风电行业发展
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旺季来临政策助力 风电行业景气度有望持续攀升
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-20 20:10
Core Insights - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" sets a clear target for China's wind power industry, aiming for an annual new installed capacity of no less than 120 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][2] - The wind power sector is experiencing accelerated growth driven by both domestic and international markets, with a significant increase in project initiations during the third quarter [1][4] Summary by Sections Wind Power Development Goals - The declaration outlines that during the 14th Five-Year Plan, China's annual new installed capacity for wind power should not be less than 120 million kilowatts, with offshore wind power contributing at least 15 million kilowatts annually [2] - By 2030, the cumulative installed capacity of wind power in China is expected to reach 1.3 billion kilowatts, increasing to 2 billion kilowatts by 2035 and 5 billion kilowatts by 2060 [2] Domestic and International Market Dynamics - The wind power industry is benefiting from a dual market drive, with domestic offshore wind power entering a bidding peak, leading to improved profitability across the industry [4] - As of July 2023, China's renewable energy installed capacity reached 2.17 billion kilowatts, maintaining its position as the global leader, with wind power accounting for 570 million kilowatts and solar power exceeding 1.1 billion kilowatts [4] Policy and Innovation Collaboration - The declaration emphasizes the need for a robust management system to stimulate market potential and to combat unhealthy competition within the industry [5] - It advocates for the establishment of a collaborative innovation system involving government, industry, academia, research, application, and finance to support advancements in wind power technology [6] - The declaration also highlights the importance of developing supporting policies for green hydrogen, ammonia, and zero-carbon parks to accelerate technological maturity and market adoption [6]
金风科技(002202):风机盈利开启上行修复期 海外市场加速拓展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 08:26
Core Insights - Goldwind Technology is a leading global wind turbine manufacturer, demonstrating a strong competitive advantage through its integrated business model covering the entire wind power industry chain [1] - The company has maintained its position as the top player in the domestic market for 14 consecutive years, with a market share of 22% and a total new installed capacity of 18.67 GW in 2024 [1] - Globally, Goldwind achieved a new installed capacity of 19.3 GW in 2024, holding a market share of 15.9%, ranking first for three consecutive years [1] Business Segments Summary - **Wind Turbine Manufacturing**: In 2024, the revenue from wind turbine manufacturing is projected to be 389 billion yuan, accounting for 69% of total revenue. The industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with the average bidding price for wind turbines increasing by 10.3% year-on-year to 1616 yuan/kW by June 2025 [2][3] - **Wind Power Services**: The wind power services segment is expected to generate 55 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, representing 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21.5%. The operational capacity of the company's maintenance services reached 45.95 GW, a year-on-year increase of 37% [3] - **Power Generation**: The power generation segment has shown strong profitability, with a gross margin recovery to 57% in the first half of 2025. The average utilization hours for self-operated wind farms were 1255 hours, exceeding the industry average by 168 hours [2][3] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 741 billion yuan, 876 billion yuan, and 1030 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 30.7%, 18.2%, and 17.5%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 33 billion yuan, 42 billion yuan, and 51 billion yuan, with growth rates of 76.7%, 27.2%, and 21.1% [4]
风电行业点评报告:低估值高eps板块,Q3有望进入全年景气高点
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-09-19 11:04
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [7] Core Viewpoints - The offshore wind sector is expected to reach its peak in Q3, driven by optimistic domestic and international market conditions. Global offshore wind auction capacity is projected to reach 56.3GW in 2024, with an additional 100GW expected in the next two years. In China, the acceleration of offshore wind project construction since Q2 is anticipated to lead to a short-term performance realization in Q3 [1][2] - The profitability of components is expected to be strong due to the trend of larger wind turbines and expansion into overseas markets. The domestic wind turbine market is experiencing a shift towards larger models, leading to a temporary shortage of large components and increased bargaining power, resulting in excess profits in the component sector [2] - The turbine manufacturers are focusing on profit recovery and international expansion. Many turbine companies are entering a profit recovery phase, with improved cost structures and increased market demand. The price of wind turbines is expected to rise further, driven by a focus on quality and lifecycle economics [3][4] Summary by Sections Offshore Wind Market - The global offshore wind auction capacity is projected to reach 56.3GW in 2024, with an additional 100GW expected in the next two years. European countries are accelerating offshore wind projects, with significant increases in the number of grid-connected projects starting from 2026 [1] - In China, the acceleration of offshore wind project construction since Q2 is expected to lead to a performance realization in Q3, supported by policies promoting the "marine economy" and the advancement of deep-sea demonstration projects [1] Components Sector - The trend towards larger wind turbines is creating a temporary shortage of large components, enhancing the bargaining power of component manufacturers and leading to excess profits [2] - Domestic leading companies in the component sector are actively expanding into overseas markets, with significant increases in overseas orders expected to contribute to performance growth [2] Turbine Manufacturers - Turbine manufacturers are focusing on profit recovery through improved cost structures and increased market demand. The price of wind turbines is expected to rise further, driven by a focus on quality and lifecycle economics [3] - In 2024, domestic wind turbine exports are projected to reach 5.19GW, with cumulative exports expected to reach 20.79GW by the end of 2024. Companies like Goldwind and Mingyang Smart Energy are achieving breakthroughs in overseas markets [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment include: - Offshore wind infrastructure and towers: Dajin Heavy Industry, Haili Wind Power, and Tiensun Wind Energy - Submarine cables: Dongfang Cable, Zhongtian Technology, and Hengtong Optic-Electric - Castings and forgings: Jinlei Co., Riyue Co., and Guangda Special Materials - Turbine manufacturers: Goldwind, Yunda Co., Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy [5]
风电行业周报(20250908-20250914):周内山东海风招标0.6GW,陆风中标均价达1476元/kW-20250918
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-18 09:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the wind power industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights three main investment themes in the wind power sector: 1) The demand for deep-sea and European offshore wind is expected to benefit the offshore wind industry chain; 2) The prices of main engines have stopped declining and are on the rise, leading to improved profitability; 3) Focus on leading companies in components such as bearings, gearboxes, blades, and castings that have incremental business or overseas market potential [2][22] Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The total number of stocks in the industry is 303, with a total market capitalization of 67,702.67 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 60,461.44 billion [4] Wind Turbine Data - During the week, 0.6 GW of offshore wind was tendered in Shandong, with a total of 1.6 GW of wind turbines tendered, including 0.6 GW offshore and 1.0 GW onshore. The average winning bid for onshore wind was 1,476 yuan/kW [10][16] - As of September 12, 2025, the total tendered capacity for wind power this year is 62.4 GW, with 4.8 GW offshore and 57.7 GW onshore [10] Key Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Key companies in the industry have varying EPS and PE ratios for 2025E, with 东方电缆 (Oriental Cable) rated as "Strong Buy" and 明阳智能 (Mingyang Smart Energy) also rated as "Strong Buy" [3] Market Performance - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is 19.4%, 28.3%, and 71.4% respectively, indicating strong growth [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies such as 东方电缆 (Oriental Cable), 明阳智能 (Mingyang Smart Energy), and others that are positioned to benefit from the trends in the offshore wind market [22]
风电行业2025年半年报总结:风电维持高景气度,产业盈利持续改善
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-17 15:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the wind power industry, indicating a high level of optimism regarding its continued growth and profitability improvement [2]. Core Insights - The wind power industry is experiencing sustained high demand, with significant increases in installed capacity and profitability. In the first half of 2025, new wind power installations reached 51.4 GW, a year-on-year increase of 98.9% [9][22]. - The average bidding prices for onshore wind projects have started to recover, while offshore wind prices have stabilized. The average bidding price for onshore wind in Q1 and Q2 of 2025 was 1459 and 1543 CNY/kW, respectively, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase [15][22]. - The wind power sector's revenue and net profit have shown continuous growth, with total revenue of 2298.1 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, up 24.27% year-on-year, and a net profit of 126.9 billion CNY, up 15.01% year-on-year [24][30]. - Inventory and contract liabilities in the sector have reached their highest levels in five years, indicating a positive outlook for continued industry growth [30][38]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The wind power industry is witnessing a robust increase in installed capacity, with both onshore and offshore installations contributing significantly to growth [9][22]. - The bidding volume for wind turbines has increased, with a total of 71.9 GW of bids in the first half of 2025, reflecting strong market demand [9][22]. Financial Performance - The wind power sector's core companies achieved a revenue of 1364.4 billion CNY in Q2 2025, a 26.84% increase year-on-year and a 46.11% increase quarter-on-quarter [24][30]. - The net profit for the sector in Q2 2025 was 77.8 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 57.99% [24][30]. Company Analysis - Key companies in the wind power sector, such as Dongfang Cable and Zhongtian Technology, are projected to see significant earnings growth, with EPS estimates for 2025 at 2.29 CNY and 1.04 CNY, respectively [3][22]. - The report highlights specific investment opportunities in companies benefiting from the offshore wind demand and improving profitability in the component supply chain [30][38].
金风科技(002202):动态报告:风机盈利修复,海外成长可期
Minsheng Securities· 2025-09-15 08:10
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming year [5][45]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in wind turbine profitability, with significant growth potential in overseas markets. The domestic wind power project bidding volume increased by 8.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 71.9GW, with onshore wind projects dominating [2][18]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with external orders totaling 41.4GW as of the end of the first half of 2025, including a notable increase in overseas orders, which grew by 42.27% year-on-year [2][29]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 285.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.26%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.88 billion yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year [9][31]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 285.37 billion yuan, a 41.26% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.88 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.26% growth. The second quarter alone saw revenues of 190.65 billion yuan, a 44.18% increase year-on-year and a 101.28% increase quarter-on-quarter [9][31]. - The sales revenue from wind turbines and components was 218.52 billion yuan, a 71.15% increase, accounting for 76.58% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 7.97% [14][31]. Business Segments - Wind turbine and component sales are the primary revenue drivers, with significant growth in this segment. Wind farm development revenue decreased by 27.93% year-on-year, while wind power service revenue increased by 21.99% [14][31]. - The company is diversifying its business, focusing on wind turbine manufacturing, wind power services, and wind farm investment and development, with a strong emphasis on technological innovation and international market expansion [23][18]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 778.1 billion yuan, 881.4 billion yuan, and 959.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 33.6 billion yuan, 42.7 billion yuan, and 49.7 billion yuan [3][45]. - The report highlights the expected recovery in wind turbine profitability and the growth of international business as key drivers for future performance [2][45].
锡华科技冲击IPO,客户集中度较高,净利润连续两年下滑
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-04 09:33
Core Viewpoint - The surge in orders for solid-state battery production equipment has led to a collective rally in the A-share new energy sector, with companies like Xihua Technology and others in the solid-state battery and photovoltaic sectors experiencing significant stock price increases [1]. Company Overview - Xihua Technology primarily produces specialized components for wind turbine gearboxes, contributing over 82% of its revenue, with a high customer concentration [2][3]. - The company's products include planetary frames, gearbox bodies, torque arms, and flanges, designed to withstand harsh environmental conditions [2]. Financial Performance - Xihua Technology's revenue for 2022, 2023, and projected 2024 is approximately 9.42 billion, 9.08 billion, and 9.55 billion respectively, with a gross profit margin of 29.18%, 30.24%, and 25.91% [9][10]. - The net profit has shown a declining trend, with figures of about 1.84 billion, 1.77 billion, and 1.42 billion for the same years [9][10]. Market Dynamics - The wind power market is characterized by cyclical demand influenced by macroeconomic conditions and government policies, which can significantly impact the demand for wind turbine components [12]. - China is a major player in the global wind power market, accounting for 68% of the new installed capacity in 2024, with a total of 117 GW expected globally [12][15]. Competitive Landscape - Xihua Technology faces significant competition in the wind turbine gearbox sector, requiring continuous technological development to meet market demands [7]. - The company has a high customer concentration risk, with over 99% of its revenue coming from its top five clients, including a significant portion from a single client [9]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in demand starting in the second quarter of 2024, driven by improved supply capabilities for large megawatt products [10]. - Xihua Technology plans to raise approximately 1.5 billion for projects related to wind power core equipment and research center development through its IPO [18].
中金:风电行业盈利整体回升 2026年需求展望趋向乐观
智通财经网· 2025-09-04 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry in China is expected to see a gradual increase in demand by 2026, following a significant value uplift in 2025, with a notable growth in both onshore and offshore wind installations and output [1] Industry Trends - The forecast for new wind power installations in China for 2026 is set at 120-130 GW, with a potential slight decline in onshore installations, while offshore installations are expected to grow significantly to 13-17 GW [2] - The overall value of the wind power industry in 2026 is anticipated to remain healthy, with steady growth [2] - The manufacturing net profit margins in the industry are expected to recover significantly from the second half of 2025 into 2026 [2] - Demand for wind turbine components is projected to exceed expectations in 2026, with a focus on product upgrades [2] - The delivery of offshore wind towers is gradually increasing, while overseas offshore wind remains in a tight supply-demand cycle [2] - Continuous accumulation of orders for submarine cables is expected, with a gradual increase in delivery, particularly for 500kV products [2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the overall profitability of the wind power equipment industry showed a recovery, with total revenue and net profit (excluding non-recurring items) increasing by 40.1% and 25.9% year-on-year, respectively [1] - In the second quarter of 2025, total revenue rose by 45.6% year-on-year and 62.2% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit (excluding non-recurring items) increased by 33.5% year-on-year and 72.9% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Excluding the turbine segment, the net profit (excluding non-recurring items) for the first half and second quarter of 2025 increased by 59.1% and 69.8% year-on-year, respectively [1]
金风科技(002202):风机业务毛利率同比明显改善 海外业务大幅增长 期间费用率明显下降
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 12:44
Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology reported a significant increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving 28.537 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 41.26%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.488 billion yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items slightly decreased by 0.40% [1][2][3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 19.065 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.18% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 101.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same quarter was 919 million yuan, down 12.80% year-on-year but up 61.78% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The substantial revenue growth in the first half of 2025 was primarily driven by increased sales in the wind turbine and component segments [3] Margin and Cost Management - The overall gross margin for the wind power industry was 15.1% in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 3.07 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to the significant growth in revenue from the lower-margin wind turbine business [1][3] - The gross margin for the wind turbine business improved to 8%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a notable recovery in profitability for the main unit business [1][3] - The company successfully reduced its expense ratio by 3.58 percentage points year-on-year, demonstrating effective cost control measures [1][3] Business Segment Performance - The wind turbine and component business generated revenue of 21.85 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.15%, accounting for 76.58% of the company's total revenue [3] - The company sold 10.64 GW of wind turbine units from January to June 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 106.60%, with sales of units above 6MW becoming the main model, showing a 187% increase in sales capacity year-on-year [3]
泰胜风能: 华泰联合证券有限责任公司、粤开证券股份有限公司关于泰胜风能集团股份有限公司2024年度向特定对象发行股票并在创业板上市之发行保荐书
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-02 10:24
Group 1 - The issuer, Taisheng Wind Power Group Co., Ltd., is applying for a specific object stock issuance and listing on the ChiNext board, with Huatai United Securities as the sponsor [1][3] - The total share capital of the issuer as of June 30, 2025, is 934,899,232 shares, with 30.85% being restricted shares and 69.15% being unrestricted shares [7] - The top ten shareholders hold a total of 369,298,730 shares, accounting for 39.49% of the total share capital [7] Group 2 - The issuer's business includes sales of metal structures, onshore and offshore wind turbine sales, and manufacturing of marine engineering equipment [7] - As of June 30, 2025, the issuer's total assets amount to 1,015,133.58 million, with total liabilities of 559,493.05 million and shareholders' equity of 455,640.52 million [11] - The issuer's revenue for the first half of 2025 is reported at 229,854.49 million, with a net profit of 11,506.27 million [11] Group 3 - The fundraising amount for the stock issuance is expected to be no more than 117,592.92 million, which will be used to supplement working capital [25][26] - The issuance price is set at 6.76 per share, which complies with the regulations of not being lower than 80% of the average stock price over the previous 20 trading days [27][28] - The issuer has completed the necessary internal decision-making procedures for the stock issuance, including board and shareholder meetings [17][18]