Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, while also emphasizing a shift towards quality over low-cost competition [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 865.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.92%, and a net profit of 100.57 billion yuan, up 87.33% year-on-year [1][3]. - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 109.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 46.2% increase year-on-year [1][3]. - The gross margin improved to 37.45%, an increase of 1.17 percentage points year-on-year, driven by better operational leverage and improved margins in grocery retail [3]. Core Local Business - Core local business revenue reached 643 billion yuan in Q1 2025, growing 17.8% year-on-year, with operating profit of 135 billion yuan, up 39.1% year-on-year, and an operating margin of 21.0%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points [2]. - Delivery services, commissions, and online marketing services saw year-on-year growth of 22.1%, 20.1%, and 15.1%, respectively [2]. - The company plans to invest 100 billion yuan over the next three years to promote high-quality development in the industry [2]. New Business Development - New business segment revenue was 222 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with operating losses narrowing by 17.5% to 23 billion yuan [3]. - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with successful operations in Saudi Arabia and plans to enter the Brazilian market [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is recognized as a leading local life service provider with strong scale and operational efficiency, showing resilience and growth potential amid macroeconomic recovery [4]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 418.3 billion yuan, 534.6 billion yuan, and 638.6 billion yuan, respectively, with adjusted net profits of 499.8 billion yuan, 616.1 billion yuan, and 720.1 billion yuan [4].

Core Viewpoint - JD.com has launched a zero-commission policy to aggressively enter the OTA market, aiming to leverage its extensive user base and supply chain capabilities to disrupt traditional hotel booking platforms [1][2][4]. Group 1: Zero-Commission Policy - JD.com announced the "JD Hotel PLUS Membership Plan," allowing hotel merchants to enjoy up to three years of zero commission, with no additional fees or complex performance metrics required [2][8]. - The zero-commission strategy is not new for JD.com, as it previously implemented a similar approach in the food delivery sector [3][4]. - The policy is designed to integrate with JD's membership system, creating a closed-loop for user traffic and enhancing customer loyalty [10]. Group 2: Strategic Intent - JD.com's entry into the hotel industry is driven by a focus on supply chain optimization, aiming to reduce procurement costs for hotels significantly [10][11]. - The company plans to leverage its existing partnerships with over 30,000 large enterprises and 8 million SMEs to tap into the business travel market, which aligns with its high-value user base [16]. - JD's approach contrasts with traditional OTA models by prioritizing membership benefits and user data accumulation before platform development [15][16]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The OTA market is becoming increasingly competitive, with various platforms adopting similar zero-commission strategies, which may lead to a dilution of profit margins across the industry [12][30]. - JD.com faces challenges in establishing a robust supply chain and acquiring exclusive hotel partnerships, particularly in the high-star hotel segment [21][25]. - The long-term success of JD's hotel business will depend on its ability to convert its large user base into loyal customers, overcoming the entrenched brand loyalty of established OTAs [26][28]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The competition in the OTA space is shifting from a focus on traffic acquisition to ecosystem building and service enhancement, indicating a potential transformation in the industry [31][32]. - JD.com's zero-commission initiative may signal the beginning of a new phase in the hotel booking sector, emphasizing supply chain efficiency and user value [29][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) [4][6]. Core Views - The company is actively investing to strengthen its ecosystem and is optimistic about its long-term competitive advantages [1]. - The core local business has shown healthy growth with a significant investment of 100 billion RMB to support merchants, leading to a 17.8% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025 [2]. - New business segments are improving losses and expanding overseas, with a 19.2% increase in revenue for Q1 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Meituan achieved revenue of 865.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 15.92%, and a net profit of 100.57 billion RMB, up 87.33% year-on-year [1]. - The core local business generated revenue of 643 billion RMB, with an operating profit of 135 billion RMB, reflecting a 39.1% increase year-on-year [2]. - The new business segment reported revenue of 222 billion RMB, with operating losses narrowing to 23 billion RMB, a 17.5% year-on-year improvement [3]. Business Segments - The food delivery segment is experiencing healthy growth through refined operations, with a focus on high-quality products and services [2]. - The flash purchase segment continues to grow strongly, with an increase in the number of flash warehouses and order proportions [2]. - The company launched a "Meituan Membership" program to enhance cross-selling and transaction frequency in lower-tier markets [2]. Financial Metrics and Projections - The report projects net profits of 418.3 billion RMB, 534.6 billion RMB, and 638.6 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. - Adjusted net profits are expected to be 499.8 billion RMB, 616.1 billion RMB, and 720.1 billion RMB for the same years, with corresponding valuations of 15.9, 12.9, and 11.0 times [4]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 37.45% in Q1 2025, with a decrease in sales and management expense ratios [3].

以下文章来源于中国企业家杂志 ，作者李艳艳 中国企业家杂志 . 讲好企业家故事，弘扬企业家精神 记者 李艳艳 编辑 张晓迪 平静已久的 OTA （在线旅游）市场 再起波澜。 近期，有消息称，京东正以 3 倍薪资从携程、美团、飞猪、同程 等平台 大规模 " 挖角 " 酒旅人才，并主打 " 零捆绑、透明价 " + 补贴 策略， 此举被 业内 理解为 " 直指携程、美团 盈利核心 " 。 还有业界人士推测， 京东 "明攻外卖、暗抢酒旅 " ，企图 " 用高频外卖引流，靠高利润酒旅赚钱 " 。 但 今年以来 ， 京东 在 外卖 行业 的高调入局和强势出击，让外界很难忽略它在本地生活领域的一举一动 。 业界普遍猜测，京东此番 " 加码 " 酒旅，或 将复制外卖业务的 " 闪电战 " 打法 —— 高薪组队、补贴开路、痛点营销 。 只是， 酒旅市场的护城河远比外卖更深。 与此同时 ，给京东外卖频频 " 站台 " 的刘强东刷足了 " 存在感 " 。从年初参观香港科技大学教授贾佳亚团队的人工智能项目，到参加全国工商联会议发 表演讲，再到近期拿下 头部 央企华润 的 " 大单 " ，他的每次现身，都会给京东带来巨大的曝光量和关注 ...

以下文章来源于中国企业家杂志 ，作者李艳艳 中国企业家杂志 . " 这个打法很京东。 " 听到京东酒旅 " 用3倍薪资挖人 " 的消息后，一位猎头感慨称。 讲好企业家故事，弘扬企业家精神 作者： 李艳艳 来源：中国企业家杂志 平静已久的 OTA （在线旅游）市场 再起波澜。 近期，有消息称， 京东正以 3 倍薪资从携程、美团、飞猪、同程 等平台 大规模 " 挖角 " 酒旅 人才 ，并主打 " 零捆绑、透明价 " + 补贴 策略， 此举被 业内 理解为 " 直指携程、美团 盈利 核心 " 。 还有业界人士推测，京东 "明攻外卖、暗抢酒旅 " ，企图 " 用高频外卖引流，靠高利 润酒旅赚钱 " 。 截至发稿，京东 、 美团 和携程 官方层面对此暂无回应。 但 今年以来 ， 京东 在 外卖 行业 的高调入局和强势出击，让外界很难忽略它在本地生活领域 的一举一动。 业界普遍猜测， 京东此番 " 加码 " 酒旅，或将复制外卖业务的 " 闪电战 " 打法 —— 高薪组队、补贴开路、痛点营销 。 只是， 酒旅市场的护城河远比外卖更深。 与此同时 ，给京东外卖频频 " 站台 " 的刘强东刷足了 " 存在感 " 。从年初参观香 ...

以下文章来源于中国企业家杂志 ，作者李艳艳 作者： 李艳艳 来源：中国企业家杂志 平静已久的 OTA （在线旅游）市场 再起波澜。 近期，有消息称， 京东正以 3 倍薪资从携程、美团、飞猪、同程 等平台 大规模 " 挖角 " 酒旅 人才 ，并主打 " 零捆绑、透明价 " + 补贴 策略， 此举被 业内 理解为 " 直指携程、美团 盈利 核心 " 。 还有业界人士推测，京东 "明攻外卖、暗抢酒旅 " ，企图 " 用高频外卖引流，靠高利 润酒旅赚钱 " 。 截至发稿，京东 、 美团 和携程 官方层面对此暂无回应。 与此同时 ，给京东外卖频频 " 站台 " 的刘强东刷足了 " 存在感 " 。从年初参观香港科技大学教 授贾佳亚团队的人工智能项目，到参加全国工商联会议发表演讲，再到近期拿下 头部 央企华润 的 " 大单 " ，他的每次现身，都会给京东带来巨大的曝光量和关注度，并引发公众讨论。 在中国企业家群体中，刘强东深谙流量密码，更擅长如何消磨对手。 从与当当的 " 图书大战 "， 到与苏宁的 " 家电大战 " ，再到今年与美团、饿了么的 " 外卖大战 " ，京东 " 低价 "" 补 贴 " 的打法一以贯之，且 未见 ...

Overall Performance - Meituan's Q1 2025 revenue reached 86.6 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1.3% [1] - EBIT for Q1 2025 was 10.6 billion yuan, surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 24.83% [1] - Adjusted net profit was approximately 10.9 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 12.6% [1] - Core local business revenue was 64.3 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1.5% [1] - New business revenue was 22.2 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1.4% [1] Core Local Business - Q1 2025 revenue for core local business was 64.3 billion yuan, exceeding expectations by 1.5% [1] - Delivery service revenue was 25.7 billion yuan, commission revenue was 24.1 billion yuan, and online marketing revenue was 11.9 billion yuan [1] - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was 13.5 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 9.5% [1] Food Delivery - The company is expanding its product line and optimizing its 30-minute delivery network [2] - "Pin Hao Fan" and "Shen Qiang Shou" are continuously updated to meet diverse consumer needs [2] - Over 480 brands have opened more than 3,000 high-quality satellite stores on Meituan [2] - The company plans to invest 100 billion yuan over the next three years to support the food service industry [2] In-store Business - Meituan's in-store business has seen a year-on-year increase of over 25% in active merchants [2] - The upgraded "Meituan Membership" system integrates various lifestyle services [2] Travel and Hospitality - The company is enhancing operational capabilities and service quality in the travel and hospitality sector [3] - The "Meituan Membership" plan encourages cross-selling and brand recognition in the travel industry [3] New Business - New business revenue grew by 19.2% year-on-year to 22.2 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1.4% [3] - Operating losses narrowed by 17.5% year-on-year to 2.3 billion yuan, with an improved loss rate of 10.2% [3] - The company's overseas business has made significant strides, particularly in Saudi Arabia [3] Investment Outlook - Short-term competition may impact profitability, but long-term core competitiveness remains strong [4] - Projected revenues for Meituan from 2025 to 2027 are 391.3 billion, 463.2 billion, and 542.6 billion yuan respectively [4] - Projected net profits (Non-IFRS) for the same period are 33.8 billion, 47 billion, and 64.4 billion yuan respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan with a target price of 172.90 HKD [6][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Meituan's performance in Q1 2025 was better than expected, driven by growth in its ecosystem and overseas expansion despite short-term impacts from delivery subsidies [12][21]. - The report projects a high single-digit growth in food delivery orders, with improvements in user engagement and supply-side offerings contributing to revenue growth [2][9]. - Instant retail is expected to see approximately 30% growth in order volume, with strong brand operations enhancing performance [3][9]. - The hotel and travel segment is forecasted to grow over 30% in transaction value, with ongoing category expansion and improved consumer recognition through membership benefits [4][9]. - New business segments, particularly community group buying, are showing signs of reduced losses, and international expansion efforts are being actively pursued [4][9]. Summary by Sections Food Delivery - Q1 2025 food delivery orders are expected to grow in the high single digits, with improved user stickiness and frequency of purchases [2]. - Revenue growth is anticipated to outpace order volume growth due to enhanced advertising monetization and effective subsidies [2]. - Meituan plans to invest 100 billion CNY over the next three years to promote high-quality development in the industry [2]. Instant Retail - Q1 2025 instant retail orders are projected to grow by about 30%, with over 500 million transaction users and a significant increase in non-food orders [3]. - The establishment of over 30,000 instant warehouses is expected to enhance order volume contributions [3]. Hotel and Travel - The hotel and travel segment is expected to see a GTV growth of over 30% in Q1 2025, with ongoing product category expansion [4]. - Revenue growth is anticipated to be lower than GTV growth due to advertising revenue impacts [4]. New Business and International Expansion - New business revenue reached 22.2 billion CNY in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 19% [4]. - Meituan's community group buying segment is expected to continue reducing losses, while international expansion plans include significant investments in markets like Brazil [4]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts a revenue of 385.2 billion CNY for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 14.1% [13]. - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected at 36.9 billion CNY, with an EPS of 6.04 CNY [10][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 142.40 [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 86.6 billion for Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 18%, which exceeded consensus expectations by 1% [2][3]. - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 10.6 billion, surpassing expectations by 23%, while adjusted net profit reached RMB 10.9 billion, exceeding expectations by 11% [2][3]. - The management indicated that while short-term subsidy competition in the domestic food delivery market may impact profits, the long-term profitability is expected to return to reasonable levels due to the company's strong operational capabilities and market position [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability Summary - Q1 2025 revenue breakdown includes core local business revenue of RMB 64.3 billion (yoy +18%) and new business revenue of RMB 22.2 billion (yoy +19%) [2]. - The company has seen a 25% year-over-year increase in active merchants for its dine-in services, and the flash purchase segment has expanded its product categories significantly [2][3]. - The company anticipates revenue for 2025 to be RMB 385.9 billion, with adjusted net profit projected at RMB 40.5 billion, reflecting a cautious adjustment due to expected subsidy competition [4][5]. Valuation and Forecast - The valuation for the company's various segments includes an 8x PE for the food delivery business, 24x PE for the dine-in business, and 40x PE for the flash purchase business, leading to a target price of HKD 142.40 [4][11][12]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of RMB 23.5 billion from the food delivery segment in 2025, with a significant reduction in the previous forecast due to competitive pressures [11][12]. - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 is RMB 40.5 billion, with a projected EPS of RMB 6.63 [5][22].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 142.40 [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 86.6 billion for Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 18%, which exceeded consensus expectations by 1% [2][3]. - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 10.6 billion, surpassing expectations by 23%, while adjusted net profit reached RMB 10.9 billion, exceeding expectations by 11% [2][3]. - The management indicated that while short-term subsidy competition in the domestic food delivery market may impact profits, the long-term profitability is expected to return to reasonable levels due to the company's strong operational capabilities and market position [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability Summary - Q1 2025 revenue breakdown includes core local business revenue of RMB 64.3 billion (yoy +18%) and new business revenue of RMB 22.2 billion (yoy +19%) [2]. - The company has seen a 25% year-over-year increase in active merchants for its dine-in services, and the flash purchase segment has expanded its product categories significantly [2][3]. - The company anticipates revenue for 2025 to be RMB 385.9 billion, with adjusted net profit projected at RMB 40.5 billion, reflecting a cautious adjustment due to competitive pressures [4][5]. Valuation and Forecast - The valuation for the company's various segments includes an 8x PE for the food delivery business, 24x PE for the dine-in business, and 40x PE for the flash purchase business, leading to a target price of HKD 142.40 [4][11][14]. - The company is expected to achieve adjusted net profits of RMB 40.5 billion in 2025, with a gradual increase in profitability anticipated in subsequent years [5][22].