做好封关政策实施准备。为提升贸易管理的透明度和开放度，商务部发布《海南自由贸易港禁止、限制 进出口货物、物品清单》，放宽98个商品编码产品进口管理，进一步优化贸易管理模式。清单出台后， 指导海南出台配套监管办法，并开展模拟演练，完善政策执行细节，加强风险识别和防范，确保政策实 施平稳顺畅。 支持海南开放创新发展。推动在海南实施对接国际高标准经贸规则的暂时进境修理、再制造产品进口等 试点，指导海南发布数据出境管理负面清单。支持海南全岛设立跨境电商综试区，深入实施跨境服务贸 易负面清单，有序推进医疗、增值电信等领域扩大开放试点。 下一步，商务部将以封关运作为契机，大力推进制度型开放，努力把海南自贸港打造成为引领我国新时 代对外开放的重要门户。将统筹发展和安全，抓好封关政策落地实施，推动贸易管理政策与"零关税"、 加工增值免关税等政策顺利衔接、形成合力，充分释放开放红利。积极扩大自主开放，主动对接国际高 标准经贸规则，以服务业为重点扩大市场准入和开放领域，完善跨境服务贸易负面清单管理制度，制定 提高贸易自由化便利化水平的政策措施。 来源：人民日报海外版 12月18日，海南自贸港将启动封关运作。记者11日从商务部获悉 ...

Group 1: Key Signals for 2026 Opening Up - The overall keyword shifts from "stability" to "diversity" and "win-win" in international cooperation[2] - Emphasis on institutional opening, particularly in the service sector and free trade pilot zones, transitioning from "quantitative" to "qualitative" changes[9] - "Integration" in trade and investment is identified as the future development direction[11] Group 2: Key Support Points for Implementation - Strengthening the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port as a new high ground for institutional opening, with a focus on financial and trade investment openness[18] - Promoting synchronization of domestic and foreign trade policies, standard recognition, and smooth capital flow to facilitate integrated development[19] - Enhancing the level of China's service industry while reasonably reducing opening restrictions to promote service trade and exports[19]

内外贸一体化对促进经济发展、扩大内需、稳定企业具有重要作用。这不仅是应对复杂国际经贸环境的 策略，更是构建新发展格局的战略选择。着力推动内外贸一体化发展，用好国内国际两个市场，增强两 个市场的联动性，对于打通经济内外循环的堵点卡点，实现"十五五"规划建议提出的"全国统一大市场 建设纵深推进"目标具有重要意义。 新市场新挑战 推动内外贸一体化，不仅需要支持外贸企业拓展国内市场实现"出口转内销"，也需要引导内贸企业拓展 国际市场实现"蓝海扬帆"。 进入新市场，寻找新客户，对每个企业来说都是机遇和挑战并存。 例如，市场转换过程中的沟通协调成本，是企业最关心的问题。做出口，外贸企业通常只需与进口商沟 通；做内贸，则绕不开产供销一体化经营网络。部分企业"不想转""转不动"的主要理由，就是做外贸订 单的可控性相对较强，生产效率相对固定，"不去工厂看，也知道产量是多少"。而换做内贸，企业要直 接面对消费者，有企业直言"直播8小时，也不清楚消费者想不想下单、退不退货、复不复购"。换言 之，做外贸，企业大概能预估出订单数量；做内贸，"没办法告诉你，今天晚上一共卖出多少件衣服"。 中国创新跑出加速度，知识产权保护日趋完善。知识产 ...

Core Points - Hainan Free Trade Port will commence its closure operation on December 18, with significant growth in service trade and foreign investment in the first three quarters of 2023, showing increases of 23.1% and 42.2% respectively [1] - The Ministry of Commerce has prepared for the implementation of closure policies, including the release of a list of prohibited and restricted import/export goods, and the relaxation of import management for 98 product codes [1] - The Ministry aims to enhance trade management transparency and has conducted simulations to ensure smooth policy execution [1] Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce will leverage the closure operation to promote institutional openness and position Hainan Free Trade Port as a key gateway for China's new era of opening up [2] - The focus will be on integrating trade management policies with zero tariffs and tax exemptions for processing and value-added activities, maximizing the benefits of openness [2] - There will be an emphasis on expanding market access in the service sector and improving the management system for the negative list of cross-border service trade [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes China's commitment to expanding foreign investment and enhancing cooperation in various fields, as outlined in the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 [1] - The meeting highlighted specific measures such as "orderly expansion of autonomous opening in the service sector" and "promoting the integration of trade and investment" to signal China's determination to maintain an open economy [1] - The Minister of Commerce, Wang Wentao, stated that foreign-funded enterprises are crucial participants in China's modernization and economic globalization, underscoring the importance of attracting and utilizing foreign investment for high-quality economic development [1] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of deepening reforms in the foreign investment promotion system as a key focus for steadily expanding institutional openness [2] - Continuous relaxation of foreign investment market access is emphasized, with the goal of eliminating restrictions in the manufacturing sector and expanding pilot openings in telecommunications, healthcare, and education [2] - The article mentions efforts to create a first-class business environment that is market-oriented, law-based, and internationalized, in response to the challenges posed by the international economic environment [2]

Core Points - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 emphasized the importance of "expanding openness and promoting win-win cooperation in multiple fields" and outlined specific measures such as "deepening the reform of the foreign investment promotion system" [1] Group 1 - The foreign investment management system in China has undergone historic changes since the new era, maintaining a leading position globally in terms of investment scale and continuously improving investment quality [1] - The conference acknowledged the challenges posed by unilateralism and protectionism, which have put pressure on global cross-border investment [1] - Measures proposed include "orderly expanding the autonomous opening of the service sector," "promoting the integration of trade and investment," and "signing more regional and bilateral trade and investment agreements," signaling China's commitment to expanding openness [1] Group 2 - The deepening of the foreign investment promotion system is seen as a crucial point for steadily expanding institutional openness, leveraging China's large market to attract global resources and enhance economic innovation and competitiveness [2] - Continuous relaxation of foreign investment market access is planned, with the goal of eliminating restrictions in the manufacturing sector and expanding pilot openings in telecommunications, healthcare, and education [2] - The government aims to create a first-class business environment that is market-oriented, law-based, and internationalized, while addressing specific issues related to market access for foreign investments [2]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 11 日 [Table_Title] 积极政策继续 [Table_Title2] ──中央经济工作会议点评 [Table_Summary] 事件概述 2025 年 12 月 10 日至 11 日，中央经济工作会议在北京举行，总书记在重要讲话中总结 2025 年经济工作，分析当 前经济形势，部署 2026 年经济工作。总理作总结讲话，对贯彻落实习近平总书记重要讲话精神、做好明年经济工 作提出要求。相关点评如下： 核心观点 本次会议清晰、客观地指出了当前经济面临的老问题和新挑战，指出了应当通过努力解决问题，通过发展迎接挑 战。继续实施更加积极的财政政策，保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量；继续实施适度宽松的货币政 策，促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升。坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场，通过创新驱动、建设统一大市场和 推进制度型开放，推动高质量发展。2026 年，随着会议精神的深入贯彻与各项政策落地见效，我们预计经济预期 将持续改善，市场主体经营状况逐步好转，物价温和回升，经济回升向好的基础将进一步夯实。 我们预计明年财政将继续保持一定 ...

Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11, 2025, outlined key economic tasks for 2026, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and market stability [1][2][10]. Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The conference established a policy tone of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency," highlighting a higher demand for economic quality and effectiveness [3][4]. - It was noted that macroeconomic policies will focus on both short-term and long-term adjustments, enhancing the effectiveness of governance [4]. Group 2: Fiscal Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy will be implemented, with a projected deficit rate of no less than 4% and an increase in new debt scale [5][6]. - The fiscal spending structure will shift towards supporting consumption and improving residents' welfare, including increased childcare subsidies and pension benefits [5][6]. Group 3: Monetary Policy - The conference reiterated the commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the flexible use of various policy tools such as interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments [7][9]. - The aim is to enhance liquidity and promote economic stability through effective monetary policy coordination [7][9]. Group 4: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The primary task for 2026 is to "maintain domestic demand as the main driver and build a strong domestic market," with a focus on boosting consumption and investment [10][11]. - Specific measures to stimulate consumption include increasing fiscal support and expanding the range of supported consumer goods [11]. Group 5: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The conference highlighted the importance of "innovation-driven development" as a key task, aiming to create a comprehensive innovation ecosystem [12][13]. - Initiatives include establishing international technology innovation centers and enhancing intellectual property protection in emerging fields [12][13]. Group 6: Capital Market Reforms - Continuous deepening of capital market reforms was emphasized, focusing on improving the investment and financing functions of the capital market [16][17]. - Future measures may include optimizing capital market infrastructure and enhancing investor protection [17]. Group 7: Real Estate Market Stability - The conference stressed the need to stabilize the real estate market through targeted policies, including inventory reduction and promoting affordable housing [25]. - Measures may involve using special bond funds to acquire existing housing for public welfare and implementing tax incentives for home purchases [25]. Group 8: Energy Strategy - The conference called for the formulation of a national energy strategy, focusing on building a new energy system and expanding green electricity applications [22][23]. - This marks a significant shift in energy development strategy, aiming to replace traditional fossil fuels with clean energy sources [22][23]. Group 9: Local Government Debt Management - The conference addressed the need to manage local government debt risks proactively, encouraging compliance and restructuring of existing debts [27][28]. - Strategies include replacing high-cost debts with lower-interest bonds and utilizing asset management techniques to mitigate risks [27][28].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing analyzed the current economic situation and outlined economic work for 2026, emphasizing the importance of opening up to the outside world and promoting multi-field cooperation for mutual benefits [1] Group 1: Economic Opening and Trade - The conference proposed to steadily advance institutional opening, expand autonomous opening in the service sector, and optimize the layout of free trade pilot zones, particularly focusing on the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port [1][3] - Experts noted that China's opening model is evolving from "goods trade-type opening" to "rules-institution-service system-type opening," indicating a shift towards a more comprehensive approach to international trade [2] - The integration of trade and investment, as well as domestic and foreign trade, is emphasized to enhance competitiveness and create a "dual-driven" outward-oriented economic system [9] Group 2: Hainan Free Trade Port Development - Hainan Free Trade Port is set to enter a new phase of full island closure operations, with a preliminary establishment of the "4321" institutional system, significantly enhancing its economic openness [3][5] - The actual use of foreign capital in Hainan has grown at an average annual rate of 14.6% over the past five years, with total foreign capital exceeding 100 billion yuan [5] - The Ministry of Commerce aims to leverage the closure as an opportunity to promote institutional opening and make Hainan a key gateway for China's new era of opening up [5] Group 3: Service Trade and Digital Trade - The conference highlighted the need to expand autonomous opening in the service sector, encouraging service exports and actively developing digital and green trade [7] - In the first ten months of 2025, China's total service trade reached 65,844.3 billion yuan, with exports growing by 14.3% [7] - Experts pointed out that enhancing standardization and expanding high-level opening are crucial for boosting service exports and achieving trade power goals [7][8] Group 4: Green Trade as a New Growth Driver - Green trade is emerging as a new driving force for foreign trade, with significant growth in exports of wind power equipment and photovoltaic products [11] - The international market for electric vehicles, solar energy, and wind energy is projected to reach $2.1 trillion by 2030, indicating vast market potential [11] - The popularity of China's energy-saving and environmentally friendly products in international markets underscores the importance of green trade in stabilizing and optimizing foreign trade [11]

Group 1: Retail Industry Development - The Ministry of Commerce plans to issue opinions to accelerate innovation and development in the retail industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on policy support and high-quality development [3] - Key initiatives include enhancing service quality, optimizing inventory, promoting fair competition between online and offline channels, and fostering interaction between new supply and demand [3] - The ministry aims to summarize successful practices from various regions, develop new business models, and stimulate consumption potential, particularly in lower-tier markets [3] Group 2: Second-Hand Goods Market - The second-hand goods market in China is projected to reach a transaction value of 1.69 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 28% year-on-year growth and a 12% average annual growth rate over the past six years [4] - The Ministry of Commerce intends to establish high standards for the second-hand goods industry, ensuring integrity and quality while preventing fraudulent practices [4] - New business models such as rental, auction, and after-sales repurchase will be promoted, along with immersive offline experiences and innovative consumption scenarios [4] Group 3: Cross-Border E-Commerce and Trade - China's foreign trade has shown resilience, with a total import and export value of 41.21 trillion yuan in the first eleven months of the year, marking a 3.6% year-on-year increase [5] - The Ministry of Commerce will implement policies to stabilize foreign trade, support market diversification, and enhance services for enterprises [5] - There is a focus on promoting cross-border e-commerce and overseas warehouses as new business models to improve trade quality and efficiency [5] Group 4: Hainan Free Trade Port - The Hainan Free Trade Port is set to commence operations on December 18, with a goal to become a significant gateway for China's new era of opening up [6] - The Ministry of Commerce reports a 23.1% growth in service trade and a 42.2% increase in actual foreign investment in Hainan during the first three quarters [6] - Future efforts will focus on institutional openness and aligning trade management policies with zero tariffs and other favorable measures [7]