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太平洋证券:AI技术降本+平台政策扶持 漫剧有望成为短剧行业新增长极
智通财经网· 2025-11-10 11:48
"AI赋能+平台扶持"推动漫剧行业高景气 根据巨量引擎,2025年上半年漫剧累计上线3000部,并以83%的复合增长率持续扩张;流水规模增长12 倍,预计全年市场规模有望突破200亿元。该行认为,行业高增长主要系:1)平台扶持:各大长短视频 平台相继推出扶持政策,在IP、资金支持、流量倾斜等方面对漫剧提供支持。如抖音开放超6万部番茄 小说原创IP,支持长篇或短篇改编,推出年度预算超2亿元的头部精品采买计划,用于挖掘和打造头部 漫剧。 从供给端来看,精品化趋势凸显。知名演员陆续加入短剧拍摄,且监管及平台的审核标准提升,使得短 剧制作水准逐渐加强。从需求端来看,用户规模超6亿。在精品化趋势下,观众过往对短剧低质、低俗 等消极评价逐步扭转,短剧用户规模稳步增长。根据CSM,2025年微短剧用户规模月度数据维持在6-7 亿的水平,高于2024年的3-5亿。展望未来,供需共振有望持续推动短剧行业发展。 用户画像互补,漫剧成为短剧行业新增长极 漫剧是对网文、平面漫画或原创剧本等图文故事的视频化再创作,是介于静态漫画和全动态动画之间的 漫画短剧。在内容上,与真人短剧快速拉动观众情绪不同,漫剧拥有更充足的叙事时间,可以慢慢铺 ...
短剧市场规模近千亿,漫剧成为新增长极
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive," indicating that the overall return is expected to exceed the CSI 300 Index by more than 5% in the next six months [51]. Core Viewpoints - The short drama market in China is projected to reach nearly 100 billion yuan by 2025, driven by a supply-demand resonance and a significant increase in user scale [3][7]. - The emergence of "manhua dramas" as a new growth driver in the short drama sector is noted, with distinct user demographics compared to traditional short dramas [4][7]. - The integration of AI technology and platform support is expected to enhance the manhua drama industry's growth, with a projected market size exceeding 20 billion yuan in 2025 [5][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The short drama market is anticipated to grow rapidly, with a market size of 505 billion yuan in 2024 and close to 1 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting nearly a doubling in size [3]. - Regulatory frameworks are evolving, promoting quality improvements in the short drama sector [7]. User Demographics - Manhua dramas attract a predominantly male audience (86%), while traditional short dramas have a more balanced gender distribution [4][7]. - The user base for short dramas is expected to grow to 600-700 million by 2025, up from 300-500 million in 2024 [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The manhua drama segment is projected to see a compound annual growth rate of 83%, with 3,000 new titles expected to launch in the first half of 2025 [5][7]. - AI technology is significantly reducing production costs and time, enhancing the variety of content available in the manhua drama category [6][7]. Investment Opportunities - Companies with substantial IP content reserves and AI video generation capabilities are recommended for investment, such as Bona Film Group [7].
AI漫剧,比短剧更短剧?
创业邦· 2025-11-05 10:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth and potential of the "manga drama" industry, likening it to the previous boom in short dramas, highlighting its low production costs and high market interest [5][7][12]. Market Overview - Manga dramas are diverse in form, including 3D animations generated by game editors, dynamic comics, and animated content using popular meme characters. Each episode lasts about 1 minute, with total series length typically between 60 to 120 episodes [5]. - From April to July this year, the monthly compound growth rates for views and likes of manga dramas reached 92% and 105%, respectively. The overall market size is expected to exceed 20 billion yuan, with the number of related companies surpassing hundreds of thousands [5][6]. Major Players and Initiatives - Major platforms like Douyin, Kuaishou, and Bilibili are entering the manga drama space, with Douyin launching support policies focusing on IP licensing and content guarantees [6]. - BlueNeo, a subsidiary of BlueFocus Media, has identified manga dramas as a key area for AI content exploration, with their recent work achieving over 40 million views shortly after release [7]. Cost Structure and Production Efficiency - The production cost for manga dramas has significantly decreased due to AI technology, with costs dropping from 3,000 yuan per minute to below 1,000 yuan. The minimum production cost can be under 100,000 yuan, compared to around 300,000 yuan for medium-budget short dramas [11][12]. - AI has streamlined the production process, covering 80% of the workflow, allowing small teams to deliver 60 episodes in about a month [9]. Revenue Generation and Market Dynamics - Manga dramas exhibit a higher monetization efficiency compared to short dramas, with many achieving a return on investment (ROI) exceeding 1, indicating revenue surpasses advertising costs [12]. - The industry is currently in a phase of rapid growth, with a significant influx of new creators and companies entering the market, driven by low barriers to entry and the potential for high returns [14][19]. Industry Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite the current boom, concerns exist regarding the sustainability of the manga drama market, as rapid supply growth may lead to saturation and increased competition [22][24]. - The article suggests that while the initial phase is characterized by high demand and low supply, the industry may face challenges similar to those experienced by short dramas, where profitability becomes harder to achieve as competition intensifies [26][27].
星巴克中国易主;冰雪经济概念逆势活跃丨消费早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-04 23:09
NO.1 星巴克中国易主,在中国门店将拓展至20000家 |2025年11月5日星期三| 11月4日,2025—2026年黑龙江冬季冰雪旅游百日行动新闻发布会在哈尔滨召开,相关负责人在会上介 绍了今冬哈尔滨的冰雪游玩亮点。哈尔滨将打造三个面积超百万平方米的冰雪旅游旗舰景区。哈尔滨冰 雪大世界园区面积由100万平方米扩大到120万平方米,总用冰雪量达40万立方米,将融入更多的科技元 素、童话IP、多国建筑、城市地标、娱乐项目等新玩法、新体验。太阳岛雪博会规划150万平方米广阔 空间,总用雪量12万立方米,建设艺术雪雕260余处,连同熊猫戏雪、企鹅巡游、虎啸雪原等场景,形 成人与自然和谐共生的冰雪奇观。松花江冰雪嘉年华总面积145万平方米,开发雪地漂移、雪地卡丁 车、气垫船、雪地摩托等冰雪娱乐项目60余个,打造万人狂欢的江上冰雪乐园。 点评:哈尔滨打造三大超百万平方米冰雪旗舰景区,是冰雪经济从"流量"向"留量"转化的关键布局。冰 雪大世界的科技与IP融合、太阳岛的生态奇观、松花江的动感体验,精准契合了万亿冰雪市场的多元需 求。这种以场景创新延续"尔滨"热度的举措,既巩固了核心吸引力,更推动冰雪旅游向全产业链延伸, ...
【研选行业】这种材料复合增速超25%,万亿蓝海启幕,5家全链龙头成焦点
第一财经· 2025-11-03 11:52
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of timely and relevant research reports in identifying investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like short dramas and comic dramas, which have shown significant growth potential [1] - The report highlights a notable increase in stock prices for companies such as Huanrui Century, which rose over 20%, and others like Yuedu Group and Kunlun Wanwei, which saw nearly 10% gains, indicating strong market interest in these sectors [1] Group 2 - A projected demand growth rate of 50% by 2027 for energy storage is expected to initiate a new lithium battery cycle, with related material prices already increasing by over 20%, making these stocks a focus for institutional investors [2] - The convergence of low-altitude, wind power, and robotics sectors is anticipated to drive a compound growth rate exceeding 25%, with a target of 90% domestic production rate, marking the beginning of a trillion-dollar market opportunity [2]
申万宏源:AI+IP双轮驱动 漫剧产业爆发正当时
智通财经网· 2025-11-03 06:41
Core Insights - The comic drama market is experiencing a significant explosion, with a 12-fold increase in revenue over the past six months and an expected market size surpassing 20 billion [1][2] - The growth is driven by increased demand, technological breakthroughs in AI, and support from platforms that can leverage existing IP [2][3] Market Dynamics - The comic drama market is characterized by a unique blend of short dramas and traditional animation, catering to fragmented content consumption needs, particularly among young male audiences in high-tier cities [2] - The application of AI technology in the entire production chain has drastically reduced production cycles by 80%-90% and costs by 70%-90% [2][3] Industry Structure - The comic drama industry is evolving into a value chain that includes IP script development, adaptation, production, distribution, and platform operation [3] - The main bottlenecks in the industry are on the supply side, with a need for content expansion and attracting diverse participants such as copyright holders and production teams [3] Technological Advancements - Rapid advancements in AI video models and tools are laying a solid foundation for the development of AI comic dramas, with decreasing costs enhancing efficiency [3] Investment Opportunities - Key companies to watch in the AI comic drama industry include Mango Excellent Media, Bilibili, and Reading Group, among others, across various segments such as IP content, production, tools, distribution, and platforms [4]
漫剧&短剧行业专家会
2025-11-03 02:36
摘要 微短剧市场蓬勃发展,预计总流水接近千亿,真人短剧增速稳定在 30% 左右,漫剧占比约 30%-35%,受年轻用户青睐,平台通过 IP 改编和 AIGC 工具降低成本,推动漫剧发展。 漫剧分为动态漫和沙雕漫,沙雕漫占据市场主导地位(60%-70%), 制作成本低(约 500-600 元/分钟),但爆款率较低;动态漫制作精良, 成本较高(1,200-1,500 元/分钟),更受二次元用户欢迎。 拥有 IP 资源的公司如阅文、中文在线、掌阅等在漫剧行业占据优势,通 过 IP 改编实现快速变现,并利用 AIGC 工具提高生产效率,控制上游版 权是其核心竞争力。 真人短剧在投流消耗和 ROI 方面优于漫剧,但随着漫剧内容精品化和题 材创新,未来有望改善。目前真人短剧付费比例国内为 8%,海外为 6%,而漫剧付费比例约为 7%。 头部 IP 公司如中文在线和点众在漫剧发展方向上有所不同,点众侧重批 量化生产,中文在线则走精品化路线,漫剧收入占比约为 20%,长期有 望提升至 30%-40%。 Q&A 今年短剧行业的市场规模和增速如何?漫剧在整个微短剧行业中的占比是多少? 根据官方渠道发布的数据,预计 2025 年全 ...
漫剧深度汇报:AI+IP赋能高增长赛道
2025-11-03 02:35
漫剧深度汇报:AI+IP 赋能高增长赛道 20251102 摘要 漫剧市场规模迅速扩张,预计 2024 年全年市场规模可达 200 亿元,虽 占真人短剧总收入的一小部分,但其年初至今的日流水从几万元跃升至 两三千万元,呈现爆发式增长,总盘子已超过电影市场规模。 平台流量扶持是漫剧行业爆发的关键因素,抖音、快手、B 站等平台纷 纷推出流量扶持政策,字节跳动更新分账和流量分配规划,规范行业发 展,显著提升了漫剧的曝光率和增长速度。 AI 技术显著降低了漫剧的制作成本和周期,当前每分钟制作成本约为 1,000 至 2,500 元,一部剧总成本在 10 至 30 万元之间,制作周期缩 短至 10 至 13 天,人员需求减少到 10 人以内,提高了生产效率。 漫剧相比真人短剧具有成本优势和更高的投资回报率(ROI),真人短 剧美均 ROI 约为 1.1,而头部漫剧情公司报告显示其 ROI 可达 1.2 至 1.5 之间,这主要归功于 AI 技术带来的降本增效以及平台流量扶持政策。 AI 技术扩展了漫剧的创作题材范围,使得玄幻等复杂题材得以低成本实 现,例如《凡人修仙传》、《斗罗大陆》等头部网文 IP 通过 AI 工具完 ...
AI+IP双轮驱动,产业爆发正当时:——漫剧行业点评
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [38]. Core Insights - The animation micro-drama market is expected to experience explosive growth, with a projected market size surpassing 20 billion yuan. The market has seen a 12-fold increase in revenue over the past six months, driven by rising demand, technological advancements, and platform support [4][10]. - The current user demographic for micro-dramas is primarily young males in high-tier cities, contrasting with the female-dominated traditional short drama market. This demographic shift presents a unique competitive landscape [6][10]. - The industry is in its initial growth phase (1.0 stage), with future potential in IP derivatives and international expansion as the market matures [15][19]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - The micro-drama market is characterized by a combination of short drama and traditional animation features, catering to user preferences for engaging, fragmented content. The market is expanding rapidly, with a compound growth rate of 83% in supply and significant increases in viewership and engagement metrics [10][15]. - The report identifies three main drivers for the market's growth: increasing demand for diverse content, significant technological breakthroughs in AI, and strong support from platforms with extensive IP libraries [4][5][10]. Industry Structure - The micro-drama industry value chain includes IP script acquisition, adaptation, production, distribution, and platform operation. The report emphasizes the need for content diversification and the involvement of various stakeholders to build a robust ecosystem [19][24]. - AI technology is revolutionizing the production process, reducing production cycles by 80-90% and costs by 70-90%, thus enabling a more efficient and scalable production model [24][27]. Key Players and Investment Targets - The report highlights several key companies to watch in the micro-drama space, including Mango TV, Bilibili, and Reading Group, along with companies involved in IP content, production, and distribution [28][31][34]. - Specific companies mentioned include Chinese Online, Zhi Cheng Co., and Huace Film & TV, which are actively engaging in the micro-drama ecosystem through various initiatives and collaborations [32][34].
AI+IP双轮驱动,产业爆发正当时
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The comic drama market is expected to explode in 2025, with a projected market size surpassing 20 billion [3][9] - The growth is driven by three main factors: increasing demand, technological breakthroughs, and platform support [3][4] - The industry is currently in the 1.0 growth phase, with future competition likely to focus on content quality and IP derivatives [3][14] Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - The comic drama market has seen a 12-fold increase in revenue over the past six months, with the number of related companies expected to exceed hundreds of thousands [3][9] - The target audience primarily consists of young males in high-tier cities, contrasting with the female-dominated live-action short drama market [5][9] Technological Advancements - AI technology has significantly reduced production time and costs, with some models cutting production cycles by 80-90% and costs by 70-90% [3][24] - The integration of AI tools across the entire production chain is enhancing efficiency and lowering barriers to entry [3][28] Industry Structure - The comic drama value chain includes IP script development, adaptation, production, and platform distribution [3][18] - The current bottleneck lies in content supply, necessitating a focus on expanding quality content and attracting diverse industry players [3][24] Key Players - Notable companies to watch include Mango TV, Bilibili, and Reading Group, with specific attention to those excelling in various segments of the comic drama industry [3][29] - The report highlights the importance of IP content providers, production companies, and platforms in driving the industry's growth [3][33] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the comic drama market will continue to grow, with significant potential for IP monetization and international expansion [3][14]