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金融期权隐含波动率处于年内低位
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-04-26 09:21
4月23日,A股走势曲折,高开低走后冲高回落,各指数表现分化。截至收盘,上证指数跌0.1%,深证指数涨 0.67%,创业板指数涨1.08%,科创50指数跌0.35%。资金方面,沪深两市成交额为12297亿元。 期权多数品种成交活跃度提升,而受ETF期权到期日影响,持仓量升降不一。具体的,上证50ETF期权成交量为 903529张,持仓量为1519014张,成交额为2.91亿元;上交所沪深300ETF期权成交量为861636张,持仓量为1285844 张,成交额为4.45亿元;上交所中证500ETF期权成交量为1083966张,持仓量为1209114张,成交额为11.14亿元;华夏 科创50ETF期权成交量为647160张,持仓量为1944009张,成交额为1.69亿元;易方达科创50ETF期权成交量为178206 张,持仓量为569309张,成交额为0.4亿元;创业板ETF期权成交量为1223068张,持仓量为1562168张,成交额为4.67 亿元;深交所沪深300ETF期权成交量为136603张,持仓量为330954张,成交额为0.52亿元;深交所中证500ETF期权成 交量为188341张,持仓量为39 ...
能源化工期权策略早报-2025-03-14
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-03-14 05:13
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an overall investment rating for the energy and chemical options industry Core Insights - The energy and chemical options market is segmented into five main categories: basic chemicals, energy, polyester chemicals, polyolefins, and other chemicals, each with specific strategies and recommendations based on market conditions [2][3][4][5] Summary by Sections Basic Chemicals - **Methanol Options**: The operating rate is at 71.64%, showing a slight decrease. The market is experiencing a weak consolidation phase after a high rebound [2] - **Rubber Options**: The operating rate for steel tires is 68.71%, with a slight recovery in downstream tire production. However, export orders are below expectations [2] - **Styrene Options**: The operating rate is at 78.45%, with a slight decrease. Inventory levels are showing signs of seasonal accumulation [3] Energy Sector - **Crude Oil Options**: U.S. crude oil inventories are reported at 83 million barrels, with a mixed trend in inventory changes. The market is experiencing a significant downward trend after a brief rally [3] - **Liquefied Gas Options**: The market is recovering from temporary supply disruptions due to weather, with a reported increase in domestic supply [3] Polyester Chemicals - **PTA Options**: The operating rate is at 73.6%, with a notable decrease. The market is showing signs of a bearish trend after a brief period of high prices [4] - **Ethylene Glycol Options**: Inventory levels are reported at 75.9 thousand tons, with a slight decrease. The market is experiencing a weak consolidation phase [4] Polyolefins - **Polypropylene Options**: Production is expected to increase by 10.85% in March. The market is currently in a wide fluctuation phase with bearish tendencies [5] - **PVC Options**: The operating rate is at 78.7%, with a slight decrease. The market is showing signs of weak consolidation [5] Other Chemicals - **Soda Ash and Urea Options**: The report provides insights into the operational metrics and market conditions for these chemicals, indicating a mixed performance across the board [5] Market Strategies - Various strategies are recommended for different options, including constructing neutral or bearish spreads to capitalize on market movements and volatility [2][3][4][5]
商品期权数据研报:玉米期价小幅下跌,期权隐波小幅下降,豆粕期价小幅回升,期权隐波持续下降
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-03-13 13:29
安粮期货期权数据报告 商品期权数据研报 2025 年 3 月 13 日 玉米期价小幅下跌,期权隐波小幅下降 豆粕期价小幅回升,期权隐波持续下降 内容摘要 玉米期价小幅下跌,期货主力合约 C2505 报 收于 2299 元/吨。玉米期权成交 87818 手,持仓 量为 437427 手,成交量 PCR 为 0.919,今日玉 米期权成交量最高的合约为 C2505 合约,其占总 成交量比例为 87%左右。期权加权隐含波动率为 11.51%,30 日历史波动率为 8.82%,期权隐波小 幅下降。 豆粕期价小幅回升,期货主力合约 M2505 报 收于 2877 元/吨。豆粕期权成交 330759 手,持 仓量为 1231312 手,成交量 PCR 为 0.765,目前 成交量集中在虚值期权。期权加权隐含波动率 为 20.76%,30 日历史波动率为 22.97%,期权隐 波持续下降。 安粮期货研究所 期权组 TEL:0551-62879960 张莎 期货从业资格号: F03088817 投资咨询证号: Z0019577 总部地址:合肥市包河区花园大道 986 号安粮中心 23-24 层 客服热线: 400—626—9 ...
铁矿石期权周报:矿价小幅反弹,期权隐波下降-2025-03-12
Zheng Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-12 06:01
Investment Rating - The report suggests a bearish outlook on iron ore, recommending to buy put options due to the anticipated decline in steel production and weak iron ore prices [16]. Core Insights - Iron ore prices experienced fluctuations, with the spot price stabilizing at 805 CNY/ton and the DCE iron ore index decreasing by 2% to 789 CNY/ton [8]. - External shipments of iron ore have increased, while arrivals at ports have slightly decreased, leading to a reduction in port inventories and a noticeable accumulation of steel mill stocks [16]. - The implied volatility of iron ore options has decreased and is currently at a low level, indicating a potential opportunity for buying put options [16][12]. Summary by Sections 1.1 Market Review - Iron ore spot prices showed a mixed trend, closing at 805 CNY/ton, unchanged month-on-month, while the DCE iron ore index fell by 2% to 789 CNY/ton [8]. - The average daily trading volume for iron ore options was 218,017 contracts, reflecting a decrease, while total open interest rose to 421,384 contracts [9]. 1.2 Options Market Review - The I2505 series options saw an increase in average daily trading volume to 119,881 contracts, with total open interest rising to 321,710 contracts [11]. - The implied volatility for the main contract series options has decreased to 25%, indicating lower market expectations for future price movements [12]. 1.3 Options Strategy Recommendation - The report highlights a recovery in steel mill production and iron output, despite a low arrival rate at ports and a significant accumulation of steel mill inventories [16]. - The anticipated reduction in crude steel production is expected to exert downward pressure on iron ore prices, reinforcing the recommendation to buy put options [16].