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当A股波动率消失时,最应该做的事
雪球· 2025-05-01 01:32
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reassessing investment portfolios during periods of low market volatility and rapid rotation, suggesting that investors should avoid unnecessary trading and focus on strategic adjustments instead [4][48]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Recent trading volumes in the A-share market have been stagnant, hovering around the trillion mark [4]. - Implied volatility is continuously decreasing, contributing to a sense of boredom in the market [5][6]. - The market is characterized by rapid rotation, where buying often leads to declines and selling leads to gains, creating a challenging environment for investors [8][9]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to rethink their investment portfolios, as many hold onto losing stocks due to a reluctance to acknowledge mistakes [18][19]. - The concept of "sunk cost" is highlighted, where investors often wait to break even before selling, which can lead to further losses [31][32]. - A suggestion is made to treat investments as cash and reassess how to allocate it, rather than being anchored to the original purchase price [44][46]. Group 3: Timing and Market Behavior - The article notes that during periods of low volatility, it is advisable to refrain from making hasty trades and instead prepare for potential future market fluctuations [50][51]. - It is emphasized that both market rises and falls can present opportunities, with rises allowing for profit realization and falls providing chances to buy at lower prices [60][62]. - The importance of focusing on long-term asset growth rather than short-term fluctuations is stressed, as short-term movements are often random [66][68]. Group 4: Strategic Planning - The article advocates for a strategic approach to investment, suggesting that a well-thought-out strategy can lead to better long-term returns without the need for frequent trading [56][58]. - Investors are encouraged to diversify their portfolios to mitigate risks and enhance potential returns [70].
分析师:关税不确定性令美元难以大幅回升
news flash· 2025-04-29 07:01
分析师:关税不确定性令美元难以大幅回升 金十数据4月29日讯,美元虽现涨势,但在美国关税政策前景不明朗背景下仍难实现实质性复苏。对美 国可能与其他国家达成贸易协议的乐观情绪略微帮助了美元。月末资金流动引发的投资组合调整也可能 产生利好。但Pepperstone策略师Michael Brown在报告中说,美元仍然 "缺乏吸引力",美国例外论叙事 已经失效。他表示,美元是受持续贸易不确定性影响最大的资产。 ...
Logan Ridge Finance (LRFC) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-14 17:56
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, Logan Ridge achieved the highest total investment income and net investment income in its history, amounting to $20.9 million and $4.2 million respectively, with a net investment income per share of $1.56 [6] - For Q4 2024, the company generated $5.4 million in investment income, a $0.3 million increase from Q3 2024 [18] - Net investment income for Q4 was $1.5 million or $0.56 per share, an increase of $0.5 million or $0.19 per share from the previous quarter [20] - The net asset value as of December 31, 2024, was $85.1 million, a decrease of $1.2 million or 1.4% from the prior quarter [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The fair value of Logan's portfolio as of December 31, 2024, was approximately $172.3 million, with exposure to 59 portfolio companies, compared to $75.6 million with the same number of companies in the prior quarter [13] - The debt investment portfolio represented 83.3% of the total portfolio at fair value, with a weighted average annualized yield of approximately 10.7% [15] - The equity portfolio represented 13.4% and 13.8% of the portfolio on a cost and fair value basis respectively as of December 31, 2024 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended 2024 with no new non-accruals during Q4, maintaining stability in its investment portfolio [8] - As of December 31, 2024, four debt investments across three portfolio companies were on non-accrual status, with an aggregate amortized cost of $17.2 million and fair value of $7.9 million [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The successful sale of the largest equity position, Nth Degree, for $17.5 million was a significant catalyst for the merger with Portman Ridge, which is expected to provide greater scale and improved operating efficiencies [7][9] - The company aims to continue reducing equity exposure and reinvesting proceeds into yield-generating investments [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's position to deliver meaningful returns to stakeholders, supported by a healthy deployment pipeline and disciplined investment strategy [11] - The board approved a dividend of $0.36 per share for Q4 2024, remaining flat compared to the prior quarter, reflecting strong financial performance [11] Other Important Information - The company successfully amended and extended its revolving credit facility with KeyBanc, reducing financing costs and increasing financial flexibility [8] - As of December 31, 2024, the company had $15 million in cash and cash equivalents, along with $26.2 million of unused borrowing capacity available for new investments [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Will the Logan portfolio be subsumed into Portman Ridge or will there be further reductions in equity exposure? - Management indicated that the merger will be a straightforward blending of portfolios, with a continued focus on reducing equity exposure [26][28] Question: Will there be significant overlaps in board members post-merger? - All Logan board members will overlap with Portman, with additional members from Portman joining the board [32] Question: Is there consideration for board member compensation to be purely in stock? - Management noted that there has been no discussion on this, and there may be regulatory restrictions preventing stock compensation for executives and board members [35][36]