波兰财长：预计七月份的通胀率将约为3%。 ...

金十数据6月30日讯，德国联邦统计局周一公布的初步数据显示，德国6月通胀放缓，而市场预期德国的 物价压力将略有上升。德国的通货膨胀率同比下降至2.0%，分析师预期将较上个月走高升至2.2%。德 国的核心通胀率（不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格）从上月的2.8%降至6月份的2.7%。周二，欧元区 将公布通胀数据，经济学家预计欧元区6月通胀将从1.9%升至欧洲央行设定的2%目标。此外，德国统计 局周一表示，德国5月份进口价格同比下降1.1%。 6月德国通胀率降至2.0% 意外回落 ...

欧洲央行首席经济学家连恩：如果我们发现偏离目标，我们将把通胀率拉回到2%，这也是我们的中期 方针。 ...

贝森特表示："主席人选有可能在明年1月获得任命，这意味着提名可能在10月或11月进行。"鲍威尔作 为美联储理事的任期将持续到2028年。 美国总统唐纳德.特朗普表示，他将选择一位愿意降息的人接替杰罗姆.鲍威尔担任美联储主席，这一条 件将严重损害美联储的独立性。 特朗普周五表示："如果我认为某人会维持利率不变或者怎样，我就不会选他。我会选那些想要降低利 率的人。这样的人有很多。" 特朗普因美联储决定维持利率不变而加大了对鲍威尔的批评力度。特朗普表示："如果他想辞职，我很 乐意。"他称这位央行行长不支持降息，是"一头顽固的骡子，一个愚蠢的人"。 特朗普对美联储施加压力，要求其降息，并多次抨击鲍威尔，认为美联储的政策导致政府借贷成本过 高。 鲍威尔的主席任期将持续到明年5月。特朗普曾表示，他心中有三到四个人可以接替鲍威尔的职位，但 美国财政部长斯科特.贝森特淡化了特朗普提前提名下任美联储主席的猜测。 贝森特周五表示，特朗普可能提前在今年晚些时候宣布提名人选——考虑到理事会的下个空缺席位将在 明年1月出现——目的是让提名人担任主席职务。 美联储上周维持利率在4.25%-4.5%的区间不变，该利率自年初以来一直维持在这 ...

西班牙6月份调和通胀率从5月份的2.0%升至2.2%，市场此前预期为维持在2.0%。该数据可能加剧市场 猜测，即欧洲央行正接近降息周期的尾声。 欧洲央行副行长路易斯·德金多斯表示，欧洲央行有望实现其设定的2%通胀目标。 新华财经北京6月27日电欧洲交易时段盘初，美元指数元徘徊在三年半以来的最低点附近，市场密切关 注美国货币政策的变化。欧元、英镑汇率守在隔夜触及2021年底以来最高水平的位置附近。此外，即将 到来的关税最后期限，进一步为市场增添了紧张气氛。美联储美联储主席鲍威尔的继任者传闻、市场对 鸽派政策的预期，以及地缘政治局势的缓和，共同构成了当前外汇市场的复杂格局。 美元指数在2025年的表现持续低迷，年初至今已累计下跌10%。26日，美元指数一度跌至自2022年3月 以来的最低点96.99。亚洲市场交易时段，美元指数整个6月预计下跌2%，大概率连续第六个月录得月 线下跌。 日元和瑞郎也对美元展现出不同程度的强势。特别是瑞郎兑美元汇率接近十年来的最强水平，显示了投 资者对于避险货币的需求增加以及美元整体弱势的局面。 欧元 法国和西班牙6月份通胀数据超出预期后，欧元兑美元扩大涨幅。欧元兑美元盘中高点触及1. ...

津巴布韦统计局：津巴布韦6月通胀率按本币计算同比增长92.5%，环比增长0.3%。 ...

Group 1: Currency Market Insights - The European Central Bank's council member Knot stated that the possibility of another interest rate cut by the ECB cannot be ruled out [2] - Bank of England Governor Bailey indicated that the strengthening of the British pound is related to uncertainties in the U.S., with interest rates still on a gradual downward path [2] - The onshore and offshore RMB against the USD briefly broke the 7.16 mark, reaching a new high in over seven months [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Trade - The U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly widened in May, with exports experiencing the largest decline since the pandemic began; first-quarter GDP was revised down [3] - Market volatility has led to a surge in foreign exchange trading volume for Citigroup's hedge funds [3] - The New Taiwan Dollar against the USD broke the 29 mark, reaching a high not seen in over three years [3] Group 3: Central Bank Perspectives - Federal Reserve officials expressed mixed views on potential interest rate cuts, with Daly suggesting that a fall in rates this autumn looks promising, while Collins indicated that a July cut may be premature [3] - The Hungarian central bank projected an adjusted core inflation rate of 4.7% for 2025 and 4.0% for 2026 [3] - The South Korean Ministry of Finance announced that it will further issue foreign exchange stabilization bonds in the second half of the year if necessary [3]

Group 1 - Tokyo's inflation rate shows signs of slowing for the first time in four months, primarily due to a slowdown in energy price growth and the Tokyo government waiving water fees for some households [1] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food in June increased by 3.1% year-on-year, slightly below economists' forecast of 3.3%, while the overall inflation rate decreased from 3.4% in May to 3.1% [1] - Electricity prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, significantly down from 10.8% the previous month, while gasoline prices fell by 1%, contrasting with a 6.3% increase in the prior month [1] Group 2 - Despite the inflation rate retreating, price increases remain above the Bank of Japan's target of 2%, raising market expectations for a potential interest rate hike [1] - There are internal divisions within the Bank of Japan regarding monetary policy, with some members advocating for maintaining ultra-low interest rates to assess the impact of U.S. tariff policies, while others focus on rising domestic inflation pressures [2] - The Bank of Japan has lowered its economic growth forecast due to uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariff policies, complicating the timing of the next interest rate hike [2]

美联储卡什卡利：通胀率高于2%，必须将其恢复至2%的目标。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Barr emphasizes the importance of taking measures to restore inflation rates to target levels, as low-income households are struggling to cope with the pressures of rising prices [1] Group 1 - The need for action to address inflation is critical for the economic well-being of low-income families [1]