格隆汇10月7日｜据央视财经，在北京8月出台的楼市新政推动下，9月，北京楼市成交量显著回升，新 房、二手房9月网签成交套数分别为3464套和15843套，环比8月增长约10%和17%。9月初，广东深圳推 出新一轮楼市提振措施，新楼盘交易踊跃。不只是新房市场热度高，记者走访中发现，双节假期，深圳 的二手房市场活跃度也明显提升。除了北京、深圳，今年国庆中秋假期，多个二线城市也持续调整优化 房地产政策、举办商品住房促销活动等，进一步提振房地产市场的活跃度。 ...

Group 1 - The average daily signing of second-hand houses in Shanghai reached 680 units in September, with three days exceeding 1,000 units, including a peak of 1,165 units on September 27, marking a 141-day high [2] - The transaction volume of second-hand houses in Shanghai has increased for two consecutive months, with a slight upward trend in the transaction curve for August and September [2] - The total transaction volume for the third quarter of 2025 reached 59,638 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.02% compared to the third quarter of 2024 [3] Group 2 - A new housing policy was implemented in Shanghai on August 25, which includes measures such as loosening purchase restrictions outside the outer ring, recognizing single adults as families, and adjustments to the provident fund [5] - Following the new policy, the first weekend saw a surge in daily signing volume, exceeding 1,000 units for the first time in 61 days, reaching 1,103 units [7] - Major banks announced a reduction in second-home mortgage rates, with new rates as low as 3.09% and existing rates at 3.36% [7] - New regulations from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange allow foreign individuals to process foreign exchange payments for property purchases in advance, and the scope of foreign exchange fund usage for enterprises has been expanded [7] - The Shanghai property tax policy was optimized on September 19, providing tax exemptions for first-time homebuyers and certain qualified individuals starting January 1, 2025 [7] - The "Golden September" market is gaining momentum, instilling confidence in the market, and the continuation of this trend into "Silver October" will be a key focus [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive impact of Shenzhen's new real estate policy introduced on September 5, which has led to an increase in market activity, with September seeing a 20.7% month-on-month and 38.3% year-on-year rise in residential transactions [1] - In September, the total number of residential transactions in Shenzhen reached 7,633 units, with new homes accounting for 3,087 units (up 43.5% month-on-month) and second-hand homes at 4,546 units (up 8.9% month-on-month) [1] - The average transaction price for second-hand homes in Shenzhen was 58,700 yuan per square meter, showing a slight decrease of 1.5% month-on-month, while the listing price was 62,600 yuan per square meter, down 0.6% [1] Group 2 - Analysts believe that the new policy's adjustments, such as relaxing purchase qualifications for singles and removing social security restrictions in non-core areas, have stimulated demand, particularly in the Qianhai and Baoan districts [2] - The policy is expected to support the real estate market during the "Golden September and Silver October" peak season, with a focus on inventory reduction in peripheral areas and stabilizing expectations in core areas [2] - Nationally, the new housing market has remained stable since 2025, but sales have weakened since the second quarter, with September showing signs of recovery due to improved supply [2] Group 3 - According to the China Real Estate Index System, the average price of new residential properties in 100 cities nationwide was 16,926 yuan per square meter in September, reflecting a slight increase of 0.09% month-on-month [3] - In September, 26 cities saw a month-on-month price increase, while 67 cities experienced a decline, with the average price of second-hand homes at 13,381 yuan per square meter, down 0.74% month-on-month [3] - The year-on-year increase in new residential prices across the 100 cities was 2.68%, indicating a mixed performance in the housing market [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a slight recovery in the real estate market during the traditional "Golden September" period, with a year-on-year decline in sales narrowing for major real estate companies [2][4] - In the first nine months of 2025, the total sales of the top 100 real estate companies reached 26,065.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.2%, but September saw a month-on-month increase of 11.9% in sales [2] - The top five real estate companies by sales in the first nine months were Poly Developments, Greentown China, China Overseas Land & Investment, China Resources Land, and China Merchants Shekou, with sales figures of 201.7 billion yuan, 178.5 billion yuan, 170.5 billion yuan, 154.4 billion yuan, and 140.6 billion yuan respectively [2] Group 2 - In September 2025, 72 of the top 100 real estate companies experienced month-on-month growth, with 45 companies showing an increase greater than 30%, indicating a positive trend in performance [4] - The new housing market saw a steady recovery in supply and demand, with a 55% month-on-month increase in supply across 30 monitored cities, and a 18% increase in transactions, although year-on-year transactions decreased by 5% [4] - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen benefited from policy adjustments in August and September, leading to a notable increase in transaction volumes [4][5] Group 3 - The outlook for the real estate market suggests that policies will maintain a loose stance, focusing on stabilizing the market and accelerating the implementation of existing policies [5] - Core cities are expected to see a mild improvement in new housing supply, providing some support to the market, while many other cities may face limited new projects, leading to continued market differentiation [5]

Core Insights - The top 100 real estate companies in China reported a total sales revenue of 26,065.9 billion yuan from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.2%, although the decline rate narrowed by 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - In September alone, the sales revenue of these companies increased by 11.9% month-on-month, indicating a slight recovery during the traditionally strong sales month [1] - The leading companies by sales volume include Poly Developments, Greentown China, China Overseas Land & Investment, China Resources Land, and China Merchants Shekou, with sales figures of 201.7 billion yuan, 178.5 billion yuan, 170.5 billion yuan, 154.4 billion yuan, and 140.6 billion yuan respectively [1] Sales Performance - A total of 72 out of the top 100 real estate companies experienced month-on-month growth in September 2025, with 45 companies showing growth rates exceeding 30% [3] - Among the top 10 companies, 7 reported an increase in operational amounts compared to the previous month [3] Market Trends - The new housing market saw a steady recovery in September 2025, with a 55% increase in supply across 30 monitored cities, marking the second-highest level of the year [4] - Transaction volume increased by 18% month-on-month, although it still showed a year-on-year decline of 5% [4] - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen benefited from policy relaxations in August and September, leading to a notable increase in transaction volumes [4] - Despite the recovery in core cities, the overall market remains under pressure, with many cities experiencing relatively flat performance [4] - The industry anticipates that future policies will maintain a loose stance, focusing on stabilizing the market and expediting the implementation of existing measures [4]

Core Viewpoint - Wuhan has introduced eight specific measures, referred to as "Han Eight Measures," to promote stable and healthy development in the real estate market, aiming to boost housing consumption [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Measures - The measures include increasing housing provident fund loan limits and enhancing subsidies for rigid housing demand [3]. - Support for purchasing commercial and office properties has been intensified, allowing individuals to apply for household registration upon purchasing new commercial properties [3][4]. - From October 1, 2025, to June 30, 2026, a 50% subsidy on the actual paid deed tax will be provided for buyers of new commercial and office properties [3][4]. Group 2: Housing Provident Fund Adjustments - The maximum housing provident fund loan limit for dual contributors' families is set at 1.5 million yuan, while for single contributors, it is 1.2 million yuan [4]. - The repayment ability calculation for housing provident fund loans will adjust the repayment ratio from 35% to 40% [4]. - During the specified period, properties currently for sale will not count towards the loan limit for families applying for housing provident fund loans [4]. Group 3: Subsidies for First-Time Homebuyers - From October 1 to December 31, 2025, families purchasing their first new commercial housing in designated areas will receive a loan interest subsidy of 1% of the initial loan amount, capped at 20,000 yuan, distributed over two years [4].

Group 1 - The introduction of new housing policies in Shenzhen on September 5 has led to an increase in market activity, with a notable rise in both new and second-hand property transactions despite a slight decline in second-hand sales due to typhoon weather [1][2] - As of September 28, the total number of new residential units sold in Shenzhen reached 1,482, while second-hand residential transactions totaled 4,323, indicating a robust market despite some fluctuations [1][2] - Real estate agents report a significant increase in decision-making speed and confidence among buyers with clear demands, although prices in the second-hand market remain relatively stable [1][2] Group 2 - The decline in second-hand housing prices over the past four years has made homeownership more accessible to previously unaffordable buyers, driving up transaction volumes [2] - The new policies are expected to create a positive cycle in the housing market, facilitating the transition from second-hand to new homes, particularly for buyers looking to upgrade [2] - The recent policy changes have led to a 35% increase in new home purchases in the 23 days following the policy implementation compared to the previous 23 days, and a 75% increase compared to the same period in August [2] Group 3 - Nationally, the new housing market has remained stable since 2025, but there has been a slight decline in sales since the second quarter, with September showing signs of recovery due to improved supply [3] - The second-hand housing market continues to operate on a "price for volume" basis, with key cities seeing a year-on-year increase in transaction numbers for the first three quarters [3]

Core Insights - The real estate market in Beijing has seen significant growth in September, driven by new policies aimed at boosting housing sales [1] Group 1: New Housing Transactions - From September 1 to September 27, Beijing recorded 2,837 new housing transactions, representing a month-on-month increase of 22.3% and a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [1] - The total area of new housing transactions reached 367,100 square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 28.1% and a year-on-year increase of 24.2% [1] Group 2: Second-Hand Housing Transactions - Second-hand housing transactions totaled 13,200 units, showing a month-on-month increase of 18.3% and a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [1] - The area for second-hand housing transactions was 1,191,300 square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 16.1% and a year-on-year increase of 23.1% [1] Group 3: Policy Impact - The surge in transaction volume is largely attributed to a significant policy change announced on August 9, which allows eligible families to purchase an unlimited number of new homes outside the Fifth Ring Road [1] - The new policy also enhances support for housing provident fund loans, increasing the loan limit from 1 million yuan to 1.5 million yuan for each year of contribution, and raising the maximum loan amount for second homes from 600,000 yuan to 1 million yuan [1] - Additionally, the minimum down payment ratio for second homes has been standardized to no less than 30%, eliminating distinctions based on location [1]

Core Insights - The new policy "沪六条" has significantly stimulated housing demand in Shanghai, leading to notable increases in both new and second-hand property transactions, particularly in the outer ring areas [1][2][3] Market Performance - The outer ring market has seen a marked increase in transaction volume, with new home sales in this area accounting for 73.45% of total sales in the first month post-policy, a 12.29% increase from the annual average [1][2] - In the first two weeks following the policy announcement, the outer ring's transaction share was 49.5% and 49.1%, respectively, surpassing the annual average of 44.3% [2] Sales Data - In September, the total number of second-hand homes (including commercial properties) signed online reached 16,677, with daily signings exceeding 1,000 on weekends [3][4] - The first week after the policy saw a 8.5% increase in second-hand home transactions, while the second week experienced a slight decline of 9.3%, indicating a need for time to restore market confidence [4] Developer Activity - High-end properties continue to perform well, with several projects selling out quickly after the policy implementation, such as 保利·海上印 and 嘉里金陵华庭, which achieved record sales [5][6] - Developers are accelerating project launches in anticipation of the traditional sales peak in September and October, with multiple new projects receiving pre-sale permits [6] Market Sentiment - The policy has altered the mindset of both sellers and buyers, leading to increased negotiation dynamics, although the overall market remains in an adjustment phase [4][6] - The demand for improved housing options has risen, with a significant portion of new buyers being upgrade seekers [1][2]

Core Insights - The new housing policy implemented in Shanghai on August 25 has shown initial positive effects on the real estate market, with distinct recovery trends in the new and second-hand housing markets [1][5][6] New Housing Market - The new housing market demonstrated a significant short-term boost, with a more than 30% increase in transaction volume in the first week following the policy implementation, leading to a clear peak in transactions [5] - Overall, new housing transaction volume increased by 19% month-on-month, although it still saw a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, which is a 33 percentage point improvement compared to the previous year [5] - The initial surge in new housing transactions was not sustained, as the volume gradually returned to a more stable level after the first week, yet it remained at a relatively high level [5] Second-Hand Housing Market - The second-hand housing market exhibited a steady recovery, with weekly transaction volumes showing a gradual increase, reaching 5021 units in the fourth week post-policy [6] - The decrease in second-hand housing listings by 1453 units since September indicates improved market confidence among sellers, contributing to a better balance between supply and demand [6][9] - The increase in customer inquiries and property viewings suggests heightened market activity, with leading real estate agencies reporting a rise in engagement [6] Impact of Policy Changes - The policy's relaxation of purchase restrictions in the outer ring areas of Shanghai has significantly influenced market dynamics, with these areas accounting for 61% of new housing transactions and 51% of second-hand transactions in the city [7][8] - Following the policy change, the proportion of new housing transactions in the outer ring areas rose to 73.45%, marking a notable increase from the average of 61% [8] - The second-hand housing market in these areas also saw increased activity, with transaction proportions exceeding the annual average, indicating a revitalization of demand [8] Market Outlook - Despite the initial positive effects of the policy, market analysts remain cautious about the long-term impact, noting that similar past policies typically lead to temporary boosts in transaction volumes without sustained price increases [8] - The current high inventory levels in the second-hand housing market, with 356,549 listings as of September 26, pose challenges for a fundamental shift in supply-demand dynamics [9][10]