Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The report provides market trend judgments and investment suggestions for various commodities, including macro - financial, black, non - ferrous, agricultural, and energy - chemical sectors. It analyzes the current situation, influencing factors, and future trends of each commodity, aiming to help investors make decisions [2][3][13][14]. Summary by Directory Macro Information - Politburo meetings focus on central inspections and network ecological governance. The official manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2, and the non - manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. The central bank cracks down on virtual currency trading, and the Ministry of Finance releases state - owned enterprise revenue and profit data. The China Securities Regulatory Commission solicits opinions on regulatory measures, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology promotes battery industry governance and satellite IoT business trials. The National Space Administration establishes a commercial space department, and six major state - owned banks withdraw 5 - year large - denomination certificates of deposit. The real estate TOP100 enterprises' land acquisition increased by 14.1% year - on - year from January to November [7][8][9]. Macro - Financial Stock Index Futures - Adopt an oscillatory approach and wait and see. In November, stock indices fell, and the market turnover reached a 4 - month low. Industrial enterprise data showed a short - term decline in October, but there were highlights in the equipment and high - tech manufacturing industries. The manufacturing and non - manufacturing PMIs in November were below expectations and in the contraction range [13]. Treasury Bond Futures - The bond market may continue to fluctuate widely. The recent sharp decline of bonds was affected by the redemption of public bond funds. For 10 - year medium - short - duration bonds, consider buying on dips, and be cautious with ultra - long - duration bonds. Pay attention to the central bank's bond - buying scale [14]. Black Coal and Coke - The prices of coking coal and coke may continue to oscillate weakly in the short term. Coal production may be restricted by safety supervision and environmental protection at the end of the year, but short - term supply may increase, and potential negative feedback risks from weak steel demand still exist [16]. Ferroalloys - In early December, focus on the settlement electricity fees in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia. Silicon iron plants may have a higher probability of production cuts. It is recommended to go long on silicon iron in the medium term and wait and see on manganese silicon [17]. Non - Ferrous and New Materials Shanghai Zinc - As of November 27, domestic zinc inventories decreased. It is recommended to hold short positions at high levels or take profits and operate cyclically. Zinc prices have been fluctuating, with short - term support from falling processing fees, but downstream procurement is still cautious [22]. Shanghai Lead - As of November 27, lead inventories decreased. It is recommended to hold short positions cautiously. The supply of lead is regionally tight, and the production enthusiasm of secondary lead enterprises has declined [23]. Lithium Carbonate - In the short term, it will fluctuate widely. Although the medium - to - long - term demand is good, the recent fundamental weakening limits the upward space. The concentrated cancellation of warehouse receipts at the end of the month is beneficial to the market, but the policy may have a negative impact [24]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Both will continue to oscillate. Industrial silicon has limited downward adjustment space due to potential environmental protection impacts on supply. Polysilicon has a strong willingness of upstream to support prices, but weak supply - demand contradictions limit the upward movement [26]. Agricultural Products Cotton - Zhengzhou cotton may oscillate and rebound due to high costs and a strong basis, but the supply pressure is large, and the demand is weak. The USDA's November report was negative for cotton, and domestic cotton inventories are accumulating [28][29]. Sugar - Domestic sugar prices are under pressure from new sugar supply, but cost support limits the decline. Globally, there is an expected surplus of sugar in the 2025/26 season [30]. Eggs - The near - term 01 contract may oscillate. There is an expectation of price increase before the Spring Festival, but the increase may be limited. The far - term contracts may be strong due to the expected decline in inventory, but be cautious about chasing high prices [32][33]. Apples - The price trend is expected to be oscillatory and slightly strong. The apple storage is almost finished, and the inventory is lower than last year. The trading in the production areas has slowed down, and the sales in the consumer areas are affected by citrus [34][35]. Corn - The 01 contract may oscillate at a high level in the short term, but the upward momentum may weaken. The far - term contracts may be weaker due to potential supply pressure [36]. Red Dates - It is recommended to wait and see. The prices in the production and sales areas are stable at a low level, and the futures market is weak [37][38]. Live Pigs - In the short term, the supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is average. It is recommended to go short on the near - term contracts at high prices. In the long term, the decline in the number of breeding sows is beneficial to future pig prices [38][39]. Energy - Chemical Crude Oil - The price is oscillating. The market is trading around geopolitical conflicts. If a cease - fire agreement is reached, the geopolitical premium may fade. OPEC+ may continue to suspend production increases, but it is difficult to reverse the supply surplus [41]. Fuel Oil - The price follows the trend of crude oil. The supply is loose, and the demand is weak. The short - term focus is on geopolitical factors [42]. Plastics - Polyolefins may oscillate weakly due to high supply pressure and weak demand. Although the upstream is losing money, there is no strong driving force for a sharp rise [43][44]. Rubber - The price may be oscillatory and slightly strong in the short term. Pay attention to the impact of Southeast Asian weather on supply. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options or buy call options [45]. Synthetic Rubber - It is recommended to sell call options at high prices or go short. The raw material may continue to decline, and the price may be under pressure after the restart of maintenance devices [46]. Methanol - Near - term contracts should be treated with an oscillatory approach, and far - term contracts can also be oscillatory. If inventory reduction is smooth, a slightly long - biased configuration can be considered [47]. Caustic Soda - Maintain an oscillatory approach. The spot price is falling, and the fundamentals have not improved significantly [48]. Asphalt - The price fluctuation may increase. The focus is on the price bottom after the winter storage game. The real - time demand is ending, and the winter storage has not started [49]. Polyester Industry Chain - The current supply - demand structure is okay, and the price may be strong in the short term due to rising oil prices, but the upward driving force is weakening [50]. Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The price increase may not be sustainable. Be cautious about chasing high prices. The supply is regionally mismatched, and the demand side may form a negative feedback [51]. Pulp - It is expected to enter an oscillatory range. It is recommended to wait and see. Options can be used for cost - reduction, efficiency - improvement, or hedging [53]. Logs - The fundamentals are oscillatory and weak. The inventory may start to accumulate, and the price is expected to be under pressure [53]. Urea - The spot price may be oscillatory and strong, and the futures market may have short - term emotional trading. Adopt a short - term intraday long approach [54].

Market Overview - The three major indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3894.21 points, up 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 13038.16 points, up 0.42%, and the ChiNext Index at 3060.56 points, up 0.26% [1] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for November was reported at 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in economic conditions [2] - The non-manufacturing business activity index for November was 49.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [2] - The comprehensive PMI output index for November was 49.7%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [2] Industry Developments - The establishment of a dedicated regulatory body for the commercial space industry in China was announced, indicating a move towards more structured oversight [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to discuss policies aimed at addressing irrational competition in the power and energy battery industry [2] Corporate Actions - Tianfeng Securities is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for alleged information disclosure violations [5] - ST Lifan and other companies are facing delisting risks due to potential false reporting in their financial statements [5] - Orient Precision Engineering announced plans to sell 100% equity in Fosber Group and other companies, indicating a significant asset restructuring [6] Market Predictions - Research institutions predict a 50% increase in storage chip prices by the second quarter of 2026 due to ongoing chip shortages [4] - Citic Securities suggests that despite potential short-term volatility in the A-share market, a slow bull market is expected to continue, supported by policy shifts and liquidity improvements [10] - Caixin Securities believes the A-share market is stabilizing, with a long-term upward trend expected despite recent adjustments [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of strengthening internet ecological governance as a critical factor for national development and security, highlighting the need for effective management of the internet to ensure long-term governance stability [2][3]. Group 1: Internet Ecological Governance - The current state of internet ecological governance in China has improved since the 18th National Congress, with a focus on promoting mainstream values and effectively combating online chaos [3]. - The governance experience is summarized into five principles: adherence to party leadership, prioritizing the people, maintaining integrity and innovation, ensuring legal protection, and adopting a systematic perspective [3]. Group 2: Challenges and Risks - Despite significant achievements, challenges remain, including a growing internet user base exceeding 1.1 billion and an internet penetration rate nearing 80%, which brings both conveniences and threats such as fraud and misinformation [4]. - The need for a long-term mechanism for internet ecological governance is emphasized to maintain a clean and positive online environment [4]. Group 3: Governance Strategies - The strategies outlined include targeted measures to address specific issues and a comprehensive approach to governance [5]. - There is a call for stronger guidance for internet platforms and media to fulfill their social responsibilities and promote positive content [6]. Group 4: Collaborative Efforts - The governance of the internet is described as a collaborative effort, requiring the mobilization of various forces and the use of multiple methods, including education, administration, and legal measures [7]. - The article stresses the importance of addressing weak links in governance and taking targeted actions to strengthen the foundation and fill gaps [7]. Group 5: International Perspective - The concept of building a community with a shared future in cyberspace is highlighted, marking the tenth anniversary of this initiative, which aims to enhance international communication and showcase a positive image of China [8]. - The article concludes with a focus on transforming the internet from a "great variable" into a "great increment" for development [10].

Group 1 - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing Xi Jinping's recent important speeches and directives, particularly regarding the comprehensive and strict governance of the Party, which provides scientific guidance for the follow-up actions of inspections [1] - The meeting highlighted the need to enhance political awareness and responsibility in implementing the Party's inspection work regulations, ensuring effective rectification and promoting high-quality development [1] - The meeting discussed the significance of Xi Jinping's important speech on network ecological governance, which offers guidance for addressing new tasks and challenges in the digital space [2] Group 2 - The meeting underscored the importance of safety production, particularly in high-rise buildings, and the need for thorough risk assessments and preventive measures to ensure public safety [2] - The meeting called for the promotion of volunteer spirit and the development of volunteer service organizations to contribute to the modernization efforts in Jiangsu [3]

早 报 精 选 1、 中共中央政治局11月28日下午就加强网络生态治理进行第二十三次集体学习。中共中央总书记习近平在主持学习时强调，网络 生态治理是网络强国建设的重要任务，事关国家发展和安全，事关人民群众切身利益。要健全网络生态治理长效机制，着力提升治理 的前瞻性、精准性、系统性、协同性，持续营造风清气正的网络空间。 2、国务院安委会日前印发通知，部署开展高层建筑重大火灾风险隐患排查整治行动，聚焦有人员居住和活动的高层民用建筑（包括 居民住宅建筑和办公、医疗、商业等公共建筑）开展排查整治，特别是正在进行外墙改造施工和内部局部装修改造的高层民用建筑， 全面加强高层建筑消防安全管理，切实保障人民群众生命财产安全。 3、国家统计局发布数据显示，11月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.2%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，景气水平有所改善。从 企业规模看，大型企业PMI为49.3%，比上月下降0.6个百分点，低于临界点；中、小型企业PMI分别为48.9%和49.1%，比上月上 升0.2个和2.0个百分点，均低于临界点。 4、财政部数据显示，1-10月，国有企业营业总收入683529.3亿元，同比增长0.9%；国有企业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent incident involving online gaming live streaming has highlighted deep-rooted issues in the current governance of the online ecosystem in China, particularly regarding the emergence of organized online violence that transcends commercial contracts and legal boundaries [1][2]. Group 1: Incident Overview - The controversy began when a well-known creator, "Xiaoyao Sanren," faced backlash for playing a new game with a legal license, leading to a wave of online violence against unrelated brands like vivo [1][5]. - The online violence escalated from individual disputes to a systematic attack on companies such as miHoYo and NetEase, indicating a standardized chain of malicious activities that exploit social issues for commercial gain [2][10]. Group 2: Nature of Online Violence - The attacks have evolved into a form of "collective punishment," where individuals and brands are targeted indiscriminately, undermining normal consumer expression and posing a substantial threat to public order [2][9]. - The online violence is characterized by organized efforts, including detailed "violence strategies" that instruct participants on how to disrupt live streams and spread false rumors [8][9]. Group 3: Impact on Companies - Companies like vivo, which had no commercial ties to the incident, faced extreme and irrational attacks, including large-scale disruptions of their live streaming activities and personal attacks on their executives [5][6]. - The situation has created an environment where businesses are not only pressured by market competition but also face unpredictable "public opinion disasters," significantly increasing compliance costs and harming the innovation landscape [11]. Group 4: Regulatory Response - The Chinese government has initiated a series of measures to address these online issues, including a special campaign targeting the provocation of extreme group emotions and the legal consequences for malicious marketing practices [14][15]. - There is a call for platforms to take responsibility for their algorithms and to implement measures against organized harassment and misinformation [17][18]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The ongoing situation emphasizes the need for a collaborative approach to governance in the online space, where legal frameworks, platform responsibilities, and societal consensus must align to restore a healthy online environment [16][19].

Group 1 - The concept of "cyber ecological governance" has been elevated to a national strategic level, becoming one of the core tasks in building a cyber power [2] - Cyber ecological governance has transitioned from a purely "technical protection" perspective to being recognized as a "core infrastructure" supporting the development of the digital economy [2] - The legal framework for cyber ecological governance includes the Cybersecurity Law, Data Security Law, and Personal Information Protection Law, which provide a solid foundation for governance [2] Group 2 - Companies such as Beixin Source and Tianrongxin are mentioned in relation to the cyber ecological governance sector [3]

Silver Market - Silver prices surged significantly on November 28, with COMEX silver futures reaching a high of $57.245 per ounce and London spot silver hitting $56.78 per ounce, while domestic futures peaked at 13,239 yuan per kilogram. The year-to-date increase has reached 90%, making it one of the strongest performers this year [1] - The strong performance of silver is driven by macro monetary policy expectations and supply-demand dynamics. The market now anticipates an 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, up from about 40% a week prior. This easing expectation has weakened the dollar index, reducing the holding cost of silver and attracting significant capital inflows into precious metals [1] - The global silver market has experienced a supply deficit for the fifth consecutive year, estimated at 95 million ounces. High photovoltaic installation levels and increased penetration of electric vehicles are expected to sustain industrial demand for silver, with projections indicating continued supply shortages through 2026, providing strong support for silver prices [1] Quantum Computing - On November 28, the University of Science and Technology of China achieved a significant breakthrough in quantum simulation by detecting high-order non-equilibrium topological phases using the programmable superconducting quantum processor "Zuchongzhi No. 2." This marks an important advancement in exploring complex topological states [2] - The experiment demonstrates the significant advantages of superconducting quantum processors in programmability and control precision, reinforcing the leading position of this technology route. The findings are expected to facilitate applications in condensed matter physics, quantum chemistry, and materials science, potentially addressing challenges in high-temperature superconductivity and complex molecular structures [2] Cybersecurity - The Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the importance of strengthening network ecological governance during a collective study session on November 28. This governance is crucial for national development and security, as well as for the interests of the people [3] - The meeting highlighted the challenges posed by emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data, while also recognizing the new support conditions they provide for network governance. It called for the encouragement of new technology development in the internet and information sectors, and the establishment of a tiered and classified security regulatory mechanism [3] Tantalum Capacitors - Amid the rapid expansion of AI server data centers, the supply of tantalum capacitors is tightening, with Panasonic announcing price increases of 15% to 30% for certain models. This price hike follows similar actions by American manufacturers, indicating a hot market for tantalum capacitors [4] - The tantalum supply chain is characterized by oligopoly and long delivery times, suggesting a potential wave of price increases in 2026. Tantalum capacitors are critical electronic components used in power management, signal coupling, and filtering, with demand surging due to the rapid growth of AI and other high-tech applications [4] IP Economy - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved a single-day box office of over 700 million yuan on November 30, surpassing "Avengers: Endgame" to become the highest single-day box office for an imported film in China's history. The film's total box office has exceeded 2 billion yuan, making it the highest-grossing imported animated film in China [5] - The surge in demand for "Zootopia 2" has led to a significant increase in the prices of related merchandise, such as blind boxes, reflecting a trend of emotional consumption among young people [5] Copper Market - LME copper futures surged over 4% on Friday, breaking the $11,200 mark and reaching a historical high for the first time in four weeks. This increase is attributed to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a focus on supply shortages, with miners pricing commodities significantly above buyer expectations [6] - The global copper market is experiencing its tightest supply chain ever, driven by weak supply growth and frequent disruptions, alongside strong demand from emerging sectors and stable demand from traditional core areas [6] AI Toys - The AI emotional companion toy "Smart Hanhai" launched by Huawei sold out immediately upon release, indicating strong market demand. Additionally, Honor announced a strategic partnership with Aofei Entertainment to develop AI interactive toys targeting young consumers [7] - The AI toy market is expected to expand rapidly, with projections indicating that by 2030, the market size in China will exceed 100 billion yuan. The high gross margins of over 70% for mid-to-high-end AI toys are attracting significant investment [7] Energy Storage - On November 28, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to discuss the battery industry, focusing on regulating competition and promoting high-quality development in the power and energy storage battery sectors. The meeting emphasized the need for targeted policy measures and monitoring of production capacity [9] - By 2025, the Chinese energy storage industry is expected to undergo a significant transition, with independent energy storage becoming mainstream as mandatory storage policies are phased out. The global market is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, leading to increased orders for domestic energy storage cell manufacturers [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of establishing a long-term mechanism for internet ecological governance to create a clean and positive online environment, as highlighted by General Secretary Xi Jinping during a key political meeting [1]. Group 1: Importance of Internet Ecological Governance - Internet ecological governance is a crucial task for building a strong internet nation, impacting national development, security, and the interests of the people [2]. - Since the 18th National Congress, the central leadership has prioritized internet ecological governance, promoting mainstream values and effectively combating online chaos, leading to an overall positive online environment [2]. Group 2: Governance Principles - The article outlines five key principles for effective internet ecological governance: adherence to party leadership, prioritizing people's interests, maintaining integrity and innovation, ensuring legal protection, and adopting a systematic approach [2]. - These principles serve as valuable experiences and guidelines for governance, emphasizing the importance of political responsibility and leadership in managing the internet [3]. Group 3: Multi-Stakeholder Involvement - A comprehensive governance framework is necessary, involving various stakeholders such as the party, government, enterprises, society, and internet users, utilizing a combination of economic, legal, and technical measures [4]. - The article stresses the need for moral education and the promotion of a positive online social mindset, alongside effective administrative regulation and industry self-discipline [4]. Group 4: Addressing Online Chaos - The article calls for decisive action against online chaos, highlighting the need to sever the profit chains and conditions that allow such chaos to thrive, ensuring that the online space aligns with the interests of the people [4]. - It emphasizes the importance of enhancing public satisfaction and security in the online environment through targeted measures [4]. Group 5: Technological Challenges and Opportunities - The emergence of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data presents both challenges and opportunities for internet ecological governance, necessitating the encouragement of technological development and the establishment of a robust security regulatory framework [5]. Group 6: International Cooperation - The article advocates for active participation in international rule-making and collaboration with other countries to combat online crime, promoting a shared destiny in cyberspace [6]. - It highlights the importance of enhancing international communication capabilities to effectively convey China's narrative and image [6].

Core Viewpoint - The governance of the online ecosystem is a crucial task for building a strong networked nation, impacting national development, security, and the interests of the people [1][2]. Group 1: Governance Structure - The governance of the online ecosystem must be under the centralized and unified leadership of the Party, establishing a comprehensive governance framework to form a collaborative effort [2]. - Various levels and departments are required to strengthen their political and leadership responsibilities in managing the internet, effectively addressing prominent issues, and enhancing their ability to understand public opinion through the internet [2]. Group 2: Promoting Positive Values - It is essential to shape the online space with positive voices, mainstream values, and contemporary trends, making the internet a significant platform for ideological guidance, moral cultivation, and cultural transmission [2]. - The promotion of socialist core values and the dissemination of innovative theoretical content online should be deepened, with mainstream media playing a leading role in providing high-quality online content [2]. Group 3: Systematic Approach - Online ecosystem governance is a systematic project that requires mobilizing various forces and employing multiple methods, including education, administration, and legal measures [2]. - A mechanism for targeted and precise implementation of online ideological and moral education should be established to foster a self-respecting, rational, and positive online social mentality [2]. Group 4: Addressing Online Issues - There is a need to combat online chaos that pollutes social ethics and infringes on public interests, cutting off the profit and industrial chains that sustain such issues [3]. - Identifying weak links in online ecosystem governance and implementing targeted measures to strengthen foundations and address shortcomings is crucial [3]. Group 5: Technological Challenges and Opportunities - The emergence of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data presents challenges for online ecosystem governance but also offers new support conditions [3]. - Encouraging the development of new technologies in the internet information sector and improving safety regulation mechanisms are necessary to strengthen cybersecurity and data security [3]. Group 6: International Cooperation - Online ecosystem governance is a common challenge faced by countries worldwide, necessitating active participation in the formulation of international rules and collaboration to combat online crimes [3][4]. - Strengthening international communication platforms and capabilities is vital for effectively showcasing China's image and telling China's story [4].