1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information was provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The polysilicon market is in a state of supply - demand imbalance, with the supply exceeding demand. The terminal demand is in a post - "rush installation" weak period. The market focus is on whether the fourth - quarter policies can be implemented and their actual effects, but the short - term is mostly affected by news. The 01 contract has a significant premium and is expected to run cautiously and strongly within the range [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance and Outlook - The polysilicon main contract price opened low and went high. The PS2601 contract closed at 56,065 yuan/ton, with a 0.18% increase. The trading volume was 215,288 lots, and the open interest was 143,844 lots, with a net increase of 1,488 lots [4]. - The spot price of polysilicon: the transaction price range of n - type re - feedstock was 49,000 - 55,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 53,200 yuan/ton, remaining flat compared to the previous period. The transaction price range of n - type granular silicon was 50,000 - 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 50,500 yuan/ton, also remaining flat [4]. - In the fourth quarter, the estimated polysilicon output is 382,000 tons, with an average monthly output of 127,300 tons. The output in October was higher than expected at 137,000 tons. The significant profit recovery suppresses the willingness to actively reduce production. The current monthly output can meet the terminal demand of 68.5GW, and the supply - demand imbalance remains [4]. 3.2 Market News - On November 03, the number of polysilicon warehouse receipts was 9,590 lots, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day [5]. - In September 2025, the newly installed photovoltaic capacity was 9.66GW, a 31.25% increase compared to the previous month. From January to September, the cumulative newly installed photovoltaic capacity was 240.27GW [5]. - On October 27, Daquan Energy announced that its third - quarter revenue reached 1.773 billion yuan, a 24.75% year - on - year increase, and the net profit was 73.479 million yuan. The first - three - quarter revenue was 3.243 billion yuan, a 46.00% year - on - year decrease, and the net loss was 1.073 billion yuan [5]. - On October 25, Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) disclosed its 2025 third - quarter report. In the third quarter, the company's operating income was 24.091 billion yuan, a slight 1.57% year - on - year decrease. The net loss attributable to shareholders of the listed company narrowed, with a year - on - year loss reduction of 62.69% and a quarter - on - quarter loss reduction of 86.68%, indicating a positive impact of the industry environment repair on the company's profitability [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints of the Report - Industrial silicon: The decline in warehouse receipts provides support at the bottom. The supply is expected to decrease month - on - month starting from November, and the demand is in a situation of both supply and demand being weak. The short - term disk is considered to fluctuate with a slight upward trend. It is advisable to buy at low prices. The expected disk range next week is 8700 - 9500 yuan/ton [7][8] - Polysilicon: Policy announcements may occur next week, and the disk is expected to hit a previous high but then fall back. It is recommended to take profits on long positions at high prices. The expected disk range next week is 53000 - 59000 yuan/ton [8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Price Trends - Industrial silicon: The futures price showed a strong - side oscillation, and the spot price increased. The futures closed at 9100 yuan/ton on Friday. The spot price of Xinjiang 99 silicon was 8800 yuan/ton (a month - on - month increase of 100), and that of Inner Mongolia 99 silicon was 9100 yuan/ton (a month - on - month increase of 200) [2] - Polysilicon: The futures price continued to rise, and the spot price remained stable. The futures closed at 56410 yuan/ton on Friday, and the upstream spot price remained firm [2] 2. Supply and Demand Fundamentals Industrial Silicon - Supply side: The weekly industry inventory decreased slightly. The overall weekly production increased month - on - month, with an increase in the start - up rate in Inner Mongolia and a decrease in the southwest region. In November and December, the overall production is expected to decrease month - on - month. The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 0.5 million tons compared to last week, and the overall industry inventory decreased by 0.06 million tons [3] - Demand side: The polysilicon and organic silicon sectors supported consumption. The demand for polysilicon may decrease in the future, the demand from the organic silicon sector remained at a rigid level, and the terminal consumption space was limited. The aluminum alloy sector was operating at a low - load level, and the export market had some inquiry orders [4] Polysilicon - Supply side: The short - term weekly production decreased month - on - month. Starting from November, the production of leading factories in the southwest will decrease, and the expected production will fall to 10 - 11 million tons. The inventory increased this week [5][6] - Demand side: The silicon wafer production schedule increased unexpectedly month - on - month, but the price of some specifications of silicon wafers decreased. There were some upstream - downstream orders, but the transaction price remained flat [6] 3. Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations Industrial Silicon - Market outlook: The decline in warehouse receipts provides support at the bottom. The supply and demand are both weak, but the disk has certain support. It is recommended to observe the daily registration/decline of warehouse receipts [7] - Investment recommendation: It is recommended to buy at low prices and take profits at high prices. The expected disk range next week is 8700 - 9500 yuan/ton [8] Polysilicon - Market outlook: Policy announcements may occur next week, and the disk is expected to hit a previous high but then fall back. The supply and demand are both weak, and the 11 - 12 month period will see a small inventory reduction [8] - Investment recommendation: It is recommended to take profits on long positions at high prices. The expected disk range next week is 53000 - 59000 yuan/ton [8] 4. Hedging Recommendations - It is recommended that upstream industrial silicon factories conduct short - hedging, and downstream silicon wafer enterprises conduct long - hedging [9]

Group 1 - The photovoltaic ETF (159857) showed strong performance on October 31, with a rise of 1.64% and a trading volume exceeding 138 million yuan, making it the top performer among similar ETFs in the Shenzhen market [1] - As of October 30, the latest scale of the photovoltaic ETF (159857) reached 2.373 billion yuan, ranking first among photovoltaic ETFs in the Shenzhen market [1] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index, which includes listed companies involved in the photovoltaic industry chain, selecting up to 50 representative companies to reflect the overall performance of the photovoltaic sector [1] Group 2 - The Fujian Provincial Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration's Fujian Regulatory Office recently issued a plan to promote the market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid prices, aiming for all renewable energy power generation to enter the electricity market by January 1, 2026 [2] - A research team from Shanghai Jiao Tong University published a paper in Nature, introducing a new concept for hole transport layers that overcomes intrinsic limitations, achieving a power conversion efficiency exceeding 20% for large-sized perovskite photovoltaic modules [2] Group 3 - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the "anti-involution" initiative has led to an expansion of participants and significant price recovery in the polysilicon industry, with prices starting to rise above the comprehensive cost line by the third quarter of 2025 [3] - The industry is undergoing supply-side structural reforms under policy guidance, with a clear bottom established for industry chain prices and profitability [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant increase in the performance of the Huatai-PB CSI Photovoltaic Industry ETF (code: 515790), managed by Li Muyang, with a notable rise of 8.25% on October 29 [6][10] - Li Muyang's recent social media updates have drawn market attention, particularly his cryptic message "750 days," which suggests a long period of underperformance before this recent surge [6][8] - Despite the recent rebound, the long-term performance of the ETF under Li's management shows a negative return of -15.93% over nearly five years [12] Company Performance - The Huatai-PB CSI Photovoltaic Industry ETF had a total scale of 13.976 billion yuan as of the end of Q3 2025 [10] - The ETF's net value on October 30 was reported at 1.0066 yuan, with a trading volume of 12.63 billion yuan [4][10] - The ETF's performance over the past year has been strong, with a return of 16.29% [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company has raised its profit forecast for 2025 but slightly lowered the forecasts for 2026 and 2027, maintaining a valuation benchmark of 1.1 times the 2026 price-to-book ratio, with a target price increase from HKD 11.7 to HKD 12.05 [1] - The company expects a significant weakening in performance over the next two quarters, and after a recent rebound in stock price, the valuation attractiveness is limited, leading to a downgrade in rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" [1] - In Q3, the company's revenue and profit reached RMB 4.73 billion and RMB 376 million respectively, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a turnaround from loss, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29% and 143% [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the production capacity of photovoltaic glass in mainland China decreased from 100,000 tons at the end of May to 89,000 tons at the end of July, and the industry inventory days dropped from 36 days in mid-July to a minimum of 15 days by late September [2] - The price of 2.0mm glass per square meter increased significantly from RMB 11 in August to RMB 13 in September, outperforming expectations [2] - However, as component customers reduce purchases due to depleting inventory and production cuts, the industry inventory days have rebounded to 21 days since October, and glass prices are expected to decline again starting in November [2]

Report Summary 1. Market Performance and Outlook - The price of the main contract of polysilicon showed a relatively strong performance within the range. The closing price of the PS2601 contract was 54,990 yuan/ton, with a gain of 0.72%. The trading volume was 307,284 lots, and the open interest was 118,430 lots, with a net increase of 3,498 lots [4]. - The transaction price range of polysilicon n-type re-feeding materials was 49,000 - 55,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 53,200 yuan/ton, remaining flat compared to the previous period. The transaction price range of n-type granular silicon was 50,000 - 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 50,500 yuan/ton, also remaining flat [4]. - In the fourth quarter, the expected polysilicon output is 382,000 tons, with an average monthly output of 127,300 tons. However, the output in October, as statistics from the Silicon Industry Branch show, reached 137,000 tons, exceeding expectations. The significant profit restoration has curbed the willingness for active production cuts. Currently, the monthly output can meet the terminal demand of 68.5GW. The supply - demand imbalance situation has not been reversed, especially as the terminal demand is still in a weak period after the "rush installation." The market focus is expected to remain on the policy side. Recently, there is a policy vacuum period. Although the photovoltaic sector in the equity market is performing strongly, the fundamental situation of polysilicon itself is still weak, and it will run cautiously and strongly within the range [4]. 2. Market News - On October 28, the number of polysilicon warehouse receipts was 9,150 lots, a net decrease of 90 lots compared to the previous trading day [5]. - In September 2025, the newly - installed photovoltaic capacity was 9.66GW, a month - on - month increase of 31.25%. From January to September, the cumulative newly - installed photovoltaic capacity was 240.27GW [5]. - On October 27, Daquan Energy released an announcement stating that its revenue in the third quarter reached 1.773 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 24.75%, and the net profit was 73.479 million yuan. The announcement also showed that the revenue in the first three quarters was 3.243 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 46.00%, and the net profit had a loss of 1.073 billion yuan [5]. - On October 25, Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) disclosed its 2025 third - quarter report. In the third quarter, the company's operating income was 24.091 billion yuan, a slight year - on - year decrease of 1.57%. However, the loss of net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies narrowed. The year - on - year loss reduction was 62.69%, and the quarter - on - quarter loss reduction was 86.68%. The recovery of the industry environment has had a positive impact on the company's profitability [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The supply of industrial silicon still shows a certain increase, while the improvement in demand is limited, maintaining an oversupply pattern, which may suppress the upper space of the market. For polysilicon, recent supply - side news has pushed up the market, but considering the high raw material inventory of downstream, it is difficult to have concentrated restocking in the short term, and the pressure to raise spot prices is relatively large [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Industrial Silicon Price Information - The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained flat at 9,300 yuan/ton, and the average price of 421 (East China) industrial silicon remained flat at 9,650 yuan/ton. The closing price of the futures main contract rose 2.40% to 9,170 yuan/ton [1]. - The average prices of non - oxygenated 553 in Huangpu Port, Tianjin Port, Kunming, and Sichuan were 9,350 yuan/ton, 9,200 yuan/ton, 9,350 yuan/ton, and 8,950 yuan/ton respectively, all remaining unchanged. The average prices of oxygenated 553 in different regions showed little change, with the price in Huangpu Port rising 0.53% to 9,450 yuan/ton [1]. Fundamental Situation - In October, the southwest production area has gradually returned to the high - cost dry season. Some silicon enterprises will gradually reduce or stop production at the end of this month or next month, while the start - up of northern silicon enterprises has increased. After offsetting, the total start - up has increased [1]. - On the demand side, polysilicon enterprises are still in a production - reduction state, but there may still be an increase in output in October. Organic silicon enterprises maintain the pre - holiday start - up level, and silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed. The overall willingness of downstream enterprises to stock up at low levels is limited [1]. Investment Strategy - The overall supply - demand situation of industrial silicon maintains an oversupply pattern, which may suppress the upper space of the market. Pay attention to the support level of 8,300 - 8,500 yuan/ton. The trading strategy is interval operation [1]. Polysilicon Price Information - The price of N - type dense material fell 0.97% to 51 yuan/kg, the price of N - type re - feeding material fell 1.19% to 52.35 yuan/kg, the price of N - type mixed material remained flat at 50.50 yuan/kg, and the price of N - type granular silicon remained flat at 50.5 yuan/kg. The closing price of the futures main contract rose 1.17% to 54,990 yuan/ton [1]. Fundamental Situation - On the supply side, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production - reduction state, but some polysilicon plants may have new production capacity put into operation. After offsetting, it is expected that the output will still increase slightly in October. On the demand side, the market transaction was relatively light during the National Day, with few new transactions. Downstream enterprises are more resistant to high - price resources, and the market is waiting for the industry meeting in October [1]. Investment Strategy - Considering the high raw material inventory of downstream, it is difficult to have concentrated restocking in the short term, and the pressure to raise spot prices is relatively large. The previous long positions should pay attention to profit protection. Before the implementation of supply - side reform policies, you can try to go long lightly on dips [1]. Industry News - On October 10, US photovoltaic manufacturer T1 Energy announced a strategic investment in and acquisition of a minority stake in solar cell developer Talon PV. The cooperation will form a synergistic effect in photovoltaic manufacturing in Texas, with a total planned production capacity of 9.8GW [1]. - On October 26, the National Energy Administration released the national power industry statistics from January to September. As of the end of September, the cumulative installed power generation capacity nationwide was 3.72 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 17.5%. Among them, the installed capacity of solar power generation was 1.13 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 45.7%, and the installed capacity of wind power was 0.58 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 21.3%. The cumulative average utilization hours of power generation equipment nationwide from January to September was 2,368 hours, 251 hours less than the same period last year. The newly added photovoltaic installed capacity in September was 9.66GW [1].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a strong performance in the market, with significant gains in stock prices for key companies and related ETFs, despite a decline in overall industry scale due to falling product prices [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Key photovoltaic stocks have shown strong gains, with Sungrow Power increasing over 8%, LONGi Green Energy rising over 6%, and TBEA gaining over 5% [1]. - Related photovoltaic ETFs have also performed well, with an average increase of over 3% [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - In 2024, the photovoltaic industry is expected to experience a "dual climate" of growth in production capacity and output, but a decline in overall industry scale due to falling product prices [2]. - The global photovoltaic industry scale is projected to be $273.08 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 20.5% [2]. - The global new installed capacity for photovoltaics is expected to reach 451.9 GW in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.8%, with China contributing 277.6 GW, the largest share globally [2]. - The industry is anticipated to benefit from increasing energy demand, decreasing manufacturing costs, and continuous technological advancements, leading to improved efficiency in photovoltaic cells and components [2].

Core Insights - Longi Green Energy's stock rose by 5.24%, reaching 19.89 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 3.187 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.15%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 150.728 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Longi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Xi'an Economic and Technological Development Zone, established on February 14, 2000, and listed on April 11, 2012. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of monocrystalline silicon rods, wafers, cells, and modules, providing products and system solutions for photovoltaic ground power stations and distributed rooftop (including BIPV) development, while actively developing and nurturing the photovoltaic hydrogen production business [1] - The revenue composition of Longi Green Energy is as follows: 93.51% from photovoltaic product sales, 3.54% from power station business, and 2.95% from other businesses [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Puyin Ansheng has a significant position in Longi Green Energy. The Puyin Ansheng CSI Photovoltaic Industry ETF (159609) reduced its holdings by 438,100 shares in the third quarter, holding a total of 1.3577 million shares, which accounts for 8.33% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding [2] - The Puyin Ansheng CSI Photovoltaic Industry ETF (159609) was established on June 16, 2022, with a current size of 293 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 23.12%, ranking 2466 out of 4216 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 4.86%, ranking 3562 out of 3877; since inception, it has incurred a loss of 45.89% [2] Fund Manager Profile - The fund manager of the Puyin Ansheng CSI Photovoltaic Industry ETF (159609) is Gao Gangjie, who has been in the position for 6 years and 227 days. The total asset size of the fund is 617 million CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 48.66% and the worst being -45.51% [3]

Summary of Yongzhen Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yongzhen Co., Ltd. - **Industry**: Photovoltaic (PV) and Robotics Key Points Industry and Company Performance - Yongzhen's Q3 PV frame shipment volume reached approximately 360,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 48% [2][3] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was CNY 9.049 billion, up 57.81% year-on-year, while net profit dropped 98.77% to CNY 2.1906 million [3] - The company adjusted its annual shipment target from 600,000 tons to 500,000-550,000 tons due to profitability pressures [2][9] Profitability Challenges - Profitability declined due to quality issues at the Vietnam facility and a decrease in domestic processing fees [2][4] - The Vietnam facility is operating at full capacity but has a profit margin of less than CNY 2,000 per ton, while domestic operations are facing a loss of approximately CNY 500 per ton [5][9] Expansion Plans - Following the acquisition of Jienowei, Yongzhen is focusing on large clients and plans to expand production capacity to 100,000 tons by the end of 2026 [2][6] - The company is also increasing processing fees for existing large clients by CNY 1,000 to 2,000 per ton [6][13] Robotics Business Development - Yongzhen has begun supplying components to leading robotics manufacturers and is developing new magnesium alloy lightweight models [7][15] - The current value per robot is approximately CNY 900, with plans to increase the supply of components [15] Market Outlook - Processing fees in Vietnam and the U.S. are stable at USD 800-900 and USD 1,000-1,200, respectively [10] - The company anticipates a market reshuffle by early 2026, with potential for increased market share due to cost advantages [9][10] Future Projections - The company expects to maintain full production at the Vietnam facility, with an estimated output of 90,000 to 100,000 tons for the year [9][12] - The target for 2026 is to achieve a market share increase through competitive market dynamics, with a planned output of 800,000 tons [17][18] New Business Developments - The Jienowei acquisition is expected to enhance profitability, with processing fees projected to rise significantly [13][14] - The company is also working on new product promotions, although market acceptance may take time due to strict requirements [17][18] Project Delays - The Inner Mongolia energy storage project has been delayed to Q2 2026 due to land and environmental assessment issues, with an expected investment of CNY 900-1,000 million [4][16] Competitive Advantages - The Baotou facility will leverage local supply chain advantages, reducing production costs by approximately CNY 500 compared to the East China region [19] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Yongzhen Co., Ltd.'s conference call, highlighting the company's performance, challenges, expansion plans, and market outlook.