以下文章来源于公募排排网 ，作者小满 公募排排网 . 看财经、查排名、买基金，就上公募排排网，申购费低至0.001折。 本文首发于公众号"公募排排网"。（点击↑↑上图查看详情） 导语 8月20日早盘，A股军工装备、成飞概念等与军工产业环节相关板块短线拉升，中天火箭、成飞集成涨停，中无人机、北方长龙、爱乐达、七丰 精工、华伍股份等纷纷走 高。 消息面上，当日上午10点国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍9月3日阅兵准备工作有关情况，相关负责人介绍：这次阅兵是全面推进中国 式现代化进入新征程的首次阅兵，并表示这次参阅的武器装备都是从国产现役主战装备中遴选，首次亮相的新型装备占比很大，受阅武器装备 的信息化、智能化程度也较高。 叠加此前受国际地缘冲突持续发酵，全球多数国家增加军费预算开支的宏观背景，以及印巴冲突、巴黎航展等事件， 国产军工产品引起高度关 注，可能加速中国军工装备的出口，打开新的增长极，对国内军工企业重大利好 。市场表现方面， 今年来 A股军工题材持续上涨，截至8月18 日，年内中证军工指数已涨超20%，领先诸多行业 ！ （ 点此查看国防军工主题基金今年来收益TOP10名单 ） 今年来，军工相关的主题 ...

Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission, entering the implementation phase, which is expected to boost the military industry sector [1][4]. Group 1: Merger Details - The merger involves a share swap and will lead to the suspension of trading for both companies' stocks starting August 13, with China Heavy Industry's stock being delisted [4]. - The merger is seen as a significant move in the military industry, potentially reducing domestic competition and enhancing military trade exports [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The military industry is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity due to ongoing mergers and acquisitions, with state-owned enterprises possessing numerous advantageous assets [5]. - Recent geopolitical events and increased military spending globally are likely to drive demand for military trade, enhancing the competitiveness of China's military products [6][7]. Group 3: Market Trends - The completion of the BeiDou-3 global satellite navigation system has shown significant growth, with the industry scale projected to increase from 403.3 billion yuan in 2020 to 570 billion yuan by 2024, and expected to exceed 600 billion yuan by the end of this year [7]. - The military industry is entering a fundamental upward cycle, driven by domestic demand for modernization and the transition towards intelligent and unmanned systems [7]. Group 4: Upcoming Events - The upcoming military parade commemorating the 80th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance against Japan is expected to positively impact the military sector, as historical trends indicate a surge in military stock performance leading up to such events [8][10]. - The current period marks a transition between the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, with significant growth in military contracts and orders anticipated [10]. Group 5: Investment Tools - The military ETF (512660) is highlighted as a key investment tool, covering the entire military industry chain and currently leading in scale among similar products [10].

Group 1 - A-shares indices continue to rise, with the aerospace and defense sector showing strong performance, particularly the Aerospace ETF (159227) which increased by 1.51% with a trading volume of 83.13 million yuan [1] - The aerospace ETF has attracted significant capital inflow, with over 335 million yuan net inflow since July, reaching a new high of 663 million yuan in total assets [1] - The aerospace sector is becoming a focal point in modern warfare, with high technical barriers and significant value contribution within the military industrial chain, making it a core area for investment [1] Group 2 - Geopolitical conflicts are expected to persist into 2025, providing practical validation for China's military trade exports, which may lead to a revaluation of domestic defense and military enterprises [2]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the military conflict between India and Pakistan, particularly focusing on the Kashmir region, which has escalated due to recent terrorist attacks and military actions [1][3]. - The geopolitical landscape has been significantly affected by various conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Palestine conflict, leading to increased military spending globally [4][5]. Key Points and Arguments - **Military Spending Trends**: Global military expenditure reached $238.66 billion in 2023, marking a nearly 10% increase year-over-year, the largest growth since 2009 [5]. - **Regional Military Growth**: The military spending growth rate in Europe and Central Asia was the highest at 20.88% in 2023, while Sub-Saharan Africa saw over 10% growth [5]. - **Arms Trade Dynamics**: From 2019 to 2023, Asia-Pacific countries accounted for 37% of global arms imports, with the Middle East at 30% and Europe at 21% [6]. - **China's Arms Exports**: China's military equipment has gained recognition in the global arms market, with significant exports to Asia-Pacific countries, which constitute 85% of its arms exports [10][12]. Potential Investment Opportunities - **Demand for Low-Cost Military Equipment**: The ongoing conflicts are expected to increase demand for low-cost military equipment, particularly from countries surrounding conflict zones [16][17]. - **Chinese Military Equipment Performance**: The performance of Chinese military equipment in recent conflicts has improved its attractiveness to potential buyers in the Middle East and Africa [22]. - **Key Companies to Watch**: Companies such as AVIC, China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation, and others involved in drone and missile production are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of increased military orders [20][24]. Other Important Insights - **Impact of Geopolitical Tensions**: The escalation of conflicts in regions like Kashmir and the Middle East is likely to lead to increased military procurement from countries like Pakistan, which relies heavily on Chinese military supplies [21][22]. - **Future Orders and Market Dynamics**: The call suggests that the recent performance of Chinese military equipment in actual combat scenarios may lead to a surge in military orders from countries that have been hesitant due to a lack of combat experience with these systems [22][23]. - **Growth in Related Transactions**: Companies involved in military trade are expected to see significant increases in related transactions, indicating a robust outlook for military exports [23]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, focusing on the military industry dynamics and potential investment opportunities arising from current geopolitical tensions.

Core Viewpoint - The high-end equipment sector is experiencing mixed performance, with the high-end equipment ETF showing a recent upward trend, indicating potential growth opportunities in the industry driven by modernization and geopolitical factors [1][2]. Market Performance - As of July 9, 2025, the CSI High-end Equipment Sub-index fell by 0.01%, with notable gainers including Beifang Navigation (+2.91%) and Sichuan Aerospace (+1.87%), while Jiuzhiyang led the declines [1]. - The high-end equipment ETF has seen a cumulative increase of 6.84% over the past two weeks as of July 8, 2025 [1]. Liquidity and Fund Flow - The high-end equipment ETF recorded a turnover rate of 2.71% with a transaction volume of 32.77 million yuan, and the average daily transaction volume over the past month was 55.20 million yuan [2]. - The latest scale of the high-end equipment ETF reached 1.18 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 7.55 million yuan recently, indicating strong investor interest [2]. - Over the past five trading days, there were net inflows on four days, totaling 15.10 million yuan [2]. Performance Metrics - The high-end equipment ETF's net value increased by 34.68% over the past year, with the highest single-month return recorded at 19.30% since inception [2]. - The longest consecutive monthly gain was two months, with a maximum increase of 29.39% and an average monthly return of 6.55% [2]. Industry Outlook - According to Zheshang Securities, 2025 marks the conclusion of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with an acceleration in national defense equipment modernization expected to boost industry prosperity [2]. - Ongoing regional political conflicts are providing practical validation for China's military export equipment, leading to potential revaluation of military enterprises [2]. - The establishment of a low-altitude leadership group by the Civil Aviation Administration is expected to drive the low-altitude economy, while the C919 aircraft production is accelerating, presenting opportunities for international expansion and self-sufficiency [2]. - The shipbuilding and deep-sea technology sectors are also showing upward trends, with continuous profit improvements and significant restructuring opportunities [2]. Top Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-end Equipment Sub-index accounted for 45.22% of the index, with notable companies including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company and Aero Engine Corporation of China [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that 2025 marks the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a structural reversal in industry demand expected to continue until 2027 [1] - The military industry chain's upstream enterprises, which have a high asset securitization rate, have seen significant order growth since the Spring Festival, leading to a notable increase in stock prices from mid-February to mid-April [1] - Following a peak in orders for upstream component companies, stock prices have retreated since mid-April, while themes related to military trade exports, weaponry, deep-sea technology, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy have experienced high-frequency rotations since May [1] Group 2 - The upcoming September 3 military parade is expected to catalyze sentiment in the military industry sector due to its grand scale and high media attention [1] - The military ETF (512660) tracks the China Securities Military Index, which includes representative listed companies in the defense and military industry, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [1] - The index covers multiple subfields within the national defense and military industry, showcasing high industry concentration and distinct military characteristics [1]

Core Viewpoint - The high-end equipment sector is experiencing mixed performance, with notable movements in the stock prices of key companies, and the high-end equipment ETF shows significant trading activity and growth potential [1][3][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 17, 2025, the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-50 Index decreased by 0.69%, with Aerospace South Lake leading gains at 4.05% [1]. - The high-end equipment ETF (159638) had a turnover rate of 2.74% and a transaction volume of 34.76 million yuan [3]. - Over the past year, the average daily transaction volume of the high-end equipment ETF was 49.32 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Performance - The latest scale of the high-end equipment ETF reached 1.275 billion yuan, with a total inflow of 14.19 million yuan over the last five trading days [3]. - The latest margin buying amount for the high-end equipment ETF was 3.82 million yuan, with a margin balance of 23.05 million yuan [3]. - The net value of the high-end equipment ETF increased by 15.39% over the past year [3]. Group 3: Key Stocks and Weightings - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-50 Index accounted for 45.86% of the index, with significant players including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Optoelectronics, and Aero Engine Corporation of China [3]. - The performance of key stocks varied, with AVIC Shenyang Aircraft up by 0.73% and Haige Communication down by 2.42% [5]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The military industry sector is gaining attention due to geopolitical tensions, which may enhance China's military trade export market share [5]. - With the backdrop of increasing military expenditures and the low-altitude economy, the military sector is poised for growth [5]. - According to Dongfang Securities, China's military products are expected to gain a competitive edge in international markets due to technological upgrades and increased demand for military imports [6].

Group 1 - The recent air conflict between India and Pakistan highlights the systematic combat capabilities of China's military industry, marking a significant moment for the Chinese defense sector [1] - Indonesia is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, indicating a growing confidence in China's military exports [1] - The current year is crucial for completing the "14th Five-Year Plan," which is expected to boost military orders, while preparations for the "15th Five-Year Plan" are underway [1] Group 2 - The military industry is undergoing a value reassessment, driven by both domestic demand and significant military trade opportunities [2] - The C919 domestic passenger aircraft and sectors like low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, satellite internet, and nuclear fusion represent substantial growth potential for military enterprises [2] - The CSI Military Industry Index, which includes 80 constituent stocks, has shown outstanding performance, with a cumulative return of 26.19% as of June 12, 2025, outperforming other defense indices [2]

Group 1: Company Overview - The company is known for its small guided rockets, which have seen significant growth in 2024 due to high precision, low collateral damage, and high cost-effectiveness [2] - The primary market for small guided rockets is overseas, with military trade exports being the main sales method [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - The gross margin for small guided rockets in 2024 is reported at 37.4% [4] - The company’s mature products, particularly small guided rockets, are driving revenue growth [3] Group 3: Product Development and Trends - The company is focusing on the series and multi-platform development of small guided rockets [3] - The erosion-resistant components business is stable and expected to maintain this stability in the future [4] - The rain enhancement and hail prevention rocket segment is stable, with strong demand from meteorological agencies [6] Group 4: Challenges and Future Outlook - The carbon-ceramic brake disc business is currently small in scale but the company is one of the first to receive manufacturing approval [5] - The carbon-ceramic brake disc for automobiles is under active testing, with multiple models undergoing trials [6] - The carbon/carbon thermal field materials sector faced losses in 2024 due to oversupply, but long-term prospects remain hopeful with increasing focus on clean energy [8] - The human influence business saw a decline in revenue in 2024 due to temporary adjustments in procurement, but this is not expected to impact future performance [8]

Core Viewpoint - Recent developments in China's military trade, including significant orders from Pakistan and potential purchases from Indonesia, indicate a growing international competitiveness of Chinese military products and a shift towards a more comprehensive combat system export model [1][4]. Military Trade Developments - Indonesia is considering the procurement of 10 J-10 fighter jets, while Pakistan has officially announced an order for 40 J-35 stealth fighters, along with other advanced military equipment [1][3]. - The recent military trade orders reflect a milestone for China's military exports, marking a transition to higher-end, higher-value products and opening new market opportunities [4]. Stock Market Reaction - Following the announcements, the A-share military sector experienced a significant surge, with stocks such as Xuguang Electronics and Lijun Shares hitting the daily limit up of 10% [1][2]. Export Scale and Trends - China's military export scale has significantly increased, with a total growth of 64.6% from 10,140 million TIVs in 2004-2013 to 16,690 million TIVs in 2014-2023 [6]. - Notable increases in specific categories include: - Aircraft exports rose from 3,195 million TIVs to 4,764 million TIVs, a 49.12% increase [6]. - Naval vessels saw a dramatic increase from 1,926 million TIVs to 4,314 million TIVs, a 124% increase [6]. - Air defense weaponry exports surged by 436.21%, from 243 million TIVs to 1,303 million TIVs [6]. Industry Outlook - Analysts predict a strong recovery in the military industry, with expectations of improved performance in the second half of the year compared to the first half [8]. - The military sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has heightened global military trade activity [4][8]. - The military industry is characterized by better asset quality, larger business scale, and a higher market ceiling, suggesting a potential revaluation of the sector [7].