Core Viewpoint - Nomura Orient International Securities expects Chinese equity assets to outperform overseas markets in the second half of the year due to strong domestic policy expectations and better liquidity conditions in emerging markets amid a weak US dollar [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The firm anticipates that the second half of 2025 will be a critical juncture for market direction, with potential for increased volatility during this period [1] - Rising volatility may lead to a greater focus on emerging high-growth sectors, supported by robust policy backing for growth industries [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Stable dividend stocks and niche technology growth sectors are deemed more suitable for the market environment in the second half of the year [1] - There remains significant potential in domestic consumption and the technology sector [1]

Market Overview - On May 30, A-shares experienced a collective adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.47%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.85%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.96%. Only about 1,100 stocks in the market saw an increase [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,139.178 billion RMB, indicating a decrease compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - In the banking sector, there was a notable increase, with banks like Hangzhou Bank and Chengdu Bank reaching new historical highs. A total of 11 stocks in this sector have set new records this year [7] - The banking sector is expected to maintain its attractiveness due to stable fundamentals, low valuations, and the influence of new public fund regulations and long-term capital inflows [7] - The livestock sector is anticipated to respond to new policies regarding pig farming, which may lead to price catalysts in the market [5][7] Index Performance - The performance of major indices on May 30 showed declines across the board, with the CSI 300 down by 0.48% and the ChiNext 50 down by 1.02% [2][5] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 0.90%, while the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.20% [4][5] Investment Products - Relevant investment products in the banking sector include the CSI Bank ETF (512730) and Hong Kong Bank LOF (A class 501025, C class 010365) [6][7] - In the livestock sector, the Livestock ETF (159867) is highlighted as a related product [6][8]

发布时间：2025-05-26 大盘指数 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 2000 3000 4000 上证指数 深证成指 2000 3000 6000 7000 8000 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:黄子崟 SAC 登记编号:S1340523090002 Email:huangziyin@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关税谈判利好落地后等待内需刺激 政策》 - 2025.05.19 策略观点 静水流深，谋定后动 ⚫ 投资要点 本周 A 股延续先涨后跌节奏，风格再偏向防御，延续快速轮动格 局。本周医药生物、综合、有色金属、汽车和家用电器领涨，上周涨 幅领先的美容护理、非银金融和商贸零售显著回落。本周 A 股依然缺 乏明确的交易主线，领涨的医药生物一方面是市场轮动深化后欠涨的 方向进行补涨，另一方面是即将开幕的 2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会 （ASCO）年会上多家上市公司将公布其研究成果提振了市场情绪。 A 股自去年 9.24 行情开始以来最大的特点在于走势和个人投资 者情绪之间极强的关联性，受美国关税政策带来影响，当前个人投资 者情绪指数已出现明显 ...

以下文章来源于36氪财经 ，作者范亮 郑怀舟 36氪财经 . 36氪旗下官方账号。洞见市场，比99%的投资者更聪明。 支撑市场上涨无非两方面因素，盈利和估值。 盈利端，2024年万得全A（除金融、石油石化）归母扣非净利润同比下滑10.7%，同时24Q1-24Q4利润单季度降幅逐季扩大。但在"924"政策催化下，市场 估值大幅抬升，万得全A（剔除金融、石油石化）当年反而上涨6.15%。 寻求确定性。 文 ｜ 范亮 编辑 ｜ 郑怀舟 来源｜ 36氪财经（ID： krfinance） 封面来源 ｜ 视觉中国 上证指数本周再度转跌之际，微盘股又创历史新高。 2025年以来，万得微盘股的涨幅为23.04%，已经连续7年实现上涨。北证50年内涨幅已经达到32%,周中一度突破历史新高。另一方面，万得银行指数在本 周亦创下新高，年内涨幅9%。 这个市场状态与2023年颇为相似。2023年受疫后经济复苏预期影响，上证开盘一度从3000点出头冲高至5月份的3400点以上，市场成交额连续多个交易日 突破万亿，但随后因弱复苏年末回落至3000点附近。期间市场活跃度较高+上市公司弱盈利使得资金涌入交易性质更强的小微盘股，促成小微盘股的 ...

机构观点方面，华泰证券研报表示，统计局发布4月全国房地产市场基本情况。数据显示，行业投资端 仍有一定压力，融资端白名单机制发力缓解房企资金压力，市场端房价同比降幅有所收窄，成交量季节 性回落，其中核心城市表现更优。华泰证券依然更加看好以一线城市为代表的核心城市复苏节奏，以及 在对应区域拥有储备或新获取资源的房企的估值修复，继续推荐具备"好信用、好城市、好产品"即"三 好"逻辑的地产股，同时分红与业绩稳健的物管公司亦有望受益于市场止跌回稳。 长江证券湖南分公司表示，昨天固态电池概念涨幅居前，消息面上，近日，国轩高科宣布已建成 0.2GWh全固态电池中试线，并发布了包括G垣准固态电池在内的6项新产品。这款准固态电池已有4家 以上客户上车测试。基本面看，2025年成为固态电池产业化的关键拐点，产业链各环节企业正加速布局 生产线建设，为后续固态电池车型量产做准备。固态电池产业化进度有望在未来2～3年内加速落地。市 场角度来看，固态电池板块的爆发，本质上仍属于事件驱动下的超跌修复，想要就此开启一轮波段主升 行情或存在难度，后续大概率轮动上行为主，届时或可留意本轮的领涨核心国轩高科的市场反馈。 行情上，昨天市场全线维持震 ...

在行业调整期能够保持较好成长性的优质公司，未来有着更大的成长空间。 近期A股市场主要聚焦在两大主题，一是微盘股的抱团飙升，相关指数更是创出历史新高；二是红利股的稳定上涨。 今天（5月21日）早盘市场有所变化，微盘股出现一定调整，主要是因为ST板块的龙头*ST宇顺被停牌核查。红利板块表现较好，煤炭、保险、石 油等板块涨幅居前。 值得一提的是，市场较为关注的科技股近期整体表现不佳，结构性行情较为突出，比如这几天表现较好的创新药板块。另外，赛道股的核心—— 新能源龙头股有所表现，比亚迪、宁德时代两大龙头港股均创出历史新高。 比亚迪港股再创历史新高 早盘，比亚迪AH股均表现亮眼。其中A股再度突破400元/股，盘中创下404元/股的历史新高；港股一度大涨超4%并首次突破460港元/股，创出历史 新高，盘中最高价超464港元/股。截至5月20日收盘，比亚迪A股年内累计上涨近40%，港股累计涨幅接近67%。 随着股价的上涨，比亚迪的市值也水涨船高。截至5月20日收盘，该股总市值超过1.2万亿元，位居A股第八位。比亚迪作为知名大白马，曾以巴菲 特重仓而为大家所知。不过，巴菲特已减仓比亚迪港股，平均减持价格在250港元/股左右 ...

中原期货研究所 晨会纪要 2025 第（87）期 发布日期：2025-05-19 | | | | 商品指数每日市场跟踪 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 宏观指标 | | 2025/5/19 08:00 | 2025/5/16 15:00 | 涨 跌 | 涨跌幅/% | | 道琼斯工业指数 | | 42654.74 | 42322.75 | 331.990 | 0.784 | | 纳斯达克指数 | | 19211.10 | 19112.32 | 98.780 | 0.517 | | 标普500 | | 5958.38 | 5916.93 | 41.450 | 0.701 | | 恒生指数 | | 23345.05 | 23453.16 | -108.110 | -0.461 | | SHIBOR隔夜 | | 1.65 | 1.40 | 0.250 | 17.806 | | 美元指数 | | 100.74 | 100.98 | -0.244 | -0.241 | | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | 7.20 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 | | 主力 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a significant increase in trading volume, reaching 13.167 trillion, with a broad market rally driven by strong performance in the shipping, chemical, and financial sectors [1] - The surge in the financial sector, particularly banks, is attributed to favorable policy changes, valuation recovery, and industry reforms, leading to historical highs for bank stocks [2] - The rise in shipping and port stocks is linked to a more than 10% increase in the main contract for European shipping, driven by rising freight rates and expectations of increased trade volume due to easing tariffs between China and the US [2] Group 2 - The logistics sector showed strength, supported by an increase in the e-commerce logistics index for April, which positively impacted the sector [3] - Chemical stocks remained active due to price increases in specific products and expectations of a restocking cycle in 2025, as current inventory levels are at historical lows [3] - The outlook for the A-share market suggests potential volatility ahead, with resistance levels to be tested, but confidence remains in holding positions due to the strong performance of dividend stocks [3]

Market Performance Review - A-shares experienced a significant rise after the holiday but shifted to a volatile phase, with major indices showing mixed performance, particularly the ChiNext Index which rose by 3.27% [12] - The leading sectors included defense, telecommunications, electric power equipment, and banking, influenced by geopolitical events and international trade policies [13] A-share Sentiment Recovery Needs Catalysts - The sentiment among A-share investors has notably declined, with a strong correlation between market movements and investor sentiment since the rally began on September 24, 2024 [17][21] - The financing capital, which reflects investor sentiment, has seen a significant outflow since April, indicating reduced trading enthusiasm [20][21] - The upcoming U.S.-China trade talks are critical; if they indicate a continuation of trade tensions, it may further depress market sentiment [32] Policy Impact on Market Sentiment - The ability to boost A-share investor sentiment will largely depend on policy developments, particularly related to domestic demand stimulus measures [35] - The recent Central Political Bureau meeting's policy expectations have not materialized, necessitating clear stimulus policies to catalyze market recovery [37] Dividend Stock Valuation Enhancement - The potential for further declines in domestic credit spreads following interest rate cuts enhances the attractiveness of dividend stocks, particularly in sectors like banking, railways, and electric power [5][33] - The current environment suggests that dividend stocks may offer better value compared to other asset classes, especially as the market anticipates further monetary easing [34] Future Market Outlook - The recovery of A-share sentiment is contingent on the timing of domestic demand stimulus policies, with current macroeconomic data showing signs of weakness [35][28] - The first quarter earnings reports have not provided significant positive surprises, with only 21.78% of companies exceeding expectations, which is below historical averages [21][25]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened with mixed performance in the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index, with energy, finance, and consumer sectors showing gains [1] - The Hong Kong Tech 30 ETF (513160) declined by 0.80%, with a turnover rate exceeding 7% and a transaction volume over 800 million yuan [1] - The ETF market has seen significant inflows this year, with a net inflow of over 249.3 billion yuan as of May 7, and stock ETFs accounting for over 50% of this inflow [1] Group 2 - Haitong International's report suggests investors should wait for a second bottoming opportunity in May, particularly focusing on internet and AI applications [2] - The internet sector has lagged in the recent market rebound but has caught up after a significant rise last week, indicating potential future opportunities [2] - The report highlights the ongoing benefits in foreign trade and cross-border payment sectors due to deepening trade relations between China and ASEAN, as well as Japan and South Korea [2]