政策组合拳

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券商声音 政策组合拳筑牢“中国资产”护城河
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-07 19:14
5月7日,金融部门出台了一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期。券商认为,此次政策组合拳力度超预期、 精准务实,不仅在关键时间节点有效稳定市场预期,更为"中国资产"构建起坚实的政策护城河,为实体 经济高质量发展与资本市场稳健运行注入强劲动能。 稳市场意图鲜明 券商认为,此次一揽子政策出台恰逢关键时间窗口,政策组合拳的重要目标在于稳市场、稳预期。 "此次一揽子金融政策紧随中央政治局会议部署之后,揭开了新一批增量政策的序幕。"国盛证券首席经 济学家熊园表示,政策组合拳在力度上、方式上"诚意满满",既有着眼当下的"真金白银"支持,也有布 局长远的制度安排,释放了政策稳增长的决心,有助于稳信心、稳市场、稳地产、稳消费。 姚佩认为,对股市来说,短期风险偏好的稳定比基本面修复更重要,此刻不必悲观,量比价更重要。过 去10个交易日,A股日均成交额为1.1万亿元,未来一到两周市场若持续放量,将构建更扎实的底部,带 来风险偏好的加强和向上反弹的信心。 一系列金融政策的组合拳,不仅推出快,而且力度超预期;不仅有利于稳市场稳预期,也有利于稳增长 促民生,释放强大政策合力。 粤开证券首席经济学家、研究院院长罗志恒表示,三大金融监管部门宣布的 ...
金融政策打出组合拳 释放稳市场稳预期强烈信号
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-05-07 17:57
证券时报记者程丹 中国人民银行、国家金融监管总局和中国证监会每次联合发声,市场都要竖起耳朵仔细听。5月7日,三 个部门的"一把手"同时亮相国新办新闻发布会,宣布了"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"的改革举 措,从货币政策持续加码、金融制度精准指向重点领域、推动中长期资金入市等方面稳定市场,释放出 稳市场稳预期的强烈信号。 降低政策性利率方面,潘功胜介绍了三方面内容,一是下调公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率0.1个百分 点,将从1.5%下调至1.4%,预计带动LPR随之下行0.1个百分点;二是下调结构性货币政策工具利率0.25 个百分点;三是降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,其中5年期以上的首套房利率由2.85%降低 为2.6%。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉表示,金融监管部门加大货币政策调控的强度,提高金融政策调控 的精准性,打出有力有效的政策"组合拳",维护市场回稳向好态势,通过改革激发市场活力,以高质量 发展的确定性应对外部环境急剧变化的不确定性,进一步支持经济稳定增长。 实施好适度宽松货币政策 中国人民银行行长潘功胜在发布会上明确,进一步实施好适度宽松的货币政策,推出一揽子货币政策措 施。数量 ...
总量“放水养鱼” 结构“精准滴灌” 金融政策“组合拳”稳市场提信心
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-05-07 12:08
上海金融与发展实验室主任 曾刚:房地产和股票是居民主要的财富配置方向,也是社会预期和市场信心的晴雨表,稳股市、稳 楼市有助于稳住居民财产,提振消费投资意愿,巩固金融市场健康运行的基础,从而实现稳增长、稳预期、稳信心的目标。 金融政策总量"放水养鱼"结构"精准滴灌" 央视网消息:央行、金管局、证监会三大金融监管部门推出的一揽子金融政策"组合拳",在总量上"放水养鱼",在结构上"精准 滴灌",这些金融政策力度大精度准,彰显稳市场稳预期的决心,将大大提振中国经济和资本市场的信心。 一揽子金融政策措施包括降准、降息、下调个人住房公积金贷款利率,降准有利于提高商业银行支持实体经济的能力,商业银 行有更强的放贷能力支持居民购房、消费和企业投资。公积金利率下调降低居民房贷利息压力,既能提振居民购房积极性,又能通 过降低房贷负担提高消费能力。 北京师范大学教授 经济学专家 万喆:首先就是稳定市场信心和预期,通过降准降息、股市支持工具、楼市托底等等,政策的组 合拳直接缓解市场流动性紧张,提振投资者的风险偏好,为市场注入强心剂。 稳股市稳楼市 提振消费投资意愿 房地产和资本市场直接关系到中国的经济增长、就业和居民财富。为稳定股市 ...
出台一揽子金融政策,释放更为积极的信号 | 新京报快评
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has announced a comprehensive set of financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, which will positively impact economic growth and improve people's livelihoods [2][3]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has introduced 10 measures, including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [3][4]. - The PBOC will also lower the personal housing provident fund loan interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to reduce housing costs for residents and stimulate housing consumption [3][4]. Group 2: Support for Innovation and Consumption - The PBOC has increased the quota for re-loans for technological innovation and transformation from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan, supporting the implementation of "two new" policies [4]. - A new 500 billion yuan "service consumption and elderly care re-loan" will be established to encourage banks to increase credit support for service consumption and elderly care [4]. Group 3: Support for Enterprises and Foreign Trade - The National Financial Supervision Administration plans to introduce a package of policies to support financing for small and private enterprises, aiding in stabilizing businesses and the economy [4]. - Policies will be developed to support foreign trade development, particularly for entities affected by tariff impacts, providing targeted assistance to stabilize operations and expand markets [4]. Group 4: Coordination of Policies - There is a need to enhance the precision of monetary policy and ensure that financial services effectively support the real economy, addressing practical issues and difficulties encountered in economic development [5]. - Strengthening the consistency between monetary and fiscal policies is essential to maximize the effectiveness of financial policy in stabilizing the market and expectations [5].
经济日报金观平:精准协同发力稳就业稳经济
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-05 22:04
近日,稳就业稳经济政策工具箱再次"上新",一套支持就业、稳定外贸发展、促进消费、积极扩大有效 投资、营造稳定发展良好环境的"组合拳",与去年9月一揽子增量政策、中央经济工作会议和全国两会 部署任务形成接续,将进一步放大政策组合效应、叠加效应、乘数效应,有力促进我国经济持续回升向 好。 就业是最大的民生工程、民心工程、根基工程,是社会稳定的重要保障。今年一季度,我国就业形势保 持总体平稳,全国城镇新增就业308万人,同比多增加5万人,快于时序进度。先进制造业、数字经济、 银发经济等领域,正在创造较多就业机会。 然而,一些挑战也不能忽视。2025届高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人,6月份即将迎来就业高峰,还有 大量农村转移劳动力需要就业,就业总量存在压力是一个客观事实。外贸承压,对我国出口企业及相关 就业岗位带来冲击;传统产业数字化转型和智能化升级,导致部分低技能岗位减少;新兴产业虽然人才 需求强劲,但培养规模有限,难以满足需求。这种结构性矛盾表现为部分毕业生难以找到心仪工作,而 许多企业又面临"招工难"困境。 我国是人口大国,正处在转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增长动力的攻关期,稳就业稳经济的压力 始终存在。 ...
打好政策组合拳 跑出经济加速度
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-04-30 23:31
实干开好局,快马越新程。4月30日,省政府新闻办举行新闻发布会,介绍我省奋战二季度确保"双过 半"系列政策措施的有关情况,并回答媒体关注的问题。 一季度,开门红。生产供给加快增长、项目建设加快推进、消费潜力加快释放、新兴动能加快成长、发 展质效稳步向好……今年以来,全省经济运行呈现出"四快一好"的特点,主要经济指标增速高于全国、 高于去年同期,成绩来之不易。 二季度,奋力冲。乘势而上,久久为功,我省在一季度的基础上强化"接二连三",全省经济持续增强回 升向好态势。数据显示,4月1日至25日,全省全社会用电量同比增长8.1%,工业企业开票销售收入同 比增长4.8%,高速公路、国省干线货车流量同比分别增长6.3%、27.9%,邮政揽收量、投递量同比分别 增长36%、27%。 记者从发布会上了解到,按照省委、省政府部署,我省有关部门着眼于早、立足于快,谋划制定 了"1+7"系列政策措施,打好政策组合拳,着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,以高质量发展的确 定性应对外部环境急剧变化的不确定性。其中,"1"即奋战二季度确保"双过半"24条综合性政策措 施;"7"即提振消费专项行动实施方案、"乐购河南·品质生活"二季度促 ...
人民日报社论:坚定信心 奋发有为 创新创造 ——写在“五一”国际劳动节
Xin Hua She· 2025-04-30 13:54
劳动谱写时代华章,奋斗创造美好未来。在"五一"这个礼赞劳动、致敬劳动者的节日里,我们向 全国工人阶级和广大劳动群众致以节日的问候,向各条战线上的劳动模范和先进工作者表示崇高 的敬意! 今年以来,以习近平同志为核心的党中央团结带领全党全国各族人民,沉着应对国内外形势变化 带来的挑战,打好宏观政策"组合拳",国民经济起步平稳、开局良好,一季度国内生产总值同比 增长5.4%,我国经济大船乘风破浪向前。量子计算、人工智能等创新成果全球瞩目,背后是广大 科技工作者潜心攻关;新能源汽车、低空经济等引领转型升级,凝结着无数产业工人智慧汗水; 粮食生产季季紧抓、茬茬接续,靠的是种粮农民辛勤劳作……在党中央坚强领导下,我国工人阶 级和广大劳动群众挺膺担当、顽强拼搏,奏响劳动光荣、创造伟大的时代强音,汇聚成新时代中 国昂扬奋进的洪流。 习近平总书记强调:"无论外部环境如何变化,中国都将坚定信心、保持定力,集中精力办好自己 的事。"当前,完成"十四五"规划目标任务,时间紧、任务重、要求高。面对国际形势变乱交织、 国内经济运行承压的复杂严峻环境,尤需坚持稳中求进工作总基调,以高质量发展的确定性应对 外部环境急剧变化的不确定性。人民是 ...
一季度制造业利润增长7.6%,释放什么信号
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-04-28 14:32
庞溟表示,从结构上看,工业企业利润增长的主要支点和亮点在于装备制造业、高技术制造业牵 头,"两新"政策加码,拉动科技创新与产业创新深度融合、经济质量与效益协同并进,企业盈利修复实 现扩面、提质、加速,推动企业信心和景气度持续抬升。 广开首席产业研究院资深研究员马泓对《金融时报》记者表示,政策"组合拳"继续推动制造业企业利润 保持良好增长势头。一季度,制造业利润增速同比增长7.6%,增速较2024年底上升11.5个百分点,高出 整体工业企业利润增速6.8个百分点,为工业利润重拾增长提供重要支撑。 利润改善的同时,工业企业营收增长持续加快。数据显示,一季度,全国规模以上工业企业营业收入同 比增长3.4%,增速较1至2月份加快0.6个百分点。3月份,规模以上工业企业营收增长4.2%,较1至2月份 加快1.4个百分点。"工业企业营收累计增速自上年12月份以来持续加快,为企业盈利恢复创造有利条 件。"国家统计局工业司统计师于卫宁分析称。 "在宏观政策取向一致性增强、宏观调控效能提升的背景下,3月份全国规模以上工业企业营收和利润同 比增速均明显加快,企业经营状况的企稳和盈利能力的改善,共同拉动一季度规模以上工业企业累计利 ...
工业利润增速转正,“四稳”增量政策有望加快推出
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 12:16
Group 1 - The political bureau meeting emphasized the "Four Stabilities" to stabilize the economy, indicating a strong signal for new employment stabilization and enterprise relief policies to be accelerated [1][2][8] - In the first quarter, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a year-on-year decline of 3.3% to a growth of 0.8%, marking a recovery from the continuous decline since the third quarter of the previous year [1][3] - The revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.4% year-on-year in the first quarter, with a faster growth rate compared to the previous months [3][4] Group 2 - The profit situation among different ownership enterprises showed reduced disparity, with state-controlled enterprises' profits totaling 559.95 billion yuan, a decline of 1.4%, while foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises saw a profit increase of 2.8% to 388.35 billion yuan [4][5] - Manufacturing profits improved significantly, with a growth rate of 7.6% in the first quarter, an acceleration of 2.8 percentage points compared to the previous months [4][5] - The equipment manufacturing industry became a key support for profit growth, with profits increasing by 6.4% year-on-year, contributing 2.0 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [5][6] Group 3 - High-tech manufacturing profits turned from a decline of 5.8% to a growth of 3.5% in the first quarter, indicating a strong recovery in this sector [5][6] - The aerospace industry saw a profit increase of 23.9%, while sectors related to artificial intelligence and medical devices also experienced significant profit growth [6][7] - Policies promoting equipment updates and consumption upgrades positively impacted profits in various sectors, with wearable smart devices and kitchen appliances seeing profit increases of 78.8% and 21.7%, respectively [7][8]
财经老王丨中央重磅定调!四稳+政策组合拳 强势稳经济
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-04-27 07:13
Group 1 - The central political bureau meeting indicates a positive trend in the economy, but emphasizes the need to solidify the recovery amidst increasing external shocks [1] - The meeting introduces the concept of "coordinating domestic economic work and international trade struggles," addressing unilateralism and bullying tactics from the U.S. [2] - The focus shifts from the "six stabilizations" to "four stabilizations," prioritizing employment while also emphasizing the resilience of enterprises [3] Group 2 - The macroeconomic policy maintains a proactive stance, with new requirements for accelerated implementation and effective utilization of policies [3] - Fiscal policy will expedite the issuance and use of local government special bonds and ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, while monetary policy may include timely reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [3] - The meeting outlines a new policy toolkit to support key areas such as technological innovation, consumption expansion, and foreign trade stability [3] Group 3 - The meeting conveys a strong confidence in China's economic resilience, asserting that high-quality development will navigate uncertainties from external environments [4]