Core Insights - The small metals market has experienced significant price increases this year, particularly for antimony, bismuth, and cobalt, with antimony prices rising approximately 90% to new highs [1] - The price surge is attributed to supply-demand imbalances and geopolitical factors, leading to a new normal in the small metals supply-demand landscape [1][2] - Companies are accelerating resource reserves and expanding production capacity in response to market conditions [1][3] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global production of small metals has significantly declined over the past decade, while demand continues to grow, creating a supportive environment for price increases [1][2] - Antimony, used as a clarifying agent in photovoltaic glass, has seen its demand from the solar industry rise from 5% in 2019 to 23% in 2023, driving structural changes in the antimony market [2] - Cobalt prices have surged due to export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with expectations of continued upward trends [2] Company Performance - In 2024, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved revenue of 213.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.37%, and a net profit of 13.53 billion yuan, up 64.03% [2] - Jinmo Co. reported a net profit of 2.98 billion yuan in 2024, while Xiamen Tungsten achieved 1.74 billion yuan, and Tin Industry Co. reported 1.44 billion yuan [3] - The small metals sector is characterized by a structural bull market, with significant price increases for antimony, tungsten, molybdenum, and tin [2][3] Resource Strategy - Companies are actively seizing opportunities to enhance production and resource reserves in response to growing demand [3][4] - Jinmo Co. aims to improve the efficiency of its value chain and focus on high-value molybdenum manufacturing and new material development [4] - Luoyang Molybdenum reported record production levels for copper, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus in 2024, with plans for further copper production expansion [4]

动力煤龙头兖矿能源（600188）(600188.SH、01171.HK)将获控股股东注入煤炭资源。 4月8日晚间，兖矿能源发布资产收购计划。公司拟以现金140.66亿元收购控股股东山东能源集团权属公 司山东能源集团西北矿业有限公司(简称"西北矿业")51%股权，其中以现金47.48亿元受让西北矿业26% 股权，以现金93.18亿元向西北矿业增资。 实施百亿元级收购，兖矿能源将减少与山东能源集团之间的同业竞争问题。同时，通过对山东能源集团 优质煤炭资源的整合，兖矿能源将进一步增厚其在西北地区的煤炭资源储备，进而增强盈利能力。 长江商报记者注意到，由于煤炭市场震荡下行，商品煤价格下跌致煤炭业务盈利下滑，2024年，兖矿能 源实现营业收入1391.24亿元，同比减少7.29%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润144.25亿元，同比减少 28.39%。 报告期内，兖矿能源(合并口径，下同)的煤炭销售价格为672.18元/吨，同比减少约16.3%。 本次交易中，西北矿业现有股东方作出业绩承诺，2025年至2027年，西北矿业对应的经审计的扣除非经 常性损益后归母净利润累计不低于71.22亿元。 拟140亿取得西北矿业51% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [22]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with operating income at 3.251 billion yuan, down 37.79% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 2.58 billion yuan, down 24.56% year-on-year [3][15]. - The lithium business showed a mixed performance with a production of 11,566 tons, down 4.12% year-on-year, but sales volume increased by 31.68% to 13,582 tons due to rising market demand [4]. - The potassium business faced challenges with a production of 1.073 million tons, down 1.94% year-on-year, and sales volume down 19.21% [5]. - The investment income from the Giant Dragon Copper Mine was a significant contributor, amounting to 1.928 billion yuan, representing a 48.77% increase year-on-year and accounting for 74.72% of the company's net profit [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 927 million yuan, a 65% increase quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 712 million yuan, up 25% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The average selling price of lithium carbonate in 2024 was 85,000 yuan per ton, down 60.81% year-on-year, while the average market price was 90,500 yuan per ton, down 65.6% [4]. - The average selling price of potassium chloride was 2,305.66 yuan per ton, down 14.91% year-on-year [5]. Business Segments - The lithium segment's gross margin was 45.44%, down 35.07 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased costs from brine prices and equipment maintenance [4]. - The potassium segment's gross margin was 44.83%, down 11.37 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased environmental compliance costs [5]. - The company is expanding its lithium, potassium, and copper operations, with significant progress in obtaining mining rights and project developments [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 3.013 billion, 4.133 billion, and 6.159 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting an upward adjustment due to unexpected copper price increases [7]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19, 14, and 9 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [7].