1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, a seller's neutral volatility strategy can be constructed as they are trending upwards; for the black series, a short - volatility combination strategy suits their large - amplitude fluctuating market; for precious metals, a bull spread combination strategy is recommended due to their rebound [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various metal futures such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc., are presented. For example, the latest price of copper futures (CU2601) is 91,020, down 1,040 with a decline rate of 1.13%, trading volume of 19.04 million lots (down 0.45 million lots), and open interest of 21.06 million lots (down 1.95 million lots) [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR data of various metal options are provided. Volume PCR is used to describe whether the underlying asset's market has a turning point, and open interest PCR is used to describe the strength of the underlying asset's market. For example, the volume PCR of copper options is 0.40 (down 0.02), and the open interest PCR is 0.81 (down 0.01) [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various metal options are analyzed. For example, the pressure level of copper options is 98,000, and the support level is 84,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of various metal options are given, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its change, annual average implied volatility, call and put implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper options is 17.04%, and the weighted implied volatility is 20.50% (down 2.24%) [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Suggestions 3.5.1 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - volatility seller's option combination strategy, and a spot long - hedging strategy [8]. - **Aluminum**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - call + put option combination strategy with a bullish bias, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a neutral bias and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a bearish bias and a spot covered - call strategy [10]. - **Tin**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a neutral bias and a spot long - hedging strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Silver**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - volatility option seller's combination strategy with a bullish bias, and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black Series - **Rebar**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a bearish bias and a spot long - covered - call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a bearish bias and a spot long - collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Silicon Ferrosilicon)**: For manganese silicon, construct a short - volatility strategy; for industrial silicon, construct a bear spread combination strategy for put options, a short - call + put option combination strategy, and a spot hedging strategy; for glass, construct a bear spread combination strategy for put options, a short - call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - collar strategy [14][15].

农产品期权 2025-12-10 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要：油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡，油脂类，农副产品维持震荡行情，软商品白糖小幅震荡， 棉花偏强盘整，谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...

姓名：范丽军 投资咨询号：Z0018336 日期：2025.12.05 contents 期权市场惊涛骇浪下的风 险识别与管理 国投期货研究院 1、期权隐含的风险指标 2、2025 年风险识别 3、稳健型策略 4、2026 年期权策略展望 期权隐含的风险指标 期权价格影响因素--T、K 、S 定义：期权是指赋予买方在规定期限按约定价格（简称执行价格K）买或卖一定数量某种金 融资产（标的资产S）权利。 到期时， max(0, ) max(0, ) T T K S S K = − = − 看跌期权价值 看涨期权价值 | 影响因素 | T | K | S | 数量 | 波动率σ | 利率r | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 看涨期权价格 | + | - | + | + | | 近期策略分析 | | 看跌期权价格 | + | + | - | + | | | 期权品种特点 期权价格影响因素 --波动率 行权价100看涨期权价值： 未到期时，看涨期权的期望收益近似为： () = =1 c ∗ 标的价格 (100，105] (105,110] (110,115] ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of the upcoming earnings season in December for U.S. stocks, highlighting the potential for significant stock price volatility and the effectiveness of options as a tool for investors to amplify returns during this period [1][2]. Earnings Calendar - A detailed schedule of key U.S. companies' earnings releases for December 2025 is provided, including companies like AutoZone, GameStop, Adobe, and Nike, with specific dates and times for earnings announcements [1][2]. Options Strategies - The article outlines five classic options strategies that can be employed during earnings season: - **Buy Call**: A strategy for bullish investors expecting significant price increases [4][6]. - **Bull Call Spread**: A moderate bullish strategy with limited upside potential [7]. - **Buy Put**: A strategy for bearish investors anticipating significant price declines [9]. - **Bear Put Spread**: A moderate bearish strategy with limited downside potential [11]. - **Long Straddle**: A strategy for investors expecting high volatility in either direction [13]. Strategy Details - Each strategy includes specific scenarios for application, initial costs, potential returns, and risk profiles: - **Buy Call**: High potential returns with unlimited upside and maximum loss equal to the premium paid [6]. - **Bull Call Spread**: Limited risk and reward, with a defined maximum profit and loss [7]. - **Buy Put**: Limited maximum profit with a defined risk equal to the premium paid [9]. - **Bear Put Spread**: Similar to the Buy Put but with reduced risk and capped profit [11]. - **Long Straddle**: Captures significant price movements in either direction, with defined risk limited to the total premium paid [13]. Trading Considerations - The article advises investors to focus on the breakeven points of their strategies and to select options with sufficient time until expiration to avoid liquidity issues and time decay [4][6].

农产品期权 2025-12-09 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要：油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡，油脂类，农副产品维持震荡行情，软商品白糖小幅震荡， 棉花偏强盘整，谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...

Report Date and Title - Report date: December 9, 2025 [1] - Report title: Metal Options Strategy Morning Report [1] Research Team - Lu Pinxian, Investment Research Manager, Qualification No.: F3047321, Trading Consultation No.: Z0015541, Email: lupx@wkqh.cn [2] - Huang Kehan, Options Researcher, Qualification No.: F03138607, Phone: 0755 - 23375252, Email: huangkh@wkqh.cn [2] - Li Renjun, Industrial Service, Qualification No.: F03090207, Trading Consultation No.: Z0016947, Email: lirj@wkqh.cn [2] Core Views - For non - ferrous metals, which are showing a bullish upward trend, construct a seller neutral volatility strategy [2] - For the black series, which maintain a large - amplitude volatile market trend, it is suitable to construct a short - volatility combination strategy [2] - For precious metals, which are rebounding and rising, construct a bull spread combination strategy [2] Market Overview of Underlying Futures Copper - Latest price: 92,400, Change: - 40, Change rate: - 0.04%, Volume: 19.49 (ten thousand lots), Volume change: 0.69, Open interest: 23.00 (ten thousand lots), Open interest change: - 0.64 [3] Aluminum - Latest price: 22,120, Change: - 25, Change rate: - 0.11%, Volume: 25.16 (ten thousand lots), Volume change: - 1.00, Open interest: 23.31 (ten thousand lots), Open interest change: - 1.22 [3] Zinc - Latest price: 23,170, Change: 60, Change rate: 0.26%, Volume: 18.03 (ten thousand lots), Volume change: 1.71, Open interest: 10.87 (ten thousand lots), Open interest change: 0.11 [3] Other Metals - Similar data for lead, nickel, tin, alumina, gold, silver, lithium carbonate, industrial silicon, polysilicon, rebar, iron ore, manganese silicon, ferrosilicon, and glass are also provided [3] Option Factors Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR data for various metal options are presented, along with their changes [4] Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for different metal options are given, calculated from the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5] Implied Volatility - Data on at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its change, annual average, call and put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility are provided for each metal option [6] Strategy and Recommendations Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper options**: Construct a call option bull spread strategy, a short - volatility seller option combination strategy, and a spot long hedging strategy [9] - **Aluminum options**: Construct a call option bull spread strategy, a short call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Zinc options**: Construct a short neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Nickel options**: Construct a short bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered call strategy [11] - **Tin options**: Construct a call option bull spread strategy, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot collar strategy [11] - **Lithium carbonate options**: Construct a short neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long hedging strategy [12] Precious Metals - **Silver options**: Construct a call option bull spread strategy, a short - volatility option seller combination strategy with a bullish bias, and a spot hedging strategy [13] Black Series - **Rebar options**: Construct a short bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long covered call strategy [14] - **Iron ore options**: Construct a short bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy [14] - **Ferroalloy options**: For manganese silicon, construct a short - volatility strategy; for industrial silicon, construct a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy; for glass, construct a put option bear spread strategy, a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy, and a long collar strategy [15][16]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [9]. - For each sector, options strategies and suggestions are provided for selected varieties [9]. - An options strategy report is prepared for each options variety based on underlying market analysis, options factor research, and options strategy suggestions [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report presents data on the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interests of various energy - chemical futures, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2601) is 448, with a decrease of 8 and a decline rate of - 1.84%, and a trading volume of 6.76 million lots [4]. 3.2 Options Factors 3.2.1 Volume - Open Interest PCR - The volume - open interest PCR data of different options varieties are provided, which can be used to describe the strength of the underlying market and the turning point of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of crude oil options is 0.67 with a change of - 0.02, and the open interest PCR is 0.68 with a change of 0.06 [5]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The report shows the pressure and support levels of each option variety from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 540 and the support level is 440 [6]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data of various option varieties are given, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatilities. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 24.685%, and the weighted implied volatility is 26.17% with a change of - 0.99% [7]. 3.3 Options Strategies and Suggestions for Each Variety 3.3.1 Energy - Related Options (Crude Oil, LPG) - **Crude Oil** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: US crude oil production slightly increased, refinery processing volume rose, and global floating storage increased. The market showed a weak trend [8]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was below the average, the open interest PCR was below 0.70, indicating a weak market. The pressure level was 540 and the support level was 430 [8]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread put option strategy, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy, and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [8]. - **LPG** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Crude oil prices fluctuated around $63. The domestic LPG market was relatively strong due to low arrivals and strong chemical demand. The market was in a range - bound state with support below and pressure above [10]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was around the average, the open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating a range - bound market. The pressure level was 4500 and the support level was 4150 [10]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.3.2 Alcohol - Related Options (Methanol, Ethylene Glycol) - **Methanol** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Enterprise inventories declined. The market showed a weak trend with pressure above after a rebound [10]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was around the historical average, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level was 2300 and the support level was 2000 [10]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread put option strategy, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy, and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Ethylene Glycol** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Port inventories increased, downstream demand was limited, and the market showed a weak downward trend [11]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was above the average and rising, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong short - side forces. The pressure level was 3900 and the support level was 3850 [11]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread put option strategy, a short - volatility strategy, and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.3.3 Olefin - Related Options (PVC, Polypropylene, etc.) - **PVC** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Inventories were in a build - up cycle, and the market showed a weak downward trend with bearish sentiment [11]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility decreased to below the average, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating a continuous weakening market. The pressure level was 4600 and the support level was 4300 [11]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread put option strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - **Polypropylene** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: No detailed description in the given text. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was at a certain level, and relevant PCR data were provided [5][106]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: No detailed description in the given text. 3.3.4 Rubber - Related Options (Rubber, Synthetic Rubber) - **Rubber** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Tire production capacity utilization rates changed, and the market showed a weak consolidation trend [12]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility gradually returned to around the average, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level dropped to 16000 and the support level was 15000 [12]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Synthetic Rubber** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: No detailed description in the given text. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility and relevant PCR data were provided [5]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: No detailed description in the given text. 3.3.5 Polyester - Related Options (PTA, Short - Fiber, etc.) - **PTA** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Factory inventories were expected to accumulate, and the market showed a rebound and then a small - range fluctuation trend with pressure above [12]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was at a relatively low average level, the open interest PCR was around 0.80, indicating a range - bound market. The pressure level was 4800 and the support level was 4500 [12]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Short - Fiber** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: No detailed description in the given text. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility and relevant PCR data were provided [5]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: No detailed description in the given text. 3.3.6 Alkali - Related Options (Caustic Soda, Soda Ash) - **Caustic Soda** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Production capacity utilization increased, and the market showed a weak downward trend [13]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was at a high level, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level was 2240 and the support level was 2120 [13]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Soda Ash** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Production increased, inventories were at a high level, and the market showed a weak downward oscillation trend [13]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR was below 0.50, indicating a bearish market. The pressure level was 1860 and the support level was 1100 [13]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a bear - spread combination strategy, a short - volatility combination strategy, and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.3.7 Urea Options - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Supply pressure was alleviated to some extent, and the market showed a low - level oscillation and then a rebound trend [14]. - **Options Factor Research**: Implied volatility was at a relatively low historical average level, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating strong short - side pressure. The pressure level was 1800 and the support level was 1660 [14]. - **Options Strategy Suggestions**: Construct a neutral - biased short call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [14].

金融期权 2025-12-08 金融期权策略早报概要： （1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为高位震荡上行的市场行情。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率下降，但维持较高水平波动。 （3）金融期权策略与建议：对于ETF期权来说，适合构建偏多头的卖方策略，认购期权牛市价差组合策略；对于股 指期权来说，适合构建偏多头的卖方策略、认购期权牛市价差组合策略和期权合成期货多头与期货空头做套利策略 。 表1：金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (亿元) | （亿元） | | | 上证指数 | 000001.SH | 3,902.81 | 27.01 | 0.70 | 7,167 | 930 | 16.33 | | 深证成指 | 399001.SZ | 13,147.68 | 140.96 | 1.08 | 10,090 | 838 | 30.18 | | 上证50 | 0 ...

能源化工期权 2025-12-08 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

农产品期权 2025-12-08 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要：油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡，油脂类，农副产品维持震荡行情，软商品白糖小幅震荡， 棉花偏强盘整，谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...