Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the capital market, enhancing regulatory effectiveness, and promoting investment value through a series of reform measures aimed at fostering a resilient market environment [1][2]. Policy Measures - A series of financial policies have been introduced, including interest rate cuts, the establishment of loans for consumer services and pensions, and the expansion of insurance fund investment trials, indicating a coordinated macroeconomic policy approach [1][2]. - The collaboration between various entities, such as the Central Huijin and State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), aims to stabilize the market through strategic actions like state-owned enterprise value management and increased institutional investment [2][3]. Market Stability - The internal stability of the capital market is being enhanced through measures such as normalizing dividends from listed companies and a significant increase in new A-share accounts, which rose to 12.6 million, a year-on-year increase of over 32% [2][3]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares has reached a historic milestone of 100 trillion yuan, reflecting improved investor confidence and a positive market trend [2][3]. Investment and Financing Reforms - There is a strong focus on deepening investment and financing reforms to solidify the foundation of market stability, with an emphasis on nurturing long-term and patient capital [4][5]. - The CSRC is pushing for reforms in the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) and the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM), which includes the acceptance of IPO applications from unprofitable companies, indicating a shift towards supporting innovative enterprises [5]. Regulatory Environment - Regulatory bodies are intensifying efforts to combat market manipulation and insider trading, ensuring the protection of small investors' rights [5]. - The establishment of a more transparent and efficient feedback mechanism is suggested to align policy-making with market needs, enhancing the overall market ecosystem [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank sector, particularly in insurance and securities, suggesting a "Recommended" rating for key companies in these sectors [3][41]. Core Insights - The report highlights a reduction in the preset interest rates for life insurance products, with ordinary life insurance at 2.0%, participating insurance at 1.75%, and universal insurance at 1.0%. This adjustment is expected to optimize the liability structure of insurance companies and promote a shift towards non-guaranteed income products [1][3]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is focused on stabilizing the capital market and enhancing market vitality through reforms, which is anticipated to boost investor confidence and market performance [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of recent monetary policies, including interest rate cuts, which are expected to enhance market sentiment and support the valuation recovery of quality listed companies [3][41]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.67% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 2.33% during the week [7]. - The non-bank financial sector saw a mixed performance, with the securities index rising by 4.82% [7][8]. Securities Sector - The report notes that the total trading volume in the A-share market reached 10.66 trillion yuan, with a daily average trading volume of 1.78 trillion yuan, reflecting a 14.20% increase week-on-week [16]. - The IPO underwriting scale for the year reached 560.64 billion yuan, while refinancing underwriting amounted to 8050.88 billion yuan [16][18]. Insurance Sector - The report indicates that the life insurance premium growth rate for major companies like China Life and Ping An Life has shown positive trends, with significant increases in premium income [24][25]. - The adjustment of preset interest rates is expected to lower the liability costs for insurance companies, enhancing their financial stability [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, Sunshine Insurance, and Ping An Insurance, as well as leading securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities [41][42]. - It also highlights potential benefits for non-bank institutions from the implementation of stablecoin regulations and cross-border payment innovations [3][41].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of leveraging financial mechanisms to enhance rural water supply projects, ensuring safe drinking water for 226,000 residents across 10 towns [1] - The province has signed financing agreements exceeding 800 million yuan for various rural water supply projects, indicating strong financial support for water infrastructure development [1] - Historically, water infrastructure projects relied heavily on government funding due to their public welfare nature, but the need for a diversified financing approach has become evident [1][2] Group 2 - Non-fiscal funding for water investment has significantly increased from an average of 1.59 billion yuan during the 13th Five-Year Plan to 5.56 billion yuan in the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a growth in annual investment share from 16.4% to 28.0% [2] - Cumulatively, the province has completed water investments totaling 79.68 billion yuan in the first four years of the 14th Five-Year Plan, marking an increase of 31.19 billion yuan or 64.3% compared to the entire 13th Five-Year Plan [2] - Innovative financing mechanisms have attracted social capital into water investment, with projects like the 1.4 billion yuan South Sha River Basin environmental remediation project successfully securing a loan from the BRICS New Development Bank [2][3] Group 3 - The province is actively implementing policies to enhance water investment, including local government special bonds and public-private partnerships (PPP), to facilitate the financing of water projects [3] - Future efforts will focus on maximizing the use of national and provincial financing policies to gather funds for water project implementation [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View of the Report - Due to the impact of risk - aversion sentiment, domestic stock indices continued to fluctuate weakly. It is recommended to make long - term allocations for IH2509 and IF2509, and move positions from IM2506 to IM2509 as the June contract of IM is approaching maturity and its annualized basis rate is relatively high [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Performance - As of June 20, 2025, most domestic and foreign indices declined this week. The Nasdaq rose 0.22%, the S&P 500 fell 0.15%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 2.08%. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51%, the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.74%, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.10%, the ChiNext Index fell 1.66%, and the STAR 50 Index fell 1.55%. In terms of industries, most of the 31 Shenwan primary industry indices declined, with sectors such as beauty care, textile and apparel, and pharmaceutical biology falling more than 3%, while only a few sectors such as banking and communications rose [11][12]. Liquidity - In May, the growth rate of social financing was stable, and the growth rate of M2 declined slightly. The net MLF investment in May was 375 billion yuan, and the 10 - year government bond yield was around 1.65%. The growth rate of social financing remained relatively high, with government bond financing being an important support, but credit growth was still weak. The M2 growth rate declined slightly but remained stable overall, the M1 growth rate increased, and the M1 - M2 gap narrowed [22]. Trading Data and Sentiment - The escalation of the Israel - Iran conflict led to the weakening of stock indices this week. The trading volume of the two markets shrank to around one trillion yuan. The number of new A - share accounts opened in January was 1.57 million, in February was 2.83 million, in March was 3.06 million, in April dropped to 1.92 million, and in May continued to drop to 1.555 million [34]. Index Valuation - Index valuations are in the median range. As of June 20, 2025, the latest PB of the Shanghai Composite Index was 14.64 with a quantile of 64.72, and the latest PE of the Wande All - A Index was 19.18 with a quantile of 01.82. In terms of major stock indices, the valuation quantiles are in the order of CSI 1000 > CSI 500 > SSE 300 > SSE 50 [51]. Index Industry Weights (as of December 31, 2024) - In the SSE 50, the weights of banking, food and beverage, and non - bank finance are relatively high, at 19.4%, 16.57%, and 13.07% respectively, and the electronics industry has become the fourth - largest weighted industry. - The weights of the SSE 300 are relatively dispersed, with the top three weighted industries being banking, non - bank finance, and electronics. - The top three weighted industries of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 are exactly the same, namely electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and power equipment, but the electronics industry in the CSI 1000 has a higher weight [52].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 21 日 科创板投融资改革推进，服务实体功能提升 陆家嘴金融论坛点评 总量研究/非银行金融 事件：6 月 18 日，2025 年陆家嘴金融论坛在上海举行，证监会主席吴清作《充 分发挥多层次资本市场枢纽功能 推动科技创新和产业创新融合发展》主旨演 讲，提出更好发挥科创板"试验田"作用，加力推出进一步深化改革的"1+6" 政策措施。 1）资本市场含"科"量有望继续提升。在科创板设置科创成长层，并重启未 盈利企业适用于科创板第五套标准上市。截至 6 月 20 日，共计 37 家企业申 请以科创板第五套标准上市，其中 12 个项目实质性终止上市流程；从分布行 业看，20 个已发行上市项目全部集中于生物医药产业。而伴随第五套标准适 用范围扩容至人工智能、商业航天、低空经济等前沿科技领域，参照当前生 物医药行业适用第五套标准的做法、或将有一批以第五套标准上市的战略性 新兴产业企业上市示范案例涌现，带动资本市场的科技含量更上一层楼。 2）面向优质科技型企业试点 IPO 预先审阅机制，减少在发行上市阶段的"曝 光"事件、更好保护企业信息安全和技术安全。预先审阅的类似机制 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for leading securities firms, particularly focusing on those with advantages in brokerage, investment banking, and asset management, such as CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy [5][6]. Core Viewpoints - The performance of listed securities firms in Q1 2025 is expected to show a strong improvement trend, driven by active market trading and a recovery in capital markets since September 2024 [11][4]. - The overall revenue growth for listed securities firms is projected to reach 35% in Q4 2024 and 31% in Q1 2025, with net profit growth expected at 74% and 32% respectively [11][4]. - The report highlights a high pre-announcement rate for 2024 earnings among listed securities firms, with 80% of firms expecting a year-on-year increase in net profit [4][27]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The securities industry is anticipated to maintain a high growth rate in Q1 2025, supported by active trading and a recovering capital market [11]. - The market's trading volume has significantly increased, with stock trading volume reaching 126 trillion yuan in Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 123% [2][15]. Business Segment Analysis 1. **Proprietary Trading** - The proprietary trading income is expected to see a slight decline in growth due to a mixed performance in stock and bond markets, with projected year-on-year growth of 51% in Q4 2024 and 35% in Q1 2025 [12][13]. 2. **Brokerage Business** - Brokerage income is likely to remain high, with expected year-on-year growth of 107% in Q4 2024 and 70% in Q1 2025, driven by increased trading activity [2][15]. 3. **Asset Management** - The asset management business is projected to stabilize, with a total asset management scale of 6.10 trillion yuan as of February 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2% [19][20]. 4. **Credit Business** - The credit business is expected to benefit from a high financing balance, with a projected year-on-year growth of 51% in Q1 2025 [3][22]. 5. **Investment Banking** - Investment banking revenues are anticipated to recover, with a projected year-on-year growth of 40% in Q1 2025, supported by an increase in refinancing and debt underwriting [24][25]. Company Performance Forecast - As of April 14, 2025, 11 listed securities firms have announced expected profit increases for Q1 2025, with average net profit growth reaching 49% [4][31]. - The report indicates that major firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities are expected to show significant profit growth, with CITIC Securities projected to achieve a net profit of 241 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 12% year-on-year increase [29][30].