炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 12月24日早盘，军工板块持续上攻，行业涨幅高居31个申万一级全行业首位，主力资金大举涌入，截至 发稿净买入逾101亿元，居全行业第二位。 开源证券指出，随着技术迭代与配套完善，太空算力和其他新兴应用有望推动商业航天迎来具备规模化 商业价值的产业变革。对标猎鹰9号火箭的发射价格及发射频次，2030年中国有望实现年发射100次、单 次成本约1亿元水平，火箭发射及卫星制造年产值有望达到850亿元。 中信建投证券最新研报表示，我国多枚商业航天火箭计划发射，多重利好叠加推动军工板块短期上涨。 当前板块处于业绩增速、资金配置双重底部区间，国内外催化因素或将持续出现，为板块上涨注入新动 力，新域新质领域催化不断，建议积极把握结构性反弹机会，静待下一轮周期到来。 【八一军工，大展宏图】代码有"八一"的军工ETF华宝（512810）（原国防军工ETF）覆盖"商业航天 + 可控核聚变 + 低空经济 + 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI "等诸多热门主题，同时是融资融券+互联互通标 的，是一键投资军工核心资产的高效工具。 数据来源：沪深交易所等。 风险提 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 仅歇1日，今日（12月24日）军工板块火速反弹，场内高人气军工ETF华宝（512810）盘中拔地而起， 直线冲高1.25%！ 商业航天概念大口回血，中国卫星涨超5%，上海瀚讯、航天发展等均大幅反弹。昨日20CM涨停的宏达 电子一度再涨超9%，股价续创3年新高！ 消息面，2025第三届商业航天发展大会暨第四届中关村商业航天大会今日在北京举行。企业层面，据证 监会网上办事服务平台披露，近日，蓝箭航天IPO辅导工作正式完成，辅导机构为中金公司。 开源证券认为，随着技术迭代与配套完善，太空算力和其他新兴应用有望推动商业航天迎来具备规模化 商业价值的产业变革。对标猎鹰9号火箭的发射价格及发射频次，2030年中国有望实现年发射100次、单 次成本约1亿元水平，火箭发射及卫星制造年产值有望达到850亿元。 就商业航天题材所在的军工板块，东方证券认为，军工行业已企稳向好，"十五五"军民贸有望共振。经 历了2023~2024年的行业需求不振，2025年军工行业企稳有所复苏，产业链营收重回增长，内部结构出 现分化的趋势有望延续。2026年是新五年规划的开局 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is focused on the research and manufacturing of fourth-generation nuclear power equipment, particularly the liquid metal nuclear primary pump for commercial fast reactors, which is seen as the future direction of nuclear power development in China [1]. Group 1: Fourth-Generation Nuclear Power Equipment - The company’s subsidiary, Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Hydropower Equipment Co., Ltd., has developed the world's largest and China's first 600MW fourth-generation commercial fast reactor liquid metal nuclear primary pump, which passed trial operation tests on November 24, 2019 [1]. - Fourth-generation nuclear power, particularly fast neutron reactors, is considered the preferred reactor type, addressing nuclear fuel supply issues while offering better economic viability and safety [1]. Group 2: Research and Development Focus - The company places significant emphasis on the exploration and research of controllable nuclear fusion technology, aiming to supply primary pumps for fusion reactors [1]. - The company has been developing lithium-lead alloy pumps, which are a key option for coolant in controllable nuclear fusion reactors, with prototypes currently undergoing testing [1].

Core Insights - The announcements highlight various corporate activities including project investments, contract wins, equity acquisitions, share buybacks, and shareholding adjustments across multiple companies in different sectors. Project Investments - Haibo Technology plans to invest 2 billion yuan in the "Haibo Intelligent Green Energy Storage Factory Project" [1] Contract Wins - Baosheng Co., Ltd. has won a contract worth approximately 1.2 billion yuan from the Singapore Power Authority for power cable projects [1] - Qianjiang Water Conservancy has secured a contract for the integrated water supply and drainage project in Qimen County, Huangshan City [1] - Ningbo Construction has won a construction contract worth 428 million yuan as part of a consortium [1] Equity Acquisitions - Shanghai Jianlong intends to acquire a 40% stake in Hanxing Energy for 200 million yuan [1] - Ningbo Port plans to acquire 100% equity of the Comprehensive Bonded Zone Terminal for 706 million yuan to enhance its competitive edge [1] - Jinko Environment aims to acquire 100% equity of Eric for 84.8 million yuan [1] Share Buybacks - Weimais plans to repurchase shares with an investment of 50 million to 100 million yuan [1] Shareholding Adjustments - Yuan Meihe, a shareholder of Oke Yi, plans to reduce his stake by up to 1.89% [2] - Biological Holdings intends to increase its stake by investing between 50 million to 100 million yuan [2] - Chang'an Trust and Zhongbao Investment No. 1 Trust plan to reduce their holdings in Unisplendour by no more than 1% [1]

Group 1: Market Dynamics - The tungsten market is experiencing significant price increases driven by major tungsten companies raising long-term procurement prices and production cuts from key tungsten raw material producers [1][2] - As of December 18, tungsten concentrate and ammonium paratungstate prices have risen, with tungsten powder (≥99.7%) reaching 1.01 million CNY/ton, a 219.6% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - Domestic tungsten powder prices have also surged to 1.045 million CNY/ton, with a notable acceleration in the price increase rate compared to November [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Outlook - Analysts suggest that the recent rapid increase in tungsten prices is linked to supply constraints and rising long-term prices as the year-end approaches [2] - CICC forecasts that the global tungsten supply-demand relationship will remain tight, driving prices higher, with a long-term price center expected to rise to 450,000-500,000 CNY/ton by 2028 [2] - From 2025 to 2028, global tungsten production is projected to increase from 82,800 tons to 89,900 tons, while demand is expected to rise from 102,100 tons to 110,000 tons, indicating a persistent supply-demand gap [2] Group 3: Company Insights - Jiexin International Resources (03858) is set to begin commercial production at the Bakuta tungsten mine project in April 2025, with a target mining and processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore [3] - In the first half of 2025, Jiexin International processed 945,000 tons of ore, achieving a tungsten concentrate output of 1,205 tons, with a target for the second half of the year set at 1.65 million tons of ore and 3,638 tons of concentrate, tripling the first half's output [3] - By 2027, Jiexin International's second-phase project is expected to increase annual mining and processing capacity to 4.95 million tons, with projected concentrate output of 13,700 tons and a potential cost of 49,000 CNY per ton by 2027 [3]

Group 1 - The tungsten market is experiencing significant price increases driven by major tungsten companies raising long-term purchase prices and production cuts from key tungsten raw material producers [1] - As of December 18, tungsten concentrate and ammonium paratungstate prices have risen, with tungsten powder (≥99.7%) reaching 1.01 million yuan/ton, a 219.6% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - CICC predicts that due to supply-side pressures and geopolitical conflicts, global tungsten supply will require higher incentive prices, suggesting that tungsten prices may continue to rise in the short term [1] Group 2 - CICC believes that the global tungsten supply-demand relationship will remain tight, driving the long-term price center to rise to 450,000-500,000 yuan/ton, expected to last until 2028 [2] - From 2025 to 2028, global tungsten production is projected to increase from 82,800 tons to 89,900 tons, while demand will rise from 102,100 tons to 110,000 tons, indicating a persistent supply-demand gap [2] - The demand for tungsten-based new materials in emerging fields such as AI and new infrastructure will provide long-term support for tungsten prices [2] Group 3 - Jiaxin International Resources (03858) has commenced commercial production at the Bakuta tungsten mine project, targeting a mining and processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore by 2025 [3] - In the first half of 2025, Jiaxin International processed 945,000 tons of ore, achieving a tungsten concentrate output of 1,205 tons, with a target of 1.65 million tons of ore and 3,638 tons of concentrate in the second half [3] - By 2027, the second phase of the project is expected to increase annual mining and processing capacity to 4.95 million tons, with a projected concentrate output of 13,700 tons and a long-term price center of 450,000-500,000 yuan/ton [3]

导读：智通财经12月24日投资避雷针，近日，A股及海外市场潜在风险事件如下。国内经济信息方面包括：1）广期所调整铂等品种相关期货合约交易手续 费标准、涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金标准；2）锡业分会发文，锡价急速拉升已完全背离基本面；公司方面重点关注包括：1）8连板胜通能源表示，如未来 股票价格进一步上涨，可能申请停牌核查；2）2连板利柏特公告，公司不涉及可控核聚变业务；海外市场重点关注包括：1）美国第三季度GDP远超预期， 通胀隐忧仍存；2）日本核反应堆20毫升含放射性水泄漏。 经济信息 1、广州期货交易所公告称，根据《广州期货交易所风险管理办法》，经研究决定，自2025年12月25日交易时起，非期货公司会员或者客户在多晶硅期货 PS2601、PS2602、PS2603、PS2604、PS2605、PS2606、PS2607、PS2608、PS2609、PS2610、PS2611、PS2612合约上单日开仓量分别不得超过200手。 2、广期所公告，经研究决定，对铂、钯、碳酸锂期货相关合约的交易手续费标准、涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金标准作如下调整：自2025年12月25日交易时 起，铂期货PT2606合约、钯期货PD ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market and promoting high-quality development in the sector [2] - The overall work plan for the next year includes better coordination of investments in both material and human resources, urban renewal, and enhancing urban governance [2] - The goal is to create modern, resilient, and livable cities while contributing to a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Group 2 - Foreign institutions are increasingly optimistic about the Chinese stock market in 2026, citing improved corporate earnings and attractive valuations as key drivers [8] - Major firms like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have released positive outlooks for Chinese assets, indicating a potential rebound [8] Group 3 - The A-share market has seen a record annual trading volume exceeding 406 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone in its history [10] - The average daily trading volume reached 1.72 trillion yuan, with several days in August and September surpassing 3 trillion yuan [10] Group 4 - Semiconductor company SMIC has implemented a price increase of approximately 10% on certain production capacities due to rising demand from mobile applications and AI [17][18] - The increase in prices is also attributed to higher raw material costs, reflecting the overall growth in semiconductor product demand [18] Group 5 - Sunac China has completed a comprehensive restructuring of its overseas debt, relieving approximately 9.6 billion USD of existing debt and significantly reducing its repayment pressure [20] - The company has also completed a restructuring of 15.4 billion yuan of domestic bonds, indicating a strategic move to stabilize its financial position [20]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a slight increase on December 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3919.98 points, up 0.07%, marking five consecutive days of gains [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 19.214 billion yuan, an increase of 39.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain showed strong performance, with companies like Huasheng Lithium and Duofuduo seeing significant gains, including multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [3] - Huasheng Lithium announced progress on its project for producing 200,000 tons of low-energy, high-performance lithium battery anode materials, which is currently in trial production and customer evaluation stages [3] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association reported a notable increase in domestic lithium carbonate prices, rising from 81,000 yuan/ton to 92,000 yuan/ton, a 13.58% increase [3] Energy Storage Market - According to a report by Western Securities, the economic viability of independent energy storage in China is becoming evident, with demand exceeding expectations [4] - The report predicts a significant improvement in the supply-demand structure for lithium iron phosphate and other segments by 2026, with leading manufacturers likely to see enhanced profitability due to capacity concentration and high-end trends [4] Investment Recommendations - Guangfa Securities recommends focusing on the lithium battery cycle reversal driven by both power and energy storage demand, suggesting investment in batteries and materials [5] - The report highlights the potential for growth in battery and material sectors, particularly in negative electrodes and aluminum foil [5] Liquid Cooling Sector - The liquid cooling concept continues to gain traction, with companies like Yidong Electronics and Tongfei Co. hitting the daily limit, and Suzhou Tianmai seeing over a 10% increase [6] - Suzhou Tianmai announced plans to establish a joint venture focused on server liquid cooling technology [6] - Western Securities forecasts a significant market opportunity in the liquid cooling sector, estimating the market size for Google's liquid cooling cabinets to reach between $2.4 billion and $2.9 billion by 2026 [6] Future Market Trends - Guosheng Securities anticipates a favorable environment for the cross-year market in 2026, with ample liquidity and a potential increase in equity allocations from insurance funds [7] - The report emphasizes the importance of cyclical sectors, including industrial metals and non-bank financials, as key areas of focus [7] - Debon Securities projects a continued slow growth trend for A-shares in 2026, with technology growth remaining a central theme, particularly in artificial intelligence and computing power sectors [8]

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a strong resurgence, significantly boosting the defense and military industry, which is leading the market with the highest gains and net inflows [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the morning of December 18, the defense and military industry has the highest increase and net inflow among all sectors [1] - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) opened lower but rose nearly 2%, reaching a two-month high with a trading volume exceeding 56 million yuan [1] - Key stocks in the commercial aerospace sector, such as Platinum and Zhongke Xingtong, surged by 12%, while China Satellite hit the daily limit [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The 2025 Third China Commercial Aerospace Development Conference and the Fourth Zhongguancun Commercial Aerospace Conference were held in Beijing, indicating ongoing positive developments in the commercial aerospace sector [2] - Recent advancements include the successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket and the completion of multiple missions by Long March 12, accelerating the deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations [3] - The spillover of advanced military technology into civilian applications is creating new industries worth trillions, such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and deep-sea technology [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) covers various hot themes, including commercial aerospace, controlled nuclear fusion, low-altitude economy, and military AI, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets [3]