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2023年跨境电商行业深度研究报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 07:38
Core Insights - The report provides an in-depth analysis of the cross-border e-commerce industry in 2023, highlighting its growth trajectory, market dynamics, and future trends [1][2][12]. Industry Overview - Cross-border e-commerce involves transactions between different jurisdictions facilitated by e-commerce platforms, characterized by global reach and immediacy, primarily categorized into B2B, B2C, and C2C, with B2B being the dominant model [1][9]. - The industry has evolved through three phases: the nascent phase (2010-2013), the initiation phase (2014-2017), and the rapid growth phase (2018-2023), with significant policy support from the government [1][17][19]. Policy Support - Continuous government policies have been implemented to support the cross-border e-commerce sector, including tax incentives for export return goods announced in January 2023 [20][22]. Industry Chain - The industry chain consists of upstream suppliers (manufacturers, distributors, brand owners), midstream platforms (e-commerce platforms and logistics providers), and downstream consumers, with Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu being the primary supply regions [25][30]. - In 2021, the market size for cross-border e-commerce platforms reached 1.385875 trillion yuan, while the logistics market size was 74.6 billion yuan, reflecting significant growth [30][33]. Market Dynamics - The market penetration rate increased from 2017 to 2020 but saw a slight decline in 2021 due to logistics costs and international trade frictions, stabilizing in the first half of 2022 [2][10]. - The competitive landscape exhibits a "Matthew Effect," where leading companies dominate due to brand strength and supply chain advantages, with Temu, SHEIN, and Shopee being notable players [2][10]. Future Outlook - The industry is expected to gradually recover, with trends towards branding, diversification, and refinement becoming inevitable, potentially leading to a concentration of market power among a few dominant players [2][12]. - The potential for cross-border payment and SaaS service providers is significant, and overseas warehouses are anticipated to become a core competitive advantage due to their ability to enhance logistics efficiency and reduce costs [2][12].
乐歌股份(300729)2025年中报简析:增收不增利,公司应收账款体量较大
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-28 14:25
Core Viewpoint - 乐歌股份2025年中报显示营业总收入增长,但归母净利润下降,反映出公司在收入增长的同时面临盈利能力下降的挑战 [1] Financial Performance - 2025年中报营业总收入为31.45亿元,同比上升29.56% [1] - 归母净利润为1.29亿元,同比下降19.47% [1] - 第二季度营业总收入为16.0亿元,同比上升22.57% [1] - 第二季度归母净利润为7723.9万元,同比下降3.87% [1] - 毛利率为25.69%,同比减18.06% [1] - 净利率为4.1%,同比减37.85% [1] - 每股收益为0.38元,同比减26.31% [1] Accounts and Cash Flow - 应收账款占归母净利润的比率为124.32% [1] - 每股经营性现金流为0.77元,同比增50.71% [1] - 经营活动产生的现金流量净额变动幅度为64.53% [2] Business Operations - 海外仓业务在关税影响下仍实现收入同比增幅66% [3] - 截至6月末,乐歌海外仓累计服务客户1744家,上半年发件量910万件,同比增幅超120% [3] - 公司在自动化和信息化方面的持续投入将逐步体现运营优势和成本降低 [3] Investment and Capital - 公司去年的ROIC为5.63%,资本回报率一般 [4] - 有息资产负债率已达26.96% [4] - 应收账款/利润比已达124.32% [4]
国金证券:给予乐歌股份买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-28 05:20
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Lege Co., Ltd. has shown excellent performance in expanding new product categories, although various factors have impacted short-term profitability, leading to a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Lege Co., Ltd. achieved operating revenue of 3.145 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.56%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.47% to 129 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 26.58% to 79 million [2] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.600 billion, a 22.57% increase, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 77 million, down 3.87%, and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 53 million, down 19.70% [2] Business Analysis - Cross-border e-commerce revenue grew by 9.16% to 1.000 billion in H1 2025, with independent site revenue increasing by 11.22% to 410 million, accounting for 41% of cross-border e-commerce income [3] - Ergonomic product series generated 1.383 billion in revenue, a 3.48% year-on-year increase, while new categories like electric sofas and ergonomic chairs contributed approximately 20% to revenue growth [3] - Overseas warehouse revenue surged by 84.27% to 1.559 billion, serving 1,744 outbound enterprises, with the German warehouse achieving over 70% utilization and profitability [3] Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for H1 2025 decreased by 5.66 percentage points to 25.69%, primarily due to the increased share of overseas warehouse revenue and rising logistics costs [4] - The gross margin for ergonomic products was 41.46%, up by 1.29 percentage points, while the gross margin for warehousing logistics services fell by 5.31 percentage points to 9.69% [4] - Expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 14.52%, 4.19%, 3.52%, and 0.03%, respectively, with sales expense ratio decreasing by 2.05 percentage points [4] Future Outlook - The overseas warehouse business is expected to maintain high growth rates and improve profitability due to increasing e-commerce penetration in the U.S. and enhanced operational efficiency [5] - The company's strong product demand and development capabilities, along with its overseas operational experience, are anticipated to mitigate trade friction impacts and support future growth [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.91, 1.04, and 1.20 yuan, respectively, with current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16.18, 14.09, and 12.26 times [6]
乐歌股份2025年中报简析:增收不增利,公司应收账款体量较大
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-27 22:56
Core Viewpoint - Lege Co., Ltd. reported a mixed performance in its 2025 mid-year financial results, with significant revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating potential challenges in profitability despite increased sales [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue reached 3.145 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.56% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 129 million yuan, down 19.47% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin decreased to 25.69%, down 18.06% year-on-year [1] - Net margin fell to 4.1%, a decline of 37.85% year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow per share increased by 50.71% to 0.77 yuan [1] Accounts Receivable and Debt - Accounts receivable amounted to 418 million yuan, representing 124.32% of the latest annual net profit [1][11] - Interest-bearing liabilities increased to 2.774 billion yuan, a rise of 19.51% [1] Operational Insights - The increase in revenue was attributed to the growth of overseas warehouse operations, which saw a 66% year-on-year increase in income despite challenges from tariffs [12] - The company has been investing in automation and information technology to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [13] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company’s overseas warehouse business is expected to maintain profitability and scale, with a projected shipment volume exceeding 20 million pieces for the year [12] - The competitive landscape in the overseas warehouse sector is shifting towards operational efficiency and service reliability as key differentiators [13]
体量全球最大!52亿吨、41.5万亿元……海关总署最新发布
券商中国· 2025-08-25 15:48
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the achievements of China's customs during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the enhancement of trade security, facilitation of international trade, and the promotion of high-quality development through various initiatives and regulatory measures [1][4]. Group 1: Trade Volume and Port Development - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," customs have regulated an average of 5.2 billion tons of import and export goods annually, with a total value of 41.5 trillion yuan, making it the largest in the world [2]. - A total of 40 new and expanded open ports have been established, bringing the total to 311, creating a comprehensive open port layout across land, sea, and air [2][6]. - The import and export volume with Belt and Road Initiative partners reached 22 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for over half of total trade, with annual growth rates exceeding 10% for emerging markets [4][8]. Group 2: Innovation and New Business Models - Customs have innovated regulatory models for cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses, and bonded services, enhancing regional coordinated development and improving the safety and stability of supply chains [2][5]. - The customs authority has implemented 108 reform and innovation measures to facilitate cross-border trade, including simplifying customs processes and optimizing regulatory models [5]. Group 3: Anti-Smuggling and Crime Prevention - Customs have cracked down on smuggling, with 3,032 cases of drug smuggling reported, seizing 15.7 tons of various drugs [2][8]. - The weight of solid waste smuggling has decreased by 96% compared to 2020, demonstrating effective measures against illegal waste imports [3]. - The value of cases related to "tax-free purchase" smuggling reached 5.9 billion yuan, showcasing strong deterrence against illegal activities [3][8]. Group 4: Intellectual Property Protection - Customs have conducted various actions to protect intellectual property, seizing nearly 4 billion suspected infringing items [9]. - The number of registered rights holders has increased by nearly 20,000 during the "14th Five-Year Plan," indicating enhanced protection for both domestic and foreign intellectual property rights [9].
数说“十四五”成就丨从海关数据看我国外贸高质量发展五年成绩单
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-25 08:28
Core Insights - The article highlights the achievements of China's foreign trade during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing high-quality development and enhanced security measures at the national borders [1][3]. Trade Volume and Security - China's customs data shows an average annual import and export volume of 520 million tons, with a total value of 41.5 trillion yuan, making it the largest globally [3]. - A total of 5.15 million prohibited items related to politics, firearms, and explosives were seized, along with 180,000 cases of infectious diseases detected [3]. - The cumulative tax revenue from customs reached 9.7 trillion yuan, with 23,000 smuggling cases investigated [3]. Customs Facilitation and Innovation - Significant breakthroughs in customs facilitation have been achieved, with 964 items covered under the "Net Office" initiative, streamlining cross-border trade processes [5][6]. - The "multi-modal transport" regulatory model allows for "one declaration" and "one document" throughout the logistics process [7]. - "Smart travel inspection" has been implemented at 80% of air ports, enabling passengers to pass through customs quickly and seamlessly [8]. Open Ports and Trade Infrastructure - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," 40 new and expanded open ports have been established, bringing the total to 311 [9]. - The China-Europe Railway Express has transitioned from a "point-to-point" model to a "hub-to-hub" model, enhancing connectivity [10]. - Special customs supervision areas, such as comprehensive bonded zones, have become new high grounds for foreign trade, contributing to one-fifth of the national import and export total despite occupying less than 0.0002% of the land area [11]. Trade Growth and Diversification - The export of "new three samples" has increased by 2.6 times compared to 2020, reflecting a higher "new content" in exports [13]. - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," 271 types of agricultural and food products from 81 new countries/regions were added to the import list, diversifying the sources of imports [13]. - The average annual growth rate of imports and exports is 7.9%, with a projected total trade volume of 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, maintaining China's position as the world's largest trader for eight consecutive years [13]. International Cooperation - Since the start of the "14th Five-Year Plan," 519 cooperation agreements have been signed, significantly enhancing trade security and facilitation levels [14]. - Trade with Belt and Road Initiative partners reached 22 trillion yuan, accounting for over half of China's total trade [14][15].
“海关大战假布布”!已拦截183万件
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-25 07:23
Core Points - The press conference highlighted the achievements of the customs in safeguarding national security and promoting high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][3] Group 1: Customs Achievements - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," customs have regulated an average of 5.2 billion tons of import and export goods annually, with a total value of 41.5 trillion yuan, making it the largest in the world [3] - A total of 40 new and expanded open ports have been established, bringing the total to 311, creating a comprehensive open port layout across land, sea, and air [3][9] - The customs have signed 519 cooperation documents to enhance trade security and facilitation, with imports and exports with Belt and Road partners reaching 22 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for over half of total trade [3][6] Group 2: Trade Facilitation and Innovation - Customs have innovated regulatory models for cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses, and bonded services, promoting regional coordinated development and enhancing the safety and stability of supply chains [3][7] - The customs have implemented 108 reform and innovation measures to facilitate cross-border trade, including simplifying customs processes and optimizing regulatory models [7] Group 3: Anti-Smuggling Efforts - Customs have cracked down on smuggling, with 3,032 drug smuggling cases investigated, seizing 15.7 tons of various drugs [3][12] - The weight of solid waste smuggling has decreased by 96% compared to 2020, demonstrating a significant reduction in illegal waste imports [4][12] Group 4: Intellectual Property Protection - Customs have conducted various actions to protect intellectual property rights, seizing nearly 400 million suspected infringing items [12][14] - The number of registered rights holders has increased by nearly 20,000 during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with close to 100,000 intellectual property records filed [13]
海关总署:“十四五”以来我国新增和扩大开放口岸40个,总数已达311个
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 06:30
Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's customs in safeguarding national security and promoting high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2]. Group 1: Customs Achievements - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," China has added and expanded 40 open ports, bringing the total to 311, creating a comprehensive port opening layout across land, sea, and air [1][2]. - Special customs supervision areas, such as comprehensive bonded zones, contribute to 1/5 of the national import and export value despite occupying less than 0.00002 of the country's land area [2]. - The total value of China's goods trade is projected to reach 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, maintaining its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years [2]. Group 2: Trade and Economic Growth - In the first seven months of this year, China's imports and exports grew by 3.5% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 7.3%, showcasing the resilience and vitality of the foreign trade sector [2]. - The export of "new three samples" is expected to increase by 2.6 times from 2020 to 2024, indicating a significant enhancement in export quality [2]. - The average annual growth rate of imports and exports is 7.9%, with eastern regions stabilizing and improving quality while central and western regions are gaining momentum [2]. Group 3: International Cooperation - China has signed 519 cooperation documents since the start of the "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing its commitment to multilateral trade and opposition to unilateralism [3]. - Trade with Belt and Road Initiative partners is projected to reach 22 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for over half of China's total trade [3]. - China has become one of the top three trading partners for 157 countries and regions globally, highlighting its growing international cooperation and responsible global role [3]. Group 4: Future Plans - The customs authority plans to implement better regulation, higher security, greater convenience, and stricter measures against smuggling to contribute to China's modernization efforts [5].
海关总署:2024年我国“新三样”出口比2020年增长2.6倍
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 06:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," significant progress has been made in customs modernization, providing strong support for high-quality development and high-level opening up [1][2] - A total of 40 new and expanded open ports have been established, bringing the total to 311, creating a comprehensive port opening layout across land, sea, and air [1] - The transformation of the China-Europe Railway Express from "point-to-point" to "hub-to-hub" has been highlighted, enhancing trade and cultural exchanges [1] Group 2 - The introduction of innovative regulatory models for cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses, and "bonded+" has accelerated the development of new foreign trade dynamics [2] - The export of "new three samples" is projected to increase by 2.6 times from 2020 to 2024, indicating a significant rise in the quality of exports [2] - The total value of China's goods trade is expected to reach 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, maintaining its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years [2]
海关总署:我国货物贸易总额连续8年稳居全球第一
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-08-25 04:31
Core Insights - The Chinese government has implemented innovative regulatory models for cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses, and "bonded+" operations since the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan, enhancing regional coordinated development and accelerating the growth of new foreign trade dynamics [2] - The export of "new three samples" is projected to increase by 2.6 times from 2020 to 2024, indicating a significant rise in the innovation content of exports [2] - The diversification of import sources has been notable, with 271 types of agricultural and food products from 81 newly admitted countries during the 14th Five-Year Plan, alongside a broader range of imports for bulk commodities, advanced equipment, and key components [2] - The regional structure of trade has improved, with stable quality and quantity in the eastern regions and emerging momentum in the central and western regions, leading to an average annual growth rate of 7.9% in imports and exports [2] - The total value of China's goods trade is expected to reach 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, maintaining its position as the world's largest trader for eight consecutive years [2] - From January to July this year, imports and exports grew by 3.5% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 7.3%, showcasing the resilience and vitality of China's foreign trade [2]