Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady growth in performance, with revenue reaching 7.545 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 684 million yuan, up 26.34% year-on-year, and the non-recurring net profit was 648 million yuan, reflecting a 37.69% increase [4][5] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in emerging businesses, with multiple segments showing growth, including smart distribution and utilization, scheduling and cloud services, and automation in transmission and transformation [5][6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 75.45 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 33.71%, which improved by 0.01 percentage points year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 29.14 billion yuan, a 22.52% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 263 million yuan, up 33.50% year-on-year [4][5] - The company expects revenues of 89.21 billion yuan, 106.13 billion yuan, and 126.14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 852 million yuan, 1.023 billion yuan, and 1.225 billion yuan [8][11] Business Segment Performance - Smart distribution and utilization business generated 4.324 billion yuan in revenue, a 17.06% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 32.57% [5] - Scheduling and cloud services achieved 1.290 billion yuan in revenue, up 17.11% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 37.70% [5] - Automation in transmission and transformation business saw revenue of 857 million yuan, a 37.50% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 38.35% [5] - Comprehensive energy and virtual power plant business generated 220 million yuan, a 12.43% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 32.79% [5] - New energy and storage business reported 296 million yuan in revenue, a 13.90% decrease year-on-year, but with a gross margin improvement to 25.66% [5] Overseas Business Development - The company has made progress in overseas markets, including a local production line in Saudi Arabia with contracts nearing 170 million yuan and successful bids for projects in Nicaragua and Uzbekistan [7]

"三类资源三种收益"的市场化提速 ——全面塑造虚拟电厂发展的"齐鲁样板" 4月11日，记者走进国网山东营销服务中心，只见大屏幕上20家虚拟电厂的实时调节数据正不断跳动。 这是国内首个现货市场模式下的省级虚拟电厂服务中心，自2025年3月获山东省发展改革委、山东省能 源局、山东能源监管办批复以来，正全面塑造着虚拟电厂发展的"齐鲁样板"。 山东是全国东部沿海地区首个新能源装机过亿的省份。2024年，风电、光伏等新能源和可再生能源发电 装机达到1.16亿千瓦，占比超过煤电。当新能源逐步成为发电装机及发电量增量"双主体"，带来供给侧 结构快速调整，随机性波动性增加，电力平衡难度正在不断加大。 2024年4月，随着《山东电力市场规则（试行）》出台，虚拟电厂被明确赋予独立市场主体地位，可参 与电能量市场、辅助服务市场和需求响应。 政策破冰带来的直接效应，是虚拟电厂市场主体的爆发式增长：从2024年首批8家到2025年4月的20家， 聚合容量274.8万千瓦、调节能力55万千瓦，13家常态参与现货交易，参与现货交易的数量、规模国内 领先。 "改革前沿"持续攻关 破解三大考题成就典型经验 在济南能源投资集团会议室，企业负责人 ...

近日，国家发展改革委、国家能源局发布《关于加快推进虚拟电厂发展的指导意见》，提出积极推动虚 拟电厂因地制宜发展，针对省级、地市级电力调节需要，培育不同特点的虚拟电厂主体，完善虚拟电厂 发展体系。此前，多地已针对虚拟电厂建设和运营开展了积极探索。为了解当前虚拟电厂建设情况，中 能传媒记者走进广东、山东、山西，实地调研三地虚拟电厂建设的亮点和成效，为虚拟电厂高质量发 展、探索打造电力系统新业态新模式提供经验。 民企占比超半数 ——广东深圳虚拟电厂走出多方协同破局之路 在南方电网深圳供电局（以下简称"深圳供电"）虚拟电厂管理中心的屏幕上，实时跳动的数字正悄然改 变着这座城市的能源图景—— 从商业综合体的空调系统到电动公交充电场站，从工业园区储能设备到屋顶光伏板，分散的电力资源被 精准聚合，秒级响应电网调度指令。这是我国首个网地一体虚拟电厂调控管理云平台的日常，也是深圳 探索新型电力系统的缩影。 近日，国家发展改革委、国家能源局发布《关于加快推进虚拟电厂发展的指导意见》，指出到2030年， 全国虚拟电厂调节能力达到5000万千瓦以上。这意味着，虚拟电厂将成为构建新型电力系统的重要组成 部分。而深圳，这座以市场化与创新 ...

Group 1: Macro and Industry Insights - The impact of Trump's tariff policy on China's manufacturing industry is significant, with a shift from labor-intensive industries to equipment manufacturing, primarily targeting ASEAN markets [1] - As the export tax rates between China and ASEAN diverge, opportunities for Chinese companies to expand overseas will increase, particularly in industries heavily reliant on exports to the US, such as mobile phones and automotive parts [1] Group 2: Banking Sector - The total scale of wealth management in China's banking sector decreased by 0.8 trillion yuan at the end of Q1 2025 compared to the beginning of the year, with fluctuations in scale due to market volatility [2] - The asset allocation structure remains stable, with an increase in the proportion of interbank lending and repurchase agreements, while bond and deposit asset proportions have decreased [2] Group 3: High-end Manufacturing - In March, exports continued the growth trend from January, with notable increases in the export of lawn mowers and sewing machines, with year-on-year growth rates of 30% and 47% respectively [3] - The growth in exports is attributed to preemptive consumer behavior in the US due to tariff disruptions [3] Group 4: Real Estate Market - In Q1, the transaction volume of residential land in key cities increased, with the average transaction price in the core 30 cities rising by 24% year-on-year [4] - The overall premium rate for residential land transactions in these cities increased by 11.3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a recovery in the real estate market [4] Group 5: Precious Metals - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to the weakening of the US dollar, enhancing gold's monetary attributes, with increased investment demand observed [6] - The report maintains a positive outlook on gold stocks, particularly those with strong earnings potential [6] Group 6: Chemical and Petrochemical Industry - The report highlights continued optimism for domestic substitution trends and sectors benefiting from economic recovery, recommending investments in major oil companies and chemical firms [7] - Specific companies mentioned include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, and various agricultural chemical firms [7] Group 7: Company Performance - CNOOC Services reported a significant increase in net profit of 39.6% year-on-year for Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 10.8 billion yuan [8] - The company is expected to see continued profit growth in the coming years, with net profit projections of 3.8 billion, 4.2 billion, and 4.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [8] Group 8: Environmental Sector - Oriental Electronics reported steady growth in major business revenues, with Q4 2024 net profit exceeding 200 million yuan [10] - The company is focusing on expanding its virtual power plant business, which is expected to contribute to future growth [10] Group 9: Telecommunications - China Mobile achieved a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, with total revenue of 263.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.02% [21] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [21]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in revenue and profit in 2024, but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, indicating potential for future growth through strategic market expansion and product development [3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.063 billion, a decrease of 5.24% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 170 million, down 15.68% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit was 151 million, a decline of 18.07% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 243 million, an increase of 0.58% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million, up 15.33% year-on-year, with a significant quarter-on-quarter growth of 358.99% [3]. Business Segment Analysis - The traditional business model faced challenges in 2024, impacting the conversion rate of some registered projects. Revenue from power monitoring and substation comprehensive monitoring products decreased by 12.12% to 436 million, with a gross margin decline of 1.67 percentage points to 45.19% [4]. - Revenue from energy efficiency management products decreased by 0.57% to 355 million, with a gross margin decline of 1.69 percentage points to 45.08%. Revenue from power sensors increased by 7.43% to 120 million, with a gross margin decline of 1.23 percentage points to 44.08% [4]. - Revenue from fire safety and electrical safety products decreased by 16.11% to 89 million, while revenue from enterprise microgrid-others increased by 24.46% to 57 million [4]. - The overall sales gross margin in 2024 decreased by 1.72 percentage points to 44.67%. However, in Q1 2025, the sales gross margin improved by 0.47 percentage points to 47.50%, indicating potential for continued improvement [4]. Market Expansion Strategy - The company is focusing on high-growth domestic sectors such as renewable energy, new electricity reforms, and virtual power plants to explore new business models [5]. - Internationally, the company is expanding in Southeast Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, with Singapore as a central hub for business development. In 2024, overseas revenue grew by 33.22% to 44 million, showcasing strong growth momentum [5]. Sales and R&D Integration - The company is developing a technical sales team to support the promotion of more complex EMS2.0 and EMS3.0 products. R&D personnel are being integrated into the sales process to provide technical guidance and enhance product promotion [6].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 打造技术型销售团队，研发下沉助力推广 随着技术复杂性更高的EMS2.0和EMS3.0产品推出，销售团队的技术水平要求显著提升。公司形成研发与 销售联动，部分研发人员下沉市场，对销售团队进行技术指导，助力产品推广。 风险提示： 电改进度不及预期风险、渠道扩展不及预期风险、市场竞争加剧风险。 发布日期： 2025-04-24 报告摘要 事件： 2024年公司实现营业收入10.63亿元，同比减少5.24%，实现归母净利润1.70亿元，同比减少15.68%，扣非 归母净利润1.51亿元，同比减少18.07%，拟向全体股东每10股派发现金红利3元（含税）。2025Q1公司实 现营业收入2.43亿元，同比增长0.58%；实现归母净利润0.52亿元， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][16] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 917 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 87%. The revenue is projected to be 15.374 billion yuan, up 21% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.92% and a net margin of 6.11% [1][8][12] - The electric vehicle charging network business is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue of 4.890 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 208 million yuan, up 72% year-on-year. The company has established over 290 joint ventures and partnerships with more than 70 automotive manufacturers [2][13][14] - The power equipment business is also showing robust growth, with revenue of 10.485 billion yuan in 2024, a 22% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 709 million yuan, up 91% year-on-year. The company has secured significant contracts in both domestic and international markets, particularly in the renewable energy sector [3][15][16] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 15.374 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 917 million yuan, reflecting an 87% increase. The company’s gross margin is forecasted at 25.92%, with a net margin of 6.11% [1][8][12] - For Q4 2024, the company anticipates revenue of 6.477 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 83%, and a net profit of 470 million yuan, up 86% quarter-on-quarter [1][8] Electric Vehicle Charging Network - The electric vehicle charging network business is projected to generate revenue of 4.890 billion yuan in 2024, an 18% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 208 million yuan, up 72% year-on-year. The company’s charging volume is expected to exceed 13 billion kWh, a 40% increase year-on-year, and it will operate 709,000 public charging piles by the end of 2024 [2][13][14] Power Equipment Business - The power equipment segment is expected to achieve revenue of 10.485 billion yuan in 2024, a 22% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 709 million yuan, reflecting a 91% increase year-on-year. The company has made significant inroads in the renewable energy sector, with a contract value growth of over 70% in 2024 [3][15][16] - The company is also expanding its international presence, with overseas contracts reaching 800 million yuan in 2024, a 132% increase year-on-year [3][15]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a balanced investment outlook for the power industry in 2025, with a focus on ensuring stable supply and promoting clean energy investments [3][31]. Core Insights - The power supply in China is expected to remain generally balanced in 2024, but localized shortages may occur during peak demand periods due to extreme weather and fuel shortages [3][31]. - Clean energy investments are rapidly increasing, with installed capacity of clean energy surpassing that of thermal power for the first time by the end of 2024 [5][8]. - The report highlights the importance of technological innovation in ensuring safe and stable power supply, establishing a market-oriented pricing system, and accelerating the construction of a new power system [31][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Thermal power remains the primary source of electricity in China, but clean energy investments are growing rapidly, particularly in wind and solar power [5][8]. - In 2024, China's power grid construction investment reached 608.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [5]. - The total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.35 billion kilowatts by the end of 2024, with non-fossil energy accounting for 58.2% of the total [8][10]. 2. Power Generation and Demand - Total electricity consumption in China reached 9.85 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [10]. - The utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased to 3,442 hours, with coal power still accounting for over 60% of total generation [10][12]. - The report notes that the marketization of electricity trading is progressing, with 63% of total electricity consumption coming from market transactions [10]. 3. Nuclear Power Overview - China's nuclear power capacity reached 59.43 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, with a utilization rate of 7,805 hours, reflecting a year-on-year increase [13][16]. - The report emphasizes the stability and efficiency of nuclear power operations, with new projects contributing to capacity growth [13][16]. 4. Hydropower Overview - Hydropower remains a major renewable energy source in China, with installed capacity reaching 436 million kilowatts by the end of 2024 [20]. - The report indicates that hydropower generation efficiency is influenced by water availability, with a significant increase in generation due to improved water conditions [20]. 5. Industry Focus and Policy Adjustments - The report discusses the volatility of coal prices and the government's measures to stabilize the market, including enhancing coal supply capabilities [21][23]. - It highlights the need for market-oriented reforms in renewable energy pricing to promote high-quality development in the sector [24][25]. - The establishment of new energy storage systems and virtual power plants is emphasized as crucial for supporting the new power system [26][29]. 6. Industry Outlook - The power supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight in 2025, particularly during peak periods, with continued growth in installed capacity [31][32]. - The report anticipates that coal prices will stabilize, but thermal power companies will still face cost pressures [31][32].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the encouragement of private enterprises and various social capital to participate in the investment, construction, and operation of virtual power plants, which opens new development space in the energy sector and injects new vitality into the accelerated development of virtual power plants [1] - The policy breaks the traditional high barriers in the energy industry, providing equal participation opportunities for private enterprises, which is highlighted by the requirement to "adhere to diversified participation" [1] - Virtual power plants have relatively low capital requirements, flexible operations, and a high degree of marketization, making them particularly suitable for private enterprises to leverage their technological agility and innovative business models [1] Group 2 - As of April 2025, there are 61 virtual power plant operators in Shenzhen, with over 50% being private enterprises, demonstrating the feasibility of the policy [2] - Private enterprises can bring abundant funds and flexible operational mechanisms to the development of virtual power plants, allowing them to quickly capture market opportunities and expand revenue channels through innovative business models [2] - The active participation of private enterprises will introduce sufficient market competition, driving continuous progress in technology innovation and service quality improvement within the virtual power plant sector [2] Group 3 - Despite the promising outlook, virtual power plants face challenges such as non-unified technical standards and data security risks [3] - To better support private enterprises in the virtual power plant sector, efforts should focus on accelerating the establishment of standard systems, enhancing policy implementation, and exploring cross-provincial trading mechanisms [3] - Local governments need to refine subsidy rules to ensure that private enterprises can effectively participate and benefit from the virtual power plant market [3]

中国发展改革报社记者 | 白 雪 在能源转型中，虚拟电厂通过提升新能源消纳能力、增强电网稳定性及推动需求侧响应，成为实现碳中 和目标的关键支柱，尤其在新能源占比提升、传统能源退出的背景下，其作用愈发凸显。近日，国家发 展改革委、国家能源局印发《关于加快推进虚拟电厂发展的指导意见》（以下简称《意见》）明确，加 快推进虚拟电厂发展。业内专家预测，未来3～5年，虚拟电厂将迎来快速发展期，在助力构建新型电力 系统方面，虚拟电厂或将取得实质性进展。 优势：成本效益、灵活性和可持续性 虚拟电厂是基于电力系统架构，运用现代信息通信、系统集成控制等技术，作为新型经营主体协同参与 电力系统优化和电力市场交易的电力运行组织模式。 "它能够聚合分布式能源、可调节负荷、储能等分散资源，通过智能控制和调度系统实现集中管理，提 高电力系统的灵活性和可靠性。"中关村物联网产业联盟副秘书长袁帅在接受本报记者采访时介绍，相 较于传统电力供应模式，虚拟电厂的优势主要体现在成本效益、灵活性和可持续性方面，其建设成本远 低于实体电厂，且能够更高效地应对电力需求波动，促进清洁能源消纳，减少环境污染。 自然资源保护协会清洁电力项目副主任刘明明表示："虚 ...