以下文章来源于一丰看金融 ，作者光大证券银行组 一丰看金融 . 分享经济金融领域大事小情，路边新闻 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 商业银行1-3Q净息差为1.42%，较25H1持平，较去年同期下降11bp。分银行类型看，国有行、股份行、城 商行、农商行息差分别为1.31%、1.56%、1.37%、1.58%，股份行净息差较25H1略升1bp，其他类型银行 息差较25H1持平。 四、资产质量总体稳健，不良率较2Q末略升3bp，拨备覆盖率保持200%以上 不良率较上季末提升3bp至1.52%。25Q3末，商业银行不良贷款余额3.52万亿，较2Q末增加883亿；商业银 行不良贷款率为1.52%，较2Q末提升3bp；关注贷款率为2.2%，较2Q末提升3bp ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Changshu Bank has shown steady growth in net profit and revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, despite a slowdown in revenue growth compared to the first half of the year [4][5]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, Changshu Bank achieved a revenue of 9.05 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.36 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 12.8% [4][5]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 15.02%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.06 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Growth Rates - The year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit were 8.2%, 10.1%, and 12.8%, respectively, showing a decline of 1.9, 2, and 0.7 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [5]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 2.4% and 35.3%, respectively, with changes of 1.6 and -22 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [5]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans were 11.6% and 7.1%, indicating a steady increase in loan growth [6]. Deposit Trends - By the end of Q3 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for interest-bearing liabilities and deposits were 11.4% and 9.7%, with changes of +1.9 and -0.2 percentage points compared to the end of Q2 2025 [7]. Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin (NIM) for the first three quarters was 2.57%, narrowing by 1 basis point and 14 basis points compared to the first half of 2025 and 2024, respectively [8]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first three quarters was 1.98 billion, growing by 35% year-on-year, but its proportion of total revenue decreased to 21.9% [9]. Asset Quality - As of the end of Q3 2025, the non-performing loan ratio and attention ratio were 0.76% and 1.58%, remaining stable compared to mid-year [10]. - The loan loss provision for Q3 was 230 million, which was a decrease of 70 million year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in provision accumulation [10]. Capital Adequacy - By the end of Q3 2025, the core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 11.14%, 11.19%, and 13.66%, showing an increase of 0.41, 0.41, and 0.06 percentage points compared to Q2 2025 [11].

Core Insights - HSBC Holdings reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 4.8% and a pre-tax profit growth of 4.5% for Q1-3 2025, with an upward revision of the 2025 ROTE guidance to above 15% [1][2] - The company announced a third dividend payout of $0.1 per ordinary share, totaling approximately $1.72 billion [1] - The bank's total assets, loans, and deposits showed year-on-year growth of 4.4%, 1.4%, and 4.6% respectively as of September, indicating a recovery in credit demand in the UK [1][2] Financial Performance - The net interest margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 1.56%, with a slight increase from Q2 [1][2] - The bank's net interest income guidance for 2025 was raised from $42 billion to $43 billion, supported by effective interest rate hedging and optimized funding costs [2] - Non-interest income grew by 17.2% year-on-year for Q1-3 2025, driven by a 24.9% increase in wealth management revenue [2] Asset Quality and Capital Position - As of September, the non-performing loan ratio was 2.50% with a provision coverage ratio of 42%, indicating stable asset quality [2][3] - The core Tier 1 capital ratio decreased slightly to 14.5%, with expectations of further pressure due to the privatization of Hang Seng Bank [3] - The company aims for a target price-to-book ratio of 1.50 for 2026, with projected net profits of $22.862 billion, $23.490 billion, and $25.804 billion for 2025-2027 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [1] Core Views - Changshu Bank's performance continues to lead its peers, with a 9M25 revenue of 9.1 billion yuan, up 8.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.4 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [4][9] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.76%, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 27 percentage points to 463% [4][9] - Long-term investors, including insurance and state-owned shareholders, have been actively increasing their holdings, reflecting confidence in the bank's growth potential [6][9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for Changshu Bank are as follows: - Total operating income (million yuan): 2023: 9,870.29, 2024: 10,909.24, 2025E: 11,601.01, 2026E: 12,497.16, 2027E: 13,688.58 [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (million yuan): 2023: 3,281.50, 2024: 3,813.26, 2025E: 4,197.26, 2026E: 4,758.90, 2027E: 5,449.21 [5] - The expected year-on-year growth rates for net profit are 19.60% in 2023, 16.20% in 2024, and 10.07% in 2025 [5] Performance Analysis - The bank's net interest income increased by 2.4% year-on-year in 9M25, while non-interest income growth slowed to 35.3% [6][10] - The loan growth rate for 3Q25 was 7.1%, with corporate loans contributing nearly 60% of the new loans [6][8] - The bank's cost-to-income ratio improved, contributing to profit growth [6][10] Credit Quality - The annualized NPL generation rate is estimated at 1.02%, with the majority of new NPLs expected to come from personal business loans [9] - The bank's proactive approach to asset disposal has helped maintain a low NPL ratio [9] Market Position - Changshu Bank's current price-to-book (PB) ratio is 0.65, indicating potential for value appreciation [9] - The bank is expected to continue its high-quality growth trajectory, supported by its strategic focus on small and medium-sized enterprises and retail banking [9]

Core Insights - Brazil's central bank reported a 1.1% month-on-month increase in national credit volume for September, reaching 6.844 trillion reais [1] - The growth in credit was driven by a rebound in corporate and personal loan issuance, with free resource loans rising by 8.1% and directed resource loans increasing by 8.2% [1] - The non-performing loan rate for free resource loans improved slightly from 5.4% in August to 5.3% in September, marking two consecutive months of improvement [1] - Average interest rates for free credit loans decreased to 45.5%, down 0.4 percentage points, while directed credit rates fell to 11.1%, down 0.6 percentage points [1] - The banking spread in free credit business narrowed to 31.9 percentage points, compared to 32.2 percentage points in the previous month [1] - Analysts noted that the credit growth indicates a recovery in corporate financing activities and a gradual restoration of consumer credit demand, although high interest rates raise questions about the sustainability of loan expansion [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Jiangyin Bank (002807.SZ) with a current price of 4.80 yuan [1]. Core Views - Jiangyin Bank's net interest income has returned to positive growth, and profitability continues to show double-digit high growth. For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank achieved revenue of 3.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.28 billion yuan, up 13.4% year-on-year [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit growth rates for the first three quarters were 6.2%, 10.9%, and 13.4%, respectively, with declines of 4.3, 3.8, and 3.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [4]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 9.05%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Income Structure Summary - Net interest income and non-interest income growth rates for the first three quarters were 1.2% and 17.7%, respectively, with changes of +1.4 and -12.5 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [4]. - Non-interest income accounted for 33.2% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 17.7% [7]. Asset and Liability Management Summary - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the bank's interest-bearing assets and loans grew by 4.5% and 8.6% year-on-year, respectively, showing slight acceleration compared to the second quarter [5]. - The bank's deposit growth remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 12.4% in deposits [6]. Risk Management Summary - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 0.85%, with a slight decrease from the previous quarter [8]. - The bank's capital adequacy ratios were robust, with the core tier one capital ratio at 13.77% [8]. Profitability Forecast and Valuation Summary - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 to be 0.91, 0.98, and 1.05 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios of 0.58, 0.53, and 0.49 [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has experienced a slowdown in growth, with total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 3.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.03%, while the third quarter saw a decline of 4.41% due to a drop in non-interest income [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 1.526 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.85%, with a 6.22% increase in the third quarter, primarily due to improved asset quality and reduced asset impairment losses [1] - The net interest margin has widened, with net interest income growing by 6.1% year-on-year, and the net interest margin for the first three quarters reported at 1.49%, a slight decrease of 3 basis points year-on-year but an improvement compared to the first half of the year [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total assets at the end of the period were 230.3 billion yuan, a 4.4% increase from the beginning of the year, with total loans amounting to 133.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.0% growth [2] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.98%, with a provision coverage ratio of 197%, which increased by 5 percentage points from the previous quarter [2] Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.034 billion yuan, 2.198 billion yuan, and 2.444 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 5.8%, 8.1%, and 11.2% [3][4] - The price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.52x, 0.48x, and 0.44x, indicating a favorable valuation [3][4] Market Position and Strategy - The company primarily serves small and micro enterprises, facing intense competition and weak credit demand, which may pressure short-term operations [3] - However, the solid customer base and regional advantages suggest that the small loan market will improve with steady economic recovery, indicating good long-term growth potential [3]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Bank reported a revenue of 11 billion and a net profit of 4 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 5% and 15.5% respectively, with a return on average equity (ROAE) of 13.16% [1] Revenue and Profitability - The bank's revenue growth was pressured by non-interest income, while profitability maintained a double-digit growth. Year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit were 5%, 7.6%, and 15.5% respectively, showing a decline compared to the first half of 2025 [2] - Net interest income grew by 12%, while non-interest income decreased by 10.7%, indicating a widening negative growth in non-interest income [2][5] Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 15.9% and 13.3% year-on-year, respectively, indicating steady credit growth and asset expansion [2] - New loans in Q3 amounted to 6.9 billion, with corporate loans increasing by 7.9 billion and retail loans decreasing by 1.1 billion, highlighting the strong performance of corporate lending [3] Deposit and Liability Management - The bank's interest-bearing liabilities and deposits grew by 15.3% and 12.5% year-on-year, respectively, with stable deposit growth [4] - New deposits in Q3 totaled 15.6 billion, with corporate and personal deposits increasing by 9.5 billion and 6.1 billion respectively [4] Non-Interest Income and Risk Management - Non-interest income for the first three quarters was 2.87 billion, down 10.7% year-on-year, with a declining contribution to total revenue [5] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio and attention ratio were 1.1% and 0.55% respectively, indicating stable asset quality [5] Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 8.75%, 10.18%, and 13.14% respectively, showing stable capital adequacy [6] Future Outlook - The bank aims to continue its strategic focus on structural adjustment, customer base strengthening, and operational efficiency, with expectations of stable growth in net interest income and double-digit profit growth [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ruifeng Bank (601528) [1] Core Views - The bank's performance in the third quarter of 2025 shows a stable growth in profits despite external pressures, with a year-on-year increase in net profit of 5.8% [4][6] - The net interest income has shown a significant recovery, contributing positively to revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [6][8] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.98%, with a provision coverage ratio improving to 345% [4][8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For 2025, the total revenue is projected to be 4,437.70 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.20% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2,021.95 million, reflecting a growth rate of 5.22% [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 10.22% for 2025 [5] Performance Analysis - The bank's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 is 33.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [4] - The interest margin for the first nine months of 2025 is reported at 1.49%, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 3 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter increase [8] - The bank's loan growth has slowed to 6.8% in the third quarter of 2025, down from 10.3% in the second quarter [6][9] Strategic Outlook - The management's focus on sustainable profit growth is evident, with strategies in place to enhance revenue from small and micro enterprises [6][8] - The report highlights the importance of stabilizing interest margins and managing costs effectively to support future growth [8] - The bank is expected to benefit from government subsidies for small enterprises, with approximately 50 million remaining to be confirmed in the fourth quarter [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 18.11 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 17.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.5 billion CNY, up 5% year-on-year [2]. - The bank's return on average equity (ROAE) stands at 15.2%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.4 percentage points [2]. - The bank's performance shows resilience in profit growth despite a slowdown in revenue and profit growth rates compared to the first half of the year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Chengdu Bank's revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit growth rates for the first three quarters of 2025 were 3%, 2.4%, and 5% respectively, indicating a decline in growth rates compared to the first half of the year [3]. - Net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 8.2% and -16.5% respectively, with non-interest income showing a significant negative growth [3]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, Chengdu Bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 13.9% and 17.4% year-on-year, indicating a steady expansion in scale [4]. - The bank's corporate loans showed strong growth, while retail loans faced pressure, with corporate loans growing at 19% year-on-year [4]. Liability and Deposit Trends - The growth rate of interest-bearing liabilities and deposits was 11.4% and 12.6% respectively, showing a slight slowdown compared to the previous quarter [5]. - The trend towards more fixed-term deposits continues, with a significant increase in the proportion of fixed-term deposits [5]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first three quarters was 3.04 billion CNY, down 16.5% year-on-year, with a notable decline in net fee and commission income [6]. - The bank's other non-interest income also decreased by 13% year-on-year, affected by fluctuations in the bond market [7]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - Chengdu Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 0.68% at the end of Q3 2025, indicating stable asset quality [7]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio remains high at 433.1%, reflecting strong risk absorption capacity [8]. Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's core tier 1 capital ratio, tier 1 capital ratio, and total capital ratio were 8.77%, 10.52%, and 14.39% respectively, showing an increase from the previous quarter [8]. - The issuance of 11 billion CNY in perpetual bonds has effectively supplemented the bank's capital [8]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Chengdu Bank is expected to benefit from strategic opportunities in the Chengdu metropolitan area, with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 at 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY respectively [9]. - The current stock price corresponds to PB valuations of 0.86, 0.77, and 0.70 for 2025-2027, and PE valuations of 5.73, 5.53, and 5.41 [9].