2025 年 9 月 29 日 国证国际证券（香港）有限公司 • 研究部 港股晨报 1. 国证视点：美国通胀数据符合预期，市场小幅反弹 今日重点 1. 国证视点 港股周五三大指数集体走弱，其中，恒生指数跌 1.35%，国企指数跌 1.49%， 恒生科技指数跌 2.89%。大市成交金额 3,23 亿元，主板总卖空金额 438 亿元， 占可卖空股票总成交额比率回落至 14.98%。南向资金流（北水）维持较高水 平。港股通净流入金额为 105 亿港元。港股通 10 大成交活跃股中，北水净买 入最多的是阿里巴巴 9988.HK、地平线机器人－Ｗ 9660.HK、腾讯控股 700.HK；净卖出最多的是小鹏汽车－Ｗ 9868.HK、华虹半导体 1347.HK、中 芯国际 981.HK。 港股延续疲弱走势，主要科技板块集体承压。市场表现上，SaaS 概念、短视 频、明星科网股以及云计算、云办公等相关板块普遍走低，汇量科技 1860.HK、 金山软件 3888.HK、阿里巴巴 9988.HK 等知名科技股均录得明显回调。苹果 概念股同步普跌，蓝思科技 6613.HK、瑞声科技 2018.HK、丘钛科技 1478.HK 等均受 ...

Group 1 - The PVDF concept sector rose by 1.74%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with 9 stocks increasing, including Puxin Technology and Dongyang Sunshine hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Notable gainers in the PVDF sector included Juhua Co., which increased by 6.88%, Sanmei Co. by 3.83%, and Yonghe Co. by 3.69% [1][4] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 485 million yuan from main funds, with Puxin Technology leading the inflow at 205 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Puxin Technology at 11.52%, Huahua Technology at 9.25%, and Heimao Co. at 8.54% [3] - The trading volume for Puxin Technology was 20,509.85 million yuan, with a daily turnover rate of 3.84% [3] - The stocks with the largest declines included Zhongchuang Environmental Protection, which fell by 5.58%, and Jinming Precision Machinery, which decreased by 2.21% [1][4]

Group 1 - Hong Kong stock indices rose again, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.94%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.85%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 3.14% [2] - Gold and non-ferrous metal stocks led the gains, with notable increases in companies such as Jinli Permanent Magnet (up 14.34%), Luoyang Molybdenum (up 10.47%), and Jiangxi Copper (up 8.35%) [2] - The expectation of a U.S. interest rate cut in September increased from 75% to 90% after comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, supporting the rise in gold-related stocks [2] Group 2 - Short video, cloud computing, cloud office, SaaS, and gaming stocks continued to rise, with Weimob Group up 13.17% and Baidu Group-SW up 6.25% [3] - New internet platform pricing regulations aim to end "malicious competition," which may positively impact tech stocks [3] - Power equipment, wind power, nuclear power, and photovoltaic stocks also performed well, with Goldwind Technology rising 11.74% after reporting better-than-expected earnings [3] Group 3 - Consumer sectors such as home appliances, automobiles, holiday concepts, and film stocks showed good performance [4] - Education stocks were generally weak, with South China Vocational Education down 3.33% [5] - Chinese brokerage stocks declined, with Everbright Securities down 2.01% [6] Group 4 - Notable declines included Xirui, which fell 16.91% after being removed from the Hang Seng Composite Index [7] - Bluco dropped 13.53% due to underwhelming half-year results and a slowdown in revenue growth [8] - Dongfeng Motor Group surged 54.1% after proposing a distribution of its high-end electric vehicle subsidiary, Lantu, to shareholders [8]

Group 1 - The cloud office concept declined by 2.82%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with major declines seen in Wanxing Technology, Guangyun Technology, and Kingsoft Office [1] - The top gainers in the cloud office sector included Tianyuan Dike, Fengzhushou, and Erlingsan, with increases of 1.49%, 0.67%, and 0.66% respectively [1] - The cloud office sector experienced a net outflow of 1.878 billion yuan, with 43 stocks seeing net outflows, and 9 stocks with outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The stock with the highest net outflow was Sanliu Ling, with a net outflow of 406 million yuan, followed by Wanxing Technology and Kingsoft Office with net outflows of 370 million yuan and 133 million yuan respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Tianyuan Dike, Erlingsan, and Qilin Xinan, with net inflows of 52.89 million yuan, 24.13 million yuan, and 7.38 million yuan respectively [1][2] - The overall performance of the cloud office sector reflects a challenging market environment, with significant capital outflows impacting major players [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.38% is contrasted by a 0.77% increase in trading volume over the past three days, indicating a mixed market sentiment with significant capital inflows into specific sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has decreased by 1.38% over the last three days [1] - A-share trading volume has increased by 0.77% compared to the previous three days [1] Group 2: Capital Inflows - A total of 22 concept sectors experienced significant net capital inflows, with the top three being Kuaishou concept, AI data, and Xiaohongshu concept, attracting net inflows of 1.656 billion, 1.537 billion, and 1.063 billion respectively [1] - Kuaishou concept led with a net inflow of 1.656 billion, showing a price increase of 1.80% [1] - AI data sector followed with a net inflow of 1.537 billion and a price increase of 1.73% [1] - Xiaohongshu concept also saw a net inflow of 1.063 billion with a price increase of 1.74% [1]

Group 1 - The brain-computer interface sector experienced a decline of 3.34%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector as of the market close on June 20 [1][2] - Within the brain-computer interface sector, major companies such as Hanwei Technology, Nanjing Panda, and Aipeng Medical saw significant declines, while only two stocks, Haige Communication and ST Huatuo, recorded gains of 1.46% and 1.05% respectively [1][2] - The sector faced a net outflow of 546 million yuan from main funds, with 23 stocks experiencing net outflows, and seven stocks seeing outflows exceeding 30 million yuan [2] Group 2 - Hanwei Technology led the outflow with a net withdrawal of 133 million yuan, followed by Innovative Medical and Tom Cat with outflows of 129 million yuan and 116 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included ST Huatuo, Haige Communication, and Lepu Medical, with inflows of 58.93 million yuan, 35.06 million yuan, and 23.44 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The trading volume for Hanwei Technology was 12.95%, indicating a high turnover rate despite the decline of 6.59% in its stock price [2][3]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices rose collectively, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 2.3%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 2.47%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 2.13% [1] - The internet healthcare sector saw significant gains, with JD Health rising by 5.13% after reporting a 25.5% year-on-year revenue growth and a 119.8% increase in operating profit [1] - The financial sector, particularly insurance and Chinese brokerage stocks, also performed well, with China Pacific Insurance up by 6.77% and Huatai Securities up by 4.86% [1] Group 2: Automotive Sector - The automotive supply chain, including lithium batteries and Tesla-related stocks, experienced upward movement, with Li Auto rising by 4.54% and BYD increasing by 4.75% [2] - In April, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 905,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 33.9%, with a penetration rate of 51.5%, up by 7 percentage points from the previous year [2] - BYD has become the most popular car brand in Singapore, surpassing Toyota in sales for the first time this year [2] Group 3: Technology Sector - Cloud office, cloud computing, and tech-related stocks saw strong performance, with Tencent Music rising by 12.84% after reporting an 8.7% year-on-year revenue growth and a 201.8% increase in net profit [3] - Major tech companies like Tencent and Alibaba are expected to release their financial reports soon, with a focus on advertising, cloud computing revenue, and AI investments [3] - Some consumer stocks, including those in the retail and aviation sectors, experienced declines, with Midea Group down by 1.2% [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a day of volatility with the ChiNext index leading the decline, closing at 2011.77, down 0.87% [2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3342.00, down 0.30%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10126.83, down 0.69% [2][3] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 1.41%), Banking (up 1.36%), and Textile & Apparel (up 0.72%) [2] - Conversely, sectors such as Electronics (down 2.07%), Computers (down 1.96%), and Defense & Military (down 1.87%) faced significant declines [2] Trade Data Insights - In the first four months of the year, China's total goods trade reached 14.14 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, with exports amounting to 8.39 trillion yuan, up 7.5% [4] - Notably, exports of mechanical and electrical products reached 5.04 trillion yuan, growing by 9.5% and accounting for 60.1% of total exports [4] Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.19 trillion yuan, a decrease of 101.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index remains above the 5-day moving average, indicating strong support around the 3335-3340 point range, suggesting a stabilizing market trend [5] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its oscillating recovery pattern, supported by policy easing and economic recovery [5] - Key sectors to focus on include Financials, Public Utilities, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) as they are likely to benefit from ongoing policy support and economic improvements [5]

Group 1 - The cloud office concept declined by 2.54%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with notable declines in companies such as Wangda Software and Fanwei Network [1][2] - Among the cloud office concept stocks, only three saw price increases, with ST Shuyuan, Honghe Technology, and Dongfang Zhongke rising by 2.29%, 2.01%, and 1.56% respectively [1][2] - The cloud office sector experienced a net outflow of 1.189 billion yuan in main funds, with 36 stocks seeing net outflows, and Tianyuan Dike leading with a net outflow of 297 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top net outflow stocks in the cloud office sector included Tianyuan Dike, Wangda Software, and Sanliu Ling, with net outflows of 297 million yuan, 155 million yuan, and 139 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Dongfang Zhongke, Honghe Technology, and Huaping Co., with net inflows of 109 million yuan, 17.89 million yuan, and 6.87 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The overall performance of the cloud office concept was negatively impacted, as evidenced by the significant net outflows and declines in stock prices across the sector [1][2]

Group 1 - The cloud office concept declined by 2.98%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with *ST Pengbo hitting the limit down, and companies like Runjian Co., Zero Point You Shu, and Kingsoft Office experiencing significant declines [1][2] - Among the cloud office sector, only two stocks saw price increases, with ST Shuyuan and Ruijie Network rising by 1.21% and 0.57% respectively [1][2] - The cloud office sector experienced a net outflow of 563 million yuan in capital, with 28 stocks seeing net outflows, and six stocks having outflows exceeding 30 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Kingsoft Office had the largest net outflow of 232 million yuan, followed by Runjian Co. with 87.9 million yuan and Jinqiao Information with 64.3 million yuan [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Wanxing Technology, Ruijie Network, and Yilian Network, with net inflows of 70.8 million yuan, 32.4 million yuan, and 19.0 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The trading volume for Kingsoft Office was 1.53%, while Runjian Co. had a turnover rate of 8.57% [2][3]