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金属期权策略早报-20250826
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 01:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. Different investment strategies are recommended for each sub - sector based on their market conditions and option factors [8]. - For non - ferrous metals, a neutral volatility seller strategy is recommended for the weak - oscillating market; for black metals, a short - volatility combination strategy is suitable for the large - amplitude fluctuating market; for precious metals, a spot hedging strategy is suggested for the high - level consolidation and decline market [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts are presented, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2510) is 79,640, with a price increase of 350 and a trading volume of 8.79 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of copper options is 0.49, with a change of - 0.24 [4]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of copper is 82,000, and the support level is 75,000 [5]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of various metal options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper options is 10.86% [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Recommendations 3.3.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Based on the analysis of fundamentals, market trends, and option factors, a short - volatility seller option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: A short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy are recommended [9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: A short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy are recommended [9]. - **Nickel**: A short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered call strategy are recommended [10]. - **Tin**: A short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy are recommended [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: A short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [11]. 3.3.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: A neutral short - volatility option seller combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy are recommended [12]. 3.3.3 Black Metals - **Rebar**: A short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - covered call strategy are recommended [13]. - **Iron Ore**: A short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [13]. - **Ferroalloys**: A short - volatility strategy is recommended for manganese silicon, and no spot hedging strategy is provided [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: A short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy are recommended [14]. - **Glass**: A short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [15].
农产品期权策略早报-20250826
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 01:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The agricultural product sector includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. The market shows a mixed trend, with oil and fat - related agricultural products in a weak and volatile state, while some products like apples show a warming - up trend. Overall, the market is complex and diverse [2][7][9][11]. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product options have different price trends, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the price of soybean No. 1 (A2511) is 3,991, down 7 with a decline rate of 0.18%, and its trading volume is 8.17 million lots, a decrease of 1.78 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume - to - Open - Interest PCR - Each option variety has its own volume - to - open - interest PCR and its changes. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No. 1 is 0.47, a decrease of 0.15, and the open - interest PCR is 0.37, a decrease of 0.04 [4]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of options, each option variety has corresponding pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of soybean No. 1 is 4,500, and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties varies. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No. 1 is 11.51%, and the weighted implied volatility is 14.55%, an increase of 0.68% [6]. 3.3 Strategies and Recommendations for Different Option Varieties 3.3.1 Oil and Oilseed Options - **Soybean No. 1 and No. 2**: The US soybean good - rate remains stable. The Brazilian soybean CNF premium and import cost show certain changes. Option strategies include constructing a selling neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The domestic soybean crushing volume and开机率 change. Option strategies involve constructing a selling neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The domestic oil inventory is relatively sufficient. Option strategies include constructing a bull spread strategy for palm oil and selling option combination strategies for different situations [10]. - **Peanuts**: The price of peanut kernels drops. Option strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.3.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pigs**: The demand is average, and the slaughter volume is large. Option strategies include constructing a selling bearish call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [11]. - **Eggs**: The inventory of laying hens is expected to increase. Option strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy and a selling bearish call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Apples**: The cold - storage inventory is at a low level. Option strategies include constructing a selling neutral call + put option combination strategy [12]. - **Red Dates**: The inventory in physical warehouses decreases. Option strategies include constructing a selling neutral strangle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.3.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The domestic sugar price shows a volatile trend. Option strategies include constructing a selling bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Cotton**: The spinning and weaving factory开机率 changes, and the commercial inventory decreases. Option strategies include constructing a selling bullish call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [14]. 3.3.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: The import of corn is regularly auctioned, and the domestic corn price drops. Option strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy and a selling bearish call + put option combination strategy [14].
金融期权策略早报-20250825
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 07:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market shows a bullish upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks all performing well [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options has gradually risen to a relatively high level around the mean [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct bullish buyer strategies and call option bull spread combination strategies; for index options, it is suitable to construct bullish seller strategies, call option bull spread combination strategies, and arbitrage strategies between synthetic long options and short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Important Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,825.76, up 54.66 points or 1.45%, with a trading volume of 109.51 billion yuan and an increase of 9.73 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12,166.06, up 246.30 points or 2.07%, with a trading volume of 145.16 billion yuan and an increase of 2.53 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 2,928.61, up 66.44 points or 2.32%, with a trading volume of 18.06 billion yuan and an increase of 4.42 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,378.00, up 89.93 points or 2.10%, with a trading volume of 67.59 billion yuan and an increase of 11.74 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 6,822.85, up 118.68 points or 1.77%, with a trading volume of 44.67 billion yuan and an increase of 4.26 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,362.94, up 109.60 points or 1.51%, with a trading volume of 52.78 billion yuan and an increase of 1.13 billion yuan [4]. 3.2 Option Underlying ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 3.066, up 0.076 or 2.54%, with a trading volume of 12.6586 million shares and an increase of 12.5712 million shares, and a trading value of 3.839 billion yuan and an increase of 1.228 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.479, up 0.101 or 2.31%, with a trading volume of 13.6026 million shares and an increase of 13.5113 million shares, and a trading value of 6.031 billion yuan and an increase of 2.034 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 6.915, up 0.129 or 1.90%, with a trading volume of 8.4378 million shares and an increase of 8.4080 million shares, and a trading value of 5.803 billion yuan and an increase of 3.775 billion yuan [5]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.323, up 0.115 or 9.52%, with a trading volume of 94.1619 million shares and an increase of 93.7098 million shares, and a trading value of 11.986 billion yuan and an increase of 6.486 billion yuan [5]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.295, up 0.115 or 9.75%, with a trading volume of 26.3722 million shares and an increase of 26.2645 million shares, and a trading value of 3.282 billion yuan and an increase of 2.001 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.619, up 0.104 or 2.30%, with a trading volume of 1.8071 million shares and an increase of 1.7849 million shares, and a trading value of 0.827 billion yuan and a decrease of 0.176 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.762, up 0.050 or 1.84%, with a trading volume of 2.5524 million shares and an increase of 2.5422 million shares, and a trading value of 0.701 billion yuan and an increase of 0.0425 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.208, up 0.084 or 2.69%, with a trading volume of 0.6911 million shares and an increase of 0.6850 million shares, and a trading value of 0.0218 billion yuan and an increase of 0.0028 billion yuan [5]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 2.662, up 0.090 or 3.50%, with a trading volume of 21.6591 million shares and an increase of 21.4708 million shares, and a trading value of 5.682 billion yuan and an increase of 0.823 billion yuan [5]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR of the SSE 50 ETF is 0.64, down 0.09, and the open interest PCR is 1.20, up 0.15 [6]. - The volume PCR of the SSE 300 ETF is 0.71, down 0.01, and the open interest PCR is 1.33, up 0.11 [6]. - The volume PCR of the SSE 500 ETF is 0.77, up 0.03, and the open interest PCR is 1.50, up 0.11 [6]. - The volume PCR of the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 0.51, up 0.01, and the open interest PCR is 1.08, up 0.27 [6]. - The volume PCR of the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 0.55, up 0.12, and the open interest PCR is 1.04, up 0.18 [6]. - The volume PCR of the Shenzhen 300 ETF is 0.86, down 0.22, and the open interest PCR is 1.39, up 0.13 [6]. - The volume PCR of the Shenzhen 500 ETF is 0.69, down 0.15, and the open interest PCR is 1.13, up 0.05 [6]. - The volume PCR of the Shenzhen 100 ETF is 1.18, down 0.02, and the open interest PCR is 1.42, up 0.02 [6]. - The volume PCR of the ChiNext ETF is 0.68, unchanged, and the open interest PCR is 1.46, up 0.15 [6]. - The volume PCR of the SSE 50 index option is 0.32, up 0.01, and the open interest PCR is 0.58, up 0.01 [6]. - The volume PCR of the CSI 300 index option is 0.44, down 0.03, and the open interest PCR is 0.83, up 0.01 [6]. - The volume PCR of the CSI 1000 index option is 0.62, up 0.13, and the open interest PCR is 1.10, up 0.07 [6]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure level of the SSE 50 ETF is 3.10, and the support level is 3.00 [8]. - The pressure level of the SSE 300 ETF is 4.50, and the support level is 4.40 [8]. - The pressure level of the SSE 500 ETF is 7.00, and the support level is 6.75 [8]. - The pressure level of the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 1.30, and the support level is 1.05 [8]. - The pressure level of the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 1.30, and the support level is 1.20 [8]. - The pressure level of the Shenzhen 300 ETF is 4.60, and the support level is 4.30 [8]. - The pressure level of the Shenzhen 500 ETF is 2.80, and the support level is 2.70 [8]. - The pressure level of the Shenzhen 100 ETF is 3.30, and the support level is 2.95 [8]. - The pressure level of the ChiNext ETF is 2.60, and the support level is 2.55 [8]. - The pressure level of the SSE 50 index option is 3,200, and the support level is 2,750 [8]. - The pressure level of the CSI 300 index option is 4,700, and the support level is 4,250 [8]. - The pressure level of the CSI 1000 index option is 7,400, and the support level is 6,500 [8]. 3.5 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The at-the-money implied volatility of the SSE 50 ETF is 21.26%, the weighted implied volatility is 22.12%, up 3.59%, and the historical volatility is 13.08%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 9.03% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the SSE 300 ETF is 18.74%, the weighted implied volatility is 21.09%, up 2.59%, and the historical volatility is 13.90%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 7.19% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the SSE 500 ETF is 22.91%, the weighted implied volatility is 23.67%, up 0.62%, and the historical volatility is 15.97%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 7.70% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 50.49%, the weighted implied volatility is 52.49%, up 17.96%, and the historical volatility is 21.96%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 30.53% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF is 52.89%, the weighted implied volatility is 52.70%, up 17.95%, and the historical volatility is 23.03%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 29.67% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the Shenzhen 300 ETF is 19.16%, the weighted implied volatility is 25.75%, up 2.58%, and the historical volatility is 14.64%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 11.11% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the Shenzhen 500 ETF is 22.22%, the weighted implied volatility is 25.33%, up 0.75%, and the historical volatility is 16.02%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 9.30% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the Shenzhen 100 ETF is 23.09%, the weighted implied volatility is 33.96%, up 3.77%, and the historical volatility is 18.19%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 15.77% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the ChiNext ETF is 33.63%, the weighted implied volatility is 35.42%, up 1.35%, and the historical volatility is 21.44%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 13.98% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the SSE 50 index option is 21.36%, the weighted implied volatility is 20.98%, up 1.46%, and the historical volatility is 14.41%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 6.57% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the CSI 300 index option is 20.28%, the weighted implied volatility is 19.75%, up 0.39%, and the historical volatility is 13.93%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 5.82% [11]. - The at-the-money implied volatility of the CSI 1000 index option is 26.94%, the weighted implied volatility is 27.24%, down 0.88%, and the historical volatility is 17.95%, with an implied - historical volatility difference of 9.29% [11]. 3.6 Strategy and Recommendations - **Financial Stocks Sector (SSE 50 ETF, SSE 50)**: The SSE 50 ETF has shown a bullish upward trend since July, with the implied volatility rising to above the mean, and the open interest PCR at 1.20 indicating a strong market. The pressure level is 3.10, and the support level is 3.00. Recommended strategies include constructing a call option bull spread combination strategy and a short - biased bullish combination strategy [14]. - **Large - and Medium - Cap Stocks Sector (Shenzhen 100 ETF)**: The Shenzhen 100 ETF has shown a bullish upward trend since late June, with the implied volatility rising to around the mean, and the open interest PCR above 1.00 indicating a strong market. The pressure level is 3.30, and the support level is 2.95. Recommended strategies include constructing a call option bull spread combination strategy and a short - volatility strategy [15]. - **Small - and Medium - Cap Stocks Sector (SSE 500 ETF, Shenzhen 500 ETF, CSI 1000)**: The SSE 500 ETF has shown a bullish upward trend since June, with the implied volatility rising slightly around the mean, and the open interest PCR above 1.00 indicating a bullish market. The pressure level of the SSE 500 ETF is 7.00, and the support level is 6.75. The CSI 1000 index has maintained a bullish upward trend for more than two months, with the implied volatility rising to a relatively high level, and the open interest PCR above 1.00 indicating a bullish market. Recommended strategies include constructing call option bull spread combination strategies and short - volatility strategies [15][16]. - **ChiNext Sector (ChiNext ETF, Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF)**: The ChiNext ETF has shown a bullish upward trend for four months, with the implied volatility rising significantly above the mean, and the open interest PCR above 1.10 indicating a bullish market. The pressure level is 2.60, and the support level is 2.55. Recommended strategies include constructing call option bull spread combination strategies [16].
能源化工期权策略早报-20250825
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 07:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For each selected option variety, the report provides strategies including building option combination strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3][9] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different energy - chemical option underlying futures have various price changes, volume, and open - interest changes. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2510) is 493, with a rise of 2 and a 0.39% increase; its trading volume is 10.99 million lots (a decrease of 0.64 million lots), and the open interest is 3.73 million lots (an increase of 0.09 million lots) [4] 3.2 Option Factor - Volume and Open - Interest PCR - PCR indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For instance, the volume PCR of crude oil is 0.63 (a decrease of 0.01), and the open - interest PCR is 0.70 (an increase of 0.05) [5] 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open - interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of option underlyings are determined. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 600, and the support level is 415 [6] 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of options is analyzed, including at - the - money implied volatility and volume - weighted implied volatility. For example, the weighted implied volatility of crude oil is 27.66% (a decrease of 0.15%) [7] 3.5 Strategy and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - Class Options (Crude Oil) - Fundamental analysis: OPEC+ will increase oil supply by 550,000 barrels per day in September, and Russia will cut production. The market shows a short - term upward - blocked and downward - adjusted trend. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open - interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak - oscillating market, and the pressure and support levels are 600 and 415 respectively. - Strategy suggestions: Build a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy; for spot long - position hedging, build a long - collar strategy [8] 3.5.2 Other Option Varieties - Similar analysis and strategy suggestions are provided for other option varieties such as LPG, methanol, ethylene glycol, polypropylene, rubber, PTA, caustic soda, soda ash, and urea, including fundamental analysis, option factor research, and corresponding option strategies [10][11][12][13][14][15]
金属期权策略早报-20250825
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:43
Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a metal options strategy morning report dated August 25, 2025, covering有色金属, precious metals, and black metals [1][2] - The overall strategy suggestions are to construct a seller neutral volatility strategy for non - ferrous metals in a weak shock, a short - volatility combination strategy for black metals with large fluctuations, and a spot hedging strategy for precious metals in a high - level consolidation [2] Group 2: Market Overview Futures Market - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts are presented. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2510) is 79,120, up 420 (0.53%); the latest price of aluminum (AL2510) is 20,755, up 85 (0.41%) [3] Option Factors - **Volume and Open Interest PCR**: These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For example, the volume PCR of copper is 0.73, down 0.04; the open interest PCR is 0.85, down 0.02 [4] - **Pressure and Support Levels**: Determined from the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of copper is 80,000 and the support point is 78,000 [5] - **Implied Volatility**: It includes at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, etc. For example, the weighted implied volatility of copper is 15.17%, up 0.50% [6] Group 3: Strategy Suggestions for Different Metals Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The fundamental situation shows that the inventory of the three major exchanges decreased by 0.04 million tons. The option strategy suggests constructing a short - volatility seller option combination strategy and a spot long - position hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina**: The domestic aluminum ingot social inventory increased by 0.8 million tons last week. The option strategy includes constructing a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc/Lead**: Zinc concentrate port and factory inventories are given. The option strategy is to construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel**: The spot market shows that traders have a strong willingness to hold prices. The option strategy includes constructing a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered call strategy [10] - **Tin**: The terminal demand increased slightly, and the inventory decreased significantly. The option strategy is to construct a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The domestic weekly inventory decreased by 0.5%. The option strategy includes constructing a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - position hedging strategy [11] Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Powell's speech indicates the start of a new interest - rate cut cycle. The option strategy for gold is to construct a neutral short - volatility option seller combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12] Black Metals - **Rebar**: The social and factory inventories of rebar increased. The option strategy includes constructing a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - position covered call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore**: The inventory of imported iron ore in 47 ports increased. The option strategy is to construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - position collar strategy [13] - **Ferroalloys**: For manganese silicon, the production increased and the inventory decreased. The option strategy is to construct a short - volatility strategy [14] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: The industrial silicon inventory remained high. The option strategy includes constructing a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [14] - **Glass**: The total inventory of float glass enterprises increased. The option strategy is to construct a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - position collar strategy [15] Group 4: Charts - There are price trend charts, option trading volume and open interest charts, option factor charts (such as PCR, implied volatility) for various metals, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. These charts visually present the market conditions and option factors of each metal [18][20][26]
隐波上升,情绪持续升温
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:43
金融期权周报 I 2025/08/18—2025/08/22 隐波上升,情绪持续升温 本周摘要 路智名 从业资格证号:F03124116 金融期权方面,50ETF 期权本周日均成交量为 190.67 万 张,较前周上升 20.55%,其中认沽期权成交量低于认购期权, 认沽-认购成交比为 0.64,相对前周有所下降,低于历史均值水 平。上周认沽认购持仓比为 1.19,较前周上升,高于历史均值。 华泰柏瑞 300ETF 期权日均成交 186.24 万张,日均持仓量 151.78 万张;南方中证 500ETF 期权日均成交 238.46 万张,日 均持仓量 150.08 万张;华夏上证科创 50ETF 期权日均成交 217.47 万张,日均持仓量 208.11 万张;深证 100ETF 期权日均 成交 18.99 万张,日均持仓量 16.4 万张;创业板 ETF 期权日均 成交 290.74 万张,日均持仓量 192.49 万张;沪深 300 股指期权 日均成交 13.46 万手,日均持仓量 16.2 万手;中证 1000 股指期 权日均成交 31.7 万手,日均持仓 25.3 万手。 波动率方面,截止本周五收盘, ...
3.4 万张 BTC 期权和 22 万张 ETH 期权到期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 07:52
吴说获悉,据 Greekslive,3.4 万张 BTC 期权到期,Put Call Ratio 为 1.3,最大痛点 118000 美元,名义 价值 38.2 亿美元。22 万张 ETH 期权到期,Put Call Ratio 为 0.82,最大痛点 4250 美元,名义价值 9.5 亿美元。本周有近 50 亿美元的期权交割,占到当前总持仓的 8%。从主要的期权数据看,隐含波动率 方面均有明显反弹,BTC 的中短期限 IV 全面回升至 35% 以上,ETH 的主要期限 IV 未持证 70%,短期 IV 突破了 80%。 来源:市场资讯 (来源:吴说) ...
波动率数据日报-20250822
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 06:43
Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Its Calculation - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. The implied volatility index of commodity options is obtained by weighting the IV of the two strike - prices above and below the at - the - money option of the front - month contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the front - month contract [2] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means higher IV relative to HV, and a smaller difference means lower IV relative to HV [2] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Difference Graph - The document presents graphs showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences for various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as soybeans, corn, sugar, cotton, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. The volatility spread is calculated as the IV index minus the historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings are provided for different options, such as 50ETF with a quantile of 0.79, 300 - stock index with 0.80, iron ore with 0.37, PVC with 0.46, etc [5][7]
商品期权数据日报-20250822
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 05:48
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents data on commodity options, including historical volatility, implied volatility, and provides strategy recommendations for different commodities based on their current volatility levels [3][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Commodity Historical Volatility - Various commodities' historical volatility data (HV20, HV40, HV60, HV120) and daily price changes are presented, such as for沪铝 (20590, 49%, 10.13%, 6%, 8%, 9%, 11%),沪铜 (78540, -0.05%, 6.52%, 7%, 10%, 9%, 16%), etc. [3] Commodity Implied Volatility - Data on implied volatility, including主力平值IV and主力平值IV分位值, are provided for different commodities like氧化铝 (62%, 20%, 55%),二烯橡胶 (41%, 88%), etc. [5] Strategy Recommendations - For碳酸锂, recommend selling a wide - straddle (卖出LC2509C80000 + 卖HLC2509P75000) on 2025.7.24 as its volatility is relatively high [9]. - For铁矿石,豆油, and菜油, recommend buying wide - straddles on 2025.6.3 as their volatilities are relatively low. For example, for铁矿石, buy 头入I2509C690 + 头入12509P700 [9].
农产品期权策略早报-20250822
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 01:50
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an early morning strategy report on agricultural product options dated August 22, 2025 [1] - The report analyzes the futures market conditions of various agricultural product options, including soybean, soybean meal, palm oil, etc [3] - It provides options strategies and suggestions for different agricultural product sectors, such as oilseeds and oils, livestock and poultry products, and soft commodities [7][11][13] Group 2: Market Conditions Futures Market - Most agricultural product futures showed fluctuations, with some rising and some falling. For example, palm oil rose 0.50%, while egg fell 2.21% [3] - The trading volume and open interest of different futures contracts also changed, with some increasing and some decreasing [3] Options Factors - The PCR indicators of options, including volume PCR and open interest PCR, were used to describe the strength and turning points of the underlying market [4] - The pressure and support levels of the underlying assets were analyzed from the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5] - The implied volatility of options was also studied, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, etc [6] Group 3: Sector - Specific Analysis Oilseeds and Oils - **Soybean**: The USDA adjusted the planting area and yield of US soybeans, affecting the market. The option implied volatility remained high, and the underlying market was weakly volatile. Strategies included selling a neutral call + put option combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The purchase volume of soybean meal showed a certain pattern. The market showed a weak consolidation and then a rebound. Options strategies included selling a neutral call + put option combination and a long collar strategy [9] - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The USDA report and the inventory situation affected the market. Palm oil showed a bullish trend. Strategies included a bullish call spread, selling a bullish call + put option combination, and a long collar strategy [10] - **Peanut**: The spot price and inventory situation affected the market. The market was weakly consolidated. Strategies included a bearish put spread and a long collar strategy [11] Livestock and Poultry Products - **Pig**: The supply and demand situation affected the market. The market was weakly consolidated. Strategies included selling a bearish call + put option combination and a long - call writing strategy for spot hedging [11] - **Egg**: The inventory of laying hens affected the market. The market was bearish. Strategies included a bearish put spread, selling a bearish call + put option combination [12] - **Apple**: The cold - storage inventory affected the market. The market showed a warming - up trend. Strategies included selling a neutral call + put option combination [12] - **Jujube**: The inventory and market trading atmosphere affected the market. The market was bullish. Strategies included a bullish call spread, selling a bullish strangle option combination, and a long - call writing strategy for spot hedging [13] Soft Commodities - **Sugar**: The sugar - cane crushing and production data in Brazil affected the market. The market was bearish. Strategies included selling a bearish call + put option combination and a long collar strategy [13] - **Cotton**: The spinning and weaving factory operating rates and inventory affected the market. The market was weakly bullish. Strategies included selling a bullish call + put option combination and a long - call writing strategy for spot hedging [14] Grains - **Corn and Starch**: The USDA report on corn affected the market. The market was bearish. Strategies included a bearish put spread and selling a bearish call + put option combination [14]