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市场不确定性情绪加剧,黄金突破3380关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 03:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent weakness in the U.S. labor market and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are driving gold prices higher, with gold trading around $3380.94 per ounce, reflecting a 0.36% increase [2][4][5] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data released for July shows signs of labor market weakness, leading to increased bets on the Fed's potential rate cuts, which typically support gold prices by lowering real interest rates [2][4][5] - Market sentiment is further bolstered by ongoing geopolitical tensions, which contribute to a persistent demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][4][6] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs maintains its forecast for the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, October, and December, with potential for further cuts in 2026, depending on inflation and labor market data [5][6] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 93.6% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September, reflecting heightened market expectations for monetary easing [4][5] - Analysts suggest that if the Fed follows through with rate cuts, it could provide upward momentum for gold prices, especially given the current high levels [6][7] Group 3 - The ongoing global central bank purchases of gold are expected to support gold prices, making them less likely to decline significantly [7] - Investment strategies such as dollar-cost averaging into gold ETFs are recommended for investors looking to hedge against economic downturns and inflation [7]
【黄金期货收评】美联储降息预期支撑金市 沪金日内下跌0.08%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-06 09:02
【黄金期货最新行情】 | 8月6日 | 收盘价(元/克) | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 持仓量(手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 783.68 | -0.08% | 191341 | 215212 | 美国7月ISM非制造业指数由前值50.8降至50.1,不及预期的51.5。新订单几乎接近停滞,就业萎缩,价 格指数则创2022年10月新高。另外,美国7月标普全球服务业PMI终值55.7,创2024年12月以来最高。 美国总统特朗普再次批评鲍威尔降息太迟,称可能很快宣布美联储新任主席。他已将潜在的未来美联储 主席范围缩小到四名候选人,包括前美联储理事凯文·沃什、白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈西特,但 不包括美国财长贝森特。特朗普还宣布,将在未来24小时内"大幅"提高对印度的关税,并将在一周内宣 布药品和芯片关税,其中药品关税最终可能高达250%。 【机构观点】 【基本面消息】 数据显示,8月6日上海黄金现货价格报价780.45元/克,相较于期货主力价格(783.68元/克)贴水3.23 元/克。 美国6月商品和服务贸易逆差环比大幅收缩16%至60 ...
金价再上涨!2025年8月5日各大金店黄金价格多少钱一克?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-05 07:22
| | 今日金店黄金回收价格一览(2025年8月5日) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回收报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | | 黄金 | 770.40 | 元/克 | | 菜百黄金 | 775.90 | 元/克 | | 周生生黄金 | 768.20 | 元/克 | | 周大福黄金 | 774.50 | 元/克 | | 老凤祥黄金 | 783.40 | 元/克 | 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格: | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2025年8月5日) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 1013 | 元/克 | 6 | 涨 | | 六福黄金价格 | 1015 | 元/克 | 7 | 涨 | | 周大福黄金价格 | 1015 | 元/克 | 7 | 涨 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 988 | 元/克 | 0 | 平 | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 1015 | 元/克 | 7 | 涨 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 1015 | 元/克 | 5 | 涨 | | 潮宏基黄 ...
金价,又大涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 07:08
Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices is driven by multiple factors, including weak U.S. employment data, internal policy disagreements within the Federal Reserve, and heightened geopolitical and trade risks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of August 5, spot gold reached $3,380.77 per ounce, continuing an upward trend over several trading days [1]. - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased significantly, with London gold and COMEX gold showing annual gains of 28.14% and 29.34%, respectively [1]. - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are attributed to a cooling market, with volatility and turnover rates decreasing since April [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July showed only 73,000 new jobs added, significantly below the expected 110,000, indicating a cooling labor market [2]. - The Federal Reserve's internal policy disagreements have intensified, with some members advocating for immediate rate cuts, breaking a long-standing tradition of unanimous votes [2]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Trade Risks - The Trump administration's recent imposition of tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on multiple countries has increased global trade uncertainty [2]. - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have further heightened market demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2]. Group 4: Institutional Perspectives - Citigroup has revised its gold price forecast, raising the target price for the next three months from $3,300 to $3,500 per ounce, reflecting a shift in outlook due to worsening economic conditions and inflation concerns [2]. - The World Gold Council reported a 3% year-on-year increase in global gold demand in Q2 2025, driven by strong investment demand, despite a slowdown in central bank purchases [8]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - Central bank gold purchases continue to provide a support base for gold prices, with 95% of surveyed central banks expecting to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months [8]. - The People's Bank of China reported a gold reserve of 73.9 million ounces (approximately 2,298.55 tons) as of June 2025, marking a continuous increase over the past eight months [8].
金价,又狂飙!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 06:05
Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices is driven by multiple factors, including weak employment data, internal policy disagreements within the Federal Reserve, and heightened geopolitical risks, leading to increased market demand for safe-haven assets [2][8]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of August 5, the spot gold price reached $3,380.77 per ounce, continuing an upward trend over several trading days [1]. - Year-to-date, the London gold and COMEX gold prices have increased by 28.14% and 29.34%, respectively [1]. - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are attributed to easing tariff concerns and a lack of immediate interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, resulting in a cooling market [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. added only 73,000 non-farm jobs in July, significantly below the expected 110,000, indicating a cooling labor market [2]. - The Federal Reserve's internal divisions regarding interest rate policies have intensified, with some members advocating for immediate rate cuts [2]. - The geopolitical landscape, including trade tensions and conflicts in the Middle East, has further fueled demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][8]. Group 3: Institutional Perspectives - Citigroup has revised its gold price forecast, raising the target from $3,300 to $3,500 per ounce, reflecting concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and inflation [2]. - The World Gold Council reported a 3% year-on-year increase in global gold demand, driven by strong investment interest, despite a slowdown in central bank purchases [7]. - Central banks continue to accumulate gold, with 95% of surveyed central banks expecting to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months [7][8]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The ongoing global economic uncertainties and the potential for a weakening U.S. dollar are expected to influence gold prices positively in the long run [8]. - The increasing scale of U.S. national debt and the associated risks to U.S. Treasury credibility may enhance gold's appeal as a stable asset [8].
贵金属价格为何持续走高
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-05 00:53
Group 1: Price Trends and Market Demand - Precious metal prices have significantly increased, with platinum and silver seeing notable price hikes, leading to a surge in consumer interest and sales [2][3] - As of August 4, platinum (Pt99.95) closed at 314.56 yuan per gram, up 40.57% from 223.77 yuan per gram at the end of 2024, while silver (Ag99.99) closed at 9201 yuan per kilogram, up 20.75% from 7620 yuan per kilogram at the end of 2024 [2] Group 2: Industrial Demand Drivers - Strong industrial demand is a core driver for the rising prices of precious metals, with silver being widely used in photovoltaic, 5G devices, and electronic components, and platinum playing a crucial role in the hydrogen energy industry [3] - The global energy transition has accelerated the installation of photovoltaic systems, directly boosting silver demand, while platinum's demand in fuel cell vehicles and hydrogen production is rapidly expanding [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical risks have significantly increased the safe-haven premium for silver and platinum, with ongoing conflicts affecting the export of platinum group metals from Russia and instability in the Middle East threatening key mineral transport routes [3] - The geopolitical conflicts and global economic uncertainties have heightened market risk aversion, leading to concerns over supply disruptions and triggering stockpiling behaviors [3] Group 4: Consumer Impact and Investment Trends - The rising prices of precious metal products are leading consumers to consider alternatives such as K-gold or gold-plated items, while the costs of renewable energy products may increase, indirectly raising the costs of green energy transitions [4] - There is a growing interest among individual investors in precious metals as a hedge against inflation, although high prices increase the risks associated with short-term speculation [5]
从门店热销到投资升温—— 贵金属价格为何持续走高
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-04 23:14
记者在北京多家贵金属交易场所探访了解到,近期贵金属价格出现了大幅上涨,销售也十分火热。北京 天雅珠宝城一家铂金专卖店的销售人员说,"今年以来铂金价格上涨明显,吸引了大量消费者来店里选 购,线上直播间也咨询不断"。此外,一些主营黄金饰品的店铺也在醒目位置开设了铂金专柜。现场观 察显示,铂金硬度高、不易氧化,颜色属于银灰色,制成的饰品以镶嵌钻石、彩宝的戒指为主,款式简 约时尚,吸引了许多年轻消费者。除了增售铂金产品,一些店铺还在展台里增加了500克和1000克规格 的投资银条,并提供回收服务。 价格上涨对消费者的影响已逐步显现。刘祥东分析,一是首饰等贵金属制品价格普遍出现跟随性上涨, 部分消费者可能转向K金或镀金替代品;二是光伏组件、燃料电池汽车等新能源终端产品可能出现一定 幅度的提价,间接推高绿色能源转型成本,而手机、电脑等含银电子元件或将通过"减配"来消化成本。 值得注意的是,个人投资者对贵金属的投资兴趣同步升温。专家提醒,当前价格高位运行下,投资门槛 与风险均有所提高。刘祥东认为,"买涨不买跌"的心理可能刺激更多散户入场,需警惕价格剧烈波动带 来的极端风险,尤其是杠杆交易者可能面临追加保证金的压力。吴丹提醒 ...
贺博生:8.4黄金高位盘整原油低位震荡晚间走势分析及最新操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 10:59
一样的行情,不一样的指导,不一样的人生。新手的特点就是不懂技术,盲目进场。他们每次交易只考虑一个问题:认为只要预判了市场涨跌就可以去做这 笔交易。这种重方向、轻位置的做法使得交易者一败涂地。其实,顺势而为的"势"跟"方向"是有很大差别的,因为市场的运动方向呈现震荡的形态运行,而 市场的趋势往往是全局性的。在我这里,我能做的是帮你合理的把控仓位,利用支撑和阻力位下单,让每一单有理可依,有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意 进场,请对自己的资金负责。如果你对行情真的无法把握,可以前来找到我,多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失,永远记住一句话,专业的人做专业的 事,一切实战只为盈利,合作只为双赢。 黄金最新行情趋势分析: 黄金消息面解析:周一(8月4日)欧市早盘,现货黄金高位震荡,目前交投于3358.66美元/盎司附近。金价上周五上涨近 2%,创下一周新高,美国非农就 业数据弱于预期,提振美联储降息预期,且新的关税公告刺激了避险需求;这一波涨势不仅受到美国非农就业数据意外疲软的推动,还受到特朗普政府最新 关税政策引发的避险需求刺激。全球经济的不确定性、美元的疲软以及美联储降息预期的升温,共同为黄金的上涨提供了强劲动能。疲软 ...
全线大跌!超11万人爆仓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 10:03
Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a downturn, with major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Dogecoin, and BNB dropping over 3%, and Dogecoin seeing a 19% decline over the past week [2] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 110,000 traders have been liquidated in the cryptocurrency market, with a total liquidation amount of $369 million, including $310 million from long positions and $58.17 million from short positions [2] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July significantly underperformed expectations, indicating a rapid deterioration in the labor market, which has led traders to increase bets on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [2] Group 2 - Market expectations for the Federal Reserve's subsequent easing monetary policy have risen sharply due to growing concerns about a U.S. economic recession, resulting in heightened risk aversion in the market [2]
分析师:当前比特币仍处于6月底以来的震荡中枢
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 02:03
Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a correction, with Bitcoin dropping below $112,000, leading to over 110,000 liquidations in the past 24 hours [1] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July significantly underperformed expectations, indicating a rapid deterioration in the labor market, which has increased traders' bets on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1] - There is a rising concern about a U.S. economic recession, contributing to heightened risk aversion in the market [1] Market Analysis - Analysts from BiyaPay indicate that Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase since late June, with $115,000 identified as a critical support level [1] - If Bitcoin falls below $114,000, it may test the support range of $111,000 to $112,500 [1] - Long-term holders currently control 53% of the supply, suggesting that any significant selling pressure would require new capital inflows to stabilize the market [1]