两机国产化

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隆达股份(688231):海外布局迈入收获期 两机及维修需求广阔
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 10:30
专注航空发动机及燃气轮机高温合金,国际化拓展迈入收获期。公司高温合金业务包括铸造高温合金和 变形高温合金,下游领域应用广泛,包括航空航天、燃气轮机、能源电力、油气石化、船舶、汽车等行 业。 风险提示:原材料及产品价格波动;贸易环境;政策波动风险等。 航空航天和燃机领域是主要增长引擎,24 年收入分别同比增长14.89%、47.48%。公司国际化战略成效 显著,分地区看,或受益全球航发及燃气轮机市场增长,境外地区24 年实现收入2.62 亿元,同比大幅 增长128.69%。目前,公司已与罗罗、赛峰、霍尼韦尔、柯林斯宇航、贝克休斯建立合作,持续导入新 客户与新牌号,奠定增长基础。 在欧美防务产能挤占等背景下,国内企业有望凭借产能及现货交期优势切入全球供应链。(2)受益全 球民机及燃机老龄化维修需求。高温合金主要用在热端部件,全球民航机龄老龄化、燃机轮机机龄增加 下带动飞机售后、尤其是发动机热端零件维修市场的发展。(3)重视公司产品海外份额提升斜率的比 较优势。公司产品所处环节实行供应商准入及审核机制,交期及价格优势有望促公司海外产品份额快速 提升,同时长期协议确立中期供应商格局及稳定性。(4)国际业务迈入收获期。 ...
机械行业周报:看好核聚变、机器人和两机国产化加速-20250615
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-15 11:23
行情回顾 本周板块表现:上周(2025/06/09-2025/06/13)5 个交易日,SW 机械设备指数下跌 1.17%,在申万 31 个一级行 业分类中排名第 21;同期沪深 300 指数下跌 0.25%。2025 年至今表现:SW 机械设备指数上涨 6.04%,在申万 31 个一级行业分类中排名第 8;同期沪深 300 指数下跌 1.80%。 核心观点 投资建议 见"股票组合"。 风险提示 宏观经济变化风险;原材料价格波动风险;政策变化的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 英国政府加码投资可控核聚变,可控核聚变板块迎来内外共振。根据英国政府宣布,对聚变能源研发投资预计 在 5 年内达 25 亿英镑,包括在诺丁汉地区建造世界领先的 STEP 球形托卡马克能源生产项目,推动核聚变发 展。可控核聚变是长期各个国家能源必争之地,本次英国政府加码继续推动了各国家在核聚变领域推进的节 奏,今年以来中国可控核聚变领域进入资本开支扩张周期,我国可控核聚变正处于实验堆建设、工程堆验证阶 段;看好可控核聚变产业在"十五五"期间有望进入密集的资本开支期,看好可控核聚变板块资本开支扩张带 来的投资机会。 1X 发布 Redw ...
应流股份20250612
2025-06-12 15:07
Summary of the Conference Call for Yingliu Technology Company Overview - Yingliu Technology is a leading domestic player in the fields of gas turbine blades, combustion chamber nozzle rings, and aircraft engine blades, supplying major global companies such as GE and Siemens [2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a non-recurring net profit of 136 million yuan in Q1 2025, with full-year revenue expected to accelerate to between 440 million and 450 million yuan, and projected revenues for the next two years to reach 600 million and over 800 million yuan, maintaining a growth rate of over 40% [2][6] - The gross margin for the two-machine business segment has consistently remained above 40% [2][6] Investment and Asset Development - As of the end of 2024, fixed assets are expected to reach 4.086 billion yuan, with ongoing construction projects around 1.6 billion yuan, and a research and development expense ratio maintained above 12% [2][5] Market Dynamics - The global gas turbine market is dominated by Mitsubishi, Siemens, Baker Hughes, and GE, which together hold approximately 80% of the market share. These leading companies are experiencing significant order growth and are actively expanding production, indicating accelerated industry demand [2][12] - Orders from major manufacturers are booked until 2029, reflecting strong future demand [2][12] Strategic Initiatives - Yingliu Technology is advancing its two-machine projects, including blade and casing processing coating projects, with expected future output value increasing to 1.5 billion yuan. Combined with nuclear energy projects, total output value is anticipated to increase by 2.1 billion yuan, enhancing production capacity and growth potential [2][7] Nuclear Energy Sector - The company has made significant strides in the nuclear energy sector, with clients including Emerson and Schlumberger. It is one of the few domestic manufacturers with nuclear-grade pump equipment qualifications [4][24] - The approval of nuclear power projects in China has remained steady, with at least 10 units expected to be approved annually, driving demand for equipment [4][24] Aerospace Sector - Yingliu Technology has established strategic partnerships with major players in the aerospace sector, including airlines and engine manufacturers, indicating a strong competitive position in this market [4][18][22] - The company has developed over 80 product varieties, including blades and structural components, and is expected to see a continuous increase in new orders due to rising demand in the aerospace market [22][23] Domestic Market Trends - China's civil aviation market is projected to grow significantly, with the number of passenger aircraft expected to exceed 10,000 in the next 20 years, positioning China as the largest single aviation market globally [20] - The domestic push for the localization of gas turbines and aircraft engines is accelerating, supported by government policies and recent technological advancements [21] Valuation Insights - Yingliu Technology's current valuation has just surpassed 30 times earnings, which is still lower compared to international leaders like GE and Howmet, whose valuations are typically between 50 to 60 times earnings. The company is expected to maintain a profit growth rate of at least 40% over the next three years [27] Conclusion - Yingliu Technology is well-positioned for growth in the gas turbine and aerospace sectors, with strong financial performance, strategic investments, and a favorable market outlook. The company's valuation appears to have significant upside potential given its growth trajectory and industry dynamics [27]
机械行业周报:看好燃气轮机、可控核聚变和机器人
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 16:00
行情回顾 本周板块表现:上周(2025/05/12-2025/05/16)5 个交易日,SW 机械设备指数上涨 0.35%,在申万 31 个一级行 业分类中排名第 18;同期沪深 300 指数上涨 1.12%。2025 年至今表现:SW 机械设备指数上涨 9.47%,在申万 31 个一级行业分类中排名第 3;同期沪深 300 指数下跌 1.16%。 核心观点 投资建议 见"股票组合"。 风险提示 宏观经济变化风险;原材料价格波动风险;政策变化的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 两机景气上行+国产化提速,看好应流股份订单高增。全球 AI 数据中心扩张带动燃机需求上行,2024-2026 年 全球燃机年均销量均值预计为 60GW,较 23 年的 44.1GW 提升 36%,增长加速。此外,近期"两机"国产化加速 推进,燃机方面,近期应流股份承担的某型重型燃气轮机透平第二级动叶铸件通过首件鉴定,标志着国家燃气 轮机重大专项取得又一阶段性成果。航空发动机方面,4 月,我国完全自研的 AG600 飞机获颁中国民航局型号 合格证,标志着全球起飞重量最大的民用水陆两栖飞机通过了严格测试和验证。公司是国内"两机"叶片龙 头, ...
机械行业研究:看好燃气轮机、可控核聚变和机器人
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 09:18
行情回顾 本周板块表现:上周(2025/05/12-2025/05/16)5 个交易日,SW 机械设备指数上涨 0.35%,在申万 31 个一级行 业分类中排名第 18;同期沪深 300 指数上涨 1.12%。2025 年至今表现:SW 机械设备指数上涨 9.47%,在申万 31 个一级行业分类中排名第 3;同期沪深 300 指数下跌 1.16%。 核心观点 投资建议 见"股票组合"。 风险提示 宏观经济变化风险;原材料价格波动风险;政策变化的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 两机景气上行+国产化提速,看好应流股份订单高增。全球 AI 数据中心扩张带动燃机需求上行,2024-2026 年 全球燃机年均销量均值预计为 60GW,较 23 年的 44.1GW 提升 36%,增长加速。此外,近期"两机"国产化加速 推进,燃机方面,近期应流股份承担的某型重型燃气轮机透平第二级动叶铸件通过首件鉴定,标志着国家燃气 轮机重大专项取得又一阶段性成果。航空发动机方面,4 月,我国完全自研的 AG600 飞机获颁中国民航局型号 合格证,标志着全球起飞重量最大的民用水陆两栖飞机通过了严格测试和验证。公司是国内"两机"叶片龙 ...
应流股份(603308):盈利能力提升,合同负债高增
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 13:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 663 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 92 million yuan, up 1.65% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin improved to 36.83% and 12.89%, respectively, reflecting a significant enhancement in profitability [1] - The company benefits from the rising demand in the "two machines" industry, with contract liabilities exceeding 1.2 billion yuan, indicating strong revenue growth potential for 2025. The domestic orders are expected to increase due to accelerated localization efforts in gas turbines and aviation engines [2] - The approval of nuclear power projects is expected to boost the company's revenue from nuclear main pump castings, with strategic partnerships and contracts already in place for multiple nuclear projects [3] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 663 million yuan and a net profit of 92 million yuan, with improved profitability metrics [1] Operational Analysis - The company signed long-term agreements with major clients in the "two machines" sector, leading to a significant increase in contract liabilities, which grew over 100% year-on-year to 1.76 billion yuan. This positions the company for accelerated revenue growth in 2025 [2] - The domestic market for gas turbines is expanding, with successful certification of domestically developed aircraft engines, indicating a positive trend for future orders [2] Nuclear Power Sector - The approval of five nuclear power projects is expected to enhance demand for the company's nuclear pump products, with existing contracts already in place for significant deliveries [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 3.2 billion, 3.9 billion, and 5 billion yuan, with net profits of 450 million, 630 million, and 890 million yuan, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are 30, 22, and 15 [4]