2025-06-23 免责声明： 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和意见仅供参考，并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的任何 直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送，版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可，任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版，复制，引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为冠通期货股份有 限公司。 冠通期货研究咨询部 王 静，执业资格证号F0235424/Z0000771 联系方式：010-85356618 压榨厂：豆油：库存：中国（周） 棕榈油现货主力合约基差(元/吨） 2025-06-23 菜油现货主力合约基差(元/吨） 豆油现货主力合约基差(元/吨） 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 万吨 2022 2023 2024 2025 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 2022 2023 2024 2025 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Huizhou Ecological Environment Bureau has announced an adjustment to the livestock breeding prohibition zones in Huizhou County, aimed at optimizing the livestock breeding industry layout, controlling pollution, and promoting ecological protection and sustainable development of the livestock industry [1] Group 1: Prohibition Zones - The prohibition zones are categorized into four types: urban concentrated construction areas, drinking water source protection areas, nature reserves, and important riverbanks [1] - Urban concentrated construction areas are defined based on the "urban development boundary" from the Huizhou County land use planning, excluding small fragmented areas [2] - The drinking water source protection areas include 21 designated zones, which are classified into first and second-level protection areas [2][3] - Nature reserves include nine specific reserves, with both core and buffer zones included in the prohibition area [4] - Important riverbanks cover the management areas of various rivers within Huizhou County, extending 500 meters from the highest water level [4] Group 2: Implementation and Public Participation - The prohibition on constructing breeding farms or farms that discharge pollutants will be enforced, with the announcement effective for five years [5] - The public is invited to provide feedback on the draft announcement from July 3, 2025, to August 1, 2025, through various communication methods [5]

据悉，邦基科技拟收购RiverstoneFarmPte.Ltd.持有的六家山东农牧企业全部股权。这些企业包括山东北 溪农牧有限公司、山东瑞东伟力农牧有限公司、山东鑫牧农牧科技有限公司。同时还涉及瑞东农牧（利 津）有限公司、瑞东农牧（山东）有限责任公司、瑞东威力牧业（滨州）有限公司的100%股权。 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 李牧青 邦基科技于6月4日发布公告，公司正筹划重大资产重组事项。该项交易涉及以发行股份及支付现金相结 合的方式，收购多家农牧企业股权。 净利润连续三年下滑，原因在于公司毛利率持续承压：饲料产品结构向低毛利的配合料倾斜(适应"公司 +农户"模式)，叠加产能爬坡期固定成本高企，公司毛利率从2022年13.73%降至2024年9.23%；此外， 公司现金流恶化：客户转向规模化养殖场后赊销比例激增，致使经营活动净现金流从2022年5907万元转 为2024年-1.1亿元。 而对于邦基科技收购七家农牧企业股权，有分析指出，向主业的下游板块拓展，或是饲料企业穿越周期 的一次破局尝试。 此次交易还包括派斯东畜牧技术咨询（上海）有限公司80%的股权收购。公司已与交易对方签署《关于 发行股份及支付现金购买资产之意向 ...

【产业服务总部 | 饲料养殖中心】 研 究 员：韦 蕾 执业编号: F0244258 投资咨询号:Z0011781 研 究 员：刘汉缘 执业编号: F03101804 投资咨询号:Z0021169 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 01 饲料养殖观点汇总 02 品种产业数据分析 目 录 01 生猪：供应压力缓慢释放，猪价偏弱震荡 长江期货饲料养殖产业周报 2025-5-19 ◆ 期现端：截至5月16日，全国现货价格14.76元/公斤，较上周下跌0.16元/公斤；河南猪价14.91元/公斤，较上周上涨0.1元/公斤；生猪2509报价13660元/吨，较上周下 跌265元/吨；09合约基差1250元/吨，较上周上涨365元/吨。周度各地猪价涨跌互现，全国均价小幅调整，消费淡季叠加天气转热，需求疲软，而养殖端出栏相对积极， 价格承压调整，但价格下跌后，局部地区抗价以及二次育肥进场仍存，价格陷入僵持。09主力周度震荡走弱，周末现货延续窄幅调整。 ◆ 供应端： 2024年5-11月能繁母猪存栏量持续缓增，性能提升，在疫情平稳情况下，4-9月供应呈增加态势，虽然养殖利润下滑，产能有所去化 ...

新疆天蕴有机农业有限公司工作人员进行三文鱼的分拣、切割、包装等工序。（刘露 摄） 近年来，新疆尼勒克县立足本地丰富的水资源优势，将自然之水转变为发展"活水"，大力 发展冷水鱼养殖产业，并利用科技赋能，为渔业发展提供有力支撑。 现如今，尼勒克县已发展集高品质三文鱼生态养殖技术开发与应用，储存、保鲜、加工与 综合利用为一体，以绿色生态环保型网箱养殖发展为主要模式的生态综合渔业，产品更是畅销 国内外市场，让新疆的冷水鱼变"热产业"。 新疆天蕴有机农业有限公司捕捞工人在捕捞三文鱼。（刘露 摄） 在加工端，生产车间工人们正紧张有序地进行三文鱼的分拣、切割、包装等工序。吴冬介 绍，企业引进了三文鱼智能分割加工技术，是目前国际最先进的三文鱼深加工生产线；在运营 管理环节，启用了先进的管理系统，实现了生产、销售、采购、库存、物流、结算等全过程的 精准管理。2025年，公司将继续坚持创新驱动，加大研发投入，开发更多符合市场需求的新产 品，重点推出三文鱼肉松、多种口味热熏等新产品，持续扩宽国内线上线下零售市场和海外市 场。同时，公司将持续加强食品安全监督管理，确保产品质量安全。 "作为高新技术企业，公司已获得专利60余项，目前拥 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dayu Bioengineering Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, indicating ongoing challenges in the industry due to external factors and market competition [1][2]. Company Summary - Dayu Bio's 2024 revenue was 123 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.71%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -23.94 million yuan, a staggering drop of 1045.71% [1]. - The company, established in 2014 and listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange in 2022, has faced losses since 2023, with 2023 revenue at 161 million yuan and a net profit of -0.21 million yuan [1]. - The decline in performance is attributed to the African swine fever epidemic, production capacity adjustments, and intensified competition in the feedstock market [1]. Industry Summary - The past year saw a recovery in pig prices due to falling prices of major raw materials like soybean meal, but consumer demand has not rebounded as expected, leading to reduced pig inventory and declining feed sales [2]. - The industry has faced significant challenges since 2020, with many companies experiencing operational difficulties and rising debt levels [2]. - Dayu Bio plans to extend its business model into pig farming, establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary to implement a self-breeding and "company + farmer" model, aiming to stabilize its operations [2][3]. - The company believes that integrating pig farming into its feed production will create a closed-loop sales system, reduce costs, and enhance operational efficiency [3]. - However, the industry faces challenges such as intensified competition, high disease prevention costs, and price volatility, which could impact the effectiveness of Dayu Bio's transformation efforts [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified for the next 6 months [1]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in performance driven by both pork and chicken segments, achieving a notable turnaround from losses to profits [8][9]. - The revenue for 2024 reached 104.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 9.23 billion yuan, marking a substantial recovery from a loss of 6.39 billion yuan in the previous year [8][9]. - The company is expected to maintain growth in the coming years, with projected EPS of 1.40 yuan, 1.63 yuan, and 1.92 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to dynamic PE ratios of 12, 10, and 9 times [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 104.86 billion yuan, a 16.64% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.23 billion yuan, recovering from a previous loss [8][9]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 24.32 billion yuan, up 11.34% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, also a recovery from a loss [8]. Revenue Breakdown - The pork segment sold 30.18 million heads, a 14.93% increase, with an average selling price of 16.71 yuan/kg, up 12.83% year-on-year [8][9]. - The chicken segment sold 1.208 billion heads, a 2.09% increase, with an average selling price of 13.06 yuan/kg, down 4.60% year-on-year [8][9]. Cost Management - The comprehensive cost of pork farming was approximately 7.2 yuan/kg, a decrease of about 1.2 yuan/kg year-on-year, maintaining a competitive edge in cost control [8][9]. - The chicken farming cost dropped significantly, with the total cost per chicken reaching 6 yuan/kg, down 0.8 yuan/kg year-on-year [8][9]. Future Projections - Revenue is projected to grow to 109.30 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 4.23%, and further to 120.37 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a 10.13% increase [3][9]. - The company anticipates continued growth in both pork and chicken segments, with expected increases in production and sales prices [9].