Core Insights - The performance of Zhejiang Commercial Bank in Q3 2025 is generally in line with expectations, with cumulative operating income and net profit attributable to shareholders declining by 6.8% and 9.6% year-on-year respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - Cumulative operating income and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 6.8% and 9.6% year-on-year, while Q3 2025 saw a single-quarter operating income and net profit decline of 8.9% and 18.4% respectively [1] - The net interest margin for Q3 2025 was 1.56%, a year-on-year decrease of 10 basis points, with the decline narrowing compared to the 17 basis points drop in Q2 [1] - The cost of liabilities improved, with a year-on-year decrease of 37 basis points to 1.8%, while the yield on interest-earning assets fell by 45 basis points to 3.46% [1] - Non-interest income decreased by 18.5% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with net fees down 33.6% and other non-interest income down 14.1%, impacting revenue by 2 percentage points and 3 percentage points respectively [1] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at the end of Q3 2025 was 1.36%, unchanged from the end of Q2, with a cumulative non-performing loan generation rate of 1.5% for the first three quarters, down 17 basis points year-on-year [2] - The credit cost decreased by 10 basis points year-on-year to 0.71%, supporting net profit [2] - The provision coverage ratio at the end of Q3 2025 was 159.56%, a decrease of 10 percentage points from the end of Q2 [2] Capital Adequacy - The core capital adequacy ratio and total capital adequacy ratio at the end of Q3 2025 were 8.4% and 12.15% respectively, with a 1 basis point increase and a 16 basis point decrease from the previous quarter [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast and outperform industry rating remain unchanged, with the A-share trading at 0.40x P/B for 2025E/2026E and a target price of 3.55 yuan, indicating a 17.6% upside [2] - The H-share is trading at 0.28x P/B for 2025E/2026E, with a target price of 3.01 HKD, reflecting a 14.4% upside [2]

Core Viewpoint - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reported positive growth in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a clear recovery in operational efficiency [1]. Group 1: Revenue and Profit Growth - For the first three quarters of 2025, ICBC achieved revenue of 611 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with four out of the last five quarters showing positive growth [2]. - Net profit reached 271.9 billion yuan, up 0.5% year-on-year, marking a successful turnaround from negative growth in the first half of the year [2]. - The cost-to-income ratio stood at 26.55%, maintaining a strong efficiency level, with a slight decline in net profit margin in the first half of the year [2]. Group 2: Asset Scale and Support for the Real Economy - As of the end of September, ICBC's total assets exceeded 52.81 trillion yuan, growing by 8.2% compared to the end of the previous year [2]. - The bank provided over 4 trillion yuan in incremental funding to the real economy during the first three quarters, with customer loan balances reaching 30.45 trillion yuan, a 7.3% increase from the end of last year [2]. - The number of corporate clients reached 14.43 million, while individual clients surpassed 780 million, solidifying the customer base for long-term business expansion [2]. Group 3: Non-Interest Income and Risk Management - Non-interest income became a key driver of revenue growth, with net fee income reaching 90.9 billion yuan, a 0.6% year-on-year increase [3]. - Wealth management business showed strong performance, with corporate and personal financial management income growing by 25% and 3%, respectively [3]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.33% as of the end of September, down 1 basis point from the end of the previous year, indicating improved asset quality [3]. Group 4: Outlook on Net Interest Margin - ICBC's management expressed optimism regarding the net interest margin (NIM), which was 1.28% for the first three quarters, with an expectation to maintain around 1.26% for the full year [5]. - The management noted that the decline in interest rates for newly issued corporate and retail loans has slowed, signaling potential stabilization in interest income [5][6]. - The bank's assessment is based on regulatory focus on NIM and signs of improvement in the spread between deposit and loan rates [6].

Core Viewpoint - The six major state-owned banks in China reported stable growth in operating performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total operating income of approximately 2.73 trillion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.07 trillion yuan, despite pressures to reduce costs for the real economy [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The six major banks collectively achieved a net profit of over 389.8 billion yuan in the third quarter, averaging over 4.2 billion yuan in daily profit [3]. - All six banks reported positive year-on-year growth in both operating income and net profit for the first three quarters [3][4]. - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) led with a net profit of 269.9 billion yuan, followed by China Construction Bank (CCB) and Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) with net profits of 258.4 billion yuan and 220.9 billion yuan, respectively [4][6]. Group 2: Profit Growth Disparities - The net profit growth rates varied significantly among the banks, with ABC leading at 3.03%, while CCB, ICBC, and Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) had growth rates below 1% [5][7]. - China Bank's net profit growth in the third quarter was 5.09%, attributed to improved asset quality and reduced tax rates [7]. Group 3: Revenue Trends - All six banks achieved positive revenue growth, with ICBC, ABC, CCB, and China Bank showing growth rates of 2.17%, 1.97%, 0.82%, and 2.69%, respectively [8]. - China Bank experienced the fastest revenue growth, driven by strong non-interest income, while CCB faced significant pressure leading to the lowest growth rate [8]. Group 4: Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin (NIM) for the six banks continued to decline, with PSBC having the highest NIM at 1.68%, followed by CCB and ABC at 1.36% and 1.30%, respectively [10][11]. - The decline in NIM is a significant challenge for the banking sector, impacting interest income and overall revenue [9][10]. Group 5: Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income has become a crucial supplement to profitability, with ABC and PSBC achieving double-digit growth in fee and commission income [12]. - Investment income for five of the six banks showed positive growth, effectively offsetting the pressure from declining NIM [12].

净息差降幅收窄，其他非息收入表现亮眼。我们测算的公司2025 年三季度单季度净息差1.22%，较二季 度下降5bps，但息差降幅有所收窄。受净息差持续下降等因素影响，公司前三季度净利息收入同比下降 3.8%至20.58 亿元，增速较上半年下滑0.93pct。此外，手续费及佣金净收入0.68 亿元，同比增长 21.3%；其他非息收入9.35 亿元，同比增长20.8%，表现亮眼。成本收入比同比下降2.99pct 至29.9%，成 本控制效果显著。 业绩平稳增长，拨备反哺利润。公司2025 年前三季度分别实现营收、归母净利润32.21 亿元、17.08 亿 元，分别同比增长0.08%、5.01%，增速较上半年分别下滑0.13pct、0.21pct。其中三季度单季实现营收 9.41 亿元，同比下降0.23%；实现归母净利润5.30 亿元，同比上升4.54%。公司2025 年前三季度年化加 权ROE12.03%，同比下降0.88pct。从业绩增长归因来看，主要是净息差拖累营收增长，不过公司延续 了拨备反哺利润的趋势，另外其他非息收入贡献回暖。 规模扩张提速，结构以对公为主。公司2025 年9 月末总资产同比增长7.9% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank [2][11] Core Insights - Suzhou Bank's performance shows steady growth with a 2.02% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 7.12% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025 [5][11] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.83%, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 17 percentage points to 421% [5][11] - The bank's net interest income grew significantly, with a 23% year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, contributing to an overall increase in net interest income of 8.9% for the first nine months of 2025 [7][11] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and net profit projections for Suzhou Bank are as follows: - Total operating income (in million RMB): 2023: 11,866.12, 2024: 12,223.79, 2025E: 12,621.08, 2026E: 13,415.66, 2027E: 14,377.10 [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million RMB): 2023: 4,600.65, 2024: 5,068.21, 2025E: 5,440.45, 2026E: 5,867.74, 2027E: 6,353.92 [6] - The forecasted year-on-year growth rates for net profit are 17.41% for 2023, 10.16% for 2024, and 7.34% for 2025 [6] Market Data - As of October 30, 2025, Suzhou Bank's closing price was 8.13 RMB, with a market capitalization of 35,741 million RMB and a price-to-book ratio of 0.7 [2][5] - The bank's dividend yield is reported at 4.92% based on the most recent dividend announcements [2]

Core Viewpoint - Postal Savings Bank of China reported a steady increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating enhanced operational resilience despite a slight decline in return on equity [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank achieved operating income of 265.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 76.6 billion, also up 1% year-on-year [1]. - The weighted average return on equity was 10.67%, down 1.12 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Revenue Composition - Net interest income decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe than in the first half of 2025, indicating a gradual improvement in interest income growth since Q2 [2]. - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 20.2% year-on-year, with net other non-interest income growing by 27.5% [5]. Asset and Loan Growth - The bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 11.3% and 10% year-on-year, respectively, with a notable increase in loans driven primarily by corporate lending [3]. - As of Q3 2025, corporate loans accounted for nearly 94% of the loan growth, reflecting a strategic focus on key sectors amid weaker retail loan demand [3]. Deposit Stability - The growth rate of deposits remained stable, with total deposits increasing by 8.1% year-on-year, primarily driven by retail contributions [3]. - Retail deposits increased by 138.7 billion, while corporate deposits decreased by 27.8 billion [3]. Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.68%, a slight decrease of 2 basis points from the first half of 2025 [4]. - The bank's asset yield and cost of interest-bearing liabilities were 2.88% and 1.21%, respectively, reflecting ongoing pressure on asset yields [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 0.94%, slightly up by 2 basis points from Q2, but still considered low within the industry [6]. - The annualized non-performing loan generation rate was stable at 0.93%, with credit impairment losses increasing by 22.9% year-on-year [6][7]. Capital Adequacy - The bank's capital adequacy ratios improved, with the core tier 1 capital ratio at 10.65%, up by 12 basis points from the previous quarter [7]. - The bank is advancing its capital management strategies, potentially transitioning to advanced internal rating-based approaches to further enhance capital adequacy [7]. Future Outlook - The bank's strong asset quality, stable deposit base, and optimization potential in asset management position it well for future growth [8]. - The establishment of the China Postal Financial Asset Investment Company is expected to enhance the bank's comprehensive operational capabilities [8].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Changshu Bank has shown steady growth in net profit and revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, despite a slowdown in revenue growth compared to the first half of the year [4][5]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, Changshu Bank achieved a revenue of 9.05 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.36 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 12.8% [4][5]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 15.02%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.06 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Growth Rates - The year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit were 8.2%, 10.1%, and 12.8%, respectively, showing a decline of 1.9, 2, and 0.7 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [5]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 2.4% and 35.3%, respectively, with changes of 1.6 and -22 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [5]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans were 11.6% and 7.1%, indicating a steady increase in loan growth [6]. Deposit Trends - By the end of Q3 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for interest-bearing liabilities and deposits were 11.4% and 9.7%, with changes of +1.9 and -0.2 percentage points compared to the end of Q2 2025 [7]. Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin (NIM) for the first three quarters was 2.57%, narrowing by 1 basis point and 14 basis points compared to the first half of 2025 and 2024, respectively [8]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first three quarters was 1.98 billion, growing by 35% year-on-year, but its proportion of total revenue decreased to 21.9% [9]. Asset Quality - As of the end of Q3 2025, the non-performing loan ratio and attention ratio were 0.76% and 1.58%, remaining stable compared to mid-year [10]. - The loan loss provision for Q3 was 230 million, which was a decrease of 70 million year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in provision accumulation [10]. Capital Adequacy - By the end of Q3 2025, the core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 11.14%, 11.19%, and 13.66%, showing an increase of 0.41, 0.41, and 0.06 percentage points compared to Q2 2025 [11].

具体来看，截至10月30日收盘，农行、工行、建行、中行的总市值分别为2.74万亿元、2.59万亿元、1.92万亿元和1.69万亿元。 10月30日，四大国有银行今年前三季度的业绩悉数出炉。 | | 总资产 | | 营收 | | 净利润 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 规模(万亿元) | 增速(较上年末) | 规模(亿元) | 増速 | 规模(亿元) | 增速 | | 工商银行 | 52.81 | 8.18% | 6400.28 | 2.17% | 2718.82 | 0.52% | | 农业银行 | 48.14 | 11.33% | 5508.76 | 1.97% | 2223.23 | 3.28% | | 建设银行 | 45.37 | 11.83% | 5737.02 | 0.82% | 2584.46 | 0.52% | | 中国银行 | 37.55 | 7.10% | 4912.04 | 2.69% | 1895.89 | 1.12% | 工行、农行新增贷款超2万亿元 从总资产规模来看，工行仍位居四大行首位，截至今年9月末，工行资产 ...

Core Insights - The four major state-owned banks in China have shown significant growth in total assets, revenue, and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a focus on loan issuance to support this growth [2][6]. Asset Growth - As of September 2023, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) leads with total assets of 52.81 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.18% from the end of the previous year. Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) and China Construction Bank (CCB) follow with 48.14 trillion yuan and 45.37 trillion yuan, both exceeding 11% growth [2][3]. - China Bank (BOC) reported total assets of 37.55 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1% [2]. Loan Issuance - ABC and ICBC each issued over 2 trillion yuan in new loans, with ABC at 2.08 trillion yuan (8.36% growth) and ICBC at 2.08 trillion yuan (7.33% growth). CCB and BOC issued 1.84 trillion yuan and 1.76 trillion yuan, with growth rates of 7.1% and 8.15%, respectively [2][3]. Loan Focus Areas - Key loan sectors include manufacturing, strategic emerging industries, private enterprises, agriculture, and green finance. ICBC's manufacturing loans exceeded 5 trillion yuan, while ABC's county-level loans reached 10.90 trillion yuan, growing by 10.57% [3][6]. Market Performance - The stock prices of the four major banks have increased this year, with ABC leading at a 57.72% rise, followed by ICBC at 18.05%, CCB at 10.06%, and BOC at 7.12%. ABC's market capitalization has risen to second globally among banks, only behind JPMorgan Chase [3][4]. Revenue and Profit Growth - All four banks achieved growth in both revenue and net profit, with BOC showing the fastest revenue growth at 2.69%. ABC led in net profit growth among the four banks [6][7]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios for the banks are as follows: ICBC at 1.33%, ABC at 1.27%, CCB at 1.32%, and BOC at 1.24%, all showing slight decreases from the beginning of the year [6][7]. Interest Income Trends - The net interest income for all four banks has declined, with ICBC at 4.73 trillion yuan (down 0.7%), ABC at 4.27 trillion yuan (down 2.4%), CCB at 4.28 trillion yuan (down 3%), and BOC at 3.26 trillion yuan (down 3.04%) [7][8]. Non-Interest Income Growth - Non-interest income has increased for the banks, with ICBC, CCB, and BOC reporting growth rates exceeding 11%, reaching 1.67 trillion yuan, 1.46 trillion yuan, and 1.65 trillion yuan, respectively [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the four major state-owned banks in China for the first three quarters of 2023 shows overall growth in total assets, revenue, and net profit, with a significant focus on loan issuance and non-interest income expansion [1][7]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of the end of September 2023, the total assets of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reached 52.81 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.18% from the end of the previous year [2][4]. - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) and China Construction Bank (CCB) followed with total assets of 48.14 trillion yuan and 45.37 trillion yuan, respectively, both showing growth rates exceeding 11% [2][4]. - The total assets of Bank of China (BOC) stood at 37.55 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1% [2][4]. - ABC and ICBC each issued over 2 trillion yuan in new loans, with ABC's new loans at 2,081.39 billion yuan (8.36% growth) and ICBC's at 2,079.70 billion yuan (7.33% growth) [3][4]. Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth - All four banks achieved growth in both revenue and net profit, with BOC showing the fastest revenue growth at 4,912.04 billion yuan (2.69% year-on-year) [7][8]. - ABC led in net profit growth among the four banks [8]. Group 3: Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios for ICBC, ABC, CCB, and BOC were 1.33%, 1.27%, 1.32%, and 1.24%, respectively, all showing slight declines from the beginning of the year [8][9]. - ABC had the highest provision coverage ratio at 295.08%, while CCB's coverage ratio increased by 2.3 percentage points from the start of the year, indicating enhanced risk mitigation capabilities [8][9]. Group 4: Non-Interest Income and Market Performance - The banks are actively expanding non-interest income, with ICBC, CCB, and BOC reporting non-interest income of 166.61 billion yuan, 146.10 billion yuan, and 165.41 billion yuan, respectively, all with growth rates exceeding 11% [11][12]. - The stock prices of all four banks have increased this year, with ABC's stock price rising by 57.72%, making it the second-largest bank by market capitalization globally, following JPMorgan Chase [5][6].