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国际金价为何屡创新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 06:47
近年来,为了化解美国政府债务,美国绕开了"禁止美联储直接在一级市场认购国债"的法律规定,通 过"财政部发债+美联储在二级市场购债+利率操控"方式,实现了实质性的债务货币化。简言之,美联 储通过"印钞",在"美元—美债"的闭环中成功转嫁了通胀并稀释了债务。 作为世界货币,美元在全球央行外汇储备中占比一度超过70%。截至2025年第二季度末,这一数据仍然 高达56.32%。保持本国币值和外汇储备的安全性,是各国央行的重要职责。面对债务赤字货币化的操 作和即将走弱的美元,全球央行不得不被动掀起了一波购金潮。世界国际货币基金的公开数据显示,尽 管2025年黄金价格上涨幅度已经超过了60%,但各国需求保持强劲,黄金在全球央行储备资产中的占比 已经升至26%,这种对价格"不敏感"的需求成为了黄金市场价格上涨的重要推手。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 在经过10月底和11月初的短暂回调后,全球黄金价格再创新高。12月23日,COMEX黄金价格突破4500 美元/盎司,相较年初上涨约70%。 分析此次黄金价格的走势,可以从长短期两个角度入手。随着美国最新非农就业数据出炉,市场普遍预 ...
全球央行“换仓”:黄金归位,美元退潮
21世纪经济报道记者林汉垚 见习记者冯紫彤 全球央行的储备"天平"正在倾斜。 德意志银行研究显示,截至2025年10月,黄金在全球央行"外汇+黄金"储备资产中的占比,已从今年6月底的24%跃升至30%。与之形成鲜明对比的是,美元 所占份额正从43%滑落至40%。 这一变化不仅反映了各国央行资产配置的战略调整,更预示着全球货币体系可能正迎来关键拐点。德银进一步推演,若金价升至5790美元/盎司,则在现有 持仓量不变的情况下,两种资产的储备占比将实现持平。 黄金需求创纪录,各国央行年内已购金634吨 黄金在储备中占比的提升,一方面得益于金价持续走高,推动存量储备价值"被动"攀升;另一方面,则源于各国央行的主动增持策略。 世界黄金协会报告显示,2025年第三季度全球黄金需求攀升至1313吨,创下有记录以来的单季最高值。投资需求持续强劲,黄金ETF、金条金币与央行购金 均以高于十年均值的速度增长。 其中,央行购金尤为瞩目,第三季度购金量达220吨,环比增长28%。前三季度累计购金量已达634吨,全年有望突破1000吨,延续2022年-2024年连续购金 超千吨的强劲势头。 这股强劲需求直接推动了黄金在全球储备资产中占 ...
离岸人民币强劲反弹近700点 中概股表现抢眼引领市场乐观情绪
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 05:33
Core Viewpoint - The offshore RMB against the US dollar has seen a significant increase, driven by multiple factors including global economic changes and improved investor confidence in RMB assets [1][2]. Group 1: RMB Exchange Rate Performance - The offshore RMB against the US dollar rose to 7.2103, an increase of 686 basis points from the previous trading day [1]. - The RMB opened at 7.2790 and reached a high of 7.2085 during trading [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing RMB Strength - The strong performance of the RMB is attributed to the changing global economic landscape, improved international trade conditions, and growing investor confidence in RMB assets [2]. - China's economy grew by 5.4% in the first quarter, demonstrating resilience and potential for high-quality development [2]. - Key macroeconomic indicators have shown a positive trend, reinforcing the stability of the Chinese economy [2]. Group 3: Central Bank's Role and Policy - The People's Bank of China emphasized the solid foundation of the economy and the resilience of the foreign exchange market, which supports the stability of the RMB exchange rate [2]. - The central bank aims to maintain a managed floating exchange rate system, enhancing market resilience and stabilizing expectations [2]. Group 4: Global Currency Trends - Goldman Sachs reported a trend towards diversification of global reserve currencies, with the RMB, Korean won, and Singapore dollar expected to benefit [7]. - The report highlighted concerns over the dollar's status as a reserve currency, particularly following geopolitical events and policy uncertainties during the Trump administration [7]. - The shift towards other assets, including gold, indicates a growing market sentiment for diversifying away from the dollar [7][8].