特约撰稿 张梦婷 马晓霖 这股外部推力，其源头清晰无误地指向美国。特朗普政府的贸易逻辑日益凸显出鲜明的交易色彩与对抗 特质，近期更是将关税直接与盟友的领土主权问题相捆绑。此举从根本上撼动了欧洲长期以来所依赖的 传统经济安全架构与信任基础。这种与日俱增的战略不安全感，为这项搁置已久的协议注入了前所未有 的政治动能。欧盟委员会贸易和经济安全委员直称此项协定为至关重要的"战略工具"。其核心战略意 图，是通过快速构建一个具备显著规模效应的多元化经济伙伴网络，以系统性降低对任何单一且行为难 以预测的主要市场的过度依赖，从而实质性增强自身的经济韧性与战略议价能力。 欧盟与南共市的这场历史性握手所试图释放的"暖流"，本质上是一股服务于战略平衡与风险对冲的"人 工暖流"。它是在单边主义与保护主义"寒流"不断侵袭全球体系的背景下，被迫紧急启动的一套供暖装 置。欧盟正借此传递一个信号：即使最传统的联盟关系发生动摇，它仍有能力与意愿构筑起新的经济合 作支柱。 廿五载僵局，恐惧催化共识 一项耗时四分之一世纪的谈判，在2026年初戏剧性地冲刺撞线。 1月17日，欧盟与南美南方共同市场（以下简称"南共市"）在巴拉圭首都亚松森正式签署自由 ...

Group 1 - French President Macron criticized the United States for attempting to weaken and control Europe, labeling U.S. trade policies as unacceptable and suggesting imperial ambitions [1][3] - Macron's remarks at the Davos Forum signal a call for Europe to welcome Chinese investments in key sectors like renewable energy and machinery, aiming to boost economic growth and technology transfer [1][5] - The relationship between the U.S. and France has become increasingly tense, with Macron's strategic autonomy philosophy driving his criticism of U.S. actions that harm allies' interests [3][5] Group 2 - Macron's invitation to China for investment comes with conditions, including adjustments to trade deficits and adherence to European standards, reflecting a dual strategy of cooperation and caution [5][8] - The long-term realization of France's strategic autonomy depends on bridging internal EU divisions and promoting industrial upgrades, especially in the context of cooperation with China [5] - Macron's statements serve as a warning to the U.S. while also symbolizing Europe's vulnerability and uncertainty in the face of power dynamics [5][8]

1月18日，德国派驻格陵兰岛的13人先遣分队在不到两天的时间内全员撤离。自抵达仅隔44小时，这场名为七国联合行动的外交秀便迅速折损过半，特朗普 祭出的关税大棒，锋芒立现，瞬间击穿了这一虚幻的外交演出。究竟这场政治博弈还会持续多久？这些盟友能否找到更多回旋余地？格陵兰岛刺骨的寒流尚 未渗透到这些跨欧协调力量的作战服上，撤离的命令却如雪片般飞来，打破了这场原本注定要成为国际关系史中一段讽刺性插曲的僵局。 1月17日，特朗普通过社交平台发布了一份极具攻击性的声明：自2月1日起，对丹麦、挪威、瑞典、芬兰、法国、德国、英国、荷兰等国的输美商品加征 10%关税。这一关税数字精准无误，不仅涵盖了格陵兰岛法定宗主国丹麦，还锁定了所有声援阵营的七个国家。这不仅仅是一个普通的贸易争端，而是一个 明确的战略震慑，给出的信号异常清晰——任何站在丹麦一边的国家，必将在经贸层面承担相应的代价。面对如此强硬的施压，德国派出的13人侦察组，虽 然仅在16日完成部署，临时营地尚未搭建完成，但18日清晨，他们便迅速收拾行李，撤回了国内。 法国派出了最大规模的15人代表团，德国紧随其后派遣了13人，而曾拥有全球海权的英国，却仅象征性地派出了1名军 ...

美国总统特朗普威胁，如果加拿大与中国达成贸易协议，会向加拿大征收100%关税。 尽管没有直接提及美国，但卡尼重申将推动实施"购买国货"政策。他指出，"我们无法控制其他国家的 行为。但我们可以成为自己最好的客户。我们将购买加拿大产品，我们将用加拿大产品来建设国家。" 美国及加拿大关系持续紧张，特朗普多次提及想将加拿大变成美国"第51个州"，加拿大全靠美国才可生 存。卡尼近日批评有强权国家将关税当筹码，呼吁各国携手争取战略自主。 在美国总统特朗普对加拿大发出新一轮关税威胁后，加拿大总理卡尼1月24日号召该国民众"购买国 货"，以应对外部威胁。 卡尼日前访问中国，形容中国是可靠及可预测的伙伴。 ...

他说，他的关税政策给美国国库带来了超过一万亿美元的横财。 特朗普重回白宫满一周年。 那天下午，他在白宫简报室，说过去365天里，他"取得了365场胜利"，成就多到一个星期都列不完。 他特别得意地提到一个词：关税。 在国内，特朗普这一年的日子过得可谓"风风火火"。 上任第一天，他就一口气签了40多道行政命令和总统备忘录，创了个历史纪录。 到他执政一周年那天，这个数字变成了229。 他喜欢用这种方式绕开国会没 完没了的争吵，直接下令。 法律界的麻烦也随之而来，他的政府被告上了法庭超过500次。 最夸张的一次，因为和国会僵持不下，联邦政府大门关了足足43天，公务员们放了有史以来最长的一个"无薪假"。 就在同一天，大洋彼岸的欧洲，不少国际关系学者和政治编辑们正在挠头。 他们手里的另一份数据清单显示，美国联邦政府的总债务，在特朗普回来的这一年里，悄无声息地爬过了37万亿美元的大关。 而他津津乐道的那笔"关税横财"，实际入库的金额，大概只占这庞大债务利息的一个零头。 更让华尔街分析师们皱眉的是，尽管总统把"关税"称为最美丽 的词汇，美国2025年的货物贸易逆差，还是稳稳地站在1.21万亿美元的高位，比他第一次当选前的20 ...

Group 1: Trade Dependency - Italy's exports to the US account for 12% of its total exports, directly linked to 500,000 jobs. A 20% tariff could lead to a 15% collapse in Italy's leather, furniture, and wine industries, resulting in 75,000 job losses [4] - Germany's automotive industry exports to the US represent 18% of total exports, supporting 1.2 million jobs. A tariff could increase the unemployment rate from 3.2% to 8%, equating to 500,000 job losses [4] - France's luxury goods sector relies heavily on the US market, contributing 35% of revenue. A 15% tariff could decrease net profits by 25%, equating to a loss of 30 billion euros [5] Group 2: Financial Implications - 85% of EU cross-border payments are settled in US dollars, with 60% of the European Central Bank's foreign reserves in dollar assets. This exposes Europe to potential asset freezes by the US [3] - The US's economic policies prioritize American interests, often at the expense of European economies, as seen in the inflated prices of liquefied natural gas sold to Europe [6] Group 3: Security Concerns - NATO's funding is predominantly from the US, covering 75% of military expenses, and 60% of Europe's air defense systems depend on US technology [3] - The reliance on US-produced weapons for Ukraine highlights Europe's vulnerability and the contradiction in its calls for strategic autonomy [7] Group 4: Strategic Autonomy - The EU's efforts to establish digital sovereignty and reduce dependency on US technology have been slow, with only 10% of global chip production occurring in Europe [6] - A balanced strategy is suggested, where Europe collaborates with the US while also seeking partnerships with countries like China and India to diversify its economic dependencies [7]

格陵兰岛绝非普通领土，其地处北极航道核心节点，既是监测北极军事动态的战略前哨，又蕴藏着海量 稀土等关键矿产，对美国掌控北极地缘格局意义重大。特朗普直言其为"战略资产"，甚至放话"不会把 本半球安全外包给他人"，这番说辞不过是霸权扩张的遮羞布。更荒诞的是，有消息称特朗普在给挪威 首相的信中，竟将获取格陵兰岛与未能获得诺贝尔和平奖关联，贝森特虽矢口否认这一说法，却始终回 避回应美国的领土勒索本质。 这次的管控范围远超以往的5G领域，直接延伸到电力系统、云服务、太阳能光伏等核心板块，连欧洲 遍地铺设的中国产太阳能逆变器，都面临被强制拆除的风险。欧盟给出的理由依旧是老套的"国家安 全""高风险依赖"，可翻遍其公开文件，始终找不到任何能支撑指控的技术证据。中国商务部1月22日已 明确表态，对欧方举措严重关切，若执意推进中方必将采取必要回击措施。 编辑 面对如此赤裸裸的霸凌，欧洲的反应显得格外无力，德国副总理拉尔斯·克林拜尔虽放话准备反制，欧 盟最终也只是暂缓批准欧美贸易协议，姿态软弱得令人唏嘘。最新动态显示，特朗普暂搁置2月1日关税 生效计划，看似缓和的背后，实则是欧洲被迫妥协后的无奈喘息。 令人跌破眼镜的是，被美国逼 ...

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the geopolitical struggle between the US and the EU over Greenland, highlighting a shift in transatlantic relations [1][13] - The US is applying pressure through tariffs to gain special rights in Greenland, while the EU's response is characterized by strong rhetoric but weak actions [3][9] - The EU's economic dependency on the US, with a bilateral trade volume exceeding €700 billion annually, limits its ability to respond effectively to US threats [3] Group 2 - Greenland holds significant strategic value for the US due to its rich mineral resources, including world-class rare earth deposits and potential oil and gas reserves [6][8] - The control of Arctic shipping routes is becoming increasingly important, with Greenland positioned at a critical juncture for future Eurasian trade [8] - The US aims to secure resource development rights and influence over shipping regulations rather than territorial annexation, thereby consolidating its strategic advantage [8] Group 3 - The EU's internal divisions, stemming from the differing interests of its 27 member states regarding Arctic affairs, hinder a unified response to US pressure [5] - The most likely outcome is that the EU will make substantive concessions while maintaining a facade of sovereignty, seeking a "face-saving" resolution [9][11] - Potential concessions may include granting resource development rights to US companies, yielding rule-making authority in Arctic negotiations, and tacitly allowing an expanded US military presence in Greenland [11]

新华社布鲁塞尔1月23日电 尽管美国总统特朗普撤回对欧洲8国加征关税的威胁，欧盟仍于22日晚在布 鲁塞尔如期召开紧急峰会。 欧洲舆论认为，这场旨在重新评估跨大西洋关系的会议表明，欧洲已从对格陵兰岛争端和关税问题的担 忧，转向对美国的长期疑虑，跨大西洋关系"已经回不到从前"。有欧洲学者说，这场美国与欧洲盟友之 间的交锋或许给霸权主义提了个醒：从历史上看，强权霸凌必将引发觉醒、反抗和反噬。 欧洲让美国"战术性撤退"？ 22日晚欧盟紧急峰会没有作出任何具体决定。会后，欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩说，围绕格陵兰岛问题， 欧洲"以坚定立场应对，取得了成功"。欧洲理事会主席科斯塔称，欧盟将"捍卫自身"，抵御任何形式的 胁迫。 在历经博弈之后，格陵兰岛危机因美欧之间协商制定有关格陵兰岛和北极地区的"协议框架"，以及特朗 普政府表态不会武力夺岛、不会对欧洲8国加征关税，而暂时缓解紧张局面。 欧洲舆论认为，在这场缠斗中，欧洲对美从最初"旅行式派兵""观望式反制"等小心翼翼的劝阻、沟通和 象征性回应，转为相对强硬和坚决的立场，包括欧洲议会21日暂缓批准欧美贸易协议。瑞典副首相埃芭 ·布施表示，像一些欧洲领导人过去所做的那样，试图用阿谀 ...

Core Viewpoint - European executives warn that the continent must improve its competitiveness or risk falling behind China and the United States in various industries, including biopharmaceuticals and artificial intelligence [1][2]. Group 1: Structural Issues in Europe - Executives highlight long-standing structural problems in Europe, such as excessive regulation and bureaucratic inefficiencies, which hinder the integration of its 450 million population into a unified market [1]. - There is a call for a more unified strategy in Europe to concentrate resources and enhance overall competitiveness [1]. Group 2: Defense and Investment - The CEO of Italy's Fincantieri Group emphasizes the need for better spending in defense, advocating for shared platforms and projects among European nations [1]. - Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan stresses that Europe must attract investment like the U.S. and China, noting that Novartis is investing billions in new facilities and R&D in the U.S. [4]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Geopolitical Concerns - Executives express concerns about the "weaponization" of drug raw materials, particularly given Europe's reliance on China for active pharmaceutical ingredients [4]. - The CEO of Fresenius highlights the need for Europe to ensure stable supplies of critical materials amid rising global trade tensions [4]. Group 4: High Operating Costs - High operating costs in Europe, driven by elevated energy prices, are identified as significant barriers to competitiveness in key sectors like automotive and AI [5]. - The CEO of Clariant notes that high natural gas prices are squeezing chemical companies' profits, making long-term decision-making difficult [5]. Group 5: Regulatory Challenges - Executives criticize Europe's complex regulatory environment, which they believe stifles innovation and complicates the launch of new AI products [5]. - French President Macron acknowledges the need to simplify burdensome regulations and emphasizes the urgency of establishing a capital market union to meet financing needs [8]. Group 6: Diverging Views on Strategic Autonomy - Some executives, like Ericsson's CEO, caution against pursuing complete strategic autonomy, arguing that cooperation with the U.S. remains essential [9]. - NATO Secretary-General stresses that Europe must take greater responsibility for its security while maintaining collaboration with the U.S. [9].