Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a recovery in domestic demand and favorable conditions for exports, leading to improved profitability and a positive outlook for the sector's performance [1]. Domestic Sales Performance - In January, domestic sales of major engineering machinery products showed significant growth: excavators sold 8,723 units (up 61.4% year-on-year), loaders 5,293 units (up 42.8%), and truck cranes 1,608 units (up 0.56%) [2]. - The overall strong performance in domestic sales is attributed to the impact of the Spring Festival, with expectations for continued growth driven by favorable policies in real estate and infrastructure, as well as an ongoing equipment replacement cycle [2]. Export Performance - In January, all categories of exports experienced year-on-year growth: excavators sold 9,985 units (up 40.5%), loaders 6,466 units (up 53.4%), and truck cranes 452 units (up 128%) [3]. - The positive export performance is expected to continue due to improving overseas market conditions and the deepening penetration of domestic brands in international markets, which will likely enhance their market share abroad [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company recommends focusing on investment in SANY Heavy Industry, Hengli Hydraulic, and LiuGong as key players in the engineering machinery sector [3].

Core Insights - The tower crane rental industry in China has experienced a fluctuating market size, growing from 52.84 billion yuan in 2016 to 110.23 billion yuan in 2021, followed by a decline due to a downturn in the real estate sector, with projections indicating a market size of 98.67 billion yuan by 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.5% [1][3][10] Industry Overview - Tower crane rental, a significant branch of construction equipment leasing, provides short-term usage services for tower cranes, reducing the purchase and maintenance costs for construction contractors [3][9] - The rental business model includes operating leases, where the rental company provides equipment only, and integrated leasing, which offers a comprehensive service package [3] Market Trends - The market saw rapid growth from 2016 to 2020 due to urbanization and infrastructure development, but has faced challenges since 2021 due to a deep adjustment in the real estate sector and increased market competition [7][9] - The demand for tower cranes is closely linked to real estate and infrastructure activities, with a projected decline in fixed asset investment and real estate development investments impacting the rental market [7][9] Industry Chain - The tower crane rental industry consists of upstream manufacturing, midstream rental services, and downstream construction sectors, heavily reliant on national economic conditions and fixed asset investment [8][9] - The production of tower cranes peaked at 57,392 units in 2020 but has since declined, with a forecasted production of 10,775 units in 2024, reflecting insufficient downstream demand [8][9] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by a large number of small to medium-sized enterprises, with leading companies like Pangyuan Rental, Dafeng Equipment, and Zizhu Hui emerging as key players [10][11] - The market concentration is expected to increase as larger companies leverage their advantages in technology and service quality to consolidate their positions [10] Future Development Trends - The industry is anticipated to move towards greater automation and intelligence, incorporating advanced control systems and sensors for improved efficiency and safety [13] - Environmental sustainability will become a focal point, with a shift towards electric and hybrid cranes to reduce energy consumption and emissions [14] - International expansion is expected to accelerate as companies seek new markets and enhance their global presence [15]

据 中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，2026年1月销 售各类挖掘机18708台，同比增长49.5%。 | | | 2026年1月 中国挖掘机市场概况 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国内 | 대 ロ | 合计 | | 当期销量 | 8,723 | 9.985 | 18,708 | | 去年同期 | 5.405 | 7.107 | 12,512 | | 同比涨幅 | 61.4% | 40.5% | 49.5% | | 累计销量 | 8,723 | 9.985 | 18,708 | | 去年同期 | 5.405 | 7.107 | 12,512 | | 同比涨幅 | 61.4% | | 40.5% 公众号·工程9.5%杂志 | 挖掘机 其中：国内销量8723台（含电动挖掘机24台），同比增长61.4%；出口量 9985台（含电动挖掘机11台），同比增长40.5%。 装载机 据中国工程机械工业协会对装载机主要制造企业统计，2026年1月 销售各类装载机11759台，同比增长48.5%。 | | | 2026年1月 中国装载机市场概况 | | | --- | --- ...

2026 年 02 月 01 日 行业周报 看好/维持 机械 机械 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上（20260126-20260201） (10%) 4% 18% 32% 46% 60% 25/2/5 25/4/17 25/6/27 25/9/6 25/11/16 26/1/26 机械 沪深300 ◼ 子行业评级 ◼ 推荐公司及评级 相关研究报告 证券分析师：崔文娟 电话：021-58502206 E-MAIL：cuiwj@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520020001 ◼ 走势比较 证券分析师：张凤琳 电话： E-MAIL：zhangfl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523100001 报告摘要 行情回顾 行业周报 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上 P2 本期（1 月 26 日-1 月 30 日），沪深 300 上涨 0.1%，机械板块下跌 4.2%， 在所有一级行业中排名 25。细分行业看，油气装备涨幅最大，上涨 4.1%； 锂电设备跌幅最大，下跌 8.4%。 本周观点 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需 ...

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit loss of approximately 2.072 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 988 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - The domestic tower crane rental market continues to face insufficient downstream demand, leading to low equipment utilization rates and rental prices due to reduced new construction area and project commencement rates [4] - Significant asset impairments, including goodwill in the construction machinery rental business, have contributed to the expected large loss for 2025 [4] Group 2 - The company's main business includes engineering machinery rental and manufacturing, with key products such as asphalt concrete pavers, road rollers, and tower cranes [4] - The company terminated its plan to raise funds through a private placement to its controlling shareholder, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, which was initially intended to raise up to 1.265 billion yuan [6] - The decision to terminate the stock issuance was based on various factors, including the macroeconomic environment and the company's operational situation, but it will not affect the normal development of existing business [6] Group 3 - As of January 23, the company's stock closed at 3.81 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 4.8 billion yuan [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Construction Machinery, expects a net profit loss of approximately 2.072 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 988 million yuan in the same period last year [1][6]. Group 1: Performance and Financial Outlook - The anticipated loss for 2025 is attributed to insufficient downstream demand in the domestic tower crane rental market, resulting from a decrease in new construction area and low project commencement rates, which have kept equipment utilization and rental prices at low levels [2][7]. - The company has conducted asset impairment tests, revealing significant impairments in its construction machinery rental business assets, including goodwill and properties acquired through debt settlement, contributing to the expected large loss [2][7]. Group 2: Business Operations - Construction Machinery's main business segments include engineering machinery rental and manufacturing, with key products such as asphalt concrete pavers, rollers, milling machines, stabilizing soil mixers, asphalt mixing plants, trackless rubber-tired vehicles for coal transportation, rotary drilling rigs for municipal construction, and tower cranes for building projects [2][7]. Group 3: Capital Raising and Market Response - The company announced the termination of its plan to raise funds through a private placement to its controlling shareholder, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, which was initially intended to raise up to 1.265 billion yuan for working capital and debt repayment [3][8]. - The decision to terminate the stock issuance was based on a comprehensive assessment of the macroeconomic environment, the company's actual situation, and changes in the capital market, ensuring that the termination would not affect the normal development of the company's existing business or harm the interests of shareholders, especially minority shareholders [3][8]. Group 4: Market Performance - As of January 23, the company's stock closed at 3.81 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 4.8 billion yuan [4][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market" and the rating has been maintained [3][7]. Core Insights - The construction machinery industry is experiencing a structural recovery and growth opportunities, supported by continuous sales growth in earthmoving machinery and accelerated electrification [6][7]. - In December 2025, major companies sold 23,095 excavators, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales of 10,331 units (+10.9%) and exports of 12,764 units (+26.9%) [6]. - The sales of loaders in December 2025 reached 12,236 units (+30%), with domestic sales of 5,291 units (+17.6%) and exports of 6,945 units (+41.5%) [6]. - The sales of electric loaders in December 2025 were 2,722 units, a significant increase of 218.74%, achieving an electrification rate of 22.25% (+13.17 percentage points) [6]. - The operating rate of truck cranes was excellent in 2025, while tower crane sales faced pressure, with truck cranes leading in construction activity due to their adaptability to heavy infrastructure and energy projects [6]. - Road machinery sales showed steady growth, with sales of graders, rollers, and pavers increasing by 8.35%, 23%, and 24.8% respectively in 2025 [6]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In 2025, the total sales of excavators reached 235,257 units (+17%), with domestic sales of 118,518 units (+17.9%) and exports of 116,739 units (+16.1%) [6]. - The sales of various types of cranes in December 2025 were as follows: truck cranes (1,911 units, +38.1%), crawler cranes (385 units, +68.1%), and tower cranes (395 units, -30.8%) [6]. Market Trends - The construction machinery industry is expected to maintain a positive trend into 2026, with non-earthmoving machinery such as certain cranes and road machinery also following the recovery led by excavators [6][7].

Group 1: Equipment Manufacturing Industry - The excavator market continues to grow, while the automotive crane market also shows a positive growth trend, with domestic sales of 886 units in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.1%, and exports of 1,025 units, a year-on-year increase of 37.2% [1][3] - The automotive crane has achieved six consecutive months of year-on-year positive growth, driven by factors such as policy support, equipment upgrades, new energy infrastructure, and export demand [1][3] - Other non-excavator products, excluding tower cranes affected by the real estate market, also maintain a growth trend, suggesting continued investment opportunities in the engineering machinery sector [3] Group 2: Solar Industry - The cancellation of export tax rebates is forcing the industry to clear out excess capacity, leading to a surge in component prices as companies accelerate overseas shipments to avoid rising costs [4] - Component manufacturers are entering a "grab export" mode, with distributors and project parties hoarding low-priced orders, resulting in a rapid transfer of inventory from factories to overseas and distribution channels [4] - The solar industry is currently in a phase of "cost-push price increases" versus "weak terminal demand," and future recovery will depend on the penetration of efficient battery technologies and the resilience of overseas demand [4] Group 3: Automotive Industry - In the first week of January 2026, the retail market for passenger vehicles saw significant declines both year-on-year and month-on-month, with daily wholesale figures dropping to 35,000 units, a 40% decrease compared to January of the previous year and a 30% decrease from the previous month [5] - The weak performance in the automotive market is influenced by holiday factors, reduced purchase tax incentives, and changes in subsidy methods, which may impact short-term sales [5] - Long-term prospects for the new energy vehicle market remain positive, with significant potential for penetration and increased consumption driven by advancements in automotive intelligence [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive overview of the sales performance of various construction machinery in China for December 2025, highlighting significant growth in several categories, particularly in excavators and loaders, indicating a potential recovery in the industry [1][4][7]. Excavator Market Summary - In December 2025, a total of 23,095 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.2%. Domestic sales accounted for 10,331 units (up 10.9%), while exports reached 12,764 units (up 26.9%) [1][2]. - For the entire year of 2025, total excavator sales reached 235,257 units, marking a 17% increase compared to the previous year, with domestic sales at 118,518 units (up 17.9%) and exports at 116,739 units (up 16.1%) [2]. Loader Market Summary - In December 2025, 12,236 loaders were sold, showing a 30% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 5,291 units (up 17.6%), and exports were 6,945 units (up 41.5%) [4][5]. - For the full year of 2025, loader sales totaled 128,067 units, a growth of 18.4%, with domestic sales at 66,330 units (up 22.1%) and exports at 61,737 units (up 14.6%) [5]. Electric Excavator Market Summary - In December 2025, 39 electric excavators were sold, with a breakdown of 11 units under 6 tons, 7 units between 6-10 tons, 2 units between 10-18.5 tons, 19 units between 18.5-28.5 tons, 1 unit between 28.5-40 tons, and a decrease of 1 unit over 40 tons [3]. Electric Loader Market Summary - December 2025 saw sales of 2,722 electric loaders, with 72 units under 3 tons, 181 units at 3 tons, 10 units at 4 tons, 1,499 units at 5 tons, 820 units at 6 tons, 129 units at 7 tons, and 3 units each for 8 tons and above [6]. Grader Market Summary - In December 2025, 792 graders were sold, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales of 133 units (up 70.5%) and exports of 659 units (up 6.81%) [7]. Crane Market Summary - December 2025 recorded sales of 1,911 truck cranes, a 38.1% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales of 886 units (up 39.1%) and exports of 1,025 units (up 37.2%) [9]. - For the entire year, truck crane sales reached 19,974 units, a slight increase of 1.39% [9]. Roller Market Summary - In December 2025, 1,343 rollers were sold, marking a 25.6% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales of 437 units (up 18.4%) and exports of 906 units (up 29.4%) [15][16]. - The total sales for rollers in 2025 were 17,434 units, a 23% increase [16]. Paver Market Summary - December 2025 saw sales of 107 pavers, a decline of 11.6%, with domestic sales of 59 units (down 32.2%) and exports of 48 units (up 41.2%) [16]. Aerial Work Platform Market Summary - In December 2025, 14,326 aerial work platforms were sold, down 8.36% year-on-year, with domestic sales of 4,446 units (down 25.1%) and exports of 9,880 units (up 1.92%) [16].

Forklift Sales - In December 2025, a total of 111,363 forklifts were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.03%. Domestic sales were 63,807 units, down 5.17%, while exports reached 47,556 units, up 7.97% [1] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 1,451,768 forklifts were sold, marking a 12.9% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 906,812 units, up 12.6%, and exports were 544,956 units, up 13.4% [1] - Excluding electric walk-behind warehouse vehicles, 42,849 forklifts were sold in December 2025, down 5.42% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 23,985 units, down 11.8%, while exports were 18,864 units, up 4.19% [1] Grader Sales - In December 2025, 792 graders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14%. Domestic sales were 133 units, up 70.5%, and exports were 659 units, up 6.81% [2] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 8,360 graders were sold, representing an 8.35% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,468 units, up 32.4%, and exports were 6,892 units, up 4.31% [2] Truck Crane Sales - In December 2025, 1,911 truck cranes were sold, showing a year-on-year growth of 38.1%. Domestic sales were 886 units, up 39.1%, and exports were 1,025 units, up 37.2% [3] - For the entire year of 2025, 19,974 truck cranes were sold, a 1.39% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 10,659 units, up 1.41%, and exports were 9,315 units, up 1.37% [3] Crawler Crane Sales - In December 2025, 385 crawler cranes were sold, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 68.1%. Domestic sales were 131 units, up 95.5%, and exports were 254 units, up 56.8% [4] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 3,415 crawler cranes were sold, reflecting a 30.1% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,091 units, up 32.9%, and exports were 2,324 units, up 28.9% [4] Truck-Mounted Crane Sales - In December 2025, 2,664 truck-mounted cranes were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.2%. Domestic sales were 2,274 units, up 36.7%, and exports were 390 units, up 27.5% [5] - For the entire year of 2025, 26,006 truck-mounted cranes were sold, a year-on-year increase of 11.1%. Domestic sales were 20,462 units, up 8.47%, and exports were 5,544 units, up 22.2% [5] Tower Crane Sales - In December 2025, 395 tower cranes were sold, showing a year-on-year decline of 30.8%. Domestic sales were 182 units, down 45.7%, while exports were 213 units, down 9.75% [6] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 5,178 tower cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 30.7%. Domestic sales were 2,726 units, down 50%, while exports were 2,452 units, up 21.9% [6] Roller Sales - In December 2025, 1,343 rollers were sold, indicating a year-on-year increase of 25.6%. Domestic sales were 437 units, up 18.4%, and exports were 906 units, up 29.4% [7] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 17,434 rollers were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%. Domestic sales were 6,482 units, up 17.9%, and exports were 10,952 units, up 26.2% [7] Paver Sales - In December 2025, 107 pavers were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11.6%. Domestic sales were 59 units, down 32.2%, while exports were 48 units, up 41.2% [8] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 1,547 pavers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.8%. Domestic sales were 1,082 units, up 30.7%, and exports were 465 units, up 12.9% [8] Aerial Work Platform Sales - In December 2025, 14,326 aerial work platforms were sold, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.36%. Domestic sales were 4,446 units, down 25.1%, while exports were 9,880 units, up 1.92% [10] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 165,171 aerial work platforms were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 28.6%. Domestic sales were 63,886 units, down 42.4%, and exports were 101,285 units, down 16% [10] High-altitude Operation Vehicle Sales - In December 2025, 431 high-altitude operation vehicles were sold, indicating a year-on-year decline of 5.48%. Domestic sales were 404 units, down 7.97%, while exports were 27 units, up 58.8% [11] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 4,993 high-altitude operation vehicles were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.7%. Domestic sales were 4,755 units, up 26.7%, and exports were 238 units, up 51.6% [11]