证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 30 日 农业银行（601288.SH） 如何理解农行其他非息逆势高增？ 农业银行披露 2025 年一季度报，25Q1 营业收入、PPOP、归母利润同比增速 分别为+0.4%、-0.3%、+2.2%，营收利润均保持正增长。（更多图表见正文） 1、营收利润为何能正增长？上市中大型银行中，一季度营收利润双正增长的银 行不多，农行作为国有大行，营收利润增速延续正增长是难得的表现，核心得 益于其他非息逆势高增长继续对业绩形成正贡献。 2、其他非息逆势为何逆势高增长？一季度债市调整，银行业其他非息普遍承压， 不少银行明显负增长，对营收业绩形成拖累。但是农行其他非息增速不降反升， 25Q1 其他非息增速 45.3%，较 24 年全年增速进一步上行。债市调整情况下， 其他非息逆势高增说明农行可能在一季度利率低点时进行了兑现，一方面实现 了 OCI 浮盈进入投资收益，另一方面减少了债市调整导致的浮亏幅度。24 年末 农行 TPL 投资（以公允价值计量且其变动计入当期损益）余额 0.51 万亿元， OCI 投资（以公允价值计量且其变动计入其他综合收益）余额 3.43 万亿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Postal Savings Bank, with current prices at 5.35 CNY and 4.85 HKD respectively [1][10]. Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank's Q1 2025 report shows stable revenue at 893.6 billion CNY, with a slight year-over-year decline of 0.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is 252.5 billion CNY, down 2.6% year-over-year [2][3]. - The bank's non-interest income has increased its contribution to total revenue, rising to 22.9%, up 4.9 percentage points from the previous year [3][4]. - The bank's loan and interest income growth rates are 9.8% and -3.8% respectively, indicating a shift towards non-interest income sources [3][4]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the bank's net interest margin decreased to 1.71%, down 16 basis points from 2024, primarily due to lower asset yields [6][10]. - Non-interest income grew by 14.8% year-over-year, reaching 205.1 billion CNY, with significant contributions from fees and commissions [7][10]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains low at 0.91%, with a slight increase from the previous year [8][10]. Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 8% and 9.8% year-over-year, respectively, with loans making up 56.5% of interest-earning assets [4][5]. - The bank's deposit growth was robust, with total deposits increasing by 9.2% year-over-year, reflecting strong core funding capabilities [5][10]. Capital Adequacy - The risk-weighted assets (RWA) increased by 6.9% year-over-year, with a decline in capital adequacy ratios, indicating higher capital consumption due to increased lending [9][10]. - The bank's core tier 1 capital ratio stood at 9.21%, down from the previous year, but is expected to improve following a planned capital increase of 130 billion CNY [9][10]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a slight decline in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027, adjusting the forecast to 0.74, 0.75, and 0.78 CNY respectively [10][11]. - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratios for A-shares and H-shares are estimated at 0.7 and 0.55 respectively for 2025 [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank [1] Core Views - Suzhou Bank achieved a revenue of 12.2 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.1 billion, up 10.2% year-on-year [3] - The bank's credit maintains double-digit growth, with loans increasing by 12.7% year-on-year as of Q1 2025, and a steady expansion of its asset scale [5] - The bank's non-interest income growth has slowed but remains stable at around 35% of total revenue [9] - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% at the end of 2024 [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Suzhou Bank's operating income was 12.2 billion, with a net profit of 5.1 billion, reflecting a 3% and 10.2% increase year-on-year respectively [3] - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 3.25 billion, a 0.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.55 billion, up 6.8% year-on-year [3] Revenue and Profitability - The bank's net interest income decreased by 6.8% in 2024, while non-interest income grew by 27.6% [4] - The bank's cost-to-income ratio was 36.4% in 2024, with credit impairment losses at 9.2% of revenue [4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 0.83% at the end of 2024, with a coverage ratio of 447% [10][11] - The bank's credit risk management remains robust, with a significant reduction in new non-performing loans [10] Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the bank's core tier 1 capital ratio was 9.8%, indicating a solid capital base for future growth [11] - The bank's capital adequacy ratios are well above regulatory requirements, providing a strong buffer for potential risks [11] Future Outlook - The bank is expected to continue its expansion in both corporate and retail lending, with a focus on manufacturing and small micro-enterprises [5] - The report anticipates stable growth in non-interest income and improvements in asset quality, supporting sustainable development [12][13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ningbo Bank is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 28.09 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 24.96 CNY [4]. Core Views - The report highlights that Ningbo Bank's performance in Q1 2025 was primarily driven by scale expansion, cost reduction, and tax benefits, despite a slight slowdown in various performance metrics compared to 2024 [1][10]. - The bank's non-performing loan generation rate has begun to decline, indicating improved asset quality, while the bank has increased its provisioning efforts [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Ningbo Bank's revenue grew by 5.63% year-on-year, with pre-provision profit increasing by 10% and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 5.76% [1]. - The average daily balance of interest-earning assets increased by 17.79% year-on-year, with new asset scale reaching 270.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 94.3 billion CNY [1][17]. - New loans amounted to 162 billion CNY, up 53 billion CNY year-on-year, primarily driven by corporate loans and bill discounting [1][18]. Capital and Asset Quality - As of the end of Q1 2025, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 9.32%, down 0.52 percentage points from the end of the previous year, indicating challenges in balancing capital consumption with asset expansion [2]. - The bank's non-performing loan balance increased by 20.61% year-on-year, while the total loan amount grew by 20.41% [10]. - The non-performing loan generation rate (annualized) was 1.08%, down 12 basis points year-on-year, reflecting a slowdown in the generation of new non-performing loans [9][10]. Income and Cost Management - The net interest margin decreased by 7 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 1.8%, with a year-on-year decline of 10 basis points, slightly impacting net interest income growth [2][3]. - Non-interest income fell by 5.78% year-on-year, with net fee and commission income down by 1.32% [3][9]. - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 29.07%, a decrease of 2.46 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost control measures [9]. Future Outlook - For the full year of 2025, revenue growth is expected to be 6.50%, with net profit growth projected at 5.48% [10][12].

业绩回顾 宁波银行发布1Q25 业绩：营收同比增长6%，税前利润同比增长2%，净利润同比增长6%，业绩基本符 合预期。 1Q25 所得税费用同比下降。拨备计提增加使得1Q25 宁波银行税前利润同比增长2%，低于营收增速； 所得税同比减少，提升净利润增速至6%。 2024 年宁波银行所得税率上升是由于银行先核销后处置的不良处理节奏。 1Q25 业绩整体符合我们预期 发展趋势 规模扩张速度加快，增速快于预期。1Q25 宁波银行总资产、贷款、存款同比增长18%、20%、20%，增 速较此前加快。2025 年宁波银行信贷额度增加，自身也通过鲲鹏司库、波波知了、五管二宝、数字赋 能、四化五帮（专业化、数字化、平台化、国际化的经营逻辑；帮客户赚钱、省钱、管钱、找钱、帮员 工提升生活质量的五大服务模块）等创新产品和服务增加获客。 1Q25 新增贷款中，公司贷款占比86%、票据贴现占比17%、个人贷款占比-3%。新增存款中公司存款占 比84%。 净息差收窄，资产收益率下降快于负债成本率。我们估算宁波银行1Q25净息差1.80%，同比下降10bp、 环比下降9bp。其中资产收益率同比下降48bp、环比下降24bp 至3.62% ...

出品 | 搜狐财经 作者 | 冯紫彤 从股权到人事，从资产质量到业务结构，摆脱"恒大系"身份两年后，历史包袱沉重的盛京银行仍在艰难转型。 2024年，盛京银行实现营收85.77亿元，同比下降14.57%；实现归母净利润6.21亿元，同比下降15.21%。这是盛京银行5年来第四次出现营收、利润双降的情 况。但好消息是，同比降幅有了明显收窄。 在年报中，盛京银行明确提出其战略目标为 "一稳一提两增"，即稳增长、提质量、增效益、增效率。 效益难增：净息差仅0.8%，生息资产扩张难 在当前市场利率下行的背景下，上市银行利差空间被压缩导致利息净收入大幅下滑从而牵连营业收入的现象并不鲜见，不少大行也难逃息差焦虑和营收困 局。 但盛京银行的情况又有些不一样，体现在其息差水平实在太低了。 据国家金融监督管理总局最新数据，2024年第四季度，商业银行净息差为1.52%，环比下降0.01个百分点；其中城商行第四季度的净息差为1.38%，环比下降 0.05个百分点。 但盛京银行年报数据显示，2024年，其净息差仅0.8%，同比上年度下行16基点。目前，A股、H股共有50余家银行披露了2024年度净息差水平，低于1%的 仅盛京银行一 ...

| 项目 | 2024 年年度 | 2023 年年度 | 本期增减变动 | 各注 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 经费者发生的现金流量细缘 | -419,783,941.81 | 1,795,487,875.54 | -123.38% | 注1 | | 投资活动产生的现金流量净额 | 2,609,529,879.82 | -4,992,205,627.19 | 152.27% | 注2 | | 筹资量集生的现金流程度原 | -2,532,551,008.57 | 3,584,452,027.81 | -170.65% | 注3 | 日前，张家港行（002839）发布2024年年报。数据显示，张家港行营收净利双增长，资产规模扩张。与此 同时，该行面临利息收入大降、经营性现金流为负等挑战。 从整体业绩数据来看，张家港行在2024年展现出了一定的韧性。截至2024年末，其资产总额达到2189.08亿 元，较上年末增长5.69%。2024年该行营业收入达到47.11亿元，同比上升3.75%；归母净利润为18.79亿 元，同比上升5.13%。 然而，营收净利双增背后，张家港行也面 ...

全年建设银行营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为-2.5%、-4%、0.9%，增速较1-3Q24分别提 升0.8、0.2、0.8pct。全年净利息收入、非息收入增速分别为-4.4%、5.1%，较前三季度分别变动 +1.5、-1.7pct。全年成本收入比、信用减值损失/营收分别为28.6%、6.3%，同比分别变动+1.3、-0.7pct。 拆分盈利增速结构：规模、拨备为主要贡献分项，拉动业绩增速15.5、4.9pct。从边际变化看，规模扩张提 速、息差负向拖累收窄为提振因素；非息收入增长放缓、拨备正向贡献减弱、营业费用贡献转负为主要拖 累因素。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 点评： 营收负增幅度收窄，盈利增长提速 3月28日，建设银行发布202 ...