintain above short-term moving averages [7][9]. - Daily charts indicate that gold has rebounded from a key support level, but further upward movement is contingent on breaking through resistance levels [9]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4640 and $4560, while resistance levels are at $4900 and $5000 [10]. - For silver, support is noted at $78.00 and $75.20, with resistance at $87.50 and $94.00 [10].
金价连续回调!2月2日国内品牌金店金价大幅下跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 08:12
| 今日金店黄金回收价格一览(2026年2月2日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回收报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | | 黄金 | 1001.00 | 元/克 | | 菜自黄金 | 1044.00 | 元/克 | | 周生生黄金 1032.60 | | 元/克 | | 周大福黄金 1034.00 | | 元/克 | | 老凤祥黄金 1163.95 | | 元/克 | 再简单说一下铂金饰品价格,就拿周大福来说,今日铂金饰品价格下跌92元/克,报824元/克。如需了解其他品牌铂金价格,欢迎留 言,我们将及时汇总更新。 说完国内金店金价,我们来讲讲国际金价情况: 在经历上周五、周六的大跌后,今日国内黄金市场仍保持下跌趋势,主流品牌价格已回落至1484-1489元/克的区间。此前长期处于市 场最低价位的菜百与上海中国黄金,今日报价1550元/克与1552元/克,反而成为当前报价最高的两家金店。目前市场整体价差已大幅 收窄。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价: | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2026年2月2日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金 ...
山海杨阳:黄金九九归一后,仍然是看涨的走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 02:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that despite the recent drop in gold prices, the overall trend remains bullish as long as the fundamental conditions and global environment do not change [1][2] - The article suggests that significant price movements in gold are expected, with potential for a strong rebound following the recent decline, driven by geopolitical tensions and market demand for safe-haven assets [2][3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has formed a double bottom pattern, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend, with support levels identified at 5300 and potential targets at 5500 and 5600 [2][3] Group 2 - The silver market is also highlighted, with a bullish outlook maintained despite recent adjustments, indicating that corrections present buying opportunities [3][4] - The article notes that silver has achieved its previous target of 30 and is now aiming for 35, reinforcing the strategy of holding existing positions and waiting for further upward movement [4] - Technical indicators suggest that silver's recent pullback to 27000 is a significant opportunity for entry, with expectations of continued profit potential in the coming weeks [4]
黄金股去年大赚,6家矿企合计入账600亿+
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 08:37
截至1月29日,已披露2025年业绩预告的6家金矿公司,净利润合计602亿元~625亿元。其中净利润增速 平均值至少达到84%。 随着金价的连续上涨,"家中有矿"的黄金股业绩继续大幅预增。 截至1月29日,已披露2025年业绩预告的6家金矿公司,净利润合计602亿元~625亿元。其中净利润增速 平均值至少达到84%。 今年以来,黄金价格继续"狂飙",29日先冲上5400美元/盎司,不到半小时再突破5500美元/盎司, COMEX黄金盘中一度突破5600美元,最高触及5626.8美元/盎司,伦敦金现逼近5600美元,再创历史新 高。 紫金矿业是黄金公司中,拥有黄金储量最多的公司。该公司预计2025全年净利润区间为510亿元~520亿 元,在6家公司中净利润额占比约八成。净利润同比增幅达59%~62%。 中金黄金紧随其后,预计报告期内净利润为48亿元~54亿元,同比增长41.76%~59.48%;赤峰黄金预 计全年净利润30亿元~32亿元,同比增幅达70%~81%。 净利润增速方面,招金黄金净利同比增长率最高达到242%。该公司称,业绩变动原因为主营业务扭 亏,预计为1.22亿元~1.82亿元,上年同期亏损1.2 ...
4800美元!现货黄金续创历史新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 01:41
1月21日亚洲交易时段,现货黄金首次突破4800美元/盎司整数关口。 本周,现货黄金价格已涨超200美元/盎司,涨近4%;年内涨幅超11%,涨超500美元/盎司。 东吴期货指出,近日贵金属震荡上行。一方面,美国宣称对欧洲国家加征关税,避险情绪再次升温利多贵金属;其次,鲍威尔遭到刑事起诉,本 质上看是美联储独立性再次遭到挑战,美元信用再遭打击;最后,波兰央行宣布增持黄金,另外丹麦养老基金决定抛售美债,都在一定程度上利 好黄金。后续重点关注美联储主席人选,美欧关税对峙,南美及格陵兰岛的地缘影响等。 据央视新闻客户端消息,总台记者当地时间1月20日获悉,丹麦目前正在制定计划,拟于2026年向格陵兰岛派遣多达1000名作战士兵。海军和空军 也可能参与其中。 另据央视新闻客户端消息,美国总统特朗普20日在白宫记者会上表示,他不会参加法国总统马克龙所提议近期在巴黎举行的七国集团首脑紧急会 议。 浙商期货表示,美国对欧洲加征关税引发贸易摩擦与地缘风险,提升黄金避险需求;美联储降息预期及市场流动性关注,叠加国内政策稳定宏观 环境,共同推高贵金属价格。 截至发稿时,现货黄金(伦敦金现)报4828.59美元/盎司,涨1.38%。 ...
黄金又遭抛售!金价亚盘下挫20美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 07:39
黄金技术前景分析 Bednarik指出,4小时图显示,金价在20周期简单移动平均线(SMA)附近波动,该均线的上涨势头有所减弱。与此同时,100 周期和200周期SMA仍保持看涨倾向,金价维持在均线上方。金价初步支撑位在4476.27美元/盎司附近的100周期SMA。此 外,动量指标在中线附近走低,而相对强弱指数(RSI)走弱至55附近,反映出买盘兴趣不足,而非支持金价进一步下跌。 周五(1月16日)亚市盘中,现货黄金维持日内回落走势,目前金价位于4595美元/盎司附近,日内下挫20美元。FXStreet首席分 析师Valeria Bednarik撰文,对黄金技术前景进行分析。 Bednarik表示,黄金价格在4600美元/盎司附近盘整,目前等待下一个走势催化剂。 周四,现货黄金收盘回落,美国上周初请失业金人数意外少于预期,提振美元进而打压以美元计价的黄金,而美国总统特朗 普对伊朗问题的缓和语气,也抑制黄金的避险需求。 美国总统特朗普表示,他被告知伊朗镇压抗议活动中的"杀戮"似乎正在缓解,他认为伊朗没有立即执行大规模处决的计划。 当被问及军事行动时,特朗普表示将"观察事态发展"。这个最新发展,意味着特朗普在威 ...
金荣中国:现货黄金守住短期涨幅,目前交投于4600美元关口附近
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 06:12
Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices are currently trading around $4600 per ounce, having faced a slight decline from a record high of $4615.73 per ounce, with a drop of approximately 0.2% [1] - The unexpected drop in initial jobless claims by 9000 to 198000, significantly lower than the expected 215000, has strengthened the US dollar, pushing the dollar index to a six-week high of 99.49 [3] - The strong employment data has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates, with futures indicating a delay in the next rate cut to June, down from a previous 50% chance in March to 21.6% [3] - Rising bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing by 1.6 basis points to 4.156%, have made holding gold less attractive due to higher opportunity costs [4] - Geopolitical factors, particularly President Trump's easing rhetoric regarding Iran, have reduced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, leading to decreased demand [4] Technical Analysis - Gold prices are showing signs of consolidation around high levels, with potential for a brief correction before continuing to strengthen, although traders should monitor the resistance at $4640 [7] - Short-term trading strategies suggest attempting short positions below $4620, with a stop loss at $4634 and targets around $4560 to $4530 [7]
金价多头减弱高位震荡、前景预期仍是蓄力待发
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 03:55
具体走势上,金价自亚市开于4629.55美元/盎司,日内走势颇为震荡,先行录得日内高点4632.20美元, 并震荡走低,并录得日内低点4581.25美元,之后又整体震荡回升,最终收于4615.70美元,日振幅50.95 美元,收跌13.85美元,跌幅0.3%。 影响上,日内先行受到周三尾盘的回撤压力,以及特朗普暂缓决定是否对伊朗发动军事打击,打压了黄 金的避险需求,令其震荡回撤,之后因支撑买盘而触底回升,但美盘数据,初请失业金人数意外下降, 这增强了美联储将在数月内按兵不动的预期,再度限制金价多头,使其仍收跌。 展望今日周五(1月16日):国际黄金开盘再度先行走弱,受到昨日欧美盘的阻力压制,以及数据的整体 利空,短期面临一定的震荡调整走低的预期。但前景仍然看涨不变,留意回撤再度入场做多的机会。 上交易日周四(1月15日):国际黄金触底回升T型收跌,维持着高位震荡格局,但也令短期金价面临震荡 调整走低预期,但看涨前景依然不变,如回撤走低,下方关注10日均线及中轨线支撑仍可逢低看涨,如 反弹走强打破近日震荡持稳收阳,则可顺势跟进继续看涨攀升。 ...
金晟富:1.16黄金高位反复谨防变盘!周线收官如何把握?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 02:17
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by strong U.S. employment data and easing geopolitical tensions, leading to a decline from historical highs [1][2]. Economic Data Impact - U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly decreased, pushing the dollar index to its highest level since December 2 [2]. - The New York Fed manufacturing index rose from -3.7 to 7.7, while the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey exceeded expectations, jumping to 12.6 [2]. - These economic indicators support the expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain interest rates in the first half of the year, contributing to a stronger dollar and negatively impacting gold prices [2]. Market Sentiment and Federal Reserve Outlook - Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the market anticipates the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the upcoming January meeting, with expectations for at least two rate cuts later in the year [2]. - Trump's comments regarding the Fed Chair Powell and the easing of tensions with Iran have contributed to a more complex market sentiment, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2]. Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold has been experiencing high-level fluctuations, with a tendency to adjust after reaching new highs, indicating a cautious market sentiment [3]. - The formation of a potential double top pattern suggests a bearish outlook, with critical support at the 4570 level [5]. - Technical indicators such as MACD and KDJ are signaling a strengthening bearish trend, while the price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, indicating potential for further downside [5]. Trading Strategies - Suggested short positions for gold include selling on rebounds around 4620-4625 with a target of 4600-4580, while long positions could be considered on dips around 4570-4575 with a target of 4590-4600 [6].