1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The industrial silicon market maintains a pattern of strong supply and weak demand, with the short - term expected to trade in the range of 8,300 - 9,000 yuan/ton. Continued attention should be paid to macro - sentiment fluctuations and supply - side start - up conditions [3]. - The polysilicon market is in a state of high - level range - bound trading due to the game between policy - favorable expectations and weak fundamentals. Continued attention should be paid to the implementation of industrial policies and macro - sentiment [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1产业链价格回顾 - **Industrial Silicon Futures and Spot Prices**: On October 10, 2025, the closing price of the industrial silicon futures main contract was 8,685 yuan/ton, up 0.52% from September 30. Most spot prices remained unchanged, with only the price of the oxygen - free 553 at Tianjin Port down 0.53% [12]. - **Polysilicon Futures and Spot Prices**: The closing price of the polysilicon futures main contract on October 10, 2025, was 48,965 yuan/ton, down 4.66% from September 30. Spot prices of various polysilicon types remained unchanged [12]. - **Silicon Wafer, Battery Cell, and Component Prices**: Prices of silicon wafers, battery cells, and components were generally stable, with only minor price changes in some products [12]. - **Organic Silicon and Aluminum Alloy Prices**: As of October 10, the average DMC price was 11,050 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period; the 107 - rubber average price was 11,500 yuan/ton, up 3.14% from the previous period; the silicone oil average price was 12,850 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The ADC12 average price was 21,100 yuan/ton, up 0.96% from the previous period; the A356 average price was 21,450 yuan/ton, up 1.42% from the previous period [12]. 3.2开炉增加，供给持续增量 - **Cost and Profit of Industrial Silicon**: Driven by anti - involution sentiment and increased demand, the prices of silicon coal, petroleum coke, and electrodes have rebounded. The power cost in the southwest production area will gradually increase as it transitions from the wet season to the dry season [3]. - **Supply of Industrial Silicon**: In October, Sichuan and Yunnan are transitioning to the dry season, leading to increased costs and production cuts by some enterprises. In contrast, small factories in Gansu and Ningxia have completed raw material stockpiling, and the start - up rate in Xinjiang has increased. Overall, the start - up rate has increased [3]. - **Demand for Industrial Silicon**: The production of polysilicon in October may still have a slight increase, increasing the demand for industrial silicon. However, some organic silicon enterprises have maintenance plans, and the start - up rate has declined. Overall, the demand for industrial silicon remains weak [3]. - **Inventory of Industrial Silicon**: The futures warehouse receipts have fluctuated slightly. After the holiday, downstream enterprises have successively inquired, but some manufacturers' orders have not been delivered, and factory inventories have accumulated [3]. 3.3光伏产业运行平稳，关注终端需求 - **Polysilicon**: In September, the polysilicon output was 130,000 tons, basically the same as in August. The cumulative output from January to September was 941,600 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 33%. It is expected that the output in October will maintain an incremental trend, with a month - on - month increase of about 3,000 - 5,000 tons. As of October 9, the total polysilicon inventory was 240,000 tons, and the silicon wafer inventory was 16.78 GW. As of October 10, the registered polysilicon warehouse receipts were 8,140 lots [3]. - **Silicon Wafer**: The market was sluggish during the holiday, with little market trading [80]. - **Battery Cell**: The price was stable [87]. - **Component**: The component installation did not meet expectations, and the price was under pressure. The lifting of the component export tax - refund policy is still undetermined. If the policy is implemented, it may stimulate component export demand in the next few months. The pre - implementation inventory rush of India's "double - anti" policy will also support exports to some extent. Domestically, the front - loaded installation in the first half of the year has overdrawn some demand in the second half, resulting in a decrease in domestic tender and bidding projects, lower - than - expected centralized installation, and a decline in distributed trading volume. The component segment is under great pressure, and there is no obvious restocking action for upstream demand [3]. 3.4支撑有限，有机硅价格大稳小动 - **Start - up Rate**: In September, the start - up rate of China's DMC was 71.25%, a month - on - month decrease of 4.38 percentage points. The DMC output was 210,200 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 12,900 tons. Recently, a monomer factory has a maintenance plan, and the start - up rate may decline slightly [108]. - **Price**: As of October 10, the average DMC price was 11,050 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period; the 107 - rubber average price was 11,500 yuan/ton, up 3.14% from the previous period; the silicone oil average price was 12,850 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. Due to factory maintenance, the supply has tightened periodically, and the price has increased [114]. 3.5铝合金开工回升 - **Start - up Rate**: In the week of October 9, the start - up rate of primary aluminum alloy was 58%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.4 percentage points; the start - up rate of recycled aluminum alloy was 58.9%, a month - on - month increase of 2.3 percentage points [122]. - **Price**: As of October 10, the average ADC12 price was 21,100 yuan/ton, up 0.96% from the previous period; the average A356 price was 21,450 yuan/ton, up 1.42% from the previous period [125]. 3.6库存维持高位 - **Industrial Silicon Inventory**: As of October 9, the social inventory of industrial silicon (social inventory + delivery warehouse) was 545,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 2,000 tons; the total factory inventory in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan was 167,900 tons, a month - on - month increase of 54,000 tons. As of October 10, the exchange - registered warehouse receipts were 50,281 lots, equivalent to 251,400 tons of spot [139]. - **Polysilicon Inventory**: As of October 9, the total polysilicon inventory was 240,000 tons, an increase of 14,000 tons [74].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent performance of JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd., which saw a stock price increase of 5.12%, reaching 14.57 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.139 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.44%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 48.222 billion CNY [1] - JA Solar's main business includes the research, production, and sales of silicon wafers, solar cells, and solar modules, as well as the development, construction, and operation of solar photovoltaic power plants. The revenue composition is as follows: photovoltaic modules 91.10%, others 5.85%, and photovoltaic power plant operation 3.05% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, data shows that one fund under Harvest Fund has a significant position in JA Solar. The Harvest CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index Fund A (014604) increased its holdings by 54,600 shares in the second quarter, bringing the total to 660,200 shares, which accounts for 2.2% of the fund's net value, ranking it as the ninth largest holding [2] - The Harvest CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index Fund A (014604) was established on January 25, 2022, with a latest scale of 633.28 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 23.84%, ranking 2057 out of 4220 in its category; the one-year return is 19.05%, ranking 2330 out of 3857; since inception, it has a loss of 31.38% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of the Harvest CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index Fund A (014604) is Li Zhi, who has been in the position for 7 years and 296 days. The total asset size of the fund is 18.361 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 82.96% and the worst being -50.62% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic ETF (159857) has shown significant market activity, with a notable increase in trading volume and price appreciation among key component stocks, indicating a positive sentiment in the solar energy sector [1][3]. Market Performance - As of October 14, 2025, the photovoltaic ETF (159857) experienced a price increase of over 6%, currently up by 1.66%, with a trading volume of 346 million yuan and a turnover rate of 13.81% [1]. - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 13.5584 million yuan over the last four trading days, with three days of positive net inflow [3]. Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a significant recovery in prices across various segments, with average price increases of 35% for polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules in Q3 2025 [3]. - The overall inventory in the industry has improved, decreasing from 45 days at the end of Q2 to 28 days, alleviating supply-demand tensions [4]. Company Performance - Leading companies in the photovoltaic sector are showing signs of profitability recovery, with Longi Green Energy indicating a turnaround in its main business for Q4, and Aiko Solar achieving profitability in Q2, resulting in a 52% increase in stock price [5]. - Key raw material suppliers, such as Tongwei and GCL-Poly, are also experiencing narrowing losses due to rising polysilicon prices, with expectations for a comprehensive profitability recovery in Q4 2025 [6]. Technological Advancements - The industry is undergoing a supply-side optimization, with a significant reduction in outdated production capacity, particularly in older PERC production lines, while N-type technology (TOPCon, HJT) is rapidly increasing its market share to over 70% [6]. - The acceleration of technological iterations is enhancing the overall profitability of the industry [6]. Regulatory Environment - Recent announcements from the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation emphasize the need to maintain a healthy market price order, indicating ongoing upward price pressures in the photovoltaic industry [6].

Group 1 - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing strong performance, with leading companies such as Trina Solar, JA Solar, Longi Green Energy, and Tongwei Co. seeing significant stock price increases of over 9%, 9%, 8%, and 7% respectively [1] - As of the midday close, the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index rose by 2.6%, while the CSI New Energy Index, the Shanghai Environment Exchange Carbon Neutrality Index, and the National New Energy Battery Index saw declines of 0.1%, 0.5%, and 0.7% respectively [1][5] - Wind data indicates that the photovoltaic ETF E Fund (562970) has experienced a net inflow of approximately 25 million yuan over the first two trading days [1]

Group 1 - A-shares indices collectively rebounded on October 14, with the photovoltaic sector showing active performance [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rose by 0.13% with a trading volume exceeding 54 million yuan, and constituent stocks such as Maiwei Co., YK Medical, and Sanhuan Group increased by over 7% [1] - The Photovoltaic ETF (159857) increased by 5.12% with a trading volume exceeding 180 million yuan, featuring significant gains from stocks like Trina Solar (over 12% increase), LONGi Green Energy (limit up), and JA Solar [1] Group 2 - Chinese photovoltaic companies have recently performed impressively in overseas markets, securing multiple GW-level major orders in areas such as total contracting for photovoltaic power stations, component production base construction, and component procurement [2] - From September to now, major companies have signed nearly 25 GW of overseas large orders [2] - It is expected that China's new photovoltaic installed capacity will maintain rapid growth throughout the year, supported by stable product prices and corporate profitability, alongside growing overseas market demand and the gradual application of new technologies like perovskite [2]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing significant stock price increases, with leading companies like Longi Green Energy and TCL Zhonghuan seeing substantial gains, while related ETFs also show strong performance [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Longi Green Energy reached the daily limit increase, while TCL Zhonghuan rose over 9%, and both JinkoSolar and JA Solar increased by more than 7% [1]. - Photovoltaic-related ETFs saw an approximate 5% rise [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - In 2024, the photovoltaic industry is expected to experience a dual scenario of growth and decline, with significant increases in production capacity and output, but a decrease in overall industry scale due to falling product prices [2]. - The global photovoltaic industry scale is projected to be $273.08 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.5% [2]. - The global newly installed photovoltaic capacity is expected to reach 451.9 GW in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.8%, with China contributing 277.6 GW, the largest share globally [2]. - The industry is anticipated to benefit from increasing energy demand, decreasing manufacturing costs, and continuous technological advancements, leading to improved efficiency in photovoltaic cells and components [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the photovoltaic industry chain has reached a price and profit bottom, with significant effects from the "anti-involution" initiative, leading to an expansion of participants and recovery in product prices [1] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to achieve supply-side improvements through a combination of top-level support, market-driven elimination, and technological iteration, with policies related to capacity and product quality expected to be implemented [1] - As of October 13, 2025, the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) has decreased by 2.17%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) include Yangguang Electric (300274), Longi Green Energy (601012), and TBEA (600089), collectively accounting for 58.02% of the index [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Macroeconomically, there is a risk of tariff escalation between China and the US, and global market risk - aversion drags down the sentiment of the domestic industrial products market. However, China's economic long - term trend of steady improvement remains unchanged, with the 9 - month manufacturing PMI approaching the boom - bust line, a significant rebound in industrial enterprise profit growth, and continuous support from expansionary fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies. The photovoltaic supply - side reform will be further deepened [3][49]. - On the supply side, the operating rate in Xinjiang has steadily risen to 70%, the output in Sichuan and Yunnan during the wet season is higher than the same period in previous years, and the new capacity investment in Gansu and Inner Mongolia has slowed down. The supply side shows a steady recovery, and social inventory fluctuates at a high level [3][49]. - On the demand side, polysilicon production is increasing, and the production plan for October is still rising month - on - month. Silicon wafer manufacturers' production plans are waiting for the implementation of the component export tax - rebate policy. Battery prices are rising, but new orders are shrinking. Component price increases are stagnant due to the slowdown in photovoltaic installations. Some leading enterprises have pre - arranged for the recycling of retired crystalline silicon components. In traditional industries, the operating rate of silicone has declined due to the incomplete recovery of terminal demand, and the aluminum alloy output has slightly increased due to the rebound in processing fees. Overall, the supply - demand structure of industrial silicon will reach a new balance in October, and the futures price is expected to remain stable and fluctuate [3][49]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2025 September Industrial Silicon Market Review - **Industrial silicon futures price fluctuated within a range**: In September 2025, the main 2511 contract of industrial silicon futures fluctuated between 8215 - 9325 yuan/ton, with the price center remaining flat compared to the previous month. The improvement in industrial enterprise profit growth, the implementation of anti - involution policies, and the improvement in the production profit of photovoltaic upstream and mid - stream enterprises supported the price, but the decline in polysilicon prices dragged down market sentiment. By the end of September, the national furnace - opening number increased to 311, with a month - on - month increase of 23. From the demand side, polysilicon enterprises' production cuts were less than expected, silicon wafer price support was limited, photovoltaic battery supply - demand was in a tight balance, and component price increases were stagnant. As of September 30, the main 2511 contract closed at 8640 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 2.98% [8]. - **The spot market fluctuated**: In September, the average production cost of industrial silicon was 9095.49 yuan/ton, remaining flat month - on - month. The social inventory was high, and the traditional industries' demand was weak. The anti - involution policy was expected to suppress the medium - term demand for industrial silicon. By the end of September, the prices of mainstream grades such as 553, 441, 421, and 3303 showed different degrees of increase. It is expected that in October, the prices of domestic mainstream grades will mainly fluctuate upwards [9][10][12]. Macroeconomic Analysis - In September, the central bank emphasized moderately loose monetary policy, strengthened counter - cyclical adjustment, and created a suitable monetary and financial environment for economic recovery. The RMB exchange rate was basically stable, and the financial market operated smoothly. China's September official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, and the industrial enterprise profit in August increased by 20.4% year - on - year. The equipment manufacturing industry played a significant role in driving profit growth, and some traditional industries turned losses into profits. China's economic long - term trend of steady improvement remained unchanged [14][16]. Fundamental Analysis - **Northern production slowly recovered, and the capacity in Sichuan and Yunnan was strongly released during the wet season**: In September, the operating rate of silicon enterprises in Xinjiang rose to about 70%, and the capacity in the southwest was strongly released due to the decline in electricity prices during the wet season. The new production increments in Inner Mongolia and Gansu were limited. The national industrial silicon output in September was 42.1 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 7.3%. As of September 26, the national furnace - opening rate rose to 39.1%. Overall, the supply side was relatively loose [18][19][20]. - **Exports maintained stable growth in August**: From January to August, the cumulative export volume of industrial silicon was 49.1 tons, with a year - on - year increase of 18%. The export volume in August was 7.66 tons, with a year - on - year increase of 18%. The export destinations were mainly in Southeast Asia. It is expected that the export volume in October will recover to about 8 tons [24]. - **The social inventory fluctuated at a high level in September**: As of September 30, the national industrial silicon social inventory rose to 54.5 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 0.4 tons. The warehouse receipt inventory at the Guangzhou Futures Exchange continued to rise. It is expected that the social inventory will slightly increase in October [29]. - **Polysilicon production cuts were less than expected, and silicon enterprises' production profit turned losses into profits**: In September, the polysilicon output was 12.5 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 16.7%. The cumulative output from January to September was 81.13 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 33.2%. The ex - factory price of polysilicon dense material was 51 yuan/kg. In October, the production is expected to increase by 0.3 tons month - on - month. For silicon wafers, the production plan is waiting for the component export tax - rebate policy. For batteries, the price increased, but new orders decreased. For components, the price increase was limited. The recycling of retired photovoltaic components has broad prospects [32]. - **The operating rate of silicone declined, and the DMC spot price slightly increased**: In September, the output of silicone DMC was 20.88 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.9%. The average operating rate of silicone monomer enterprises dropped to 72.84%. The DMC spot price rose to 11050 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 13.3%. It is expected that the DMC price will slightly increase in October [35]. - **The aluminum alloy output slightly increased, and the aluminum rod processing fee stabilized and rebounded**: From January to August, the aluminum alloy output was 1232.4 tons, with a year - on - year increase of 15.3%. The output in August was 163.5 tons, with a year - on - year increase of 15.2%. The average processing fee of 6063 aluminum rods in August was 206 yuan/ton. It is expected that the aluminum alloy output will slightly decline in October [36]. Market Outlook - Macroeconomically, China's economic long - term trend of steady improvement remains unchanged. On the supply side, the supply is steadily recovering, and social inventory fluctuates at a high level. On the demand side, the demand structure is being adjusted, and the overall supply - demand will reach a new balance. It is expected that the industrial silicon futures price will remain stable and fluctuate in October, and attention should be paid to the implementation of anti - involution policies [49][51].

Core Viewpoint - Delixi Co., Ltd. is undergoing a potential change in control, as notified by its controlling shareholder, Shi Weidong, with the specifics of the transaction still under negotiation and subject to formal agreements [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Delixi Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and went public in 2011, specializing in the research and manufacturing of various glass products, becoming a leading glassware manufacturer in China and ranking third globally in production capacity [1] - The company ventured into the photovoltaic glass market in November 2020 by establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary, Delixi Solar Energy, and signed a five-year procurement agreement with Longi Green Energy for at least 250 million square meters of photovoltaic glass from 2022 to 2026, with a total contract value of approximately 5.531 billion RMB (excluding tax) [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Following its entry into the photovoltaic sector, Delixi Co., Ltd. has experienced continuous losses, with a net profit loss of over 31 million RMB in 2020, escalating to a loss of 120 million RMB in 2024, and an additional loss of over 45 million RMB in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company's asset-liability ratio surged from 24% in 2019 to 68% in 2024, indicating increasing financial strain, with cash on hand insufficient to cover short-term interest-bearing debts [2] Group 3: Recent Developments - In 2025, Delixi Co., Ltd. has been selling assets to recover funds, including the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Delixi Mining, for a total price of 135 million RMB, with the transaction amount already received as of September 23 [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the market capitalization of Delixi Co., Ltd. was 3.261 billion RMB [5]

Core Viewpoint - Delixi Co., Ltd. is undergoing a potential change in control, as announced by its major shareholder and actual controller, Shi Weidong, on October 8. The specific transaction plan and agreement terms are still under further verification and negotiation [1]. Company Overview - Delixi Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 by Shi Weidong and is headquartered in Fengyang, Anhui. The company specializes in the research and manufacturing of various glass products, including household glass, solar glass, packaging glass, optical glass, heat-resistant appliance glass, and crystal glass. It is recognized as the leading manufacturer of glassware in China and the largest household glass factory in the Asia-Pacific region [4]. Financial Performance - The company has faced continuous losses, with net profits attributable to the parent company reported as follows: a loss of 110 million yuan in 2022, 85.5094 million yuan in 2023, and 173 million yuan in 2024. In the first half of 2025, the net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 45.3166 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 490.74% [4]. Business Challenges - Delixi Co., Ltd. established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Delixi Solar, in 2020 to enter the promising photovoltaic glass materials sector. In 2021, it signed a five-year procurement agreement for photovoltaic glass with Longi Green Energy. However, the company reported that both photovoltaic glass and daily-use glass faced pressures from insufficient capacity digestion and weak market demand due to global political and economic conditions [5]. - The company experienced significant losses due to fluctuating prices of key raw materials such as sodium antimonate and soda ash, as well as international shipping costs. The decline in photovoltaic glass prices further exacerbated the financial difficulties [5]. - In the 2025 semi-annual report, Delixi Co., Ltd. noted that its subsidiary, Bengbu Solar, achieved production quality comparable to industry leaders. However, the overall downward trend in the photovoltaic industry led to supply-demand imbalances and price declines, impacting profitability. To mitigate cash flow losses, the subsidiary temporarily halted production, affecting the company's overall profitability [6]. - The domestic trade of daily-use glass remained stable, but external trade faced challenges due to fluctuations in shipping costs. The entire industry continues to experience low profitability, with high inventory pressures not yet alleviated, compounded by the effects of international political and economic conditions [6].