Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the engineering machinery sector [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a strong resonance between domestic and foreign demand, reinforcing the bullish outlook for beta investment opportunities in the sector [1] - Excavator sales reached 19,858 units in September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.44%, with domestic sales at 9,249 units (+21.54%) and exports at 10,609 units (+29.05%) [1] - Loader sales totaled 10,530 units, up 30.45% year-on-year, with domestic sales at 5,051 units (+25.58%) and exports at 5,479 units (+35.28%) [1] - The report notes that the domestic market is driven by supply-side renewal demand, with a significant recovery trend observed [1] - The overseas market shows sustained high demand in emerging markets, with exports of engineering machinery amounting to $38.597 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [1] Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The engineering machinery sector comprises 474 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 4,713.4 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 4,111.5 billion [1] Sales Performance - The report indicates that excavator and loader sales have both shown significant year-on-year growth, with excavators achieving a dual growth rate above 20% for the first time in 54 months [1] - The electric loader segment has seen remarkable growth, with sales increasing by 175.99% year-on-year, achieving a penetration rate of 24.56% [1] Domestic Market Analysis - The report discusses the investment and operational aspects of the domestic market, noting that fixed asset investments in infrastructure and real estate have shown mixed results [1] - The report emphasizes that the current recovery is characterized by structural changes in demand, leading to a stable performance in operating hours despite fluctuations in sales [1] International Market Analysis - Emerging markets continue to show robust demand, with significant growth in exports to regions such as Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia [1] - The report highlights a marginal improvement in demand from Western Europe, which has positively impacted the sales of smaller excavators [1] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the engineering machinery sector, including XCMG, SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Shantui, and LiuGong, as well as key component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic and ADI Precision [1]

万联证券近日发布机械设备行业快评报告：近日，中国工程机械工业协会公布最新统计 数据，8月销售各类挖掘机16,523台，同比增长12.8%；8月销售各类装载机9,440台，同比增 长13.3%。8月中国挖掘机海内外销量延续增长趋势。据中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主 要制造企业统计，2025年8月销售各类挖掘机16,523台，同比增长12.8%，其中国内销量 7,685台，同比增长14.8%；出口量8,838台，同比增长11.1%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 行业事件： 近日，中国工程机械工业协会公布最新统计数据，8月销售各类挖掘机16,523台，同比 增长12.8%；8月销售各类装载机9,440台，同比增长13.3%。 呈现"内外需共振+技术升级"的特点，建议关注具备市场优势以及积极布局海外市场的优质 公司。 投资要点： 风险因素：下游地产、基建投资不及预期风险，政策落地不及预期风险，行业竞争加剧 风险，国际贸易摩擦风险，人民币汇率波动风险。（万联证券 蔡梓林,李晨崴） 8月中国挖掘机海内外销量延续增长趋势。据中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造 企业统计，2025年8月销售各类挖掘机16,523台，同比增长12. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for leading companies in the engineering machinery sector, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Shantui [10]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a significant recovery driven by both domestic and international demand, with a notable increase in performance elasticity [8]. - The sector's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 187.92 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.02%, while net profit increased by 22.94% to 18.661 billion yuan [19][22]. - The report highlights a shift from an "export-only" growth model to a "dual-core" model, with both domestic and international sales contributing to revenue growth [19]. Summary by Sections 1. Operating Conditions: Accelerated Revenue Growth and Strong Profit Elasticity - The engineering machinery sector has shown significant excess returns, with the sector's stock price increasing by 27.56% from the beginning of 2025 to September 9, compared to a 16.16% increase in the CSI 300 index [8][14]. - Domestic excavator sales from January to August 2025 increased by 21.55% year-on-year, driven by structural infrastructure projects [2]. - The average expense ratio for the sector decreased by 0.3 percentage points, primarily due to increased foreign exchange gains [8]. 2. Engineering Machinery: Steady Recovery and Upward Trend - Domestic excavator sales are expected to continue growing, with major projects like the Yaxia Hydropower Station accelerating demand [2][3]. - The overseas market saw excavator exports increase by 12.79% year-on-year, reversing a two-year decline, with total engineering machinery exports reaching 33.486 billion USD, up 10.8% [3][8]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of leading manufacturers in both domestic and international markets, with SANY Heavy Industry and LiuGong showing particularly strong revenue growth [19][24]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading manufacturers of complete machines, component manufacturers, and high-altitude work platform/forklift manufacturers due to the expected recovery in demand [9][10]. - Specific companies recommended for investment include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Shantui for complete machines, and Hengli Hydraulic and Aidi Precision for components [9][10].

工程机械行业持续呈现"内需改善+出口增长"双重驱动 据中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，2025年6月销售各类挖掘机18,804台，同比增长 13.3%。其中国内销量8,136台，同比增长6.2%;出口量10,668台，同比增长19.3%。2025年1-6月，共销售 挖掘机120,520台，同比增长16.8%;其中国内销量65,637台，同比增长22.9%;出口54,883台，同比增长 10.2%。电动化方面，6月销售电动挖掘机27台。 从内需看，基建投资加速(万亿国债项目落地)叠加设备更新政策红利释放，内需连续两月扩大彰显增长 韧性。前瞻看，政策资金三季度集中拨付将支撑淡季增长。同时，产品电动化升级趋势(如新能源设备 渗透率提升)正成为行业增长的重要结构性动力，进一步巩固了复苏基础。从出口来看，中东、东南 亚、非洲等新兴市场基建需求旺盛，国产设备性价比优势显著，主机厂通过"一带一路"及新兴市场拓 展，叠加传统市场(欧洲、美洲)需求复苏，出口持续增长。 智通财经APP获悉，万联证券发布研报称，6月销售各类挖掘机18,804台，同比增长13.3%，6月销售各 类装载机12,014台，同比增长11.3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 11.22 RMB based on a 17x PE for 2025 [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to benefit from state-owned enterprise reforms and improved profitability, with a projected net profit margin increase of 3.2 percentage points from 2022 to Q3 2024 [1]. - Domestic demand for excavators is anticipated to recover, with sales expected to reach 100,500 units in 2024, representing an 11.7% year-on-year increase [1]. - The mining machinery segment is poised for significant growth, with expected revenues of 8.501 billion, 11.552 billion, and 15.445 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026, reflecting growth rates of 45.1%, 35.9%, and 33.7% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The company has optimized its revenue structure by merging with Xugong Limited, incorporating high-margin products such as earthmoving and mining machinery [1]. - The focus on improving gross margins and reducing risk exposure has been emphasized through market-oriented executive compensation and stock incentives linked to ROE and net profit [1]. - The company is expected to see a revenue growth rate of -2.7%, +11.5%, and +14.7% from 2024 to 2026 [1]. Mining Machinery - The global open-pit mining machinery market exceeds 37 billion USD, with a projected 3% year-on-year increase in demand for 2024 [2]. - The company has secured nearly 4 billion RMB in orders from top foreign clients, indicating a potential breakout period for its mining machinery segment [2]. - The company’s risk exposure has decreased significantly, which is expected to enhance its valuation as net profit margins improve [2]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 90.317 billion, 100.662 billion, and 115.458 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026, with corresponding net profits of 5.946 billion, 7.799 billion, and 10.263 billion RMB [3]. - The expected PE ratios for the same period are 19, 14, and 11 times respectively [3].