Report Summary Core Viewpoints - The report provides a weekly preview of key events and their potential impacts on the futures market, including economic data releases, policy meetings, and international events [2]. - The outcomes of these events, such as economic data deviations from expectations, can influence different types of futures prices, including commodity, treasury bond, and stock index futures [4][7]. Key Events and Their Impacts June 9 - **China-US Economic and Trade Consultation**: Deputy Premier He Lifeng will visit the UK from June 8 - 13 and hold the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism. The results may affect relevant futures prices [3]. - **China's May CPI and PPI**: Expected CPI to decline by 0.2% year-on-year (previous: +0.1%), and PPI to decline by 3.2% year-on-year (previous: -2.7%). A lower CPI and larger PPI decline may suppress commodity and stock index futures but benefit treasury bond futures [4]. - **China's May Import and Export Data**: Expected export growth of 5% year-on-year (previous: 8.1%) and import decline of 0.9% year-on-year (previous: -0.2%). Lower growth rates may suppress commodity and stock index futures but benefit treasury bond futures [7]. June 10 - **Press Conference on Livelihood Policies**: The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on policies to improve people's livelihood. The content may impact the futures market [8]. June 11 - **EIA Monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook Report**: The US Energy Information Administration will release the report, which may affect crude oil and related commodity futures prices [9]. - **US May CPI**: Expected unadjusted CPI to rise 2.5% year-on-year (previous: 2.3%) and 0.3% month-on-month (previous: 0.2%); core CPI to rise 2.9% year-on-year (previous: 2.8%) and 0.2% month-on-month (previous: 0.2%). Higher values may delay the Fed's first rate cut and slightly boost commodity futures prices [10]. June 12 - **China's May Financial Data**: Expected social financing scale increment of 2280 billion yuan (previous: 1159.1 billion yuan), new RMB loans of 830 billion yuan (previous: 280 billion yuan), and M2 balance growth of 8.1% year-on-year (previous: 8.0%). Higher values may benefit stock index, commodity, and treasury bond futures [11]. - **Agricultural Products Supply and Demand Report**: The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will release a report on agricultural products, which may affect relevant agricultural futures prices [12]. - **IEA Monthly Crude Oil Market Report**: The International Energy Agency will release the report, which may affect crude oil and related commodity futures prices [13]. - **US May PPI**: Expected PPI annual rate of 2.7% (previous: 2.4%), monthly rate of 0.2% (previous: -0.5%); core PPI annual rate of 3.3% (previous: 3.1%). Higher values may slightly boost industrial product futures prices [14]. - **US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims**: Expected 250,000 (previous: 247,000). A higher number may slightly boost gold and silver futures prices and suppress other industrial product futures prices [15]. - **US Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventory Change**: If inventory continues to increase, it may suppress crude oil and related commodity futures prices [16]. June 13 - **Fed's Quarterly Financial Account Report**: The Fed will release the report, which may affect relevant futures prices [17]. - **USDA Monthly Supply and Demand Report**: The US Department of Agriculture will release the report, which may affect relevant agricultural futures prices [18]. June 14 - **China's June Early Circulation Production Material Prices**: The National Bureau of Statistics will release prices of 50 products in 9 categories [19]. - **US June Michigan Consumer Confidence Index**: Expected initial value of 53 (previous: 52.2). A higher value may suppress gold and silver futures prices and benefit other commodity futures prices [20]. June 15 - 17 - **G7 Summit**: The G7 Summit will be held in Canada, with President Trump attending. The meeting's content may impact the futures market [22].

Group 1 - The core issue of Trump's tax reform is the potential for uncontrolled fiscal deficits, with the tax bill expected to reduce revenue by $3.7 trillion over the next decade and increase the federal deficit by $3 trillion [4][5] - The Senate is facing challenges in passing the tax reform bill, with some conservative Republican senators expressing opposition, which may lead to a difficult negotiation process [4][5] - The tax reform is part of Trump's broader agenda, which includes tax cuts, increased tariffs, and deregulation, with tax reform being the top priority [4][5] Group 2 - The U.S. job market is showing signs of moderation, with May non-farm payrolls adding 139,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in the previous month, indicating a slowing growth trend [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates remains cautious, with internal disagreements on whether current inflation is transitory or structural, suggesting that rate cuts may not be imminent [2][3] - The ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China are critical, with the Trump administration needing to make progress before tariff exemptions expire [6]

行业 集运指数日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 9 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | 表1：集运欧线期货6月6日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2506 | 1,974.7 | 1,980.1 | 1,936.8 | 1,954.6 | -37.9 | -1.9 ...

【环球时报驻美国特约记者 萧达 环球时报记者 陈子帅 王逸】中国外交部发言人7日宣布，应英国政府 邀请，中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰将于6月8日至13日访问英国。其间，将与美方举行中 美经贸磋商机制首次会议。美国总统特朗普当地时间6日也在社交媒体上发文称，美国财政部长贝森 特、商务部长卢特尼克和贸易代表格里尔将于9日与中方代表在伦敦举行会谈。这是美中关税战爆发以 来，双方举行的第二场经贸磋商。中美5月12日在日内瓦会谈达成共识后，中方严肃认真执行了协议， 美方却针对中国芯片产品等实施进一步限制的消极措施。多名中国专家8日接受《环球时报》记者采访 时表示，此次磋商是中美两国元首日前通话直接推动的，表明双方均希望通过持续对话和深入磋商，找 到化解彼此关系中障碍的有效途径。对于美方大肆炒作中方稀土出口管制，却绝口不提美方对华极端打 压措施，这些专家强调，中美经贸谈判必须秉持平等态度，尊重各自关切，只有这样，才能争取双赢结 果。 " 全球市场高度关注 " 据新加坡《联合早报》8日报道，中美领导人6月5日通话不到两天，美国总统特朗普当地时间6日在社交 平台上率先宣布，美方经贸官员将于星期一（6月9日）在伦敦与 ...

Core Viewpoint - The discovery of high-purity quartz ore in China marks a significant breakthrough, potentially altering the landscape of key material supply and reducing dependency on foreign sources, particularly the United States [1][12]. Group 1: Importance of High-Purity Quartz - High-purity quartz is essential for high-tech applications, including semiconductor chips and solar panels, due to its high temperature resistance, corrosion resistance, and excellent insulation properties [3][10]. - Prior to this discovery, China relied heavily on imports of high-purity quartz sand, spending approximately 13.16 billion on imports last year, which created a significant financial burden and dependency on foreign suppliers [6][18]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The discovery allows China to produce high-purity quartz with a purity of over 99.995%, comparable to the best global sources, thus enhancing domestic production capabilities and reducing reliance on imports [8][10]. - This new resource is expected to improve the yield rates for chip manufacturers by at least 8% and reduce costs in the solar industry by 15%, providing a strategic advantage in technology development [10][20]. Group 3: Impact on US-China Relations - The timing of this discovery is crucial amid escalating trade tensions and technology restrictions from the US, as it undermines the US's leverage over China in critical technology sectors [12][15]. - By securing its own supply of high-purity quartz, China effectively counters US tariffs and resource control strategies, shifting the balance of power in its favor [16][18]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The discovery is seen as a pivotal moment for China's technological independence, enabling the country to enhance its manufacturing capabilities and innovation potential [20][21]. - This development not only alleviates immediate resource constraints but also positions China favorably in the ongoing global technology competition [20].

当地时间5日，英国《金融时报》发表文章称，美国政府发动关税战、贸易战，加之美国债务水平持续 飙升，导致全球大型机构投资者对美国资产的信心正在动摇，开始将资金撤出美国市场，转移至其他地 区。文章称，近期美国政府反复无常的贸易政策扰动全球市场，导致美元贬值，美国资本市场今年以来 的表现也远不及预期。此外，特朗普政府力推的"大而美"法案预计将使美国减少3.7万亿美元税收，在 未来10年增加2.4万亿美元赤字。这些因素促使机构投资者纷纷重新评估其在美国市场的持仓规模。(央 视新闻) ...

Market Overview - The market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up by 1.26 points, a 0.04% increase, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 19.8 points, a 0.19% decrease [1] - The trading volume in both markets decreased by approximately 140 billion compared to the previous day, with around 2,600 stocks experiencing gains and losses [1] Industry Performance - The coal sector experienced a rebound, with the coal ETF (515220) rising by 0.41% after reaching a peak increase of 1.12% [3] - Recent trends indicate stabilization in the prices of thermal coal and coking coal, supported by the approaching summer electricity peak [5][6] - The coal industry is expected to see marginal performance recovery due to improved market expectations and demand-side support from the easing of tariff risks following the recent US-China talks [6][7] Policy and Economic Outlook - The recent US-China summit call has injected new momentum into trade discussions, alleviating short-term concerns over tariff escalations [2] - The Chinese government aims for a GDP growth of around 5% this year, with an increase in local government special bonds to 4.4 trillion yuan, which is expected to boost infrastructure investment and industrial recovery [6] Investment Opportunities - The coal sector's dividend yield is currently at a historical high, making it attractive for long-term investors [7] - The innovation drug sector, particularly the AI-driven pharmaceutical development, shows potential for growth, with the innovation drug ETF (517110) outperforming the industry index by over 17% this year [9][13] - The approval of multiple innovative drugs is expected to enhance industry sentiment and support company performance, making related ETFs worth considering for investment [13]

光大期货金融期货日报 光大期货金融期货日报（2025 年 06 月 06 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 昨日，A 股市场多数指数收涨，Wind 全 A 上涨 0.42%，成交额 1.32 万亿元。 | | | | 中证 1000 指数上涨 0.72%，中证 500 指数上涨 0.54%，沪深 300 指数上涨 | | | | 0.23%，上证 50 指数上涨 0.05%。TMT 板块复苏，消费板块回落。4 月经济 | | | | 数据整体较 3 月有一定程度下滑，但仍在关税战背景下保持韧性。其中社零 | | | | 同比 5.1%，继续受到"以旧换新"政策的明显支撑。4 月社会信贷需求偏弱， | | | | 4 月累计新增人民币贷款 10.06 万亿元，同比多增 2.86%；4 月 M2 同比 8%。 | | | | 此前中美发布联合声明，为后续进一步贸易协商奠定良好开局，超过市场预 | | | | 期。近期三部门召开联合新闻发布会，央行宣布降准降息政策，降低企业负 | | | 股指 | 债端成本。金融监管总局强调将大力推动中长期资金入市 ...

依托着政治价值观感召力、科技创新牵引力、流行文化吸引力以及外交政策正当性等集合要素，美 国在"二战"后沉淀与铸造出了属于自我的软实力，进而赢得了创建国际新秩序的绝对话语权席位。然 而，近十年来，霸权主义、单边主义、贸易保护主义和文化保守主义的泛滥，严重冲击了美国软实力， 使其国际形象受损，价值观念和政策倡议的认同度与信任度降低，这种趋势在特朗普新任期内愈发明 显。 美国际话语权正在下行 从联合国建立到关贸总协定及世贸组织创建，再到国际货币基金组织和世界银行成立，及世界卫生 组织等公益机构问世，以及北约生成，美国在全球治理框架中都充当过发起人或者领头羊的核心角色， 及至后来很长时期，无论是在许多重要的国际公共场合，还是对他国的间接影响上，美国都展示出了强 大能量。 布雷顿森林体系的重要内容是美元与黄金挂钩，市场之所以愿意使用美元，是因为有黄金信用的支 持。布雷顿森林体系解散后，美元虽与黄金脱钩，但很快与石油资源绑定。基于石油的稀缺性，美元信 用并没有受到损害。而且二战后，没有一种非美货币比美元的表现更稳定、更坚挺。毕竟，战后美国经 济增长强劲，公共财政持续健康良好，债务扩张维持在一个合理的水平。因此，美元后来继 ...

中美深夜通话，特朗普在时隔8年之后，终于等到了访华邀请。 在事先未预告的情况下，北京时间5日晚上近9点，应特朗普的请求，中美两国领导人进行了一次长达一个半小时的电话会谈。 这通电话不仅是对日内瓦经贸会谈成果的一次确认，更是为即将展开的新一轮高层互动定调。 新华社发布的新闻通稿显示，中方领导人明确表示，欢迎特朗普再次访华。而特朗普也对此表达了感谢，并重申美中关系的重要性。 值得注意的是，此次通话是在日内瓦经贸磋商取得初步成果之后展开的。 根据美方提议，两国经贸牵头人在日内瓦举行会谈，迈出了通过对话协商解决经贸问题的重要一步，受到两国各界和国际社会普遍欢迎。 【日内瓦之后，一场务实且克制的对话】 从双方披露的信息来看，此次通话内容务实、基调稳定，体现出双方在复杂局势下寻求合作与缓和的共同意愿。 中方领导人指出，"校正中美关系这艘大船的航向，需要我们把好舵、定好向。尤其是排除各种干扰甚至破坏，这尤为重要。" 这个比喻既形象，又深具战略意味。它意味着中美关系并非不可逆转地滑向对抗，而是仍有机会通过理性对话和政策协调实现再平衡。 【特朗普面临多重压力，中美对话或成突破口】 就在通话前两天，美国供应管理协会（ISM）公布 ...