随着光伏"反内卷"的持续深入，今年第三季度多晶硅市场呈回暖趋势。 12月9日盘中，业内有消息称，光伏行业为推进"反内卷"筹备多时的"多晶硅平台公司"已注册成立，"平台公司"的名称为北京光和谦成科 技有限责任公司，注册资本30亿元，成立日期为2025年12月9日，公司住所在北京市朝阳区。 或受此消息影响，多家多晶硅企业尾盘领涨光伏板块，通威股份（600438.SH）收涨3.61%至22.68元/股，协鑫科技（03800.HK）收涨 2.61%至1.180港元/股。 中国光伏行业协会相关负责人今日回复第一财经记者称："暂不方便回应相关消息。"但记者另从知情人士处了解到，注册企业主要为探 索行业内潜在战略合作机会，如技术升级、市场拓展、产能与成本优化。 作为这轮光伏行业"反内卷"的重要抓手，多晶硅环节的产能整合进展一直备受产业与资本关注。 第一财经记者注意到，大半年前，通威股份（600438.SH）、协鑫科技（03800.HK）等硅料头部厂商及行业协会已开始牵头推进业内简 称为"收储"的产能整合计划，拟通过筹集资金、承债式收购等方式，整合并淘汰行业过剩及落后产能，进而稳定多晶硅市场供需结构。 近几个月，关于多晶硅头 ...

在企业类型方面，该公司为有限责任公司（外商投资企业与内资合资）。 有分析人士称，公司为外商与内资合资企业，方便港股上市公司 参股，也便于外资投资人参与募资。 截至发稿，天眼查等工商信息查询平台尚未收录该企业信息。据上述企业人士对财联社记者透露，该注册公司主要为行业内主要企业探索行 业内潜在战略合作机会，如技术升级、市场拓展、产能与成本优化。 今日有消息称，"多晶硅平台公司注册"，公司名称为北京光和谦成科技有限责任公司，注册资本30亿元，成立日期为2025年12月9日。公 司住所在北京市朝阳区。 有头部硅料企业人士称，该消息属实，但具体安排由行业协会负责。 资料显示，该企业经营范围包括一般项目：技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广；企业管理咨询。 在乐观预期看来，新成立的多晶硅整合平台将从多方面影响行业，包括助力价格与盈利修复、重塑市场长期格局以及优化上下游产业链传导 等。有业内人士称，未来通过产能收储与配额调控，目标是将价格稳定在6万元/吨以上，覆盖成本并保障行业合理利润。 作为此轮光伏反"内卷"的重要风向标，多晶硅"收储"方案从筹划至今，始终受到高度关注。在今年11月进行的2025第八 ...

电力设备 2025 年 12 月 08 日 光伏拐点已现，储能大势所趋 ——行业投资策略 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《动储需求旺盛，产业链供需拐点已 至—锂电行业 2026 年度投资策略》 -2025.12.1 《欧洲电动车销量月报（2025 年 10 月）：法国社会租赁计划落地后 BEV 销量同比明显提速—行业点评报告》 -2025.11.24 《低空经济行业周报（第四十一期）： 进博会上多项低空经济订单签约，时 的科技总部落户上海—行业周报》 -2025.11.9 殷晟路（分析师） 周航（联系人） yinshenglu@kysec.cn zhouhang1@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790125050020 光伏拐点已现：反内卷持续推进，关注底部反转 当前光伏行业反内卷已取得一定积极成效，Q3 主链上游环节预计显著减亏。后 续重点关注供需两条主线： （1）供给侧：硅料收储平台落地及产业链限产措施。 （2）需求侧：关注"十五五"光伏装机 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center)** power supply system, **energy**, **solid-state batteries**, **hydrogen energy**, and the **photovoltaic industry**. Key Points and Arguments AIDC Power Supply System - **Energy Importance**: Emphasis on the critical role of energy in AI development, with traditional power grids lagging behind AI computing demands [1][3] - **800V DC Supply**: The 800V direct current supply is expected to become the mainstream technology, benefiting solid-state transformers, circuit breakers, and high-power PSUs [1][4] - **North America**: The region is addressing power shortages through peak shaving, indicating a positive outlook for AIDC power storage [1][5] Energy Storage Market - **Strong Demand**: The global energy storage market is experiencing robust demand, with an estimated installation of 265 GWh in 2025, projected to exceed 400 GWh in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 30% over the next five years [1][6] - **Domestic Market**: In China, the tender volume for energy storage is approximately 340 GWh for the first 11 months of 2025, with expectations of 250-300 GWh installations in 2026 [1][11] Hydrogen Energy - **New Economic Growth Point**: Hydrogen energy is identified as a significant growth area, with a focus on green hydrogen production equipment like electrolyzers and chlor-alkali processes [1][7] Solid-State Battery Development - **Accelerated Industrialization**: The solid-state battery sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with the South Korean government investing 280 billion KRW in R&D [1][8] - **Material Focus**: Attention is drawn to new materials such as lithium sulfide and lithium metal anodes, as well as new manufacturing processes [1][8] Photovoltaic Industry - **Challenges and Opportunities**: The photovoltaic industry is at a critical juncture with high upstream inventory, but potential price recovery is anticipated if anti-involution measures are implemented [1][9] - **Market Outlook**: The photovoltaic market is expected to see significant growth in 2026, driven by domestic policies and overseas power supply constraints [1][10] Wind Power Industry - **Market Developments**: The wind power supply chain is expected to see price recovery in component bidding, with a focus on both domestic and overseas markets [1][13] Grid Investment - **High Voltage Projects**: Attention is drawn to ultra-high voltage projects, with the Panxi project approved and expected to commence in 2026 [1][14] Investment Recommendations - **Key Focus Areas**: Recommendations include focusing on AIDC, solid-state batteries, photovoltaic anti-involution, energy storage, and hydrogen energy as key investment directions for 2026 [1][15]

Core Viewpoint - 弘元绿能 is positioned as a leader in integrated photovoltaic cost management, benefiting from the trends of "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic sector and the integration of solar and storage solutions, which accelerates growth opportunities [1] Industry Summary - The "anti-involution" policy is crucial for national energy transition and enhancing global competitiveness, with expectations for its rapid implementation to boost industry prices and profitability back to reasonable levels [1] - The price of energy storage cells has decreased by approximately 60% since the beginning of 2023, enhancing the cost-effectiveness of solar plus storage solutions and alleviating market concerns regarding photovoltaic integration into the grid [1] - The industry is moving towards "secondary parity" in solar and storage, stimulating growth in end-user demand [1] Company Summary - 弘元绿能 has demonstrated superior cost control capabilities, achieving better-than-expected performance in Q3 2025 against the backdrop of a bottoming out in silicon material prices [1] - The company’s cost advantages in the photovoltaic sector are validated by its strong quarterly results, indicating significant earnings elasticity if the "anti-involution" policy accelerates [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its growth potential and market positioning [1]

Group 1 - The photovoltaic sector experienced a significant intraday surge, with the photovoltaic industry index rising by 2.06% as of 14:03, led by stocks such as Roboteam and Kstar [1] - The "anti-involution" efforts in the photovoltaic industry have begun to show results, with prices in the photovoltaic supply chain starting to recover and corporate profits improving, particularly in the upstream polysilicon segment [1] - In December, domestic polysilicon production decreased by 0.96% month-on-month, while wafer, cell, and module production saw declines of 15.95%, 12.61%, and 13.58% respectively, indicating a trend of reduced production across multiple segments of the photovoltaic supply chain [1] Group 2 - Industry insiders attribute the continued decline in production across multiple segments in December to insufficient terminal demand, suggesting that the effects of "anti-involution" will lead to a gradual price recovery in the photovoltaic industry by 2026 [1] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities noted that price control measures have led to price increases in the main supply chain since July, with the polysilicon segment returning to profitability in Q3, although there remains significant inventory pressure of approximately 460,000 tons across the industry [1] - The overall expectation is that the "anti-involution" policy will help restore profitability to reasonable levels across various segments of the photovoltaic supply chain [1]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Focus - The conference call primarily discusses the hydrogen energy industry, particularly green hydrogen, green ammonia, and green methanol, emphasizing their potential for large-scale development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" periods [1][2][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Green Hydrogen Growth**: The national policy is pushing for the large-scale development of green hydrogen, green ammonia, and green methanol, indicating that green hydrogen could become a new economic growth point and a key non-electric renewable energy source [1][2][5]. - **Market Potential for Green Methanol**: There is increasing market attention on green methanol, especially in the shipping sector, with a potential market space estimated at 800 billion yuan if global adoption occurs [1][6]. - **Hydrogen Production Statistics**: In 2024, China produced approximately 38 million tons of hydrogen, with green hydrogen production being only a few hundred thousand tons, indicating a low penetration rate and significant growth potential [6]. - **Investment Recommendations**: It is recommended to focus on the green methanol and preparation segments, with an emphasis on downstream applications and the electrolyzer segment, where leading companies like Sungrow Power and LONGi Green Energy are making progress [1][7][8]. - **AIDC Power Sector**: Solid-state transformers and high-power PSUs are highlighted as key recommended directions in the AIDC power sector, despite not currently being systemic trends [1][9]. - **AIGC and ADC Storage**: There is a positive outlook on AIGC and ADC storage, with increasing demand for energy storage solutions as electricity needs become more pressing [1][10]. Additional Important Insights - **Photovoltaic Industry**: The photovoltaic industry is currently in a phase of "anti-involution," with rising polysilicon prices expected to benefit the sector. The relationship between polysilicon prices and the photovoltaic market is emphasized [1][11][12]. - **Wind Power Outlook**: The wind power sector is expected to see improved competition and profitability by 2026, with upstream companies gaining bargaining power [1][14]. - **Electric Grid Developments**: New project approvals in the electric grid sector are noted, with traditional power equipment expected to benefit from developments in hydrogen, NPC power, and photovoltaic sectors [1][15]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the hydrogen energy industry and related sectors, along with investment recommendations and market outlooks.

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a sustained capacity clearing cycle by 2026, leading to an optimized competitive landscape and improved performance for existing photovoltaic companies. Public funds currently have low allocations in the photovoltaic sector, but low valuations and improved supply-demand dynamics are likely to attract more capital [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Trends - In 2025, the transition to market-oriented trading policies for renewable energy will lead to a phase of increased installations in the photovoltaic sector. In the first three quarters, China added a cumulative 240.27 GW of photovoltaic capacity, a year-on-year increase of 64.73%, indicating strong growth. However, demand is expected to stabilize after the installation rush, with traditional markets in Europe and the U.S. showing weak growth while Asia-Pacific and Africa exhibit strong energy demand [2][3]. - The capacity of the grid to absorb and support photovoltaic installations is a critical factor for industry development. The reliance on large-scale centralized power plants is expected to continue, while policies affecting the revenue models of these plants will have significant long-term impacts [3]. Group 2: Subsector Insights - **Energy Storage Inverters**: The global energy storage market is on the rise, benefiting inverter manufacturers. The demand for energy storage systems is expected to grow rapidly due to increased photovoltaic installations, flexibility requirements in power systems, and advancements in storage technology. By the end of 2027, new energy storage installations are projected to exceed 180 million kW, with over 100 million kW added in three years [4]. - **Polysilicon**: The polysilicon sector is undergoing a transformation with stricter energy consumption standards. Leading companies are forming merger funds to consolidate weaker capacities, which is expected to drive industry capacity reduction. Polysilicon prices are beginning to recover, crossing the breakeven point for leading firms [5]. - **Photovoltaic Glass**: The photovoltaic glass industry is entering a phase of capacity optimization and market clearing. Smaller production lines are exiting the market due to cost disadvantages, while larger lines are cautiously resuming operations. Demand growth for photovoltaic glass is expected to slow down, with thin and multifunctional products emerging as new growth points [6]. - **Integrated Component Manufacturers**: The competitive landscape for integrated component manufacturers is stabilizing, with significant reductions in capital expenditures. The supply contraction is expected to effectively reduce industry supply. These manufacturers are also extending their business into the energy storage sector, focusing on commercial and large-scale storage projects [7].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the photovoltaic industry is entering a continuous capacity clearance cycle, driven by anti-involution policies and market dynamics, which will gradually improve the performance of existing photovoltaic companies [4][22][50] - The investment recommendation maintains a "stronger than market" rating, suggesting a focus on leading companies in niche sectors such as energy storage inverters, polysilicon materials, photovoltaic glass, and integrated component manufacturers [4][36][50] Group 1: 2025 Review and 2026 Outlook - In 2025, the photovoltaic sector saw a significant increase in installed capacity, with a total of 240.27 GW added, representing a year-on-year growth of 64.73% [4][36] - The report notes a bifurcation in stock performance, with the photovoltaic industry index yielding a return of 21.53% from January to November 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which returned 13.18% [14][20] - The outlook for 2026 indicates a slowdown in new installations, with expectations of stable demand and a focus on improving the quality of the industry through capacity reduction and consolidation [4][36][50] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the energy storage inverter sector will benefit from a global upturn in energy storage demand, with significant growth expected in the market [4][36] - For polysilicon, the report highlights that anti-involution measures are likely to reverse the industry's challenges, recommending a focus on leading companies with performance elasticity [5][9] - The photovoltaic glass market is entering a phase of capacity optimization, with a recommendation to focus on leading companies that possess cost advantages [9][10] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the traditional markets in Europe and the U.S. are experiencing sluggish growth, while demand in Asia-Pacific and Africa remains robust, with imports of components continuing to grow rapidly [4][41][42] - The report outlines that the U.S. market is facing challenges due to the expiration of investment tax credits, which is expected to impact new installations negatively [45][46] - In contrast, the Middle East and Africa are emerging as hotspots for photovoltaic demand due to their energy transition needs and favorable market conditions [41][47]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing a significant turnaround after a prolonged downturn, with the PV index rising over 30% from July 1 to November 14 this year, indicating renewed investor interest and potential recovery in the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The PV sector was previously a high-performing area for many fund managers, particularly between 2020 and 2022, driven by favorable conditions such as tight silicon supply, high installation growth, and strong policy support [1]. - In 2023, a price war emerged, leading to a decline in the performance of leading companies and a significant drop in the stock prices of many star PV stocks [2]. - As of the third quarter of 2025, major companies like Sungrow Power and JA Solar have consistently remained in the top holdings of various funds, indicating a continued belief in the sector despite recent challenges [2]. Group 2: Fund Manager Strategies - Some fund managers, like Zheng Chengran from GF Fund, have maintained their positions in the PV sector, believing that the industry is on the verge of a new upward cycle, with expectations for recovery starting in early 2024 [2][3]. - Other managers, such as Lu Bin from HSBC Jintrust, have also shown confidence in the sector, reporting over 40% cumulative returns in their funds due to strategic investments in leading PV stocks [3]. - Conversely, some fund managers have exited the PV sector after significant losses, missing the recent rebound that began in July [4][5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The industry is witnessing a fundamental improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with a report indicating that the PV industry is moving towards price recovery and reduced losses for companies [6][7]. - The price of polysilicon has rebounded from a low of 35,000 yuan/ton to over 50,000 yuan/ton, reflecting the impact of policy interventions and industry self-discipline [7]. - The overall market sentiment is shifting positively, with public funds increasing their allocation to the PV sector as valuations remain attractive [7].