证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 10 12 年 月 日 风格上，当前价值因子占优。从纯因子收益来看，本周有色金属、钢铁、 国防军工等行业因子相对市场市值加权组合跑出较高超额收益，消费 者服务、银行等行业因子回撤较多；风格因子中，价值因子超额收益较 高，Beta、残差波动率呈较为显著的负向超额收益。从近期因子表现来 看，高杠杆、高成长股表现优异，残差波动率、价值等因子表现不佳。 风险提示：量化周报观点全部基于历史统计与量化模型，存在历史规律与 量化模型失效的风险。 作者 分析师 刘富兵 执业证书编号：S0680518030007 邮箱：liufubing@gszq.com 分析师 林志朋 执业证书编号：S0680518100004 邮箱：linzhipeng@gszq.com 分析师 沈芷琦 执业证书编号：S0680521120005 邮箱：shenzhiqi@gszq.com 分析师 梁思涵 执业证书编号：S0680522070006 邮箱：liangsihan@gszq.com 分析师 张国安 执业证书编号：S0680524060003 量化周报 创业板、科创 50 短期内或 ...

Group 1 - The market showed signs of recovery on October 13, with the three major indices narrowing their declines. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.30%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.56%, and the ChiNext Index by 3%. The total market turnover reached 1.59 trillion yuan [1] - The self-controlled industrial chain strengthened, with significant gains in rare earth, photolithography machines, EDA, and operating systems. The Wind Rare Earth Index rose by 7.77%, with stocks like Huahong Technology and Baogang Co. hitting the daily limit [2] - The Ministry of Commerce announced export controls on rare earth-related items, expanding the scope to include technologies and equipment, which is expected to enhance the supply-demand dynamics in the rare earth sector [2][3] Group 2 - The domestic software sector saw strong performance, with stocks like China Software hitting the daily limit and Kingsoft Office rising over 18%. This surge is attributed to the increasing demand for self-sufficiency and industrial software [2][3] - The semiconductor industry continued to strengthen, with companies like Huahong and others experiencing significant gains. A report predicts that the global wafer foundry market will reach $270 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.7% from 2025 to 2029 [3]

新莱应材10月12日发布公告，公司股票连续三个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过30%，根据《深圳 证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动情形。经核实，近期公司生产经营情况正 常，不存在内外部经营环境、相关业务发生重大变化的情形；公司、控股股东及实际控制人不存在关于 公司应披露而未披露的重大事项，或处于筹划阶段的重大事项；公司关注到近期市场对于半导体概念的 关注度较高，公司在《2025年半年度报告》披露了公司在相关领域的生产经营情况，包括未来发展前景 与面临的风险等。敬请投资者理性决策，谨慎投资。 ...

Market Overview - The main indices showed a decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component down by 2.7%, and the ChiNext Index down by 4.55% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry performances, building materials, coal, and textile and apparel sectors led the gains, while non-ferrous metals, media, and telecommunications lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors showed mixed results, with pre-increase, animal vaccines, and continuous board concepts performing relatively well, while power batteries, lithium battery electrolytes, and semiconductors performed poorly [1]

Core Viewpoint - A-shares experienced a decline in the morning session, with all three major indices falling, indicating a bearish market sentiment [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51% - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.85% - The ChiNext Index dropped by 3.4% [1] Sector Analysis - The gas and heating supply sector showed strength, with Dazhong Public Utilities achieving a consecutive trading limit increase - Cultivated diamonds and superhard materials concepts were active, with Huanghe Xuanfeng hitting the trading limit - The semiconductor sector faced adjustments, with Huahong Semiconductor declining over 10% - The lithium battery concept weakened, with CATL dropping over 6% - Coal, building materials, textile and apparel, and food and beverage sectors saw significant gains, while solid-state battery concepts, CPO concepts, and non-ferrous metals sectors experienced notable declines [1] Market Statistics - Over 2,300 stocks in the market declined - The total trading volume exceeded 1.6 trillion yuan [1]

【导读】金叶国际集团明日上市，暗盘大涨 460% 10 月 9 日，港股三大指数涨跌不一。恒生指数收跌 0.29% ，恒生科技指数收跌 0.66% ，恒生国企指数涨 0.07% 。 全日大市成交额为 3868 亿港元，南向资金净流入 30.43 亿港元。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | HSI | 恒生指数 | 26752.59c | -76.87 | -0.29% | 3868亿 | 33.36% | | 2 | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 6471.34c | -42.85 | -0.66% | 1240亿 | 44.83% | | 3 | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 17275.56c | -1005.64 | -5.50% | 274亿 | 100.38% | | 4 | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9530.13c | 6.26 | 0.07% | 1321亿 | 30.73% | | 5 | HSCI | 恒 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock market showed positive performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.24% to 3931.07 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.75% and 1.77% respectively [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.07 points, reflecting a gain of 1.24% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index experienced a rise of 1.75% [1] - The ChiNext Index saw an increase of 1.77% [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Nuclear power, semiconductors, and precious metals sectors all experienced significant gains [1] - Conversely, cyclical sectors such as cultural tourism, shipping, and liquor stocks faced notable declines, with these sectors leading the losses [1]

Core Insights - In September, a total of 10 IPOs were accepted across various exchanges, indicating a strong focus on technology and innovation sectors, particularly in new energy, semiconductors, and biotechnology [1][5] Group 1: IPO Overview - The newly accepted IPOs include 2 from the ChiNext, 2 from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 1 from the Shanghai Main Board, and 5 from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] - The total amount of funds to be raised from the 10 new IPOs is approximately 17.95 billion yuan, with the largest being 9 billion yuan from Electric Power Construction New Energy [5][7] Group 2: Company-Specific Details - LaiPu Technology, focusing on advanced laser technology for semiconductor manufacturing, aims to raise 850 million yuan for various projects, including wafer manufacturing equipment [4][3] - Yueya Semiconductor, another semiconductor company, plans to raise 1.224 billion yuan for expanding production of advanced packaging modules and R&D [4] - Anshi Biotechnology, a biopharmaceutical company, is seeking to raise 2.45 billion yuan for new drug development and operational funding, focusing on oncology [5] Group 3: Market Trends - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant interest, with two companies, LaiPu Technology and Yueya Semiconductor, recently accepted for IPOs, reflecting a robust market trend [1][4] - Regulatory support for technology innovation is evident, with new listing standards introduced for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext, aimed at facilitating the entry of innovative companies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance on the first trading day of the fourth quarter, with major indices rising significantly, particularly the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Technology Index [1][2]. Market Performance - As of the midday close on October 2, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.45% to 27,245.68, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.63% to 9,711.03, and the Hang Seng Technology Index surged by 2.66% to 6,637.65 [2]. - The trading volume for the Hang Seng Technology Index was 424.61 billion, with a turnover of 8.4 billion [3]. Sector Performance - The semiconductor, non-ferrous metals, and biomedicine sectors led the gains, while real estate, durable consumer goods, and building materials sectors experienced fluctuations [4]. - Notable increases in the semiconductor sector included a rise of over 9% for SMIC and over 5% for Hua Hong Semiconductor [11]. Gold Sector - Gold concept stocks collectively rose, with China Silver Group increasing by over 32%, and Tianqi Lithium, Tongguan Gold, and Zijin Mining International all rising by over 10% [7]. - Goldman Sachs indicated that gold remains a favored bullish commodity, with expectations for further price increases due to strong interest from private investors [9]. Alibaba's Stock Performance - Alibaba's stock opened high and surged over 4%, reaching 184 HKD per share [15]. - JPMorgan raised Alibaba's target price significantly to 240 HKD, citing growth in cloud computing and e-commerce as key drivers for a higher valuation [17]. - Analysts noted that Alibaba Cloud's revenue growth has accelerated for eight consecutive quarters, driven by demand in generative AI across various sectors [18].

- The non-bank sector confirmed a daily-level decline this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% for the week[1][7] - The A-share prosperity index was 22.14 as of September 26, 2025, up 15.83 from the end of 2023, indicating an upward cycle[2][28] - The A-share sentiment index signals were empty for both bottom and top signals, with a comprehensive signal of empty[2][35] - The CSI 500 enhanced portfolio outperformed the benchmark by 0.91% this week, with a cumulative excess return of 50.71% since 2020 and a maximum drawdown of -5.73%[2][44] - The CSI 500 enhanced portfolio's holdings include stocks such as Guojin Securities, Nanjing Iron & Steel, and Perfect World, among others[2][47] - The CSI 300 enhanced portfolio underperformed the benchmark by 0.81% this week, with a cumulative excess return of 37.70% since 2020 and a maximum drawdown of -5.86%[2][51] - The CSI 300 enhanced portfolio's holdings include stocks such as Huaneng International, Founder Securities, and Wuxi AppTec, among others[2][53] - The market style analysis shows that the size factor had a high excess return this week, while the residual volatility factor had a significant negative excess return[5][56] - The style factor performance indicates that high Beta and high growth stocks performed well recently, while residual volatility and value factors performed poorly[5][56] - The main indices' performance attribution shows that the Shanghai Composite Index, SSE 50, and CSI 300 had large exposures to the size factor, while the CSI 500 and Wind All A had smaller exposures[5][61]