2025 年 12 月 11 日│中国内地 动态点评 证券研究报告 工业/能源 11 月用电需求或延续高增速 华泰研究 基于煤耗、来水、样本企业运营数据等高频指标，我们定量估算 2025 年 11 月全国发电量同增+3.9%至 7,898 亿度（历史数据回溯前 YoY+5.4%），其 中我们预计火电、水电、风光核电发电量分别同比-2.1%、+38.3%、+12.9% 至 5,069 亿度、1,138 亿度、1,692 亿度；11 月全社会用电量或将达到 8,364 亿度，同比+6.6%。 水情转好持续+新能源出力季节性修复或导致火电挤出 11 月火电日耗同比明显走弱，沿海八省动力煤日耗平均 184 万吨，同比 -2.5%；内陆十七省动力煤日耗平均 335 万吨，同比-5.6%。一方面，11 月 来水保持高出力，长江流域蓄水创历史新高，其中三峡流域 11 月平均水位 达 174 米，为 21 年 11 月以来新高；另一方面，11 月也是传统大风季（10 月至次年 2 月），根据华风创新研究院，全国 10 米高度年平均风速较近 10 年（2015～2024 年，下同）同期平均值偏大 2.06%，较上一年同期偏大 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a decline in the production of electrical instruments and meters in China, with a reported decrease of 1.4% year-on-year in September 2025 and a cumulative decline of 7.2% from January to September 2025 [1][1][1] Group 2 - The article lists several listed companies in the electrical instruments and meters sector, including Weisheng Information (688100), Linyang Energy (601222), Samsung Medical (601567), Haixing Electric Power (603556), XJ Electric (000400), Pinggao Electric (600312), Guodian Nanzi (600268), *ST Huayi (600290), Dongfang Electronics (000682), and Kelun Electronics (002121) [1][1][1] - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the production of electrical instruments and meters in China reached 22.72 million units in September 2025 [1][1][1] - The report referenced is the "2026-2032 China Instrument and Meter Market Supply and Demand Forecast and Future Development Trend Report" published by Zhiyan Consulting [1][1][1]

产教融合，深化校企合作。督促指导市管(市直)企业通过构建"1+N"校企联合模式，升级专业化人才培 养模式。国丰集团与中国工程院院士、中国免疫学会理事长吴玉章团队签署院士工作站合作协议，工作 站顺利落户蓝色药谷.生命岛；万华化学（600309）通过签订战略合作协议，与北京大学、天津大学、 华东理工等十余所高校建立深度合作关系，目前，各高校已累计向万华输送3000余名在校生实习；东方 电子（000682）通过设立奖学金、开展人才定制培养、邀请毕业生定向实习等多种方式，与华北电力大 学、兰州大学等外地高校以及山东工商学院等驻烟高校合作，吸引广大优秀毕业生留企就业。 悉心育才，夯实培训根基。坚持"统分结合、寓学于用、学以致用"原则，全力打造"智汇国资产才共 兴"人才培育品牌，形成了市国资委牵头抓总、市管(市直)企业各司其职的人才培育格局。2024年以 来，国资国企系统组织各类培训教育3000余次，悉心打造"万华大学""蓝天学院""国丰学堂"等教育品 牌，实现了对国企干部职工培训教育全覆盖。 齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点闫丽君 11月26日，烟台市人民政府新闻办公室举行"抓改革创新促高质量发展"主题系列第四场新闻发布会。会 上， ...

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for Dongfang Electronics to anchor national strategies, deepen technological breakthroughs, and expand industrial boundaries, transitioning from a leader in power automation to a comprehensive solution provider in the "source-network-load-storage + AI" full-chain service, laying the foundation for high-quality development and value enhancement [1] Group 1: Business Focus and Strategy - Dongfang Electronics has been deeply engaged in the power equipment sector for over 40 years, focusing on three core business areas: smart grid, smart energy, and smart cities, while exploring technology and market practices in various directions such as scheduling and cloud services, power transmission and transformation automation, new distribution network solutions, comprehensive energy, and virtual power plants [1] - The company has established a complete industrial chain covering the "source-network-load-storage" model, with a product system that spans all links of smart grid "generation, transmission, transformation, distribution, and consumption" [1] Group 2: Technological Innovation and Achievements - The virtual power plant technology independently developed by Dongfang Electronics was recognized as "internationally leading" by an expert group led by an academician from the Chinese Academy of Sciences in 2024 and was selected as a "green and low-carbon advanced technology demonstration project" by the National Development and Reform Commission in April 2025 [2] - The virtual power plant business has been practically applied in various scenarios, including State Grid, Southern Grid, power generation groups, energy groups, and urban and park-level applications [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Financial Performance - With the recent introduction of national policies supporting virtual power plants, the demand for digital virtual power plant construction is increasing, highlighting economic benefits and social impacts, which assist in achieving the goals of the new energy system and new power system construction [2] - Over the past three years, Dongfang Electronics has distributed a total cash dividend of 337 million yuan to shareholders, sharing the fruits of development [2] - Looking ahead to the next five years, the company plans to deepen its "one main and two wings" strategic layout, focusing on six industrial directions, increasing R&D investment in green low-carbon and grid AI fields, and accelerating the expansion of new green low-carbon industries and digital transformation tracks [2]

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Electronics has shown a mixed performance in stock price, with a year-to-date increase of 7.17% but a recent decline over the past five and twenty trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 24, Oriental Electronics' stock price increased by 2.06%, reaching 11.39 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.03 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.68%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 15.271 billion CNY [1] - The stock has experienced a decline of 6.33% over the last five trading days and 5.16% over the last twenty trading days, while it has increased by 3.24% over the last sixty days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Oriental Electronics reported a revenue of 5.165 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 495 million CNY, which is a 17.53% increase year-on-year [2] Group 3: Business Overview - Oriental Electronics, established on February 9, 1994, and listed on January 21, 1997, is based in Yantai, Shandong Province, and its main business includes electronic and communication equipment, power dispatching, industrial automation protection equipment, and other related services [2] - The company's revenue composition includes: 55.28% from smart power distribution, 13.51% from power transmission and transformation automation, 13.31% from dispatching and cloud services, 7.55% from industrial internet and smart manufacturing, 4.68% from renewable energy and storage, 3.73% from comprehensive energy and virtual power plants, 1.35% from leasing, and 0.60% from other sources [2] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Oriental Electronics had 68,800 shareholders, a decrease of 7.37% from the previous period, with an average of 19,474 circulating shares per shareholder, which is an increase of 7.96% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 31.558 million shares, an increase of 14.484 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Points - The stock price of Dongfang Electronics has dropped by 5.02% on November 21, reaching 11.16 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 257 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.68%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 14.963 billion CNY. The stock has seen a continuous decline over the past five days, with a cumulative drop of 6.67% [1] Company Overview - Dongfang Electronics Co., Ltd. is located at No. 2 Airport Road, Zhifu District, Yantai City, Shandong Province. The company was established on February 9, 1994, and went public on January 21, 1997. Its main business includes the development, production, sales, and consulting services of electronic and communication equipment, power dispatch and industrial automation protection equipment, industrial control systems, specialized instruments, automotive electronics, chemical materials, computers and accessories, as well as import and export business and approved foreign economic and technical cooperation [1] Revenue Composition - The revenue composition of Dongfang Electronics is as follows: - Smart power distribution business: 55.28% - Power transmission and transformation automation business: 13.51% - Dispatch and cloud services: 13.31% - Industrial Internet and smart manufacturing: 7.55% - New energy and energy storage: 4.68% - Comprehensive energy and virtual power plants: 3.73% - Leasing: 1.35% - Others: 0.60% [1] Shareholder Information - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Dongfang Electronics, a fund under Southern Fund ranks first. The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) reduced its holdings by 77,000 shares in the third quarter, holding a total of 7.3589 million shares, which accounts for 0.55% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 4.3418 million CNY, with a total floating loss of 6.1815 million CNY during the five-day decline [2] Fund Manager Profile - The fund manager of Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) is Cui Lei. As of the report, Cui Lei has a cumulative tenure of 7 years and 16 days, with the fund's total asset size at 122.76 billion CNY. The best fund return during the tenure is 180.57%, while the worst return is -15.93% [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant recovery in the new energy sector, particularly in solar, wind, lithium batteries, and grid investments, indicating a positive trend for the industry [4][7][21]. New Energy Sector Performance - Solar and storage: Cumulative new photovoltaic installations reached 240.27 GW from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 49.3%. Additionally, 1,671 new energy storage projects were registered in September 2025, reflecting a 24.15% increase year-on-year, with planned investments amounting to 96.177 billion yuan [4][7]. - Wind power: Cumulative investment in wind power construction reached 148.893 billion yuan, a 10.04% year-on-year increase. The total installed capacity of wind power reached 582 million kilowatts, up 21.30% year-on-year. The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines increased by 22.08% to 1,675 yuan/kW by the end of October [4][7]. - Lithium batteries: The demand for lithium batteries surged, with shipments reaching 490 GWh in Q3 2025, a 47% increase year-on-year. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose to 121,500 yuan/ton, a 94.4% increase within the year [4][7]. - Grid investments: National grid construction investments totaled 437.807 billion yuan from January to September 2025, a 9.94% year-on-year increase. The total investment planned by the State Grid and Southern Grid for 2025 is expected to exceed 825 billion yuan, an increase of 220 billion yuan compared to 2024 [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued stocks with improving fundamentals within the Shenwan Electric Equipment sector, which includes 363 constituent stocks. The selection criteria involve calculating rolling P/E ratios and filtering for companies with positive net profit growth over three consecutive quarters [21][27]. - Recommended stocks include: - DeYe股份 - 阳光电源 - 捷佳伟创 - 横店东磁 - 广大特材 - 大金重工 - 平高电气 - 国电南瑞 - 东方电子 - 科达利 [4][21][27].

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Electronics experienced a decline of 2.07% in stock price, with a current price of 12.33 CNY per share and a market capitalization of 16.531 billion CNY [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Oriental Electronics achieved a revenue of 5.165 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.53% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 495 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.53% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 702 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 367 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Stock Market Activity - As of November 14, 2025, the stock has increased by 16.01% year-to-date, but has seen a decline of 6.38% over the last five trading days [1] - The stock's trading volume on November 14 was 42.7994 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.26% [1] - The net outflow of main funds was 8.2004 million CNY, with significant selling pressure observed [1] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 7.37% to 68,800, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.96% to 19,474 shares [2] - The fourth largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 31.5578 million shares, an increase of 14.4839 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of the domestic financial market, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4002.76, down 0.39% [4] - The retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.282 million units in October, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.3% and a cumulative retail of 10.151 million units from January to October, reflecting a growth of 21.9% [6] - The report discusses the increasing market scale in the express delivery industry, indicating a seasonal growth trend [8] Industry Updates - Multiple departments have jointly issued documents to promote the open interconnection of enterprise logistics data, with related stocks including SuperMap Software (300036) and Hezhong Shizhuang (002383) [8] - Two departments have issued documents to strengthen the technological innovation support for new energy consumption, with related stocks including Southern Power Grid Technology (688248) and Oriental Electronics (000682) [8] - The express delivery industry is showing signs of seasonal characteristics, with accelerated market growth and related stocks including YTO Express (600233) and Shentong Express (002468) [8] Company Focus - Maiwei Biotech (688062) has received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for a Phase II clinical trial application for its MW3811 injection for pathological scars, with trials expected to start by the end of 2025 [10] - Zhongbei Communication (603220) has signed a comprehensive service framework agreement with Xiamen Hongxin Electronic Technology Group to collaborate on computing resource services [10] - Chaoying Electronics (603175) plans to expand its AI computing high-end printed circuit board production project in Thailand [10] Market Review and Outlook - On November 11, the total trading volume in the two markets was 1.9936 trillion yuan, with 2631 stocks rising and 2380 stocks falling, indicating a net outflow of 76.83 billion yuan [12] - The report notes that the market is experiencing a weak recovery with a focus on speculative trading, while trends in battery and photovoltaic sectors show relative resilience [13] - The report suggests that if the market experiences a pullback, investors may consider low-risk opportunities in resilient sectors for trial trading [13]

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Electronics' stock has experienced fluctuations, with a current price of 12.64 CNY per share, reflecting an 18.93% increase year-to-date, but a recent decline of 2.39% in intraday trading [1] Company Overview - Oriental Electronics, established on February 9, 1994, and listed on January 21, 1997, is located in Yantai, Shandong Province. The company specializes in electronic and communication equipment, power dispatch and industrial automation protection devices, industrial control systems, specialized instruments, automotive electronics, chemical materials, and computer accessories [1] - The company's revenue composition includes: smart power distribution business (55.28%), transmission and transformation automation (13.51%), dispatch and cloud services (13.31%), industrial internet and smart manufacturing (7.55%), new energy and energy storage (4.68%), comprehensive energy and virtual power plants (3.73%), leasing (1.35%), and others (0.60%) [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Oriental Electronics reported a revenue of 5.165 billion CNY, marking an 11.53% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 495 million CNY, reflecting a 17.53% growth [2] - The company has distributed a total of 702 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 367 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Oriental Electronics had 68,800 shareholders, a decrease of 7.37% from the previous period, with an average of 19,474 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 7.96% [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 31.558 million shares, an increase of 14.484 million shares from the previous period, while other notable shareholders include Penghua New Emerging Industries Mixed A and Southern CSI 1000 ETF [3]