欧洲央行管委Makhlouf：人工智能和人口变化将导致通胀更加波动。 通胀预期得到良好的锚定。 欧洲央行在使用前瞻性指引时必须更加灵活。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank's governing council member, Mahrouf, indicates that artificial intelligence and demographic changes will lead to increased volatility in inflation [1] Group 1 - The integration of artificial intelligence in various sectors is expected to impact labor markets and productivity, contributing to inflationary pressures [1] - Demographic shifts, such as aging populations, are likely to exacerbate inflation volatility by affecting consumer demand and labor supply [1] - The combination of these factors suggests a need for adaptive monetary policies to manage the potential fluctuations in inflation rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the strategic goal of achieving equalization of basic public services by 2035 in China, as outlined in the recent document issued by the Central Committee and the State Council [1] Group 1: Policy Objectives - The document titled "Opinions on Further Ensuring and Improving People's Livelihoods" aims to address urgent public concerns by aligning basic public service supply with population changes [1] - It highlights the need for optimizing service facility construction and operational management to meet the demands of a changing demographic landscape [1] Group 2: Demographic Challenges - China is facing significant demographic trends such as declining birth rates, aging population, and regional population disparities, which pose challenges for public service delivery [1] - The ability to adapt to these new demographic realities and enhance service facilities is identified as a critical issue [1] Group 3: Reform Measures - The document proposes a comprehensive set of reform and innovation measures that are highly relevant to current realities [1] - It suggests dynamically adjusting service coverage and quality standards to improve resource integration and allocation [1] - The goal is to extend basic public services and cover a larger beneficiary population through these adjustments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strategic goal is to achieve equalization of basic public services by 2035, with a focus on aligning service supply with population changes [1] Group 1: Basic Public Services - Basic public services encompass various aspects including education, healthcare, housing, and social support [1] - The current demographic trends in China, such as declining birth rates and aging population, necessitate improved service facilities and management to match population dynamics [1] Group 2: Policy Measures - The recent policy outlines a series of innovative reform measures aimed at enhancing public service delivery, including the establishment of service project lists, quality standards, and evaluation methods [1][2] - The policy emphasizes the need for dynamic adjustments in service scope and quality to improve resource allocation and extend service coverage [1] Group 3: Population Mobility and Equal Opportunity - The rapid urbanization and significant population mobility, with 376 million migrants reported in 2020, highlight the need for equal opportunities in public services [2] - Measures such as removing residency restrictions for social insurance and promoting nationwide access to essential services are being implemented to address the needs of mobile populations [2] Group 4: Implementation Challenges - Out of 81 service items defined by national standards, 62 are currently available at residents' locations, leaving 19 items as future challenges to tackle [3] - The ongoing urbanization and labor mobility will continue to influence the quality and availability of public services, which are critical for rational population distribution [3]

欢迎关注我的视频号"城市财经"↓ 作者：余飞 01 中部六省，一年减少近百万人 典型如山河四省，还有整个中部地区。 山河四省中，目前河北尚未公布数据，留待下一篇分析，这一篇聚焦中部六省。 去年本号写过一篇《首次！中部六省，人口集体负增长》的文章，描述了2023年中部的河南、湖北、湖南、江西、安徽、山西六个大省，人口全部负增长。 2023年六省人口合计减少133.333万人。 2024年中部局面稍微好了一些，安徽的常住人口由负转正，增加了两万人。 河南、湖南、湖北的人口减少规模比2023年有所收窄。 回过头看，东北的确只是先行者而已。 第七次人口普查数据显示，东北是全国人口流失最严重的地区。 数据显示，2010年至2020年十年间， 人口合计减少了1099万人，其中黑龙江减少了646万，吉林减少了338万，辽宁减少了115万。 2021年东北三省人口又合计减少了超100万人，2022年东北人口合计又减少了86.4万人。 然而，随着2021年全国人口增量创历史新低，2022年全国人口正式转向，2023年全国人口减少速度加快，很多曾经嘲笑东北的地区，也在东北化了。 河南2023年减少57万人，2024年减少30万人 ...