"爸，国庆回不去了，硐室施工正紧呢。"9月30日晚，国能神东煤炭集团布尔台煤矿井 下集控室，掘锚一队队长杨俊青对着手机屏幕笑着说，笑意里藏着歉疚——几小时前，他刚 带着掘锚一队完成了22212辅运顺槽贯通，此刻巷道深处，新的任务又在等着他们。 时间倒回9月23日23时，22212辅运顺槽工作面，掘锚机的轰鸣在巷道里回荡。"再加把 劲！最后一米了！"杨俊青扯着嗓子喊。 掘锚一队生产三班班长陈薛宝攥紧掘锚机操作杆，工友的矿灯照见他满是煤灰的脸，他 坚定地说，"杨队，您放心，肯定拿下！" "通了！真通了！"当最后一块煤随着机器运转落下，欢呼声一时间在巷道里此起彼伏。 杨俊青却没跟着庆祝，他从口袋里掏出卷尺，蹲在地上一点点量，眉头轻轻皱起："偏差8厘 米，刚够标准。但接下来两个12米硐室，误差得压到5厘米内，一点都不能多。" "杨队，连着干了12个小时，歇两天？"陈薛宝揉着酸痛的胳膊问。杨俊青站起来，拍了 拍他的肩膀，指了指集控室贴的作业图表——灯光下，硐室的位置被红笔圈得清清楚 楚。"这是综采工作面安装的特种车调车硐室，早一天完，心里就早踏实一天。"说完，他扛 起工具包走向硐室掘进面，矿灯的光带在黑暗里蜿蜒，延伸到 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Dadi Shenghui - Anhui Geological and Mineral Theme Exhibition" and the establishment of the Anhui Branch of the China Geological Museum highlight the integration of geological resources in Anhui and promote the collaborative development of geological culture [1] Group 1: Exhibition and Museum Establishment - The exhibition features four units showcasing Anhui's landscape, mining civilization, green development, and stories of geologists [1] - The Anhui Branch of the China Geological Museum is a significant part of the national system, enhancing the integration of regional geological resources [1] Group 2: Strategic Development and Resource Management - Anhui will focus on strategic and urgent development issues to enhance the security of important energy and mineral resources [1] - The province aims to establish a comprehensive regulatory system for the entire lifecycle of mines, involving multiple departments and levels [1] - There is a commitment to the principle of "lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets," promoting a new path of high-quality development that balances resource exploitation and ecological protection [1] Group 3: Mineral Resources and Green Mining - Anhui has discovered 128 types of minerals, with nine types, including coal, iron, and copper, ranking in the top ten nationally [1] - The province has developed national-level resource energy bases such as Tongling, Lianghuai, and Magang [1] - 47% of the licensed operating mines in Anhui are classified as green mines, placing the province among the leaders in the country [1]

进一步释放矿业市场潜力。 针对多地存在的矿产资源勘查投入下滑、增储压力增大、资源约束趋紧、保障程度不高等问题，多方专 家建议加大政策创新和支持力度，推动新建、改扩建一批大中型矿山，加快已建矿山达产达效，并开展 停工停产矿山纾难解困行动，进一步释放矿业市场潜力。 来自原国土资源部、中国地质科学院、福建省197地质大队、北京京师律师事务所的多方专家今天（9月 29日）在福建省泉州市开展永春县及周边县域成矿调研。 中国老科技工作者协会自然资源分会会长、原国土资源部地质环境司司长关凤峻在调研时表示，我国经 济已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段，正处于转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增长动力的关键 时期，对能源资源安全保障和资源环境协调发展提出了更高要求。 关凤峻说，矿产资源与能源资源是国民经济的基石，是支撑国家战略发展的基础，矿业和能源产业是核 心产业。当前，矿产资源需求处于上升期，矿产资源管理政策处于调整期，矿业开发和生态保护协调发 展处于转型期，同时，矿产资源开发还存在找矿创新力度不够、找矿空间受限等一些短板和不足。 在福建省197地质大队，总工程师、教授级高工戴定贤介绍，历经数十年勘查，永春县已发现和探明 煤、 ...

煤焦周度观点 ➢ 阅兵后国内上游产量迅速恢复，蒙煤甘其毛都和策克口岸维持高位通关量，现实供给边际近一周变化较小；但最近供给侧的干预 预期或在政策面消息的影响下表现得较为反复，造成了盘面价格的较大幅度波动。 ◆ 2、需求： Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 ➢ 节前对于原料的补库操作已经开启，目前现货需求支撑相对偏强。 ◆ 3、宏观： ➢ 海外降息如期宣布，盘面计价此前已较为充分，靴子落地后影响有限；国内宏观预期依然偏强，对黑色估值形成一定支撑。 ◆ 4、观点总结阐述: ➢ 从现实基本面来看，供需边际双强，宏观层面亦有国内强预期支撑，短期估值或延续偏强震荡。 煤焦基本面数据变化 国泰君安期货研究所·张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 日期：2025年9月28日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 煤焦：现实基本面支撑仍存，偏强震荡 ◆ 1、供应： 资料来源 Mysteel 、iFind Wind 富宝资讯：、国泰君安期货研究所 资料来源：Mysteel、iFind ...

Investment Chain - Prices of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, gold, and silver have risen since September 2025. Fixed asset investment growth rate has decreased to 0.50%, with real estate development investment declining by 12.90% and manufacturing fixed asset investment growth at 5.10% [1] - Infrastructure investment growth rate has also decreased to 5.42%. Prices of tin and nickel have fallen, while the price of thermal coal has slightly increased to 676 RMB per ton [1] Consumption Chain - In August 2025, automobile sales growth rate increased to 16.44%, while home appliance retail sales growth rate decreased to 19.90%. The nominal growth rate of social consumption fell to 3.40% [2] - The cumulative nominal growth rate has decreased by 4.60%, and the sales area of commercial housing has seen a decline of 5.44% [2] Export Chain - In August 2025, export growth rate to the US decreased, while it increased for the EU, Japan, and ASEAN. The overall export growth rate rose to 25.52% [3] - Exports of furniture, refined oil, coke, ships, plastics, and auto parts have seen an increase, while agricultural products, toys, lighting, coal, steel, and aluminum exports have decreased [3] Price Chain - Oil prices have risen to 63.41 USD per barrel as of September 23, 2025. Prices for PVC have increased to 4695 RMB per ton, while prices for MDI have decreased [4] - Pork prices have dropped to 13.71 RMB per kilogram, and the price of domestic urea has also decreased compared to July 2025 [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall production is stable, and investment is better than consumption during the period from September 14 to September 20, 2025 [1]. - The industrial production shows marginal improvement, with mixed performance in different sectors. The personnel flow slightly rebounds, and the freight price slightly drops. The consumption shows a decline in the year - on - year wholesale sales of automobiles and a differentiation in prices. The investment has good performance in construction and a recovery in the commercial housing market. The port throughput in exports increases, while most shipping indices decline. - The bond indices generally rise, most stock indices increase, commodities show mixed performance, and most foreign currencies depreciate against the RMB [1]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1. Category of Assets - This week, bond indices generally rose, most stock indices increased, commodities showed mixed performance, and most foreign currencies declined. The China Bond 7 - 10 - year China Development Bank Bond Index had the largest increase, with a weekly increase of 0.15%. The ChiNext Index had the largest gain among stock indices, with a weekly increase of 2.34%. The Nanhua Black Index among commodities had the largest increase, with a gain of 2.27%, while the Nanhua Precious Metals Index had the largest decline, with a drop of 0.80%. The British pound had the largest decline among foreign currencies, with a weekly decline of 0.50%, and the US dollar depreciated against the RMB, with a weekly decline of 0.14% [1][6]. 3.2. Industrial Production - Production showed marginal improvement. From the upstream perspective, the weekly coal consumption in the national power plant sample area decreased by 1.27% week - on - week, the operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants decreased by 0.50 pcts to 34.40% week - on - week, the blast furnace operating rate increased by 0.15 pcts to 84.00% week - on - week, and the crude steel output increased by 7.19% week - on - week. In the real - estate chain, the operating rate of rebar and float glass remained flat compared to last week at 42.96% and 76.31% respectively, and the mill operation rate increased by 1.18 pcts to 38.55% week - on - week. In the consumer goods chain, the operating rate of polyester filament increased by 0.11 pcts to 91.54% week - on - week, the PTA operating rate increased by 2.34 pcts to 77.29% week - on - week, and the methanol operating rate decreased by 1.81 pcts to 79.39% week - on - week. In the automotive chain, the operating rate of semi - steel tires for automobiles increased by 0.20 pcts to 73.66% week - on - week, and the operating rate of all - steel tires for automobiles increased by 0.07 pcts to 65.66% week - on - week [1][9]. 3.3. People and Freight Flow - The personnel flow slightly rebounded, and the freight price slightly dropped. The 7 - day moving average (7DMA) of the national migration scale index increased by 0.07% week - on - week. The 7DMA of the number of domestic flights increased by 0.80% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of international flights increased by 2.56% week - on - week. The subway passenger volumes in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen all increased. The 4 - week moving average (4WMA) of the road logistics freight rate index decreased by 0.04% week - on - week, and the total volume was higher than the same period in previous years [1][27]. 3.4. Consumption - The year - on - year wholesale sales of automobiles declined, and the prices showed differentiation. The year - on - year wholesale sales of passenger cars decreased by 1.00%, while the year - on - year retail sales increased by 1.00%. The 4WMA of the year - on - year growth rates of both wholesale and retail sales declined. The weekly box office of movies increased by 170% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of movie - goers increased by 176% week - on - week. Most agricultural product prices declined, with the pork price decreasing by 2.01% week - on - week and the vegetable price decreasing by 3.27% week - on - week [1][44]. 3.5. Investment - Construction showed good performance, and the commercial housing market recovered. The cement inventory - to - capacity ratio increased by 0.5 pcts week - on - week, the cement price index increased by 0.42% week - on - week, and the cement shipping rate remained flat compared to last week. The rebar inventory decreased by 0.4% week - on - week, the proportion of profitable steel mills nationwide decreased by 1.3 pcts week - on - week, and the apparent demand for rebar increased by 6.0% week - on - week. The 7DMA of the commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities increased by 7.7% week - on - week, with increases in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities. The 7DMA of the second - hand housing transaction area in 16 cities decreased by 1.6% week - on - week, and the national second - hand housing listing price index decreased by 0.2% week - on - week. The land transaction area in 100 cities decreased, and the land transaction premium rate decreased week - on - week [1][49]. 3.6. Exports - The port throughput increased, and most shipping indices declined. The weekly port cargo throughput increased by 1.8%, and the weekly container throughput increased by 0.1%. The BDI Index increased by 3.62% week - on - week, while the SCFI Index and CCFI Index decreased by 14.30% and 0.45% respectively week - on - week [1][68].

Group 1 - Southbound funds reduced their holdings in CITIC Resources (01205.HK) by 300,000 shares on September 19, 2025, marking a decrease of 0.40% [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, southbound funds have reduced their holdings for five consecutive days, totaling a net reduction of 396,000 shares [1] - In the last 20 trading days, there has been a total net reduction of 7,756,000 shares, with southbound funds reducing their holdings every day during this period [1] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 75,118,100 shares of CITIC Resources, which represents 0.95% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] - CITIC Resources Holdings Limited primarily engages in the exploration and sale of natural resources, operating through four segments: crude oil, electrolytic aluminum, coal, and import/export of goods [2] - The crude oil segment operates oil fields and sells crude oil in Indonesia and China, while the electrolytic aluminum segment operates aluminum plants and sells aluminum ingots in Australia [2]

Core Insights - China possesses a vast and diverse range of mineral resources, with 173 types discovered and 163 types having proven reserves, making it a significant player in the global mining industry [2][3] - Despite its large reserves, China's per capita resource availability is below the world average, indicating challenges in resource utilization efficiency [2][4] - China is the world's leading country in rare earth minerals, holding approximately 35%-40% of global reserves and accounting for over 80% of global production [10] Mineral Resource Characteristics - China has a rich variety of mineral resources, including coal, rare earths, tungsten, tin, antimony, molybdenum, graphite, magnesite, and fluorite, with many of these resources ranking first globally in terms of reserves and production [4][11] - The distribution of mineral resources in China is heavily influenced by geological structures, leading to significant regional concentration [4][12] Rare Earths Dominance - Rare earths are critical for high-tech applications, including military, aerospace, and renewable energy sectors, highlighting their strategic importance [6][7] - China's dominance in rare earths is supported by advanced extraction and processing technologies, ensuring its leading position in the global supply chain [10] Other Notable Minerals - In addition to rare earths, China also leads in tungsten, antimony, tin, molybdenum, and coal, with significant production and reserves in these areas [11][12] - Major production regions include Hunan, Jiangxi, Guangdong for tungsten; and Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi for coal [11][12] Challenges and Opportunities - The mining industry in China faces challenges such as low per capita resource availability, high extraction costs, and environmental impacts from mining activities [12] - Opportunities exist through technological advancements in exploration and extraction, as well as international cooperation to stabilize supply chains and enhance global influence [12]

Core Viewpoint - In the first eight months of 2025, China's goods trade maintained a steady growth trend, with a total import and export value of 29.57 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.5% year-on-year [4]. Group 1: Trade Growth - The total export value reached 17.61 trillion yuan, growing by 6.9%, while the import value was 11.96 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 1.2%, with the decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points compared to the first seven months [4]. - In August 2025, the total trade value was 3.87 trillion yuan, also growing by 3.5%, with exports at 2.3 trillion yuan (up 4.8%) and imports at 1.57 trillion yuan (up 1.7%), marking three consecutive months of growth for both exports and imports [4]. Group 2: Trade Characteristics - General trade and processing trade both saw growth, with general trade imports and exports totaling 18.89 trillion yuan (up 2.2%), accounting for 63.9% of total foreign trade, and processing trade at 5.34 trillion yuan (up 6.1%), making up 18.1% [4]. - Trade with ASEAN and the EU increased, with total trade with ASEAN reaching 4.93 trillion yuan (up 9.7%), and with the EU at 3.88 trillion yuan (up 4.3%). In contrast, trade with the US decreased by 13.5% to 2.73 trillion yuan [5]. Group 3: Enterprise Contributions - Private enterprises contributed significantly, with imports and exports totaling 16.89 trillion yuan (up 7.4%), representing 57.1% of total foreign trade, while foreign-invested enterprises accounted for 29.1% with 8.59 trillion yuan (up 2.3%). State-owned enterprises saw a decline of 8.1% to 4.02 trillion yuan [6]. Group 4: Product Export Dynamics - Mechanical and electrical products accounted for over 60% of exports, totaling 10.6 trillion yuan (up 9.2%). Notable growth was seen in integrated circuits (up 23.3% to 905.18 billion yuan) and automobiles (up 11.9% to 605.23 billion yuan) [6]. Group 5: Import Price Trends - Major commodity import prices fell, with iron ore imports at 8.02 million tons (down 1.6%) and crude oil at 3.76 million tons (up 2.5%), both experiencing price declines of 14.1% and 12.9% respectively. Meanwhile, imports of mechanical and electrical products grew by 5.2% to 4.72 trillion yuan [5][6].

Trade Data Summary - In August 2025, China's total goods trade value reached 3.87 trillion yuan, growing by 3.5% year-on-year[11] - Exports amounted to 2.3 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.8%, while imports were 1.57 trillion yuan, growing by 1.7%[11] - The trade surplus for August was 732.68 billion yuan, equivalent to 102.33 billion USD, marking a return to the billion-dollar surplus level[11][24] Export and Import Trends - Both export and import growth rates declined in August, with exports to the US continuing to decrease, while exports to the EU and ASEAN increased, maintaining over 20% growth[4][14] - Major export categories showed a decline, particularly in labor-intensive products, except for textiles, and in mechanical and electrical products, except for mobile phones[4][18] - Import growth also slowed, with significant drops in categories other than iron ore, coal, and steel, despite mechanical imports reaching the second-highest amount this year[4][20] Economic Outlook - The external pressure on trade is perceived to have eased, with ongoing negotiations between China and the US and a pause on certain tariffs expected to support trade recovery[5][27] - The government aims to stabilize foreign trade and investment, providing support to affected enterprises and promoting integrated development of domestic and foreign trade[5][27] - Risks include potential geopolitical tensions, changes in international financial conditions, and unexpected shifts in US-China policies[6][28]