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世界黄金协会:Q1全球黄金需求创2016年以来最高一季度水平
news flash· 2025-04-30 06:16
金十数据4月30日讯,世界黄金协会(WGC)周三表示,2025年第一季度全球黄金需求(含场外交易) 同比增长1%至1,206公吨,为2016年以来的最高一季度水平。黄金ETF资金流入大幅回升,推动总投资 需求增长至552吨,同比增长170%,这是自2022年第一季度以来的最高水平。第一季度金条和金币需求 保持在325吨的高位,比五年季度平均水平高出15%。全球黄金首饰需求(实物需求的主要类别)下降 21%至380.3吨,为2020年疫情以来最低水平。黄金需求的另一个主要来源——各国央行第一季度的购 买量减少了21%至243.7吨。 世界黄金协会:Q1全球黄金需求创2016年以来最高一季度水平 ...
每周投资策略-20250422
citic securities· 2025-04-22 10:03
Group 1: Japan Market Focus - The report highlights the commencement of tariff negotiations between Japan and the US, with potential concessions from Japan including LNG and military equipment purchases, and reduced agricultural import tariffs [11][13] - The report indicates that the Japanese economy's growth is expected to be driven by domestic demand, with a focus on companies with high domestic revenue, such as drugstore chains [19][20] - The report suggests that the Bank of Japan may consider raising interest rates in the second half of the year, with a target policy rate of 0.8%-1% by year-end [16][19] Group 2: India Market Focus - The report notes that India's overall CPI has dropped to its lowest level in nearly six years, which supports expectations for further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of India [33][34] - The report emphasizes that India's economy is primarily driven by domestic demand, making it less susceptible to external trade policy impacts, and forecasts a stable long-term growth trend despite short-term cyclical slowdowns [40][41] - The report identifies Tata Communications and HDFC Asset Management as key investment opportunities, with Tata Communications expected to see double-digit growth in data services revenue [42][41] Group 3: Gold Market Focus - The report discusses the increasing global demand for gold driven by geopolitical uncertainties and the impact of US tariff policies, which are expected to support higher gold prices [54][57] - The report anticipates that gold prices could reach $3,337 per ounce by mid-2025 under neutral conditions, with potential highs of $3,620 and lows of $3,081 under optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, respectively [54][57] - The report highlights investment opportunities in gold mining and jewelry sectors, specifically mentioning Shandong Gold and Laopu Gold as potential beneficiaries of rising gold prices [58][57]