Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" for the machinery equipment sector, specifically for construction machinery [5][28]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a recovery in excavator sales in June 2025, with total sales reaching 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%. Domestic sales were 8,136 units, down 3% month-on-month but up 6% year-on-year, while exports were 10,700 units, up 19% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in second-hand excavator exports is expected to drive domestic replacement demand, with a notable increase in the market share of domestic brands overseas [1][4]. - The report highlights that domestic infrastructure investment has shown slight improvement, with a 5.6% year-on-year increase in completed investment in the first five months of 2025 [2]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales and Market Trends - In June 2025, excavator sales showed a recovery, with a total of 18,800 units sold, marking a 13.3% increase year-on-year. The domestic market saw sales of 8,136 units, while exports reached 10,700 units, reflecting a 19% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the role of second-hand excavator exports in supporting domestic demand, with May exports showing a 52% year-on-year increase [3]. Domestic Demand and Infrastructure Investment - The report notes a slight improvement in domestic demand, with new housing starts down 22.8% year-on-year in the first five months, a slight narrowing from a 23.8% decline in the previous period. Infrastructure investment, excluding electricity, increased by 5.6% year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates that improved project funding will gradually translate into construction and equipment usage [2]. Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends key companies in the industry, including SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) with a target price of 23.10, LiuGong (000528 CH) with a target price of 14.55, and Hengli Hydraulic (601100 CH) with a target price of 82.00, all rated as "Buy" [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator market is showing signs of recovery with significant year-on-year growth in sales, both domestically and internationally, indicating a positive trend for the industry moving forward [1][2][4]. Sales Data Summary - In June 2025, a total of 18,804 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.3%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,136 units (up 6.2%), while exports reached 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [1]. - From January to June 2025, a total of 120,520 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year growth of 16.8%. Domestic sales were 65,637 units (up 22.9%), and exports were 54,883 units (up 10.2%) [2]. - In June 2025, 27 electric excavators were sold, categorized by weight: 11 units under 6 tons, 4 units between 10 to 18.5 tons, and 12 units between 18.5 to 28.5 tons [3]. Monthly Sales Trends - Domestic excavator sales in May 2025 were 8,392 units, a decrease of 1.48% year-on-year. In April, sales were 12,547 units, up 16.4%, and in March, sales reached 19,517 units, up 28.5% [6]. - The sales figures for the first half of 2025 show fluctuations, with January sales at 5,405 units (down 0.3%) and February sales at 11,640 units (up 99.4%) [6]. Historical Context - The data from previous years indicates a volatile market, with significant declines in 2023, where domestic sales saw a drop of up to 60.1% in December compared to the previous year [9]. - The recovery in 2025 follows a challenging period for the industry, suggesting a potential turnaround in market conditions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a decline in average working hours and operating rates, indicating potential challenges ahead for the sector [1][6]. Group 1: Working Hours and Operating Rates - In June 2025, the average working hours for major engineering machinery products was 77.2 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 9.11% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.56% [1]. - Specific working hours for various machinery in June 2025 included: excavators at 64.2 hours, loaders at 92.7 hours, and concrete pump trucks at 42.7 hours [1]. - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products in June 2025 was 56.9%, down 7.55 percentage points year-on-year and 2.65 percentage points month-on-month [1]. - Operating rates for specific machinery included: excavators at 58.2%, loaders at 59.5%, and concrete pump trucks at 37.7% [1]. Group 2: Historical Data Review - In May 2025, the average working hours were 84.5 hours, showing a year-on-year decline of 3.86% [6]. - In April 2025, the average working hours were 90.1 hours, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.20% [6]. - The average working hours in February 2025 were significantly higher at 46.4 hours, with a year-on-year increase of 70.3% [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see improvements in operating rates, with February showing signs of recovery [9]. - January 2025 experienced a strong credit opening, reinforcing expectations for a rebound in domestic demand within the engineering machinery sector [9].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator industry serves as a key indicator for infrastructure construction and fixed asset investment in China, with recent data showing a continuous increase in the workload of construction machinery across multiple provinces, indicating ongoing progress in major projects such as roads and bridges [1]. Summary by Sections National Overview - In May, the national construction machinery operating rate was 47.34%, with the top ten provinces being Anhui, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Hainan, Hebei, Qinghai, Jiangxi, and Ningxia. Qinghai saw the highest month-on-month growth rate of 3.14% [2]. - Sixteen provinces experienced a month-on-month increase in workload, with eight provinces, including Heilongjiang, Qinghai, Jilin, Tibet, Beijing, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Ningxia, showing growth rates exceeding 10% [3]. Equipment Performance - The operating rate for road construction equipment was 29.83% in May, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.72% and a year-on-year increase of 1.87%. Notably, the operating rate of pavers increased by 4.22%, with a workload growth of 14.65% [4]. - The Northeast region led with an operating rate of 60.39%, showing a month-on-month increase of 17.01%. Excavation equipment in this region had an operating rate of 65.82%, the highest in the country [6]. Regional Highlights - The Northeast region's workload increased by 3.58% year-on-year, with significant month-on-month growth of 17.01%. The region's operating rates for various equipment types, including excavators and crawler cranes, were the highest nationally [6]. - The Western region's operating rate was 53.77%, ranking second nationally. Notably, the workload for crawler cranes in Ningxia surged by 249.03% year-on-year, indicating strong growth driven by favorable policies in infrastructure and international trade [7][8]. - The Eastern region's operating rate was 46.4%, with concrete equipment leading at an operating rate of 47.05%. Various concrete-related equipment also ranked first nationally in their respective categories [9].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry in China is experiencing a recovery, with significant growth in export values despite a decline in import values in recent months [7][8]. Trade Data Summary - In May 2025, China's engineering machinery import and export trade amounted to $5.238 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with imports at $214 million (down 0.74%) and exports at $5.024 billion (up 8.51%) [1]. - In April 2025, the trade total was $5.377 billion, a 12% increase year-on-year, with imports at $226 million (down 2.2%) and exports at $5.152 billion (up 12.7%) [2]. - For March 2025, the trade value was $5.167 billion, reflecting a 7.53% year-on-year growth, with imports at $255 million (down 5.85%) and exports at $4.912 billion (up 8.33%) [2]. - The cumulative trade from January to May 2025 reached $24.185 billion, an 8.49% increase year-on-year, with imports totaling $1.09 billion (down 0.86%) and exports at $23.095 billion (up 8.98%) [3]. - From January to April 2025, the trade value was $18.947 billion, an 8.51% increase year-on-year, with imports at $877 million (down 0.86%) and exports at $18.07 billion (up 9.01%) [4]. Export Performance - In April 2025, the export value was 36.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, while the cumulative export from January to April was 129.738 billion yuan, up 10.3% [5]. - In March 2025, the export value was 35.231 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.51% year-on-year increase, with the first quarter's total exports at 92.787 billion yuan, up 8.99% [6]. - The export value for January 2025 was 34.001 billion yuan, a 16.8% increase year-on-year, while February saw a decline to 23.558 billion yuan, down 1.27% [6]. Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see improved conditions, with a notable increase in demand and a positive outlook for the coming months [9][10].

Group 1 - In May 2025, a total of 18,202 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.12%. Domestic sales were 8,392 units, down 1.48%, while exports reached 9,810 units, up 5.42% [1] - From January to May 2025, a total of 101,716 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.4%. Domestic sales were 57,501 units, up 25.7%, and exports were 44,215 units, up 8.2% [2] - In May 2025, 36 electric excavators were sold, with various weight categories contributing to the total [3] Group 2 - In May 2025, a total of 10,535 loaders were sold, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.24%. Domestic sales were 6,037 units, up 16.7%, while exports were 4,498 units, down 3.31% [4][5] - From January to May 2025, a total of 52,755 loaders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1%. Domestic sales were 29,607 units, up 25.4%, and exports were 23,148 units, up 2.39% [5] Group 3 - In May 2025, 649 graders were sold, down 3.28% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 112 units, up 31.8%, while exports were 537 units, down 8.36% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 3,580 graders were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.9%. Domestic sales were 677 units, up 40.7%, and exports were 2,903 units, up 10.1% [7] Group 4 - In May 2025, 1,748 truck cranes were sold, down 8.1% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 978 units, down 3.36%, while exports were 770 units, down 13.5% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 9,103 truck cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.94%. Domestic sales were 5,181 units, down 13.8%, and exports were 3,922 units, down 1.61% [8] Group 5 - In May 2025, 261 crawler cranes were sold, up 31.8% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 56 units, down 3.45%, while exports were 205 units, up 46.4% [10] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,282 crawler cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.25%. Domestic sales were 402 units, down 1.23%, and exports were 880 units, up 8.51% [11] Group 6 - In May 2025, 1,681 truck-mounted cranes were sold, down 20.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,286 units, down 27.5%, while exports were 395 units, up 18.6% [13] - From January to May 2025, a total of 10,695 truck-mounted cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.85%. Domestic sales were 8,535 units, down 6.71%, and exports were 2,160 units, up 9.42% [14] Group 7 - In May 2025, 538 tower cranes were sold, down 28.4% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 292 units, down 51.7%, while exports were 246 units, up 67.3% [15] - From January to May 2025, a total of 2,334 tower cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 36.6%. Domestic sales were 1,278 units, down 57.1%, and exports were 1,056 units, up 51.1% [16] Group 8 - In May 2025, 123,472 forklifts were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.8%. Domestic sales were 79,129 units, up 9.25%, while exports were 44,343 units, up 16.6% [17] - From January to May 2025, a total of 601,764 forklifts were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33%. Domestic sales were 392,490 units, up 6.66%, and exports were 209,274 units, up 14.7% [18] Group 9 - In May 2025, 1,589 rollers were sold, up 17% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 577 units, up 6.07%, while exports were 1,012 units, up 24.3% [19] - From January to May 2025, a total of 7,772 rollers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 23.7%. Domestic sales were 2,905 units, up 10.8%, and exports were 4,867 units, up 32.9% [20] Group 10 - In May 2025, 149 pavers were sold, up 30.7% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 107 units, up 33.8%, while exports were 42 units, up 23.5% [21] - From January to May 2025, a total of 708 pavers were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.4%. Domestic sales were 521 units, up 32.2%, and exports were 187 units, up 29% [22] Group 11 - In May 2025, 15,653 aerial work platforms were sold, down 26.2% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 5,284 units, down 48.1%, while exports were 10,369 units, down 5.8% [25] - From January to May 2025, a total of 74,533 aerial work platforms were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 33.5%. Domestic sales were 29,191 units, down 48.3%, and exports were 45,342 units, down 18.4% [26] Group 12 - In May 2025, 296 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, down 33.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 286 units, down 34.1%, while exports remained flat at 10 units [26] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,906 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.2%. Domestic sales were 1,803 units, up 9.74%, and exports were 103 units, up 87.3% [27]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in May 2025, domestic sales of excavators slightly declined by 1.48% year-on-year, while exports increased by 5.42%. The overall sales of excavators from January to May 2025 showed a year-on-year growth of 17.4% [7]. - The report notes that the domestic sales of loaders increased by 16.7% year-on-year in May 2025, with a total of 10,535 units sold. The electric loader sales reached 2,765 units, marking a penetration rate of 26.25% [5][7]. - Major companies in the construction machinery sector are planning to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to raise funds for overseas expansion and enhance their global brand influence [7]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - In May 2025, a total of 18,202 excavators were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.12%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,392 units, down 1.48%, while exports reached 9,810 units, up 5.42% [7]. - The report attributes the slight decline in domestic sales to the traditional construction off-season and the pre-emptive demand from the previous months' high growth [7]. Loader Sales - Loader sales in May 2025 totaled 10,535 units, with domestic sales of 6,037 units, up 16.7% year-on-year. Exports were 4,498 units, down 3.31% [5][7]. - The report emphasizes the trend towards electric loaders, with sales of 2,765 units in May 2025, indicating a growing acceptance and market recognition of electric machinery [7]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the construction machinery industry is on a recovery trajectory, supported by government policies aimed at infrastructure investment and the replacement of old equipment [7]. - It recommends focusing on leading companies with strong brand recognition, comprehensive product matrices, and efficient cost management, such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the engineering machinery industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The domestic sales of excavators turned negative in May 2025, but the overall industry recovery trend remains intact. The report anticipates a steady recovery in demand driven by increased fixed asset investment and local government bond issuance [5][6] - The export of excavators continues to show robust growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.4% in May 2025, indicating a stable demand in traditional markets and an expanding market share for Chinese brands [5] - The report highlights the rapid increase in the electrification penetration rate of loaders, reaching 26.2% in May 2025, driven by stricter environmental requirements and decreasing lithium battery material costs [5] Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The engineering machinery industry consists of 11 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 402.51 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 342.78 billion yuan [2] Sales Performance - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, with domestic sales declining by 1.5% [5] - Loader sales in May 2025 totaled 10,535 units, with domestic sales growing by 16.7% [5] Export Performance - The engineering machinery export trade value for January to April 2025 was 18.07 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.0% [5] - The top three export markets for Chinese engineering machinery are Russia, the United States, and Indonesia, with varying growth rates [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, Hengli Hydraulic, and Zoomlion, while also suggesting to pay attention to Liugong and XCMG [5][6]

据中国工程机械工业协会对装载机主要制造企业统计，2025年5月销售各类装载机10535台，同比增长7.24%。其中国内销量6037台，同比增长16.7%；出口量4498 台，同比下降3.31%。 2025年1—5月，共销售各类装载机52755台，同比增长14.1%。其中国内销量29607台，同比增长25.4%；出口量23148台，同比增长2.39%。 | | | | | | | 2025年中国电动装载机市场情况 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 月份 | < 3吨 | 3 吨 | 4吨 | 5 吨 | 6吨 | 7吨 | 8吨 | ＞8吨 | 滑移装载机 | 总计 | | 2025-05 | 24 | 83 | 3 | 1756 | 798 | વેર | ব | 1 | 1 | 2 765 | | 2025-04 | 28 | 121 | - | 1849 | 847 | 66 | 4 | - | g | 2 924 | | 2025-03 | 23 | 56 | - | 1876 ...

其中：挖掘机61%；装载机60.7%；汽车起重机75.8%；履带起重机60.3%；塔式起重机43.9%；压路机49.6%； 摊铺机53.2%；旋挖钻机48.4%；非公路矿用自卸车50.1%；混凝土泵车42.2%；搅拌车37.7%；叉车56.5%。 【来源：中国工程机械工业协会】 2025年开工情况 数据回顾 据中国工程机械工业协会统计： 2025年5月，工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为84.5小时，同比下降3.86%，环比下降6.25%。 其中：挖掘机72.6小时；装载机93.9小时；汽车起重机119小时；履带起重机93小时；塔式起重机55.7小时；压 路机40.8小时；摊铺机42.9小时；旋挖钻机75.6小时；非公路矿用自卸车166小时；混凝土泵车51.2小时；搅拌 车74.6小时；叉车97.6小时。 2025年5月，工程机械主要产品月开工率为59.5%，同比下降5.01个百分点，环比下降2.45个百分点。 2024年开工情况 数据回顾 ·往期回顾· 【行业热点】 1 业绩改观，工程机械行业复苏或已在路上？ ◆ 2025年4月工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为90.1小时，同比增长3.20% ◆ 2025年3 ...