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燃气轮机专题报告:行业高景气、供需错配,看好国产集成、零部件供应商优先受益
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-09 11:04
证券研究报告·行业研究·机械设备 燃气轮机专题报告: 行业高景气&供需错配,看好国产集成&零部件供应商优先受益 2 ◆ 在AIDC建设加速背景下,电力供需缺口持续放大,燃气轮机行业有望开启新一轮上行周期。①供需格局:需求 端快速释放,而供给受制于供应链约束及3–5年的交付周期显著滞后,2025年全球燃机意向订单已超80GW,实 际可交付产能不足50GW,供需缺口明确;②分功率产品优势:重型燃机具备大功率、长期稳定运行优势,中小 型燃机在灵活性与可靠性方面更具优势,均可适配AIDC用电需求,其中中小型燃机在数据中心场景下需求弹性 更强,相关机组订单增速显著;③区域分布:北美与中东形成双轮驱动格局,美国电力系统约束加剧推动新增 装机需求,中东则依托低气价优势与数据中心项目有望落地,燃机需求释放确定性较高。 ◆ 燃机市场替代空间大,看好国内设备商受益机会:AI数据中心建设带来大量用电需求,且对电力的可靠性、稳 定性提出较高要求。当前全球燃气轮机市场主要由美国西门子、GE、三菱重工、卡特彼勒(子公司索拉)等主 导,国产替代空间较大,建议关注国产品牌替代潜力:①杰瑞股份:公司已与西门子、贝克休斯、川崎签订合 作协议,具 ...
电力设备与新能源行业研究:风电行业2026年度策略:打破周期走向成长,板块迎来价值重塑
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-01-08 07:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the wind power industry, indicating a long-term growth trend driven by economic factors and increasing demand for renewable energy [6]. Core Insights - Global wind power demand is expected to maintain a long-term boom due to economic drivers and the increasing electrification needs, with projected global new installations of 167GW in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34%, and 196GW in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 18% [2][13]. - Domestic wind power installations are anticipated to break the five-year planning cycle, with significant contributions from offshore wind, replacement projects, and green electricity connections, leading to continued growth [2][14]. - The overseas wind power market is projected to experience sustained demand growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% from 2025 to 2030, particularly in the European offshore wind sector, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 32% [3][50]. Summary by Sections Economic Drivers of Global Wind Power Demand - The report highlights that the global wind power demand is expected to remain robust due to economic factors and the electrification trend, with specific forecasts for new installations in 2025 and 2026 [2][13]. - Domestic demand is supported by market reforms and initiatives such as "old-for-new" replacements and green electricity connections, with expectations of continued growth in installations [14][19]. Profitability and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is set to improve, with a notable increase in the average bidding price for onshore wind turbines in 2025, which is expected to rise by approximately 11% [4][29]. - The report recommends focusing on three main investment lines: turbine manufacturers, offshore cable and foundation suppliers, and component manufacturers benefiting from domestic and international market opportunities [6][51]. Offshore Wind Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the European offshore wind market is poised for significant growth, with a recovery in project bidding expected in 2026 after a period of delays and cancellations [59][67]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy adjustments in Europe that are likely to enhance project success rates and support continued demand growth in the offshore wind sector [59][61].
博盈特焊(301468) - 2026年1月7日投资者关系活动记录表
2026-01-07 09:52
Group 1: Company Performance and Market Expansion - The company has shown significant improvement in four areas: overseas market expansion, rapid business growth, potential in the oil and gas composite pipe industry, and strong confidence in creating long-term value for investors [1] - The overseas market demand for waste incineration is broad, driven by downstream transformation and policy support in developing countries, leading to increased penetration rates [1] - The new production base in Vietnam has begun to establish capacity and is entering the ramp-up phase, while the construction of the Daya production base is progressing orderly and is expected to be operational this year [1][2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns - The company has distributed approximately CNY 100 million in dividends since its listing, enhancing shareholder satisfaction [2] - A share repurchase plan of CNY 400 million is set to be implemented, with all repurchased shares to be canceled, further stabilizing and enhancing the company's investment value [2] - The company emphasizes continuous optimization of profit distribution mechanisms to share development dividends with investors through dividends and buybacks [2] Group 3: Production Capacity and Order Progress - The Vietnam production base has eight HRSG production lines under construction, with four expected to be operational in Q2 and the remaining four in Q4 of this year [2] - The company has received orders for HRSG products, with the production cycle approximately six months, and the first batch of orders is set to enter production soon [2] - The Daya base is planned to have two HRSG production lines, expected to be operational in 2026, primarily serving non-North American market demands [3] Group 4: Market Demand and Pricing Strategy - The demand for HRSG is increasing alongside the rising need for gas turbines driven by the rapid expansion of AI data centers in North America [3] - The pricing of HRSG products is determined by material costs, labor, and other expenses, with recent orders reflecting price increases compared to earlier contracts [3] - The company has obtained ASME certification and is progressing through the necessary production system certifications to enter the North American market [3]
1盒内存条堪比上海1套房?有人上亿资金囤货
投中网· 2026-01-07 06:32
以下文章来源于时代周报 ,作者朱成呈 时代周报 . 记录大时代,深读全商业。互联网新闻信息服务许可证编号:44120230006 将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 "电子茅台"涨价狂欢中。 作者丨 朱成呈 编辑丨 郭儒逸 来源丨 时代周报 "一盒内存条堪比上海一套房?"眼下,因存储市场价格持续高涨,令人咂舌的一幕正在上演。 如果说黄金是传统意义上的避险资产,那么在2025年下半年到2026年初的全球市场上,大幅跑赢金价 的,却是一根根不起眼的内存条。 全球DRAM(内存)市场正经历一轮"史上最强"的涨价周期。自2025年7月以来,DRAM价格持续快速上 行,多数品类涨幅超过100%。PCPartPicker数据显示,DDR4(内存)与DDR5(内存)年内已涨价2-3 倍。 进入2026年,这轮涨价不仅没有松动,价格变化的节奏反而在加快。行业人士吴深(化名)告诉时代周 报记者,"内存几乎一天一个价"。以256G的DDR5服务器内存为例,单根价格已超过4万元。"如果一次 采购100根,装在一个盒子里,就是400万元",他形容,"价值已经超过上海不少房产"。 △京东截图 TrendForce集邦咨询报告 ...
纳芯微涨超8%破顶 近日获纳入港股通 模拟芯片有望进入价格上行期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 04:11
纳芯微(02676)涨超8%,高见139.7港元再创新高。截至发稿,涨8.47%,报137港元,成交额1亿港元。 开源证券此前指出,ADI近日向客户发出调价通知,规划自2026年2月1日起,针对全系列产品启动涨价 机制,整体平均涨幅约15%。此前模拟芯片龙头德州仪器(TI)已于第三季月率先调涨价格,涨幅达10% 至30%以上。本次ADI涨价主要受各方面成本提升所致,从下游需求来看,工控、汽车领域缓慢复苏, AI数据中心拉动高功率、大电流模拟芯片需求。该行认为2026年随下游需求持续复苏及AI资本开支维 持高景气,国内模拟需求及价格亦存在上行机会。 消息面上,上交所、深交所近日发布公告称,因纳芯微在香港市场价格稳定期结束且相应A股上市满10 个交易日,将其调入港股通标的证券名单,自1月5日起生效。弗若斯特沙利文资料显示,2024年按模拟 芯片收入计,纳芯微在中国模拟芯片厂商中位列第五,同时也是国内前十厂商里唯一重点布局传感器、 信号链芯片、电源管理芯片三大产品线的企业。 ...
顺络电子(002138) - 2026年1月6日投资者关系活动记录表
2026-01-07 01:24
深圳顺络电子股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号:2026-001 | | √特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动类 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 | | 活动参与人员 | 卫宁投资 1 人;天风证券 3 人,华泰资产 2 人,共 6 人。 | | 时间 | 年 月 日 2026 1 6 | | 地点 | 公司 | | 形式 | 公司现场会议 | | 上市公司接待人员 | 董事会秘书 任怡 | | 姓名 | 证券事务代表 张易弛 | | | 回答投资者提问: | | | 1、请问公司AI数据中心的业务进展情况? | | | 回答: | | | 数据中心、服务器是公司战略布局新兴战略市场之一, | | | 公司立足于小型化、高精度、大功率技术优势,为客户供应 | | | 各类型的一体成型功率电感、组装式功率电感、超薄铜磁共 | | | 烧功率电感、钽电容产品等,并为客户定制配套的产品解决 | | | 方案。 | | 交流内容及具体问 | 公司基于对材料、设备、设计、制造工艺的能力,把 ...
高温合金行业深度:航空发动机换代与燃气轮机国产化下的确定性增长(附53页PPT)
材料汇· 2026-01-06 16:00
Group 1 - High-temperature alloys are critical materials in aerospace engines, gas turbines, and nuclear power equipment, directly influencing thrust, efficiency, and lifespan of high-end equipment [2][3] - The high-temperature alloy industry in China is accelerating due to the "Two Aircraft Special Project," the mass production of the C919 aircraft, breakthroughs in gas turbine localization, and the "dual carbon" strategy [2][4] - Nickel-based alloys dominate the market, accounting for 80% of demand, with deformation alloys making up 75% of production by 2024 [3][21] Group 2 - The production of high-temperature alloys in China increased from 19,000 tons in 2017 to 49,000 tons in 2023, with a CAGR of 17.1%, while demand rose from 21,000 tons to 52,000 tons, with a CAGR of 16.8% [4][34] - By 2024, production is expected to reach 57,000 tons, with aerospace (55%) and power generation (20%) as the main demand sectors [4][34] - The annual average demand for high-temperature alloys is projected to exceed 56,500 tons from 2025 to 2030, driven by factors such as the replacement of aircraft engines and the localization of commercial aircraft [4][39] Group 3 - The global high-temperature alloy market is expected to exceed $30 billion by 2025, with China's market projected to reach 120 billion yuan, growing at over 15% annually [5] - Domestic production capacity is expected to exceed 60,000 tons by 2025, but there remains a 30% supply gap for high-end products [5][6] - The domestic localization rate is anticipated to rise from less than 40% in 2020 to about 65% by 2025, supported by policies under the 14th Five-Year Plan [5][6] Group 4 - The industry is characterized by a "technology-driven, strong players" dynamic, with an expected annual compound growth rate of 15% from 2025 to 2027 [6] - Leading companies are achieving breakthroughs in niche markets, with notable revenue growth reported by companies such as Western Superconducting and Steel Research [6][8] - The competitive landscape shows a high concentration in upstream and a diverse midstream, with major players in the upstream segment like Fushun Special Steel [5][6] Group 5 - High-temperature alloys are primarily used in aerospace, accounting for over 50% of total demand, and are critical for the performance of advanced aircraft engines [26][34] - The demand for high-temperature alloys in gas turbines is expected to exceed 151,000 tons from 2025 to 2030, driven by domestic and international power generation needs [40][44] - The military sector is also a significant driver, with domestic naval gas turbines reaching international standards, enhancing the capabilities of the People's Navy [62]
供需缺口持续 白银中长期走势预计保持强劲
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-06 07:02
COMEX近月合约再现多头交割拿货、黄金情绪高涨,白银大涨,长期来看市场押注降息持续、供需缺 口连续5年持续,全球大财政均对白银长期有利,另外资源交易也是2026年一大主题,长期做多逻辑不 变。关注海外市场调仓风险。 基本面来看,目前白银供应端增长显著乏力,而需求端有明显增量,工业需求已成为核心的增长引擎, 今年全球光伏产业用银量显著提升,同时,新能源汽车和AI数据中心的发展也将带来大量需求,据世 界白银协会发布的最新数据,2025年全球白银市场的供需缺口预计超1亿盎司,白银市场连续第五年处 于供应短缺状态。此外,全球白银ETF持仓不断增加,可流通库存偏紧的格局为银价提供了弹性支撑。 因此,在战略资源、金融属性和工业属性的三重驱动下,白银中长期走势预计保持强劲。操作上建议 AG2604剩余多单中期持有。 宁证期货:短期白银受黄金避险影响,再度反弹 美国经济下行压力增加,市场普遍预期1月美联储不会降息,白银利空因素增加。短期白银受黄金避险 影响,再度反弹,但短期上方空间有限。 中辉期货:白银长期做多逻辑不变 1月6日盘中,沪银期货主力合约遭遇一波急速上涨,最高上探至19714.00元。截止发稿,沪银主力合约 报 ...
全球铜业龙头再进阶 金田股份以高端材料赋能新兴产业
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-05 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Jintian Co., Ltd. has successfully transformed from a leading copper processing company to a global advanced materials supplier during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with plans for high-end, international, and diversified development in the 15th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: Business Growth and Market Position - Jintian Co., Ltd. has achieved significant growth in its core business, with a compound annual growth rate of 8% in copper production from 2021 to 2024, reaching a total output of 1.9162 million tons of copper and copper alloy materials in 2024, making it the largest globally [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 919,800 tons of copper and copper alloy materials, maintaining its industry-leading position [1] - The company is recognized as one of the largest and most comprehensive producers of copper and copper alloy materials in China, as well as a technologically advanced player in the rare earth magnetic materials sector [1] Group 2: High-End Product Development - A key highlight during the 14th Five-Year Plan was the breakthrough in high-end products, with Jintian Co., Ltd. focusing on a "dual upgrade" strategy for products and customers, successfully developing high-performance copper-based materials with independent intellectual property rights [2] - The company’s products are widely used in cutting-edge fields such as new energy vehicles and AI data centers, with a 137% year-on-year increase in shipments of 800V high-voltage electromagnetic flat wires in the first half of 2025, accounting for 42% of total shipments [2] - Jintian Co., Ltd. has established partnerships with major companies like BYD, Geely, Xiaomi, and CATL, covering core modules of the three-electric system [2] Group 3: Emerging Market Focus - The company has made significant strides in emerging sectors such as AI data centers and robotics, with a 60% year-on-year increase in copper material sales in the cooling sector in the first half of 2025, and a 72% increase in copper busbar sales [3] - Jintian Co., Ltd. has begun supplying high-precision, high-conductivity micro electromagnetic wires for various robotic motors, laying the groundwork for future market expansion [3] - The company has been proactive in the rare earth permanent magnet and new energy electromagnetic flat wire sectors, with a production capacity of 9,000 tons for rare earth permanent magnet materials, and plans to expand this capacity to 13,000 tons [3] Group 4: Future Strategic Plans - Looking ahead, Jintian Co., Ltd. has outlined its strategic blueprint for the 15th Five-Year Plan, focusing on expanding production capacity in Thailand and Vietnam, and upgrading domestic facilities [4] - The company aims to concentrate on over 20 strategic projects in technology innovation, including the development of graphene copper composite materials [4] - Jintian Co., Ltd. is committed to becoming a globally leading supplier of copper and copper alloy materials, emphasizing high-end, international, and diversified strategies to enhance its market share and brand influence [4][5]
边停产边扩产,龙蟠科技拟20亿投建24万吨高压实磷酸铁锂
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 03:08
项目一期预计2026年一季度启动建设,2026年三季度竣工投产。 磷酸铁锂正极材料核心供应商龙蟠科技(603906.SH)再出扩产动作。 据该公司1月5日公告,为进一步扩大高性能磷酸铁锂产能,控股子公司常州锂源拟与江苏省金坛华罗庚 高新技术产业开发区管理委员会(下称"华罗庚高新区管委会")签署合作协议,以自有资金及自筹资 金,总投资不超过20亿元投建高性能锂电池正极材料项目。 12万吨新产能拟三季度投产 龙蟠科技称,停产检修预计减少常州锂源磷酸铁锂产量约5000吨,预计不会对公司2026年经营业绩产生 重大影响。 业内分析,扩产的核心考量是抢占技术与市场先机以满足未来订单,而短期停产检修的核心目的是保障 生产安全和稳价格,而公司牺牲部分产量减产的另一原因是成本压力大。 项目于2026年一季度启动建设,2026年三季度竣工投产,一期项目建成后产能不低于12万吨/年。二期 建设将根据市场情况适时启动。 最新公告显示,华罗庚高新区管委会将为项目开通落地绿色通道,包括但不限于"四证两评"(土地使用 权证、用地规划许可证、建筑工程规划许可证、建筑工程施工许可证和环评报告批复、节能审查批 复)。负责协调项目公司生产用电、 ...