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国投期货农产品日报-20260108
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 11:35
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Bean No.1: ☆☆☆ [1] - Soybean Meal: ★★★ [1] - Soybean Oil: ★★★ [1] - Palm Oil: ★★★ [1] - Rapeseed Meal: ★☆☆ [1] - Rapeseed Oil: ★☆☆ [1] - Corn: ★★★ [1] - Live Pigs: ★★★ [1] - Eggs: ★☆☆ [1] Core Views - Market sentiment has ebbed, and commodities with large previous gains face profit - taking pressure. Different agricultural products have different market trends and influencing factors. Attention should be paid to policy, weather, export, and other aspects [2][3][4] Summary by Related Categories Bean No.1 - Bean No.1 futures main contract shows an adjustment trend with a reduction in positions. The domestic soybean spot price remains strong. The South American new - season soybean has a high - yield expectation, and short - term attention should be paid to policies and market guidance [2] Soybean & Soybean Meal - The USDA January report predicts the US 2025/26 soybean ending stocks and inventory as of December 1, 2025. Reuters predicts a slight increase in Brazilian and Argentine soybean production. South American weather is favorable, and the probability of ENSO neutral in the first quarter is 68%. Dalian soybean meal rebounds with US soybeans. Attention should be paid to US soybean exports and South American weather [3] Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - Market sentiment has ebbed, and soybean oil and palm oil show a trend of rising and then falling. Indonesia may raise palm oil export taxes, and the Malaysian palm oil market may continue to accumulate inventory. The supply - side risk of overseas soybeans is low, and the inventory pressure of Malaysian palm oil continues, with a weak supply - demand situation [4] Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - Rapeseed - related futures decline significantly today. The market has high expectations for the Canadian Prime Minister's visit to China. If Canada changes its tariff policies on Chinese products, the export of Canadian rapeseed, rapeseed meal, and rapeseed oil to China may resume. The domestic rapeseed - related futures are expected to be in a weak and volatile trend [6] Corn - Dalian corn futures continue to increase positions and rise. Some Northeast deep - processing enterprises slightly raise the purchase price. The overall inventory of ports, traders, and downstream is still low. The spot price of some ports is stable or slightly weak. The number of remaining vehicles at corn deep - processing enterprises in the morning continues to decrease. The recent auction of China Grain Reserves Corporation's corn spot has a high transaction rate and premium. The short - term trend is wide - range volatility [7] Live Pigs - Live pig futures continue to fluctuate. Different data sources show different trends in the number of sows and newborn piglets. The fat - to - lean price difference is high, and the utilization rate of second - fattening pens is low. There is a large supply pressure before the Spring Festival, and the upward rebound space of the futures is limited. In the long - term, the pig price is likely to have a second bottom - testing in the first half of next year [8] Eggs - The near - month egg futures contract strengthens again, showing a near - weak and far - strong pattern compared with yesterday. The spot price is stable or slightly strong. The monthly year - on - year decline in chick replenishment from September to December exceeds 10%, and the egg - laying hen inventory is expected to continue to decline in the first half of 2026. It is recommended to go long on the first - half - year 2026 futures contracts at low prices. The second - half - year contracts may have different trends [9]
格林期货早盘提示:玉米、生猪、鸡蛋-20260108
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 01:11
格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 01 月 08 日星期四 Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价,投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关,格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失,敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 研究员: 张晓君 从业资格:F0242716 交易咨询资格:Z0011864 联系方式:0371-65617380 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 昨日夜盘玉米期货震荡偏强,截至夜盘收盘主力合约2603合约涨幅0.67%,收于224 | | | | | 7元/吨。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、中国粮油商务网数据显示昨日深加工企业收购价整体稳定。东北地区企业主流 | ...
天富期货棉花、豆粕劲升
Tian Fu Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 12:28
二、品种策略跟踪 (一)棉花:继续大涨 焦点关注:棉花主力 2605 合约继续大涨,向上突破 15000 整数 关位,期价受到远期供应收缩预期以及下游需求较强的支撑: 棉花、豆粕劲升 一、农产品板块综述 棉花继续大涨突破万五整数关位,2026 年新疆播种面积下降预 期以及下游需求偏强支撑棉价上涨,强势延续。豆粕亦劲升,商品市 场偏多气氛以及豆粕库存环比下降提振期价走高,近期偏强,关注后 续油厂压榨量及现货成交情况。 1. 新疆 2026 年棉花种植面积下降的预期持续升温,市场对未来 棉花供应可能减少的担忧情绪加剧,引发市场持续炒作。而新棉销售 率同比大幅增加,显示需求显著增强。下游纺织企业接单稳定,中高 支纱线需求强劲,新疆纺企开机率长时间稳定在 9 成以上。中美经贸 关系改善后,市场对纺织服装出口有乐观预期。棉花多头持续增仓推 动期价大涨。 2.棉花期货主力 2605 合约高位大涨,期价向上突破 15000 整数 关位,期价远离均线系统之上扩涨,延续强势特征,策略上继续逢低 轻仓多单,支撑 14730—14840。 (二)豆粕:大幅上涨 焦点关注:豆粕主力 2605 合约大幅上涨,刷新一个月新高,期 价商品 ...
光大期货农产品日报-20260107
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 02:47
农产品日报(2026 年 1 月 7 日) 一、研究观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 | 补栏淘汰意愿变化对产能的影响。 | | | --- | --- | | 周二,生猪期货反弹,主力 2603 合约盘中震荡向上,日收涨 1.29%,报收 11810 元/吨。卓创数据显示,昨日中国生猪日度均价 12.5 元/公斤,环比涨 0.06 元/公 | | | 斤,基准交割地河南市场生猪均价 13 元/公斤,环比涨 0.18 元/公斤,四川平, | | | 山东、广东、辽宁涨。大体重生猪需求较好,养殖端有压栏增重情绪,生猪实际 | | | 生猪 供应偏紧,支撑生猪现货价格上涨。我的农产品公布数据显示,12 月,规模长 | 震荡 | | 能繁母猪存栏环比下降 0.18%,中小散环比下降 1.19%,综合环比降幅 0.22%,能 | | | 繁母猪存栏环比延续下降,对期货市场形成支撑,远月合约增仓向上。建议设置 | | | 动态止盈,关注生猪期货主力合约长期均线的技术表现。 | | 二、市场信息 1、 印度尼西亚贸易部表示,印尼已将 1 月份毛棕榈油参考价格定为每吨 915 ...
鸡蛋:远月情绪转弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 02:03
商 2026 年 1 月 7 日 鸡蛋:远月情绪转弱 吴昊 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0018592 wuhao8@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 鸡蛋基本面数据 | | 合 约 | 收盘价 | 日涨跌 (%) | 成交变动 | | 持仓变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期 货 | 鸡蛋2602 | 2,982 | 0.57 | -33,974 | | -3,865 | | | 鸡蛋2603 | 3,000 | 0.03 | -67,933 | | 12,061 | | | | | 最新日 | | 前一日 | | | 价 差 | 鸡蛋2-3价差 | | -18 | | -35 | | | | 鸡蛋3-9价差 | | -961 | | -1,017 | | | | | | 最新日 | | 前一日 | | | | 辽宁现货价格 | | 3.00 | | 2.90 | | | | 河北现货价格 | | 2.87 | | 2.78 | | | 产业链数据 | 山西现货价格 | | 3.10 | | 3.00 | | | | 湖北现货价格 | | 3.2 ...
农产品早报2026-01-07:五矿期货农产品早报-20260107
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 01:02
农产品早报 2026-01-07 五矿期货农产品早报 五矿期货农产品团队 从业资格号:F0273729 交易咨询号:Z0002942 邮箱:wangja@wkqh.cn 从业资格号:F03116327 交易咨询号:Z0019233 邮箱:yangzeyuan@wkqh.cn 王俊 组长、生鲜品研究员 周二郑州白糖期货价格窄幅震荡,郑糖5月合约收盘价报5259元/吨,较前一交易日上涨2元/吨,或0.04%。 现货方面,广西制糖集团新糖报价 5300-5370 元/吨,报价较上个交易日上涨 10-20 元/吨;云南制糖集 团新糖报价 5160-5220 元/吨,报价较上个交易日上涨 10-30 元/吨;加工糖厂主流报价区间 5790-5800 元/吨,报价较上个交易日上涨 0-30 元/吨。广西现货-郑糖主力合约基差 41 元/吨。 杨泽元 软商品、油脂油料研究员 据糖业协会数据显示,截至 1 月广西累计产糖 194 万吨,同比减少 81 万吨;产糖率 11.96%,同比减少 0.85 个百分点;累计销糖 88 万吨,同比减少 74 万吨;产销率 45.56%,同比下降 13.76 个百分点。其中 12 月单月产 ...
天富期货棉花劲升、生猪上涨
Tian Fu Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 12:06
二、品种策略跟踪 (一)棉花:劲升 棉花劲升、生猪上涨 一、农产品板块综述 棉花劲升创新高,2026 年新疆播种面积下降预期以及下游需求 偏强支撑棉价上涨。生猪亦回升,1 月生猪出栏计划减少以及传统需 求旺季支撑猪价上扬。 焦点关注:棉花主力 2605 合约再度劲升创新高,继续受到远期 供应收缩预期以及下游需求较强的支撑: 1.新疆 2026 年棉花播种面积下降预期持续发酵,引发市场对远 期供给收缩的担忧升温,成为多头持续炒作题材。而新棉上市后销售 率同比大幅增加,显示需求显著增强。下游纺织企业接单稳定,中高 支纱线需求强劲,纺企开工率较高,尤其是新疆企业开机率长时间稳 定在 9 成以上。中美经贸关系改善后,市场对纺织品服装出口有乐观 预期。而棉花进口规模下降。棉花期价再度高位大涨,走势强劲。 2.棉花期货主力 2605 合约高位大涨创新高,期价在均线系统之 上运行,强势延续,策略上继续逢低轻仓多单,支撑 14600—14650。 (二)生猪:强劲回升 焦点关注:生猪主力 2603 合约调整之后获得支撑,强劲回升, 受到供应端出栏减少和需求旺季的提振: 1.经过 2025 年 12 月高峰出栏之后,1 月份养 ...
瑞达期货鸡蛋产业日报-20260106
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 08:58
鸡蛋产业日报 2026-01-06 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):鸡蛋(日,元/500千 | 3000 | 8 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:鸡蛋(日,手) | -32401 | 12996 | | | 克) 鸡蛋期货月间价差(5-9):(日,元/500千克) | -425 | 34 期货持仓量(活跃合约):鸡蛋(日,手) | 231586 | 12061 | | | 注册仓单量:鸡蛋(日,手) | 23 | 0 | | | | 现货市场 | 鸡蛋现货价格(日,元/斤) | 3.18 | 0.07 基差(现货-期货)(日,元/500千克) | 179 | 66 | | 上游情况 | 产蛋鸡存栏指数:全国(月,2015=100) | 112.03 | -2.21 淘汰产蛋鸡指数:全国(月,2015=100) | 101.18 | -13.26 | | | 主产区平均价:蛋鸡苗(周,元/羽) | 2.8 | 0 新增雏鸡指数:全国(月,2015=1 ...
西南期货早间评论-20260106
Xi Nan Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:55
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic recovery momentum is still weak, but different investment products have different trends. For example, the stock index is expected to have its fluctuation center gradually move up, while the treasury bond futures are expected to face some pressure [6][9]. 3. Summary by Category Treasury Bonds - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw most treasury bond futures close down. The 30 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year main contracts declined by 0.05%, 0.02%, and 0.03% respectively, while the 10 - year main contract rose by 0.03% [5]. - **Policy and News**: The central bank conducted 13.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on January 5th, with a net withdrawal of 468.8 billion yuan due to 482.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing. The 9 - department notice on promoting green consumption was released [5]. - **Outlook**: Treasury bond futures are expected to face some pressure, and caution is advised [6]. Stock Index Futures - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw mixed performance in stock index futures. The main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM rose by 2.26%, 2.55%, 3.11%, and 2.69% respectively [8]. - **Policy and News**: The China Securities Regulatory Commission held a symposium on promoting the cross - departmental work of the comprehensive prevention and control system for financial fraud in the capital market. It aims to improve the system, strengthen coordination, and enhance corporate governance [9]. - **Outlook**: The fluctuation center of the stock index is expected to gradually move up, and investors can choose the right time to go long [9]. Precious Metals - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the gold main contract close at 995 with a 1.78% increase, and the silver main contract close at 18,247 with a 6.87% increase [11]. - **Policy and News**: The Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari commented on the employment market, inflation, and economic outlook [11]. - **Outlook**: The market volatility is expected to significantly increase. It is advisable to exit long positions and wait and see [11]. Steel Products (Thread and Hot - Rolled Coil) - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw thread steel and hot - rolled coil futures weakly oscillate. The spot prices of Tangshan billet, Shanghai thread steel, and Shanghai hot - rolled coil were reported [13]. - **Supply and Demand**: The demand for thread steel is in a year - on - year decline, and the market will enter the off - season. The supply pressure has eased as the production is at a low level this year. The inventory is higher than last year but the consumption speed is fast. The hot - rolled coil has similar fundamentals [13]. - **Outlook**: The prices are likely to continue to weakly oscillate. Investors can look for short - selling opportunities at high levels during rebounds and manage their positions carefully [13]. Iron Ore - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw iron ore futures oscillate at a high level. The spot prices of PB powder and Super Special powder were reported [15]. - **Supply and Demand**: The national hot metal daily output has declined in the past two months. The import volume in the first 11 months of 2025 increased by 1.4% year - on - year, and the domestic production is lower than in 2024. The port inventory is at the highest level in the same period of the past five years [15]. - **Outlook**: The market supply - demand pattern is weak, but the futures may continue to be strong in the short term. Investors can look for short - selling opportunities at high levels and manage their positions carefully [15]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw coking coal and coke futures decline significantly [17]. - **Supply and Demand**: After the holiday, domestic coking coal production increased. The demand from downstream coke enterprises is weak, and the fourth - round price cut of coke procurement has been implemented. The blast furnace profit is low, and the demand for coke is weak [17]. - **Outlook**: The futures may continue to weakly oscillate in the short term. Investors can look for buying opportunities at low levels and manage their positions carefully [17]. Ferroalloys - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the manganese - silicon main contract decline by 0.78% and the silicon - iron main contract decline by 1.37% [19]. - **Supply and Demand**: The manganese ore supply is gradually recovering, and the port inventory is slightly increasing. The cost of ferroalloys fluctuates slightly at a low level. The production of thread steel by sample steel mills is lower than in 2024, and the production of ferroalloys is at a low level in the past five - year period, but the inventory continues to increase [19]. - **Outlook**: After a decline, investors can consider long - position opportunities at low levels when the spot loss expands [20]. Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw INE crude oil decline significantly due to the possible development of Venezuelan oil resources by the US [21]. - **Policy and News**: The US may have captured the Venezuelan president, and the US oil production reached a record high in October. The OPEC meeting confirmed a suspension of production increase in the first quarter [21]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the main crude oil contract [22]. Fuel Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw fuel oil decline significantly and close below the moving average group. The Asian VLSFO spot discount narrowed, and the HSFO oscillated within a range [23]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Singapore fuel oil inventory is high, which is negative for prices. The spot discount narrowing and the possible increase in crude oil prices may support the fuel oil price [24]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the main fuel oil contract [25]. Polyolefins - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Hangzhou PP market have mixed price movements, and the Yuyao LLDPE price increased [26]. - **Supply and Demand**: The production enterprises are actively reducing inventory, and the market price has stopped falling and rebounded, which is conducive to price stability [26]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [27]. Synthetic Rubber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the synthetic rubber main contract rise by 0.95%. The Shandong mainstream price increased, and the basis was stable [28]. - **Supply and Demand**: The price increase was supported by the rise in butadiene price and high device operating rate, but the weak downstream demand limited the increase. The inventory of domestic cis - polybutadiene rubber decreased [28][29]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate strongly [30]. Natural Rubber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the natural rubber main contract and 20 - rubber main contract rise by 1.06% and 1.14% respectively. The Shanghai spot price increased, and the basis slightly widened [31]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic supply has stopped, but the overseas pressure remains. The demand from tire enterprises is weak, and the inventory is seasonally increasing. The 20 - rubber delivery supply has expanded [31]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate [32]. PVC - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PVC main contract decline by 0.67%. The spot price was stable, and the basis slightly widened [33]. - **Supply and Demand**: It is in the traditional off - season. The supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is weak. The cost support is strong, and the social inventory is increasing [33][34]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate at a low level. Attention should be paid to changes in the supply side [33][34]. Urea - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the urea main contract rise by 1.43%. The Shandong Linyi price increased, and the basis was stable [35]. - **Supply and Demand**: The daily output has slightly increased, and the agricultural demand is expected to increase. The demand from the industrial sector is weak. The inventory has decreased [35]. - **Outlook**: The downward space is limited [36]. PX - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PX2603 main contract decline by 1.23%. The PXN spread and short - term profit are recovering [37]. - **Supply and Demand**: The PX load is stable, and the inventory is low. The crude oil price may be adjusted due to the US - Venezuela situation [37][38]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate and adjust in the short term. It is advisable to participate with caution and pay attention to macro - policies and fundamental changes [38]. PTA - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PTA2605 main contract decline by 1.87%. The processing fee has recovered [39]. - **Supply and Demand**: The PTA load has increased, and the polyester load has recovered. The export has increased. The cost of crude oil may be uncertain due to geopolitical situations [39]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate in the short term. It is advisable to operate with caution and pay attention to oil price changes [39]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the ethylene glycol main contract decline by 2.51% [40]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is expected to increase, the port inventory is increasing, and the demand support is slightly weakening [40][41]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see and pay attention to port inventory and supply changes [41]. Short - Fiber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the short - fiber 2602 main contract decline by 1.25% [42]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is at a relatively high level, and the terminal factories are mainly consuming inventory. The new orders in the weaving sector are weak [42]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate following the raw material price. It is necessary to control risks and pay attention to cost changes and macro - policy adjustments [42]. Bottle - Chip - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the bottle - chip 2603 main contract decline by 1.46%. The processing fee is around 410 yuan/ton [43]. - **Supply and Demand**: The bottle - chip factory load has increased, and the export growth rate has increased. The supply - demand structure has slightly improved, but the cost is still the main influencing factor [43]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate following the cost. It is advisable to participate with caution and control risks [44]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the lithium carbonate main contract rise by 7.74% [45]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is at a high level, and the demand from the energy - storage and power - battery sectors has improved. The inventory has decreased [45]. - **Outlook**: The price may be supported in the short term, but it is necessary to operate with caution as it is easily affected by news [45]. Copper - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai copper main contract rise by 2.22% [46]. - **Supply and Demand**: The global copper supply may be tight due to strikes in Chile. The domestic consumption is in the off - season, and the inventory is increasing [46]. - **Outlook**: The price is at a high level. It is necessary to be cautious about chasing the rise [46]. Aluminum - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai aluminum main contract rise by 2.57%, and the alumina main contract decline by 0.72% [48]. - **Supply and Demand**: The alumina supply is in excess, and the electrolytic aluminum production is stable. The demand from processing enterprises is weak [48]. - **Outlook**: The price is at a high level. It is necessary to be vigilant about price retracement [48]. Zinc - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai zinc main contract rise by 1.16% [50]. - **Supply and Demand**: The zinc concentrate processing fee is low, and the refined zinc production may decrease. The overseas supply - demand tension has eased [50]. - **Outlook**: It is necessary to be cautious about chasing the rise as the consumption off - season is approaching [50]. Lead - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai lead main contract rise by 0.32% [52]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply from primary and secondary lead enterprises is weak, and the consumption is in the off - season. The inventory is low [52][53]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate within a range [54]. Tin - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai tin main contract rise by 1.05% [55]. - **Supply and Demand**: The tin supply is tight due to geopolitical conflicts and slow production resumption in Wa State. The demand has some resilience [55]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate strongly [55]. Nickel - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai nickel main contract rise by 0.71% [56]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Indonesian nickel policy may increase costs. The stainless - steel demand is weak, and the primary nickel is in an oversupply situation [56]. - **Outlook**: It is necessary to pay attention to policy changes [56]. Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the soybean meal main contract decline by 0.28% and the soybean oil main contract decline by 0.13% [57]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Brazilian soybean planting is almost completed. The soybean supply is relatively loose, and the demand for soybean meal is growing moderately, while the demand for soybean oil has slightly improved [57][58]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the cost - support range for soybean meal and long - position opportunities for call options at low levels for soybean oil [58]. Palm Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw Malaysian palm oil rise slightly [59]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Malaysian palm oil inventory is expected to reach a seven - year high, and the export has decreased. The domestic import has increased [60]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [61]. Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - **Market Performance**: The Canadian rapeseed price increased by more than 1% [62]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic rapeseed and rapeseed oil imports have changed, and the inventory of rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil is at a relatively high and low level respectively in the past seven years [62]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [63]. Cotton - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the domestic Zhengzhou cotton first rise and then fall. The overseas cotton price rose by 1% [64]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic cotton production is expected to increase slightly, but the future planting area may decrease. The textile and clothing export has shown some resilience [65][66]. - **Outlook**: The cotton price is expected to be strong [66]. Sugar - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Zhengzhou sugar oscillate and rebound, and the overseas raw sugar slightly rebounded [68]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic and Indian sugar production is expected to increase, and the supply pressure is increasing. The import volume has changed [69]. - **Outlook**: The upward space may be limited after the significant rebound [70]. Apples - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the domestic apple futures rise significantly [72]. - **Supply and Demand**: The apple inventory is at a low level in recent years, and the new - season production and quality have declined [73]. - **Outlook**: The price is expected to be strong in the medium and long term [73]. Pigs - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the national average pig price remain unchanged. The main contract declined by 0.98% [75][76]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply of large - scale farms may increase in January, and the demand has weakened after the holiday. The frozen - product inventory has decreased [75][76]. - **Outlook**: The supply may face great pressure in the first quarter. It is advisable to consider an inverse spread strategy [76]. Eggs - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the main contract rise by 1.42% [78]. - **Supply and Demand**: The egg supply is expected to remain at a high level in January, but the supply may improve marginally. The consumption is weak after the New Year's Day [77][78]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to consider a positive spread strategy [78]. Corn and Starch - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the corn main contract decline by 0.22% and the corn starch main contract decline by 0.44% [79]. - **Supply and Demand**: The North Port corn inventory is low, and the Northeast production area's grain - selling progress is fast. The
格林大华期货早盘提示:玉米-20260106
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:50
Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 01 月 06 日星期二 联系方式:0371-65617380 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 | | | | | 昨日夜盘玉米期货震荡整理,截至夜盘收盘主力合约2603合约跌幅0.18%,收于221 | | | | | 9元/吨。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、中国粮油商务网数据显示昨日深加工企业收购价涨跌互现。东北地区企业主流 | | | | | 收购价2156元/吨,较前一日涨4元/吨;华北地区企业收购均价2257元/吨,较前一 | | | | | 日跌4元/吨。 | | | | | 2、中国粮油商务网数据显示昨日南北港口价格稳中偏弱。锦州港15%水二等玉米收 | | | | | 购价2260-2275元/吨,较前一日跌10元/吨;蛇口港玉米成交价2400元/吨,较前一 | | | | | 日持平。 | | | | ...